If you don't feel like reading the link above, what the author is basically saying is that if a tournament structure is so badly designed that it sometimes incentivizes losing on purpose, then that's the fault of the organizers. The players are just playing to win within the rules given to them and shouldn't be blamed.
One umpire even showed a black card to both competing teams (which would automatically disqualify them) but then rescinded his decision and allowed the farce to continue.
I feel theres a critical omission here. Part of the game rules is that if you don't play to your fullest (which can probably only be proven if you play terribly bad), you are immediately disqualified from the whole tournament.
Obviously a rational player with complete information would try to fulfill the two conflicting goals of maximizing ones chances by losing (and thereby securing an easier competitor later on) and not being kicked out simultaneously.
In this case, you have players that acted in complete ignorance from that one critical rule. Thats not game theory, thats just stupid.
I feel theres a critical omission here. Part of the game rules is that if you don't play to your fullest (which can probably only be proven if you play terribly bad), you are immediately disqualified from the whole tournament.
What does "play to your fullest mean"? Let me give you an example... in boxing I may be fighting someone who I know can knock me out easily, but he tires easily. If I can simply avoid him for the first few rounds, I know I can win a decision. Should I be disqualified for not engaging, knowing that this maximizes my chances of winning the fight?
At an even more micro level, in basketball, it's common to intentionally foul a poor free throw shooter. At the moment you're doing the fouling you're not playing to your fullest, but you do so with the knowledge that in ten seconds this "poor" play will pay off.
The badminton players did the same thing, except extended over the course of the tournament.
One could argue that, like a basketball team that doesn't foul the poor free throw shooter, a badminton team that doesn't try to optimize their chances of winning the tournament are actually the ones that aren't playing to their fullest.
The rules say you must try to win every match, not try to win the tournament. Violation of Players’ Code of Conduct, Section 4.5 for “not using one’s best efforts to win a match.”
In the context of a tournament that doesn't make sense.
Let me give you an example.
Lets say I'm playing team A. I know if I beat team A then I must play B and C. Both of whom I know I can't beat. If I lose to team A then I must play D and E, both of whom I know I can beat.
Thereby me using my best effort to win against A also means that I'm knowingly putting myself in a position to lose my next two matches. So I'm not using my best efforts to win a match -- it just happens to be a future match, not the match that I'm currently in.
Now if Section 4.5 was clear that it only applied to the match you were currently playing then it would be fine.
But it's still a braindead tournament construction where to incentive players to do their best you must create a rule dictating it.
Interpretation of 4.5 ambiguous - agree, though I think your alternative interpretation is less compelling.
See also 4.16 - "Conducting oneself in a manner that is clearly abusive or detrimental to the sport", again under a reasonable interpretation this was committed, although you could argue that there is some future chain of events where this could be good for the sport I suppose.
The fact that the judge told them to stop and they carried on doesn't go in their favour.
But they didn't optimize their winning chances! They chose a very low chance of not being disqualified over a reasonable chance to still beat a tough competitor later on.
They especially didn't change their strategy after being given immediate and clear warning that they would be disqualified (and in the process forfeiting any chance to win).
I also don't think theres any ambiguity here that they were in violation of the rule. They were repeatedly putting the ball into the net on their openers.
Their ability to not hide their intent is more disappointig to me than trying to lose in this case.
Funny, no one blamed the US Mens gymnastics team for intentially losing, but they looked like they were trying to lose on purpose. The only thing they had going for them was (a) they looked sincerely distressed and (b) there's no incentive we know of for why they would have done so poorly intentionally.
Strategically conceding a point or advantage during a game, in order to win that game, is not the same as intentionally losing a game.
A triathlon competitor may decide strategically to swim slower during the swimming component of the race in order to have more energy during the cycling component of the race.
What's the difference? The only difference is the scope. In both cases you have some ultimate goal and in both cases you view the intermediate steps as just steps along the way to the main goal. In both cases you sacrifice an intermediate step as a way to strategically increase your chance of achieving your ultimate goal.
The difference isn't scope, the difference is in what's allowed to slide. In basketball, when does a player foul another player? When the ref calls it. If it was the home team's fault, the ref might even look the other way. The olympics are supposed to entertain the crowd. If the crowd is not entertained, the players are execu--er, expelled for being unsportsmanlike.
