Of course that fundraise was the last one: [0], everyone getting ready to dump their pre-IPO shares on to you as China catches up with their open models.
Better to do it now than to wait a day longer and the tokens are not getting any cheaper here.
Obviously OpenAI will file for IPO certainly this month, or even this week in response both SpaceX, and Anthropic.
Every post anthropic generates feels like misdirection and bad summarization using AI. There is no sense of who the audience for this post is for and includes a lot of redundant information.
The motivation for such a terse thing is pretty obvious given the way they’ve generally announced things. It’s drumming up interest with as much vagueness as possible.
It’s a classic tactic. If you are unable to show real data (why?), then just give as little information as possible so that people can just fill in the gaps based on their own biases.
I mean, look at the way Mythos was announced…too dangerous to release outside of select customers, but they’ve announced they’re adding Mythos capabilities now, so I guess the danger has passed? What changed? What risk mitigations have taken place?
With SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, we're likely to see 3 of the largest IPOs ever (by a wide margin) this year. Will existing institutional investors trim other positions to allocate a lot of capital for these mega listings or is this not a concern?
post your position for all to see if you're so confident. Time in market is way better than timing the market. I'd rather ride through a downturn, buying at the same pace i always do, and come out the other side than try to time it. Been there done that and i got burned every time.
If OpenAI and Anthropic eventually become public companies with trillion-dollar valuations, it will be interesting to see if their company ethos remains the same. With that much purchasing power, it's very tempting to gobble up competitors and raise prices.
Anthropic unlike OpenAI has reached an operating profit of 559 million, which is really telling. They've also been migrating enterprise customers to API pricing, which is likely part of why they've become so profitable.
Is there anything structurally to prevent a super wealthy buyer from guaranteeing this essentially -- moving money and debt around in order to essentially put a floor under the stock and guarantee buy rates until the retirement fund index purchasers have time to absorb all the shares at the artificially high price? Feels to me like this is almost guaranteed to happen -- ...
OpenAI, SpaceX, and this IPO: I don’t think there’s enough liquidity for all of them. Investors may pull money out of other investments, and hopefully that doesn’t cascade into a full market crash.
The SpaceX IPO confuses me, with the kind of testing they do the stock price is going to be a roller coaster ride. Every splashdown with an explosion, even if planned, is going to impact the stock price. Are they hurting for cash? Why even IPO if you don't need the cash?
why did they raise 3 days ago? What's the benefit of doing this instead of going public right away? If it's just cash to pay for GPUs, can't they issue bonds or something?
Conspiratorially, it seems like a shotgun attempt at undermining the supposed OpenAI IPO later this year.
Also filing an S-1 doesn't actually indicate that they intend to go public "immediately," it just gives them the option to go public (probably in the near future).
"Going public" means something completely different now, especially for these companies in the news (Anthropic, OpenAI, SpaceX, etc).
Going public used to mean selling a portion of your company for the capital required to grow. Ideally John Q. Public buys stock, the company grows, and they can sell the stock for more money.
These companies already have the capital required to grow from private investment, and already grew; they're behemoths. The act of "going public" are those private investors using the public market to cash out their investment. The exponential growth the public buyers are expecting to see has most likely already happened.
I think this IPO will be the real test of whether the concept of a Public Benefit Corporation actually holds up in practice. Don't mess this up, Anthropic.
Up until this point, the potential for an AI bust blast radius was limited to corporate investors, but this is going to cause regular retail/401k investors to get exposure, which could have far bigger impacts on a downturn.
Not to mention the insane wake-up call it is going to be for these AI stocks when 3 months after they launch they have to start making earnings calls and showing their financials. That quarter-by-quarter pressure and scrutiny is no joke, and probably the biggest downside of going public.
I'm bullish on AI, but kind of bearish on any specific AI company. None of the initial big dotcom companies like AOL or Yahoo survived at the scale they briefly had.
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[ 2.5 ms ] story [ 48.9 ms ] threadBetter to do it now than to wait a day longer and the tokens are not getting any cheaper here.
Obviously OpenAI will file for IPO certainly this month, or even this week in response both SpaceX, and Anthropic.
Then AGI will then have been achieved externally.
[0] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48313390
Welcome to 2012 [1].
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Form_S-1#:~:text=Under%20the%2...
It’s a classic tactic. If you are unable to show real data (why?), then just give as little information as possible so that people can just fill in the gaps based on their own biases.
I mean, look at the way Mythos was announced…too dangerous to release outside of select customers, but they’ve announced they’re adding Mythos capabilities now, so I guess the danger has passed? What changed? What risk mitigations have taken place?
"The stock market just did something eerily similar to the dot-com bubble top in 2000" - https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/01/the-stock-market-just-did-so...
post your position for all to see if you're so confident. Time in market is way better than timing the market. I'd rather ride through a downturn, buying at the same pace i always do, and come out the other side than try to time it. Been there done that and i got burned every time.
[1]: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1181412/000162828026...
https://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe
Valuations are literally at 1999 levels, and that's before the coming IPOs. No wonder they chose this moment to IPO.
Also filing an S-1 doesn't actually indicate that they intend to go public "immediately," it just gives them the option to go public (probably in the near future).
Going public used to mean selling a portion of your company for the capital required to grow. Ideally John Q. Public buys stock, the company grows, and they can sell the stock for more money.
These companies already have the capital required to grow from private investment, and already grew; they're behemoths. The act of "going public" are those private investors using the public market to cash out their investment. The exponential growth the public buyers are expecting to see has most likely already happened.
Would it crash other company stocks so that investors start selling and purchasing Anthropic shares, or how does it work?
Not to mention the insane wake-up call it is going to be for these AI stocks when 3 months after they launch they have to start making earnings calls and showing their financials. That quarter-by-quarter pressure and scrutiny is no joke, and probably the biggest downside of going public.
I'm bullish on AI, but kind of bearish on any specific AI company. None of the initial big dotcom companies like AOL or Yahoo survived at the scale they briefly had.