Iran already has a lot of issues. If the regime does collapse over night ala Soviets/Arab Spring by just making some mistake while reacting to all this pressure, I dont look forward to the amount of gloating Trump and Netanyahu are going to do.
I learned recently that there’s a deep public disgust of US meddling in Iranian self-determination going back to the 50s. I don’t know how the public feels about Israel but I’m guessing it’s not popular. The people wanted change but I suspect there’s consensus “not like this.”
The regime has been decapitated and it lives on. They planned for this for decades and built a resistant decentralized command structure.
Their army survived the first shock and is now engaged in a decentralized gorilla conflict (as they always planned) and everyone knows how that ends. (When US gives up without accomplishing anything and goes away)
Trump has done them a favor by creating a generation of Iranian patriots who put their anti-fundamentalism at a lower priority than their disgust at the US and Israel.
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[ 3.5 ms ] story [ 25.6 ms ] threadThe regime has been decapitated and it lives on. They planned for this for decades and built a resistant decentralized command structure.
Their army survived the first shock and is now engaged in a decentralized gorilla conflict (as they always planned) and everyone knows how that ends. (When US gives up without accomplishing anything and goes away)