[–] juskrey 2d ago ↗ We reverse engineered and analyzed confidence formulas for Jev's Choice and Score. The latter was not obvious at all. In our opinion, neither is confidence.
[–] kantahayashi 2d ago ↗ I noticed something odd about Jev. I tested Jev with dice and even though the true probability of 1 is 1/6, the probability Jev showed was around 83%. [–] juskrey 1d ago ↗ Oh that's interesting. Probability folds. This invites exploits, among other things. [–] kantahayashi 10h ago ↗ Good point. I hadn't thought about exploits. I'm writing an article about this finding and referring to your analysis of confidence.
[–] juskrey 1d ago ↗ Oh that's interesting. Probability folds. This invites exploits, among other things. [–] kantahayashi 10h ago ↗ Good point. I hadn't thought about exploits. I'm writing an article about this finding and referring to your analysis of confidence.
[–] kantahayashi 10h ago ↗ Good point. I hadn't thought about exploits. I'm writing an article about this finding and referring to your analysis of confidence.
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