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It's hard to read this without being cynical.

How seriously would you take a proposal on car pollution regulation and traffic law updates written by Volkswagen?

Much like the end of history wasn’t the end of history

LLM-Attention centric AI isn’t the end of AI development

So if they are successful at locking in it will be at their own demise because it doesn’t cover the infinity many pathways for AI to continue down, specifically intersections with robotics and physical manipulation, that are ultimately way more impactful on society.

Until the plurality of humans on the earth understand that human exceptionalism is no longer something to be taking for granted (and shouldn’t have been) there’s never going to be effective global governance of technology.

they seem to have omitted the scenarios where the newly unemployable electorate turn on them
I'm having trouble understanding what they want to "upskill" those people to do.

What skills won't be replaced? The only ones I can think of either have a large physical component, or are only doable by a tiny fraction of the current workforce.

As for the ones with a physical component (plumbers being the most cited), the cognitive parts of the job (the "skilled" part of skilled labor) can be replaced while having the person just following directions demonstrated onscreen for them. And of course, the robots aren't far behind, since the main hard part of making a capable robot is the AI part.

i see the comments here are pretty cynical about this post, and probably for good reason. especially "you might have to start taxing consumption instead of income because people won't have income anymore"

but at least a couple of these proposals seem to boil down to needing to tax the absolute crap out of the AI companies. which seems pretty obviously true, and its interesting that the ai companies are already saying that.

AI companies are in a difficult position right now. Anthropic is taking the lead by looking like they care and are concerned about the effects of the technology that their feverishly building.

I don’t trust them. Their strategy is to say “don’t worry about all your jobs being taken by our technology. We (AI companies) are going to be taxed so much that you are going to be living a wealthy and fruitful life making meme photos and looking at AI porn. Don’t be concerned about how you’ll pay your bills. We’ll work it all out. Trust us.”

anthropic are so sure about the incoming economic impact of their AI that they want to start talking about policy - for our sake.

Incredible stuff...

ctrl + f for "immigration" returns nothing.

Not serious, not worth reading.

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Seem’s like the crypto gifters and moon boys have found a new home.
The most immediate impact might be the bursting of the AI bubble and a dotcom-like crash of tech stocks and businesses like Anthropic.

Financial circularity could also lead to instability.

If you write policy about AI you're doing it wrong. AI is an implementation, but policies must be written for outcomes.

Discrimination by law enforcement, exclusion from loan approval, bad moderation on social networking, cheating on exams, creating fake news or media about people, swallowing up user data... all the negative social impact of AI can be achieved without it, and much of it is already illegal anyway.

Legislation that is predicated on AI will fail in the long run. Legislation that focuses on the actual negative outcomes will stand the test of time much more.

> "you might have to start taxing consumption instead of income because people won't have income anymore"

Proposal written by billionaire trying to shift taxation even more away from themselves and even more to everyone else.

> Accelerate permits and approvals for AI infrastructure

Oh, they want that? Who would not say.

They want to speed up the process of getting laws written to protect them and AI. One way to do that is to appear like you’re looking for a solution while at the same time mentioning how urgent things are and how we need to pass laws quickly. You can guess how those laws will be focused, but my guess is it will be focused on benefiting the AI companies and companies that plan to use AI companies to build their companies.

The reasons for that will be proposed as protecting the citizens from the evil other country that’s building AI. “Without strong AI, we can’t build weapons to defend the country.” and “without strong AI, our companies won’t be able to compete in the world marketplace.”

If upskilling is your hope - you have no hope.

Without any modifications - MOOCs have single digit completion rates. This is high quality, free, publicly available educational material.

The vast majority of people do not simply have the time, money, or undivided attention - to get a new domain under their belt.

This is “help miners learn code” territory.

What other option you can propose. This article [1] says preferred suggestions by economists is: retraining, regulation, or social insurance and for most of the people surveyed "retraining" was the preferred approach.

Not sure MOOCs can be taken as an useful alibi to measure success of upskill. Most (employers) won't honor the MOCC certs, and people do MOOC while working. Taking a MOOC doesn't inherently ensure that the learner has mastered the course they took, hence there is less incentive in completing too.

1. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/united-states/coming-ai-backl...

This smells of regulatory capture.