Show HN: A Monte Carlo model that called the World Cup finalists 2 weeks ago (github.com)

Link to preprint: https://papers.ssrn.com/abstract=7013338 Constructive feedback very much appreciated!

Did it confidently predict the same finalists consistently in every iteration? Or did it sometimes give different answers?

More discussion https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48919191 (38 points | day ago | 52 comments)

Luckily the English guy was wrong.