I’m surprised to not see more commentary on this one. Much as folks may dislike AI and/or frontier labs, this is not good for capitalism, or democracy for that matter (given the actions of the executive govt today).
Seems the writing is on the wall for increasing inequality not just financially but now intelligence and economic opportunity as a result.
This will be particularly painful for startups and early stage businesses / SMBs that will be perpetually a step behind (likely multiple steps behind over time) companies with connections (especially those that are not above paying for connections in the admin).
I’d suspect bans on open source models to follow, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it hits hardware as well to fully close the loop.
AI and microchips should probably be treated like nuclear weapons and disease research. They all have profound non-military value, but powerful nations hoard them, build elaborate systems to deter proliferation, and reap most of the benefits. It's not exactly fair, but it's worked surprisingly well with some technologies over several generations.
But I don't see it happening soon, which probably means it will be too late. There's simply not enough competent political leadership in the world.
> I’m surprised to not see more commentary on this one.
I agree -- this is big news, but the thread only has 21 comments?!
When the Trump admin kinda-sorta banned Fable a week ago, it seemed like it might be a one-off event: handicapping Anthropic because the administration has a grudge against them.
But today's news makes it seem like we're moving into a whole different world of AI regulation: each US model will have to be approved for release by regulators! And not only that, but the administration will whitelist who gets to use it "customer by customer." (Altman's words.)
I think there is a good chance that this is the AI lobby discovering a trick they can use to paper over lack of capacity by using their bought-and-paid-for influence on the Trump admin (not to be partisan: they've bought plenty of Democratic influence too, it just happens that Trump is currently holding the pen). Could OpenAI meet all demand for 5.6 if they wanted to? If not, wouldn't it be convenient if they weren't even allowed to offer it widely? Is this the same situation as Mythos/Fable?
Startups and early stage businesses have always had less intelligence (when intelligence would be measured by the number and quality of their employees) than larger businesses. That hasn't stopped them from succeeding before.
19 comments
[ 2.5 ms ] story [ 39.3 ms ] threadhttps://www.theinformation.com/articles/trump-administration...
I expect a negative response from markets as this basically means that the party bus just got pulled over.
Slightly sarcastic, but also ample evidence and charges for insider trading in the US government this year
Seems the writing is on the wall for increasing inequality not just financially but now intelligence and economic opportunity as a result.
This will be particularly painful for startups and early stage businesses / SMBs that will be perpetually a step behind (likely multiple steps behind over time) companies with connections (especially those that are not above paying for connections in the admin).
I’d suspect bans on open source models to follow, and I wouldn’t be surprised if it hits hardware as well to fully close the loop.
But I don't see it happening soon, which probably means it will be too late. There's simply not enough competent political leadership in the world.
I agree -- this is big news, but the thread only has 21 comments?!
When the Trump admin kinda-sorta banned Fable a week ago, it seemed like it might be a one-off event: handicapping Anthropic because the administration has a grudge against them.
But today's news makes it seem like we're moving into a whole different world of AI regulation: each US model will have to be approved for release by regulators! And not only that, but the administration will whitelist who gets to use it "customer by customer." (Altman's words.)
OpenAI Leans Toward Waiting Until Next Year for IPO
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48678873
At this point the stupidity is expected, not surprising.