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With 5.1, there practically seemed to be no difference in ability between opus and fable, but I hope there is a difference this time. When it seems to struggle while working I end up using astra, so I hope it works well.
i've been trying to use sonnet and opus to keep my usage down on the low max plan, but i noticed today that somehow i'm 80% through my weeks usage. so i'm hesistant to even try fable 5.2 yet, but finding the right set point of usage vs model size has been a bit struggle for me, one of my biggest issues has been trying to pull back doing exhaustive testing or other such things that chew through context, and instead have programs that just measure things are working, but i continously seem to run into issues with claude wanting to repeat things for itself in an adhoc manner. i've tried fable directing opus or sonnet subagents, and the reverse. and i found that part of the issue with smaller models trying to direct subagents is that they over specified what they thought the problem was rather than the problem. like they'll have an "idea" about it which is wrong, and then try and feed that into the subagent.
FWIW I got 2 resets on my Max plan today, the first in at least a month. You may want to check.
Anthropic thinks that their models are smart, but not so smart so as to be able to fake responses to their alignment tests. How would they know again?
The biggest relief is that the price has dropped by 20%. It’s still expensive, but with my $100 plan, Fable’s usage would spike instantly the moment I started using it, so it was always a source of fear. I will still use opus for general coding design, but for major designs.
Why Fable 5.2 and not 5.5?

My hypothesis - OpenAI and Anthropic are locked in battle. Whoever takes a step, the other one mirrors.

Based on this hypothesis, I think we can expect to see a new Astra model soon given the new Fable release.

And it could be that Anthropic released Fable 5.2 and kept 5.5 in reserve, in case the new Astra model performs better than 5.2

I wonder if the 5.5 one needs even better safeguards that they’re still working on, and they decided to release this one as a stopgap.

Or maybe 5.5 turned out to be kind of disappointing and they’re going to just go for like a 5.6 or 6 next instead.

My hypothesis is the opposite, that they don't have anything better.

Look at OpenAI, they've been outclassed by Opus 5.5 two months ago; obviously they don't yet have a response.

Now Anthropic is releasing this lackluster Fable 5.2, a week or two before their IPO.

It's barely an improvement at all, makes exactly the same mistakes as Opus 5.5. Not even worth using with the speed and cost penalty.

The much rumored internal Anthropic model is listed on the Fable 5.2 system card as an even smaller improvement over Mythos 5.2 than Fable is over Opus 5.5.

I expected a larger version of Opus 5.5 would be a significant improvement to launch before the IPO. Turns out it didn't scale and the improvement is marginal.

I am quite disappointed.

We know from the METR report that they have much better models
I think the opposite is the case. From the model card:

  Model                AECI   95% CI (global)
  Claude Opus 5.5    174.78   170.33-180.29
  Claude Mythos 5.2  177.12   172.42-182.94
  Internal model     178.78   173.75-185.18
Isn't that the one from the METR report? It's even less of an improvement over Fable 5.2.
Fable 5.2 is Model 3 Early. The METR report showed a Model 4 that was significantly better.
In my tests Opus 5.5 does better than Fable 5.2, for cheaper.

https://aibenchy.com/compare/anthropic-claude-fable-5-2-high...

Throw Sol 6.1 high (EDIT: and terra, OUCH) into that comparison: https://aibenchy.com/compare/anthropic-claude-fable-5-2-high...
Note that Claude models could still do better in some cases, just that because of their refusal to answer sometimes and some weird formatting/stupid errors they make sometimes, they do fail more tests than they should.

In practice they might recover from those errors themselves if they notice it, so they would have better results, but the tests are mostly one-shot and they can either get it wrong or right, no 2nd tries (apart from the agentic ones and a few coding ones which have a limited number of turns available too).

That being said, the pricing and speed are accurate, regardless of the test results.

