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I submitted this to newmogul.com.
He's right you know. Especially if you consider how much easier it is becoming to accomplish the non-trivial in the latest programming languages like ruby, eventually, programming itself won't be a career anymore, it'll be an added-value skillset, and eventually, a common skill.

That's why I'm a reverse engineer and systems programmer. :D

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Certainly it is faster to develop a program in Ruby than the equivalent program in 86 asm. On the other hand it is still the same mind that is needed to produce the results (at least for anything that is not trivial).
Have you met a professional VB (only) developer?
Yet when you consider the growth in non-trivial things you want to accomplish, then the complexity returns.

No longer are people satisfied with a joystick that can be read as two resistance values and two open/closed buttons - now you need a DirectX DirectInput Device with throttles, reconfigurable buttons, force feedback, a USB joystick driver to communicate with it...