There’s all these non-coding elements to a developer’s job that make me think AI replacing developers will take a lot longer than everyone thinks.
What portion of a job must be done by AI before the human loses their job? 80%? Even 98% (and we’re nowhere near that) will produce a ton of friction when applied to a team of developers.
The problem is that the narrative of imminent job displacement is the prevailing one and becomes self fulfilling.
My job wants us to plan sprints 12 weeks in advance. That includes decomposing epics into stories with full descriptions and acceptance criteria, which anyone who's actually worked on an agile team knows is a complete waste of time. By the time imyou get 6 weeks in things will have changed too much.
By far the most useful thing AI had done for me is let me plow through all that in a fraction of the time I would have before. They're spending a ton of money to make employees more efficient at the pointless bullshit they themselves put in our way.
And before some scrum master shows up and tells me how important stories are, I'm not arguing against planning. I am arguing against pointlessly over planning to make a bunch of suits happy when teams aren't given the kind of time to actually plan that far in advance.
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[ 2.5 ms ] story [ 23.2 ms ] threadWhat portion of a job must be done by AI before the human loses their job? 80%? Even 98% (and we’re nowhere near that) will produce a ton of friction when applied to a team of developers.
The problem is that the narrative of imminent job displacement is the prevailing one and becomes self fulfilling.
By far the most useful thing AI had done for me is let me plow through all that in a fraction of the time I would have before. They're spending a ton of money to make employees more efficient at the pointless bullshit they themselves put in our way.
And before some scrum master shows up and tells me how important stories are, I'm not arguing against planning. I am arguing against pointlessly over planning to make a bunch of suits happy when teams aren't given the kind of time to actually plan that far in advance.