I'm a competitive badminton player, and while what you may is partially correct, the product they had on the court was utter crap. There's a significant difference between playing half-hearted or reducing energy and just putting out garbage on the court.
What the Chinese, South Koreans, and Indonesians did was put on display non-sense. Pure garbage that had no place in the sport. It's not like basketball at all or any other sport. If you want a comparison to how poorly these teams played, let's compare it to baseball.
Suppose two teams wanted to lose. So the pitcher decides to through balls nowhere near the strike zone in an attempt to walk the batter constantly. But think of it as 4 intentional walks combined in order to force the opponent to score runs. But conversely, the batter decides he's going to swing wildly at bad pitches out of the strike zone so that he gets strikes and strikes out (some of you may be thinking of the South Park episode where this occurred).
What the 4 pairs did on the court WASN'T EVEN PLAYING. They were scoring useless points for the opponent. It was a complete disgrace. Strictly speaking, you can't even make the comparison to other sports because of how ridiculous they "played". It doesn't matter that this is a round-robin style tournament or that they're trying to game the system for the benefit of their team. When you put garbage on the court like that, you SHOULD be disqualified.
This is purely the fault of the organizers. If losing provides an advantage to the losing team, the tournament rules are broken. There should never be a need for such a rule.
The structure of the tournament also precludes throwing matches. Thus, they were not being true to the (mathematically) ideal rational player - they were violating a constraint of the tournament in their attempt to maximize another advantage.
And I certainly don't disagree. I was simply clarifying how the players weren't being completely rational game theorists. If the tournament is viewed as immutable (as it should be by the players) then the players misjudged, misunderstood, or completely ignored the possibility of disqualification.
That's why there's conflict. The 'moral' rules of fair play were not consistently enforced (information withheld), or you could just say not even consistently prioritized (likelihood of getting caught varied).
Well clearly it didn't work out. What do you mean? I mean, this outcome was obvious so why would a perfect game theorist make such a bumbled performance?
I just call BS on that. Any reasonable players that understood rules and spirit of the Olympics would not have put on such a sham performance. I find it only excusable if the players were from some dictatorial country where poor medal performing athletes are tortured or shamed for life, other than that, they should have known better. It was just ridiculous and childish.
On one end of the spectrum, you have a 100% direct elimination system. No cheating there (you lose, you're out) but you don't get a good feel for who is really the best since so few games are happening (log2(n)). Somebody can win just because they had an easy draw, even when you try to be smart with how you pepper seeds.
On the other end of the spectrum, you can do a 100% pool system: everybody plays against everybody else. The winner is very likely to be the best of all, but it's obviously an organizational nightmare that would take forever to complete (n! games). Again, here, there is zero incentive to lose.
This is why most professional tournaments operate with a mix of these two: a set of small pools first that leads into a direct elimination system. The trick is to implement the transition so that you always want to win all your pool games. Seeds are supposed to take care of this problem, but it's not a guarantee.
My days of not respecting the IOC are certainly coming to a middle. I suppose next we should disqualify swimmers who didn't go as fast as they possibly could in the qualifier rounds, in order to save energy for the finals?
All four of these badminton teams had already qualified for the next round with only the seeding still to be determined.
In swimming qualifiers, only the top 8 swimmers across all heats advance to the finals. There is absolutely no guarantee that an individual swimmer in a heat will qualify for the next round if he or she simply swims slowly to conserve energy.
Canadian here, so I can't see footage on nbcolympics.com. Not sure if the following link is geo-restricted, but for me at least it shows the video of players obviously throwing matches.
"Teams blamed the introduction of a round-robin stage rather than a straight knockout tournament as the main cause of the problem. The round-robin format can allow results to be manipulated to earn an easier matchup in the knockout round."
Well there you have it.
Unless there's some fantastic explanation for the value of a round-robin stage, it's pretty clear...
The organizers screwed up and someone has decided to penalize the players for adapting to the organizer's stupidity.
A round-robin stage is fine as long as all final matches are played simultaneously (as is the case for most football/soccer group stages). That wasn't the case this time.
