The tariffs are a really huge problem. That said, you're right that the uncertainty is an even larger problem. I don't think that the administration could do a better job of harming the US, US interests, and the world if it tried.
I truly wondered last Tuesday if he was only getting more "serious" because the market had stopped responding to his announce-a-planned-tariff-one-day-then-reverse-it-the-next strategy, so it was no longer useful, and he'd need to string them along far longer to make it work at least one more time.
If the U.S. suspends tariffs on other countries, China can engage in re-export trade, which would effectively equate to suspending tariffs on China. It's only a matter of time before this loophole is exposed.Trump has backed down.
Apparently re-export of Chinese goods accounts for 10-15% of Vietnamese exports to the US. Let's see if that surges or if Vietnamese authorities are cautious (re-export was one of the justifications to "punish" Vietnam with high tariffs).
Again, this is Navarro's doing. All other tariffs are negotiable (behind close doors and hand-kissing Trump), except China's.
Tariffing only China doesn’t work because people bypass the tariffs through an intermediary country otherwise. At least that's what he thinks.
The President of the US believing it wasn't was never sufficient to make it independent, but what is the opposing force if the President of the US believes it is part of China?
Whether he is an actual idiot or a selfish asshat (if those are even independent properties), China's calculus is influenced by the benefit of the US treating Taiwan as part of it.
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[ 2.6 ms ] story [ 58.5 ms ] threadNot to mention the cronyism - we all can’t fly to Mar A Lago to get exceptions for our businesses in exchange for favors.
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-sec-see-exodus-hundreds-...
Eyes wide shut as they loot.
https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1910167321878163815
It'd probably be a good way to get the middleman country punished, if attempted in any significant volume.
/s
Whether he is an actual idiot or a selfish asshat (if those are even independent properties), China's calculus is influenced by the benefit of the US treating Taiwan as part of it.