Ask HN: COBOL devs, how are AI coding affecting your work?
Curious to hear from anyone actively working with COBOL/mainframes. Do you see LLMs as a threat to your job security, or the opposite?
I feel that the mass of code that actually runs the economy is remarkably untouched by AI coding agents.
34 comments
[ 5.6 ms ] story [ 87.2 ms ] threadI've also used AI to convert a really old legacy app to something more modern. It works surprisingly well.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RM7Q7u0pZyQ&list=PLxeenGqMmm...
My first job was working at a credit union software company. I designed and built the front-end (windows applications, a telephone banking system, and a home-banking web thing) and middle-tier systems (VB.NET-based services). The real back-end, though, was an old COBOL system.
I remember helping the COBOL programmers debug some stuff, and it was just so wildly foreign. My degree is in theoretical comp sci, and I'd seen a lot of different languages, including Prolog, various lisps and schemes, SQL, ADA, C++, C, Pascal, various assembly variants, but COBOL was simply unique. I've often wondered what ideas COBOL got right that we could learn from and leverage today in a new language.
I do remember our COBOL mainframes were really fast compared to the SQL Server layers my middle-tier services used, but I also remember looking at it and thinking it would be a giant pain to write (the numbers at the front of every line seemed like tedium that I would probably often get wrong).
So you have Java code, generating COBOL code, that's then run on an emulator emulating an old IBM system that was meant to run COBOL. It's just wild.
Some of the tools are even front-facing users (bank employees): at times you can still see at some banks an employee running an app in a monochrome green-on-black text terminal emulator that is basically COBOL.
It's weird, just weird. But legacy code is legacy code. And if you think COBOL's legacy is bad, Java is going to dwarf COBOL's legacy big times (for Java is typically used at the kind of places that still use COBOL and it's used way more than COBOL).
So in the future, heck, we may have a new language, generating, inside an emulator emulating current machines/OSes, Java code that is going to be code generating COBOL code (!), that's then going to be run in an emulator.
Also COBOL seems to have a lot of flavors that are used by a few financial institutions. Since these are highly proprietary it seems very unlikely LLMs would be trained on them, and therefore the LLM would not be any use to the bank.
I logged my fix for this here: https://thethinkdrop.blogspot.com/2026/01/agentic-automation...
Who thinks otherwise, even if LLMs are still a bit dumb today, is fooling themselves.
it could have been a threat if it was something you cannot control, but you can control it, you can learn to control it, and controlling it in the right direction would enable anyone to actually secure your position or even advance it.
And, about the COBOL, well i dont know what the heck this is.
At least I think that’s the repo, there was an HN discussion at the time but the link is broken now: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39873793
Personally I've had a lot of luck Opus etc with "odd" languages just making sure that the prompt is heavily tuned to describe best practices and reinforce descriptions of differences with "similar" languages. A few months ago with Sonnet 4, etc. this was dicey. Now I can run Opus 4.5 on my own rather bespoke language and get mostly excellent output. Especially when it has good tooling for verification, and reference documentation available.
The downside is you use quite a bit of tokens doing this. Which is where I think fine tuning could help.
I bet one of the larger airlines or banks could dump some cash over to Anthropic etc to produce a custom trained model using a corpus of banking etc software, along with tools around the backend systems and so on. Worthwhile investment.
In any case I can't see how this would be a threat to people who work in those domains. They'd be absolutely invaluable to understand and apply and review and improve the output. I can imagine it making their jobs 10x more pleasant though.
Which COBOL... This is a particular issue in COBOL is it's a much more fragmented language than most people outside the industry would expect. While a model would be useful for the company that supplied the data, the amount of transference may be more limited than one would expect.
Generally speaking any kind of AI is relatively hit or miss. We have a statically generated knowledge base of the migrated sourcecode that can be used as context for LLMs to work with, but even that is often not enough to do anything meaningful.
At times Opus 4.5 is able to debug small errors in COBOL modules given a stacktrace and enough hand-holding. Other models are decent at explaining semi-obscure COBOL patterns or at guessing what a module could be doing just given the name and location -- but more often than not they end up just being confidently wrong.
I think the best use-case we have so far is business rule extraction - aka understanding what a module is trying to achieve without getting too much into details.
The TLDR, at least in our case, is that without any supporting RAGs/finetuning/etc all kind of AI works "just ok" and isn't such a big deal (yet)
Disclaimer: I've never written a single line of COBOL. That said, I'm a programming language enthusiast who has shipped production code in FORTRAN, C, C++, Java, Scala, Clojure, JavaScript, TypeScript, Python, and probably others I'm forgetting.
The main reason is maintainability. There is no more cobol developers coming. Existing ones close to retirement or already retired.
The shortage of COBOL engineers is real but the harder problem is enterprise scale system understanding. Most modernization efforts stall not because COBOL is inherently a difficult language, but because of the sheer scale and volume of these enterprise codebases. It's tens of thousands of files, if not millions, spanning 40+ years with a handful of engineers left or no one at all.
We're exploring some of this work at Hypercubic (https://www.hypercubic.ai/, YC-backed) if you're curious to learn more.
With the current reasoning models, we now have the capability to build large scale agentic AI for mainframe system understanding. This is going beyond line-by-line code understanding to reason across end-to-end system behavior and capturing institutional knowledge that’s otherwise lost as SMEs retire.
https://docs.devin.ai/use-cases/examples/cobol-modernization https://cognition.ai/blog/infosys-cognition
From what I’ve seen, LLMs aren’t really a threat to COBOL roles right now. They can help explain unfamiliar code, summarize programs, or assist with documentation, but they struggle with the things that actually matter most: institution-specific conventions, decades of undocumented business logic, and the operational context around jobs, datasets, and JCL.
In practice, the hardest part isn’t writing COBOL syntax, it’s understanding why a program exists, what assumptions it encodes, and what will break if you change it. That knowledge tends to live in people, not in code comments.
So AI feels more like a force multiplier for experienced engineers rather than a replacement. If anything, it might reduce the barrier for newer engineers to approach these systems, which could be a net positive given how thin the talent pool already is.