Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027? (27%) (kalshi.com)

What if a US official definitively states this and is totally BSing?

What if they discover definitive evidence of active single-celled martian life, but there's disagreement how "life" is defined vs an abiotic chemical system?

But what's the point? Trump is a person that can say just about anything and people stopped being surprised a long time ago.

If it was E.T. I'd sign up for this but if hypothetically they found past evidence of life on Mars then I think that would count.

In the time frame that's a pretty unlikely event but I wouldn't say zero.