The "Confident Idiot" Problem: Intelligence vs. Control (2021-2026) (steerlabs.substack.com) 2 points by steer_dev 5mo ago ↗ HN
[–] steer_dev 5mo ago ↗ The Data:Green Line (Capability): MMLU State-of-the-Art (48% → 94%).Red Line (Control): Organizations with effective mitigation for inaccuracy/hallucination (lagging at ~52%).Sources:MMLU: Official Repository (hendrycks/test) and Model Technical Reports.Risk: McKinsey “State of AI” Annual Reports (2023–2025).The Gap: Intelligence is surging. Control is lagging. We are currently in the gap (High capability, low trust).How are you solving the gap?Potential Solution: Move verification outside the model using deterministic “Reality Locks” (Regex, SQL AST, Entropy)Repo: https://github.com/imtt-dev/steer
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[ 2.6 ms ] story [ 15.1 ms ] threadGreen Line (Capability): MMLU State-of-the-Art (48% → 94%).
Red Line (Control): Organizations with effective mitigation for inaccuracy/hallucination (lagging at ~52%).
Sources:
MMLU: Official Repository (hendrycks/test) and Model Technical Reports.
Risk: McKinsey “State of AI” Annual Reports (2023–2025).
The Gap: Intelligence is surging. Control is lagging. We are currently in the gap (High capability, low trust).
How are you solving the gap?
Potential Solution: Move verification outside the model using deterministic “Reality Locks” (Regex, SQL AST, Entropy)
Repo: https://github.com/imtt-dev/steer