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i've lost track of which agreement we are on
Excellent. I've been having a hard time knowing what day of the week it is lately, and this will remind me it is a Monday.
The key part to understand why this means nothing:

> Iran’s Supreme National Security Council said in a statement that the country had finalized a memorandum of understanding with the United States

> The agreement will be signed on Friday

> In a statement, Supreme National Security Council said the agreement called for an immediate end to military operations on all fronts, including Lebanon

But Israel is never going to reverse its invasion of Lebanon, its key to their Greater Israel[1] project. It's important to know that Israel is currently occupying parts of southern Lebanon [2]. Trump would have to force Israel to stop its illegal invasion, that's never going to happen.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Greater_Israel#Egypt,_Syria_an...

[2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Lebanon_war

The kind of where there is no shooting going on? Or rather the usual kind where everybody shoots everybody and claims to be retaliating?
4 hours since posting. Any news of this being breached yet?

I assume it was just another market manipulation play?

And if it does hold, what is his next move to cause even more massive price shocks? They won't let prices revert to where they were - it's just normal now to have some shock event to raise prices

There will be no peace till Bibi is dead or behind bars.
At least Trump knew he fucked up and democracy forced him to make a deal. A certain leader in Moscow is still pretending everything is fine.
This is massively humiliating for Trump (and the US). None of the US' objectives were accomplished aside from "Iran never having a nuclear weapon" which was already established through the JCPOA, which Trump tore down and never ceased to remind everyone how terrible it was and how Obama was an abysmal negotiator.

Which begs the question, why didn't Trump just try to recreate the JCPOA without going to war? Pride?