I checked which tests it failed, and it failed some very basic coding question (to mention which line a but is on, got the wrong line, and it did so in multiple such tests and accross different retries, weird).
It does seem to be fast though, 2x fast than Opus 5.5
I agree, subjectively. I am still satisfied enough with Opus 5.5 I find it hard to change. Typically I would find myself willing to try out the latest & greatest so-called SOTA, but I kind of have "enough." I could get more out of Opus 5.5, and more out of my computer, but the whole idea is I'm trying not to be sitting at the damn computer all day. Fable 5.2 just determined another session is now the "deputy" so I'm wondering what that means.
I'd pay twice as much per token if there was a guarantee they weren't nerfing the model and if it is as good as the original Fable was when it was released. I'm doubtful though. Whatever "tweaks" they've been doing (safety? performance? "saving the best for ourselves") has really taken away the magic for me. I want the LLM magic back.
I tried Fable 5.2 tonight asking if for a code review of an in-browser machine vision project done by Opus 5.5 over the last 11 days. It used up my 5-hour token budget in half an hour and reported a lot of problems that actually seem pretty bad. But that's just a first impression.
When Fable 5.3 comes out and you give it the same prompt it will take 10 hours , cost twice as much and still find pretty bad problems. I say stick to Opus...
Scary stuff! You should immediately get another subscription and ask another instance of Fable 5.2 to review the findings (don't read them yourself, it will introduce bias in the super AGI's output)
> But that's just a first impression.

Your first impression is that you have no clue if any of its findings actually mean anything because you can't even understand them or the vibe coded slop you've been creating? Why would anyone care?

You don't seem to have understood my comment very well.

I understand what the findings say, except for one comment about parabolic vertices. What I don't know is whether any of them are true. It could be hallucinating!

But it probably isn't. The bugs are probably real. The computer vision algorithm result images it's showing me are probably real, not fake. Its claims about the different approach to take might be mistaken, as opposed to fake, but even that seems unlikely.

But I don't know.

We've gotten to the point where you have to be doing some seriously ambitious stuff to see a difference between fable and opus. Both execute beautifully, but I think for my workflows I'll still be using opus 5.5
And what are you using them for?
I use fable anytime I want to run a loop for a long period of time and I need more solid judgment calls. For all my hands-on work I just use opus
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Fable 5.2 may finally be so far ahead of my intelligence that it's not useful for day-to-day tasks. I gave it something to do in a personal project of mine, and took my standard flow of "let's talk about this, explain the options, tradeoffs, blah blah blah" and after 5 minutes my vision was blurry and I was doubting if I even knew how my own project worked. Gave it to Opus 5.5, and instantly got back on track.
Isn't interesting how every model at first is incredible and then a few weeks/months later its bad again, and then the new model is incredible again?
Hopefully this de-nerfs opus 5.5 as well
concerning that the models are becoming much better at evading monitors by controlling their visible reasoning, even in deliberate sandabagging (its 25% attempts only). We need more faithful and generalizable monitoring methods.
Is it only my impression that in recent model releases every vendor is zooming in on hard skills: code, code, some math + physics ? AI is increasingly Jagged ?

We were promised AI can find cure for cancer and in powerpoints most enterprise value comes from Business-AI.

It might as well be that before business-AI can be done we have to cover the basics at superhuman level. All basics, not just entry level jobs like excels, coding jira tickets.

One-shotting a full game (albeit super impressive) looks like overfitting one skill over explaining why we have not much progress in other areas.

I live in an IT bubble and cannot tell if outside IT/math the models are also getting significantly better ?

Interesting to see that with each new release there are more benchmarks where they report results on Mythos instead of Fable. For example, this time scientific research is reported on Mythos rather than Fable, showing one more domain where everyday joe can never use these models.
Why not fable 5.5?
Because it's a bad release and not even worth using over Opus 5.5.

The improvement is marginal, it makes the same exact errors as Opus, but slower and much more expensive.

From what I saw, it has slightly better taste in some 3D mechanics, but mostly doesn't even bring discernible visual improvement.