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Why bother doing any research when you can just claim the sky is falling and spam your blog on HN?

http://social.technet.microsoft.com/Forums/windows/en-US/51c...

That thread does not actually conclusively answer the question.
"The end of Windows XP support will not affect activation, but rather security updates and phone/online technical support." has been said many times for the last few years. I agree that this is a low quality blog post.
It may have been said many times, but the linked thread itself does not contain any official statements and is not particularly conclusive.
The simple answer is: "No." Why was an entire article needed for this?
If the activation servers do gets shut off, I hope MS will release an update to disable activation or an utility to generate the confirmation ID from the installation ID.
Even I wouldn't run Windows XP past December 2014. Install to exploit time would probably be under an hour.

Trying to get a migration plan in place. I'm extremely comfortable with linux but not sure if I want to run it as my desktop.

If you have essential software or hardware that only works with XP, you could buy a cheap wired-only router for each of your XP systems to keep them isolated from the rest of your network (which a friend's skeezy laptop might be trying to exploit without her knowledge when she brings it over to collaborate on a project).