Show HN: I built a tool to find trading signals that aren't just random luck (hikaro.app)
I'm a solo dev and for the last few months I've been building Hikaro, a tool to find statistically significant trading signals for [e.g., US equities, crypto, forex].
I built this to solve my own problem: I was tired of backtests that looked great on paper but failed in practice. Simple metrics like "win rate" can be misleading, so I wanted a way to quickly tell if a signal's performance was genuine or just noise.
Hikaro ingests daily market data and runs statistical analysis on various trading signals. The goal is to surface signals with strong properties, like:
Low p-value: Evidence that the performance is not a random fluke. High Sharpe Ratio: Better risk-adjusted returns. Healthy 'Core Performance': The average return after removing the single best outlier trade, for a more conservative view. Other key metrics like Profit Factor and Max Drawdown that you can filter by.
I'm looking for my first users and would love your feedback. I'm offering a 30-day free trial of the Pro plan (which includes Telegram alerts) with no credit card required.
I'll be here all day to answer any questions. I'm especially keen to hear feedback on the concept and the metrics.
Thanks, HN!
4 comments
[ 2.8 ms ] story [ 20.1 ms ] threadWhy?
With market beating metrics, who needs users?
Maybe you know this, but trading signals are a dubious avenue to investment returns. They are, universally, all garbage.
Idk who your customer is, but this is useful for “traders” who sell e-courses and trade picks to the naive. I imagine they’d like it quite a lot. You could even run an affiliate program to get to their customers.
Now I wouldn’t recommend that personally. We have enough unscrupulous behavior going around. Instead I’d apply those statistical analysis capabilities to things that actually work.
Quick questions:
I can’t find the pricing for any of the plans (am I missing it?).
It would be great to have a GIF or video showing how it works without registering.
It would also be great to show some of your previous winning signals to demonstrate the potential (you could publish them with a delay of a week or more).