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Show HN: Crypto portfolio risk and scenario analysis with AI agents on top (sentralis.io)

2 points by Sentralis ↗ HN
Sentralis.io is a risk and scenario analysis platform focused on cryptocurrency portfolio HODLers

It combines hardcore risk analytics capabilities with smart agents for deep insights, suitable for beginners and pros alike.

Free accounts have full access to all scenarios and risk quantification.

API and MCP access available as well

4 comments

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habeebslm
This is a really cool tool, although there is a lot of text, it might be a bit overwhleming and affect your conversion rates... something to consider ig
Sentralis
Thanks for the feedback! Landing page is indeed a little verbose, but there is also a lot of features which some might not be familiar with. You might find the app itself to be more streamlined.
ccelikdemirr
The combination of risk analytics and AI agents sounds interesting, congrats.. What library or approach did you use to build the core risk engines? Are these custom implementations from scratch, or did you build them on top of existing quant libraries?
Sentralis
We decided in the end for a custom implementation, although that wasn't the plan at first.

A key requirement for us was that the same code had to run in the browser as well as in a Node worker behind the API and the MCP server and get exactly the same results (i.e. byte equivalence, not just being "close")

So numpy/scipy as the core were out from day one, and every JS dependency became something that could drift between the two builds. Easiest way to stop worrying about that was to have no runtime imports in the engine code at all.

It's less math than it sounds (in particular the system does not yet support derivatives). We just needed Cholesky plus a repair step for near-singular matrices, VaR/CVaR, drawdown, an inverse normal CDF, matrix times vector. Less than a thousand lines for the quant stuff.

The one library we did use was d3-random for the normal draws in the Monte Carlo. Then it turned out v3 is ESM-only and the backend is CommonJS, and after a frustrating few days we just copied the Marsaglia polar function into the repo and wrote a test that checks it against the real package. Seeded with mulberry32, seed is required, no Date.now fallback.

Where libraries do the heavy lifting is upstream: the covariance matrices (Ledoit-Wolf shrinkage) are precomputed in Python with numpy and scikit-learn and handed to the engines as inputs.