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Some people consider me reckless and irresponsible for riding my bicycle without a helmet.
Possibly, but more likely because of the ravaging weather events as gas powered data centers churn out more emissions in four years than the last fourty
It is bullsh*t.

Just say that you need the IPO money to build yourself a bunker.

If it was a true danger, then instead you would have supported pausing AI and an international governing body to halt the development globally (including China) right now.

But you didn't. Because someone needs to complete their grift first before dumping shares on retail investors.

> It is bullsh*t.

It gets very annoying. These folks need to get out of the echo chamber. They are drunk on their own supply or launched by their own flatulence.

>Unless there is AI regulation or a coordinated slowdown between labs, human extinction in the next few years seems very likely

Sigh, no explanation of how this would occur (even after multiple questions on that thread).

It's starting to sound like hot air and frankly tiresome. I want data worksheets.

AI is the only product where prophesies of doom about it are part of the marketing strategy.
I think my counter is relatively straightforward. Economists have said that as of more or less today there has been zero impact from AI. Despite layoffs in tech. I don’t think we go from “no economic impact” to end of humanity in “the next few years”.
Did the economists’ analysis consider variables like AI-spurred layoffs / job displacement also influencing the metrics being considered? I suppose it would be very hard to do as it’s unclear what subset of layoffs were downstream effects of AI, and I’m sure if I, random guy on HN, thought of it, they, actual economists, would’ve.

In any case, the economics of a doomsday device are likely quite unique, though economic impact as a proxy for intelligence is probably a fair way to approximate here…

Zero impact seems weird. Aren’t employees at major software companies saying they don’t even write code anymore? I personally know people are Google who say this.
[delayed]
Wow, okay. Yeah that sounds like a pretty major impact lol. And it’s still extremely early days.
had someone use that exact phrase "I don't even write code anymore" this morning when we were getting coffee

dude is a Ph.D in ML and is leading pipeline development efforts in an ML org

Do any of these people have kids?

Honest question, what are average joes supposed to do? We have no control here. This incessant messaging is going to inspire genuine chaos. What are young adults and parents of young kids supposed to do other than panic?

how much water purification you have? got any guns?

if you needed to GTFO out of wherever you are because it's going to hell, where will you go and how will you get there?

if service-jobs vanish tomorrow what can you make or do?

I know two guys who quit STEM after COVID to run a coffee shop, and I wonder if they're just ahead of the curve.

if you're panicing you've lost. make a plan, you have the time and capacity. hell, AI is still free and could help.

Can you explain more the coffee shop point? Ahead how? Just by checking out of the discussion and focusing elsewhere?

I can’t imagine coffee making is preparing them in any way, so are you just looking at it from a psychological angle?

Unless this happens via nuclear annihilation not a chance.

Have these people ever left their bubble? In same parts of reality barely anything has actually changed except some people are dumber because they use ChatGPT for absolutely everything.

Oh and restaurant menus are fugly now.