Whet comes next is a test of America’s position - or at least the current administration, which has been recklessly attacking critical allies like India and going soft on enemies like China. Secondarily it is a test of European unity and resolve, and maybe even a moment where they can become aggressive themselves instead of passively waiting.
Tldr: Poland shot down Russian drones that entered polish airspace. Not the first time they've entered, but first time they've been shot down by Poland.
I wouldn't be surprised if it is deliberate by Russia.
Gray zone warfare in part does small little practically deniable actions, to create a new normal and establish small precedents that can be escalated into larger precedents. Slowly boil the lobster alive - create messaging that conflict in Poland is usual and nothing to wake up about.
The Netherlands also helped to shoot down some drones. A first it seems. Not only F35 fighters were launched, also at least two tanker airplanes were deployed to resupply the F35’s. Source: https://nos.nl/l/2581928
All the saber rattling is worrying because it seems like people have forgotten this portion from UN Charter: “… save succeeding generations from the scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to mankind …”
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[ 2.5 ms ] story [ 29.4 ms ] threadI wouldn't be surprised if it is deliberate by Russia.
Gray zone warfare in part does small little practically deniable actions, to create a new normal and establish small precedents that can be escalated into larger precedents. Slowly boil the lobster alive - create messaging that conflict in Poland is usual and nothing to wake up about.
https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49187.htm
All the saber rattling is worrying because it seems like people have forgotten this portion from UN Charter: “… save succeeding generations from the scourge of war, which twice in our lifetime has brought untold sorrow to mankind …”
https://www.un.org/en/about-us/un-charter/full-text
Ramping up coordinated EU investment and production to arm Ukraine - to the level of their actual needs - would be a win-win for Democracy.