Ask HN: What is the next industry to be disrupted?
There's a lot of talk about what industry start ups and new technology will disrupt. I usually hear legal and medical, but I haven't seen much head way yet. What do you think the next one will be and why?
23 comments
[ 5.0 ms ] story [ 60.4 ms ] threadI intend to tackle it one day. The biggest hurdle is actually finding instructors willing to write a textbook.
It is not the monetary incentive. My friends who have contributed chapters to books generally see essentially zero return from royalties when the books are printed/sold.
Academics are more concerned about getting their name out (i.e. prestige). The business a professor runs is his/her name and they must market and position this well so that they get the funding and grants and the agencies recognize their name. There is nothing limiting professors currently from assembling notes into a textbook using free tools like LaTeX and putting their book on the web. Some currently do this (thank goodness!). However, putting a point on a CV that you uploaded a PDF file to your personal website versus being published by a well-known publishing firm makes a big difference.
That would be the problem to tackle: assuring authors that their time will be worthwhile. The fact that a book gets through the process to be published is seen as a mark or seal of quality, whether this is in any way true or not.
I think the technology can already disrupt such industries as hardware shops, spare parts warehouses, hobby shops and of course industrial model making. In the future I expect 3d printed concrete buildings, and mainstream consumer goods.
a) They are heavily regulated and moving outside the regulatory framework is subject to vigorous prosecution. AirBnB is in a comparitively lightly regulated industry and its transactions can remain private.
b) These industries are already profitable so the most likely perceived result of disruption is a reduction of profits.
c) The amount of cash already attracts many players to the market who can focus on sales - lawyers and doctors like a professional sales force and personal attention - rather than innovation. Little egotistical professional service companies are as problematic as big dumb one's. Maybe worse because they are about more than the bottom line.
d) These industries have better ways to make money than software services. Insurance companies don't reimburse for medical records on an iPad. Lawyers bill by the hour.
Similar things could be done in the Health industry as well