It must be lower than $300bn, because that is the size of the redevelopment fund in the MoU. My reasoning:
- Trump is desperate to get out of this war, so Iran can ask for more or less whatever they like, and he will get Vance to agree to it —- notice how Vance is already "the architect of the deal" because it's terrible. So Iran is overestimating.
- He knows they will over-estimate, but doesn't care, since:
1) he (thinks he) is getting his allies in the region to pay and
2) the family will undoubtedly start brand new companies to bid for the work
"Our most likely estimate is that replacement costs are approximately $91 billion. Military and strategic assets — nuclear facilities, missile and drone production infrastructure, air bases, naval vessels, and air defense systems — make up roughly half that total, at approximately $46 billion, which is equivalent to 4-6 years of Iran’s pre-war defense budget"
How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.
This was the Suez Crisis for the US. It's all downhill from here.
I'm expected the next Democrat president to cashier a bunch of high rank officers who went along with this. They weren't brave enough to risk their careers to object to illegal orders, so out they go.
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[ 2.3 ms ] story [ 24.9 ms ] thread- Trump is desperate to get out of this war, so Iran can ask for more or less whatever they like, and he will get Vance to agree to it —- notice how Vance is already "the architect of the deal" because it's terrible. So Iran is overestimating.
- He knows they will over-estimate, but doesn't care, since:
1) he (thinks he) is getting his allies in the region to pay and
2) the family will undoubtedly start brand new companies to bid for the work
How exactly did they arrive at this estimate? I would like to see a building-by-building breakdown, or at least a methodology. Feels very vibe-researched tbh.
They are not neutral actors and this webpage (which is dated to April 23rd) is not neutral either.
reached approximately $113 billion in direct military spending till April alone
Spending. At parity with destruction.
I'm expected the next Democrat president to cashier a bunch of high rank officers who went along with this. They weren't brave enough to risk their careers to object to illegal orders, so out they go.