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Nostr is in the same boat, i.e. not the answer

All of them make the same mistake, public content. The vast majority of people do not want their posts to be publicly accessible to the entire world

For regular user it doesn't matter how service operates in the background - they don't care whether it's a federation or centralized server. It's all about content they can see, people can interact with and their posts reaching abilities.

And frankly seeing all the stuff that have appeared once twitter become x, it doesn't seem that any of them has become dominant or particularly outstanding. They all echo chambers - each with own theme.