There can still be issues even with that. I watched an international youth tournament (CONCACAF u20 championships, I think) where the US and Canada? could each guarantee advancement with a tie, but could be eliminated if they lost. The first half had both teams trying a bit, but not being willing to push enough men forward to have a real chance. The second half was a joke, with the US midfield and defense kicking the ball around their own half for 20+ minutes at the end of the game, while the opponent stayed in their own half.
The value of the round-robin stage is to establish team rankings before the single-elimination stage.
You have some alternatives, but no silver bullets:
* Establish rank before the tournament (in which case you're just moving the problem)
* Eliminate rank and seed teams randomly (which makes it much less likely to see the best teams medal)
* Use random seeding and a double-elimination structure (as a fan, I dislike double-elimination, but I'm not sure what the consensus is on this)
* Try to mitigate the problem by playing matches consecutively (you'll need lots of courts), hiding the actual seeding until the single-elimination round (people will assume you're corrupt), or other creative methods (you probably won't catch all the edge cases, so throw in a rule that says "you must try your hardest")
Game theory often goes against many peoples morals. That's why people often act irrationally in things like the ultimatum game. I'm glad 'throwing' games is considered unacceptable under olympic guidelines. On a side note, this is why British Premier League's final week of games are played in unison, so that no one has the ability to dodge relegation via an intentional tie.
A bit off-topic, but my favorite example of incentives gone awry in sport occurred during the 1994 Caribbean Cup (football), which ultimately resulted in one team defending both goals while the other team tried to score in either. In this case, the rule that caused the chaos was recognized to be poorly thought out and replaced in later tournaments.
Not only it's on-topic, it's even more amusing. At some point one of the teams was trying to score +1, but as the time passed it became safer to score -1 for a chance of +2 later; after deciding on scoring -1, the situation sort of reversed and the other team tried to score either +1 or -1.
This title is pretty misleading. I was expecting some strained reasoning about game theory and all I got was essentially straight reporting about something I already knew.
Reminds me of this soccer match in 1994. Somewhat a similar situation, but it was treated as ridiculous, rather than unsportsmanlike. I think it was widely agreed that the rules were to blame instead of the players.
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[ 3.0 ms ] story [ 110 ms ] threadIndeed. It seems kind of stupid to penalize them now instead of refining the rules afterwards as they didn't particularly break a hard rule.
Obviously a rational player with complete information would try to fulfill the two conflicting goals of maximizing ones chances by losing (and thereby securing an easier competitor later on) and not being kicked out simultaneously.
In this case, you have players that acted in complete ignorance from that one critical rule. Thats not game theory, thats just stupid.
What does "play to your fullest mean"? Let me give you an example... in boxing I may be fighting someone who I know can knock me out easily, but he tires easily. If I can simply avoid him for the first few rounds, I know I can win a decision. Should I be disqualified for not engaging, knowing that this maximizes my chances of winning the fight?
At an even more micro level, in basketball, it's common to intentionally foul a poor free throw shooter. At the moment you're doing the fouling you're not playing to your fullest, but you do so with the knowledge that in ten seconds this "poor" play will pay off.
The badminton players did the same thing, except extended over the course of the tournament.
One could argue that, like a basketball team that doesn't foul the poor free throw shooter, a badminton team that doesn't try to optimize their chances of winning the tournament are actually the ones that aren't playing to their fullest.
http://www.npr.org/blogs/thetorch/2012/08/01/157703869/badmi...
There's the ELO system, but I think that's only an approximation.
Let me give you an example.
Lets say I'm playing team A. I know if I beat team A then I must play B and C. Both of whom I know I can't beat. If I lose to team A then I must play D and E, both of whom I know I can beat.
Thereby me using my best effort to win against A also means that I'm knowingly putting myself in a position to lose my next two matches. So I'm not using my best efforts to win a match -- it just happens to be a future match, not the match that I'm currently in.
Now if Section 4.5 was clear that it only applied to the match you were currently playing then it would be fine.
But it's still a braindead tournament construction where to incentive players to do their best you must create a rule dictating it.
Interpretation of 4.5 ambiguous - agree, though I think your alternative interpretation is less compelling.
See also 4.16 - "Conducting oneself in a manner that is clearly abusive or detrimental to the sport", again under a reasonable interpretation this was committed, although you could argue that there is some future chain of events where this could be good for the sport I suppose.
