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"The rancher is selling calves for record sums, but is not better off because he has higher costs. The feedlot company is selling for all-time high prices, but it also has to pay them in the first place. The packers are losing money because there is a limit to what they can charge. Restaurants and supermarkets also can only increase prices by so much."

yeah, it's called inflation, it really sucks for everyone except the people who receive the new money early (mainly the banking system, but also people w/liquid assets + finance adjacent industries like housing) we should avoid it oh well i guess a bunch of people will go bankrupt and then get bought up at distressed prices by people with access to new money early wait a second...
My father-in-law grew up on a small-time farm and then went into environmental engineering as a professor, and briefly worked on the Secretary of Agriculture's staff in the Biden administration. He has told me that there are 3-5 (can't remember the number) colossal meatpacking corporations in the US that have laid waste to smaller-time competition, and now that the market is captured their owners and shareholders can skim basically whatever they want out of the enterprise. He also was advocating to have policy written that would stop chronic underpayment of slaughterhouse and meatpacking workers at these colossal firms and was told it was politically inviable.

Unrelated to this, but I have Alpha-Gal Syndrome, the anaphylactic allergy to red meat, which is spreading rapidly as the ticks colonize every square inch of nature in the US. In Arkansas 20% of people tested on a big free testing day were sensitized to the galactose-alpha-1,3-galactose molecule (AGS is sensitization + symptoms, not just sensitization.)

I think that things are going to get weird with beef in the US in the next few decades.

I just learned about Alpha-Gal Syndrome yesterday through a Radiolab podcast. It was really interesting, but they didn't mention that it was spreading. I guess I shouldn't be surprised, since climate change.
Beef prices have become simply insane. The value I get from beef can no longer justify the expense, so I've simply stopped buying it at all. I've largely replaced it with pork. Pork used to be the most popular meat in the US. I wonder if it will be again.
I think I might just start mainlining lamb and veal. Not much cheaper than the beef these days.
Outside of a ribeye, I much prefer pork and eat it way more often. I'm rather selfishly afraid that everyone running from beef is going to cause the pork price to skyrocket, but I haven't seen it quite yet.
The entire life cycle of a pig raised for pork is around six months, so pork producers can scale up quickly if the demand is there.
There should be laws ensuring that every market there should be at least 5-6 players and is free or is declared natural monopoly/monopsony and regulated.

The in between you have all the bad from monopolies in the forms of cartels.

> A new pick-up truck that once cost $40,000 now runs to $100,000. A wooden fence post has gone from about $6 to as much as $19. A quarter-mile roll of barbed wire has doubled, from $60 to $130. Everything he uses day to day, he says, has jumped in price since the Covid pandemic.

I know why pick-ups have gone up in cost (though I don't think it's quite to 2.5x levels like suggested here since the pandemic), but wooden posts and barbed wire, it's less clear why those are so much more expensive now.

you can increase profits through volume or margin.

right now we are in a whole economy experiment to see how long you can increase margin through price increases and shrinkflation.

Animal agriculture is a key driver of climate change: https://sentientmedia.org/how-does-livestock-affect-climate-...

Along with the high price, that's one more reason to not buy it.

In a recent Ezra Klein podcast about data center backlash he mentions being vegetarian and says something along the lines of "being anti data center because of water consumption is hypocritical if people eat meat"
Welcome to the Polycrisis. Climate change, economic collapse, etc...

Just wait till El Nino hits this year.

The amount of beef eaten per person per year in the USA is absolutely insane anyway:

USA - 37kg/capita

UK - 18kg/capita

We're not exactly shy of roast beef on this island either - the French nicknamed us "rosbifs" for a reason.

Inflation mainly. And it's going to get worse as the Republicans appear to keep purposely doing things to cause inflation (tariffs, pointless wars based on ego, negotiating in bad faith and making money from said failed negotiations by insider trading, etc).
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> And while meatpacking companies have increased the prices they charge for their beef, there is a limit. This is because supermarkets, restaurants – and US consumers – can, and will, simply switch to buying chicken or cheaper imported beef instead.

I think you would be amazed at how cost insensitive some Americans are and how large that cohort is. Ground beef would have to exceed $20/lb before I would consider altering my routine.

If you are buying one cut at a time and not being very efficient with it, the prices are certainly ridiculous. If each gram of beef is carefully prepared and allocated across weeks of meal prep, the economic situation changes pretty substantially. Batching effects can make it easier to afford expensive ingredients.

There are certainly people who are insensitive to beef prices, but a lot of people aren't. I stopped buying ground beef when it went over $10/lb at my local supermarket. Pork and chicken haven't gone up nearly as much.
As a society, we have organized ourselves in a form where the marketers get the most cut than the producers of goods and services. It’s unfortunate and amendable with capable leaders