42 comments

[ 0.29 ms ] story [ 6.8 ms ] thread
For me the most striking thing about this was before the Brexit referendum there was rhetoric about how the UK would form an CANZUK alliance with free movement of people goods between these countries, forming a sort of English speaking EU.

Even if Canada and Australia don't join the EU as full members which is unlikely, these sort of announcements should put to bed these complete and utter fantasies the UK has about leading some alternative world order where it's in charge and can go toe to toe with the EU.

https://boris-johnson.com/2013/08/25/the-aussies-are-just-li...

https://www.ippr.org/articles/could-the-idea-of-the-anglosph...

Even many British would agree that Brexit was full of absolute lies, and even to this day you still see them being repeated in certain circles.

Lies were told by the lorry load by Remain too, as well as having the referendum rules and budgets completely stacked in their favour - but certain circles only like to talk about one groups lies.

Brexit was supposed to lead to sovereignty at least, so that the government could not deflect responsibility for subverting democratic will; they managed to weasel out of that too.

Australian here. Theres no way we’re joining the EU. Brussels is on the other side of the planet from Australia. Our major trading partners are nearby countries, like China, Japan, NZ, and the US. Not continental Europe. Europe is too far away.
Brussels and DC are almost the same distance from Canberra.

(Also Australian, but living in the US.)

https://ustr.gov/countries-regions/southeast-asia-pacific/au...

> U.S. goods and services (exports plus imports) trade with Australia totaled an estimated $102.0 billion in 2025, up 15.6 percent ($13.8 billion) from 2024.

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/infographics/eu-australia...

> In 2024, trade in goods and services between the European Union and Australia was worth over €91 billion.

(That's $105B in FreedomBucks, and excludes the UK.)

> Brussels and DC are almost the same distance from Canberra.

Yes. We’re not interested in joining the EU. And we’re not interested in becoming a US state.

But trade doesn’t need to go all the way to DC. By plane, Sydney to LA is about - 13.5 hours. Sydney to Brussels is 20 hours. I imagine the difference is even greater for cargo ships, which can sail directly through the pacific. I have no idea how cargo goes from Australia to Europe. That sounds like a complex route.

As for trade, the US is important but they’re not our most important trading partner. China accounts for $326 billion aud in trade annually. If your numbers are right, that’s more than our trade with the US and Europe combined.

I suspect integrating into the EU single market wouldn’t be worth it for us. We’re not part of Europe. We’re not a European country.

https://www.dfat.gov.au/geo/china/china-country-brief

Did you read TFA (the Reuters one) that quotes the Australian trade minister? Or are you somehow more involved in determining trade agreements than the minister?

Trump has upended decades of stable trade relationships. I would not assume anything right now.

(To be clear, neither Canada nor Australia are claimed to be seeking to be EU members - but closer trade ties with the EU appear to be on the cards for both nations. When you can no longer trust the US to act in good faith, everything changes.)

I suspect it'll be expanding the current trading agreement to allow more direct investment. Canada and Australia both have lots of raw materials the EU needs. I suspect you'll see more types of worker visas (similar to the old NAFTA T1 styles that allow relatively easy sponsorship of employees).

I'd love to have full rights to live and work in the EU, but I'd be happy just being able to visit the EU as a Canadian and use the EU customs lines. I don't think Canada would go for full mobility. We're just now dealing with the backlash of too many immigrants from South Asia, a "flood" of poorer Eastern Europeans would probably rekindle that.

You might have missed this bit:

>Even if Canada and Australia don't join the EU as full members which is unlikely anyway

And like I point out, deeper ties are definitely on the table which is more like what will happen. The world is reorganising around US tariffs as a natural economic reaction here.

"Even if Canada and Australia don't join the EU as full members"

The European project is bigger than the EU - that's just the central core.

There's also the EFTA, EEA, CEFTA, CU, Eurozone, Shengen, CoE, and Swiss-style bilateral treaties.

See https://thisbugslife.com/2021/05/10/graphic-representation-o...

Canada can easily find a home one of these.

You might have missed this bit:

>deeper ties are definitely on the table though

Do you mean a project that currently on the edge of collapse due to France and Germany inching each year to exit the union not to mention Slovakia , Hungary , Czech Republic .

They can’t agree on anything major most of the time .