The fact that the judge told them to stop and they carried on doesn't go in their favour.
http://www.bwfbadminton.org/file_download.aspx?id=364321&...
They especially didn't change their strategy after being given immediate and clear warning that they would be disqualified (and in the process forfeiting any chance to win).
I also don't think theres any ambiguity here that they were in violation of the rule. They were repeatedly putting the ball into the net on their openers.
I think this is the key piece--the referee in the South Korea/China match initially disqualified both teams before getting reined in by the IOC.
If I'm one of those teams, I'm cutting out the bullshit after that and winning. They just kept going, however.
Funny, no one blamed the US Mens gymnastics team for intentially losing, but they looked like they were trying to lose on purpose. The only thing they had going for them was (a) they looked sincerely distressed and (b) there's no incentive we know of for why they would have done so poorly intentionally.
A triathlon competitor may decide strategically to swim slower during the swimming component of the race in order to have more energy during the cycling component of the race.
Intentional fouling in basketball, rope-a-dope in boxing, intentional walks in baseball, sacrifice hits/bunts in baseball, gambits in chess, etc...
What the Chinese, South Koreans, and Indonesians did was put on display non-sense. Pure garbage that had no place in the sport. It's not like basketball at all or any other sport. If you want a comparison to how poorly these teams played, let's compare it to baseball.
Suppose two teams wanted to lose. So the pitcher decides to through balls nowhere near the strike zone in an attempt to walk the batter constantly. But think of it as 4 intentional walks combined in order to force the opponent to score runs. But conversely, the batter decides he's going to swing wildly at bad pitches out of the strike zone so that he gets strikes and strikes out (some of you may be thinking of the South Park episode where this occurred).
What the 4 pairs did on the court WASN'T EVEN PLAYING. They were scoring useless points for the opponent. It was a complete disgrace. Strictly speaking, you can't even make the comparison to other sports because of how ridiculous they "played". It doesn't matter that this is a round-robin style tournament or that they're trying to game the system for the benefit of their team. When you put garbage on the court like that, you SHOULD be disqualified.
On one end of the spectrum, you have a 100% direct elimination system. No cheating there (you lose, you're out) but you don't get a good feel for who is really the best since so few games are happening (log2(n)). Somebody can win just because they had an easy draw, even when you try to be smart with how you pepper seeds.
On the other end of the spectrum, you can do a 100% pool system: everybody plays against everybody else. The winner is very likely to be the best of all, but it's obviously an organizational nightmare that would take forever to complete (n! games). Again, here, there is zero incentive to lose.
This is why most professional tournaments operate with a mix of these two: a set of small pools first that leads into a direct elimination system. The trick is to implement the transition so that you always want to win all your pool games. Seeds are supposed to take care of this problem, but it's not a guarantee.
All four of these badminton teams had already qualified for the next round with only the seeding still to be determined.
In swimming qualifiers, only the top 8 swimmers across all heats advance to the finals. There is absolutely no guarantee that an individual swimmer in a heat will qualify for the next round if he or she simply swims slowly to conserve energy.
http://sports.yahoo.com/news/olympics--eight-badminton-playe...
Well there you have it.
Unless there's some fantastic explanation for the value of a round-robin stage, it's pretty clear...
The organizers screwed up and someone has decided to penalize the players for adapting to the organizer's stupidity.
You have some alternatives, but no silver bullets:
* Establish rank before the tournament (in which case you're just moving the problem)
* Eliminate rank and seed teams randomly (which makes it much less likely to see the best teams medal)
* Use random seeding and a double-elimination structure (as a fan, I dislike double-elimination, but I'm not sure what the consensus is on this)
* Try to mitigate the problem by playing matches consecutively (you'll need lots of courts), hiding the actual seeding until the single-elimination round (people will assume you're corrupt), or other creative methods (you probably won't catch all the edge cases, so throw in a rule that says "you must try your hardest")
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbados_v_Grenada_(1994)
1. Play round robin as usual, but use the results of this to uniquely seed the teams (tiebreak any way you want)
2. In the elimination stage, for every round, assign the highest seed to play lowest seed, 2nd highest vs 2nd lowest, etc.
Open question: can anyone think of a way to game this system?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbados_v_Grenada_(1994)#Match
http://t.qq.com/yuyangyumaoqiu/