(comment deleted)
Too bad those countries are so far apart even if they've once been part of the same empire.
Just wait until afd will win the election :)
And you want to indicate what with your smile?
Amazing, let's please do Japan and Taiwan next.
Japan and Taiwan are culturally very foreign unlike Australia and Canada. If we add them we might as well add the whole globe.
[flagged]
LOL Canada should seek deeper internal alliances first. Since 2015, every year the QoL gets worse.
Why not both? Perfection is the enemy of good.

More good reliable friends is always better, and fuck the unreliable backstabbing ones as much as possible and reasonable, future will sort out details. World is not static, alliances change and we may revert in future if US population decides it wants to be ruled over by more reasonable, respectable and kind people.

There is a group of people in canada which takes care of QoL and another group of people taking care of external relationships and trade.

And normally this helps a country?

Is the declining QoL in the room right now?
No, it's in the increasingly growing tent cities in my town, and among the junkies that have taken over downtown Ottawa. Glad to hear you're doing well, though.
Canada has long had a very good free trade deal with the EU, which eliminated 98% of tariffs in 2016 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comprehensive_Economic_and_Tra...
Of course the 2% of items not included are pretty substantial; agricultural products with strict quotas.

There's also strict country of origin rules so if too many materials are sourced outside Canada, even if its made in Canada it can be subject to tariffs. Not to mention needing to adhere to EU standards.

Agriculture is always the hardest due to a variety of factors, including standards, but also farming is among the most subsidized and/or protected businesses in the developed world. Creating a fair and level trading system around it is difficult.

A good example is the dairy protectionism in Canada that Trump so bitterly complains about. The issue is Canada manages its system with production quotas, but the US directly and indirectly subsidizes production. Who's being more (un)fair? How do you create a trading relationship around that?

That, and Quebec farmers and food security. Federal Politicians need rural votes to win elections and keep Quebec from separating. Also food security is important to any nation. And in light of what tRump has done it looks like and even more important goal.
It has always surprised me that the 'free world', NATO countries, developed countries (including Japan, Taiwan, Australia), however one wants to call them, do not have at least free trade, if not free movement of people and capital, between them.

A travesty, IMO. And a great loss making us all poorer. Not a patchwork of point-to-point free trade agreements, but several hub agreements that countries join, and, in time, the hubs agree to free trade between them too.

The politics of this is grindingly difficult; people think of "them and us", not "we're all together in three free world". Achieving free trade means either dismantling all the little market carve-outs that local politics relies on, or enshrining them in the collective (EU farming policy).

Imagine trying to integrate the politics of Japanese rice farming into the CAP.

Canada doesn't even have free trade internally... It's literally easier to sell to the US or EU than to another province.
It'd depend on what you're selling, surely? I've never had any problems of this sort with basic retail product, for example
Well, let's say you sell online, no matter what you're selling, you need to apply the PST/HST of the province the buyer's address is in. And then you need to file a tax return for every province you sell to. Now some provinces have a sales threshold under which you don't need to do a separate tax return, others don't. Some have an HST collected by the Federal government, others don't. And all the PST/HST rates are different. This also applies to digital goods, SaaS, etc...

The US has higher thresholds in every state and no federal sales tax, and buyers pay the duties.

Food and especially liquor continue to have stupid barriers between provinces. But intra-provincial trade increases every year and the CMRA legislation from last year should improve that.

There are no tariffs between Canadian provinces and never have been.

PRC's trade surplus is pushing for a wide customs union. This is a part of this trend.
An "expanded" Schengen Area that crosses the Atlantic and Pacific oceans and brings Canada, Australia (and Japan, maybe?) into the fold would be an incredible thing. I'm all for it.
It would be nice, but it's too high a bar to set, as the visa policies differ significantly between the three.

There is a real danger the Schengen agreement itself will collapse in the upcoming years - Germany is already ignoring both the Schengen agreement and its own courts by keeping border controls.

Step 0: be included in Eurovision

Australia 2015 √

Canada 2027 √

From the Reuters article:

> Australia and the European Union signed a free trade agreement in March after eight years of negotiations, removing tariffs on almost all goods and potentially easing EU access to Australian critical minerals.

Reuters left out the most interesting part which is to allow service providers to work on either side and four year visas (which include work) in both directions.