Ask HN: Have you made a profit mining Bitcoin?
Hi,
I'm interested in hearing people's experience mining bitcoin, especially if you've made a profit.
How much do you have to spend on hardware to keep up with network difficulty these days?
I'm currently considering a Group Buy of 38 330 MH/s USB ASIC Miners, and am concerned about rising network difficulty potentially preventing my recouping what I spend on the hardware: Miners, & Hubs.
I don't have thousands of dollars to spend on TH Miners which would seem to be able to outrun difficulty in the short term.
What are HN'ers experiences mining Bitcoins?
Thanks,
-C
48 comments
[ 3.7 ms ] story [ 107 ms ] threadUnfortunately, the time when you could pull that off without a large up-front investment seems to be long past. Personally, there's no way I'd consider sinking a large amount of money into mining hardware at this point. If you believe BTC has a promising future, it's much safer to just buy coins. (EDIT: but of course, given the volatility, that only makes sense as a long-term plan.)
But profit is kind of relative. I have made money. It is bankable, but I probably had more time in doing the initial setup than what I would have made if I had taken that same time and spent it doing something related to my primary job.
There is "Profit" there is "Revenue" and there is "a smart spend of my time". This met two of the three.
though if he's asked the university or whatever and they don't care, it's their money to piss away.
So if you're doing this "now", you're not really making money from 'mining', but from theft. The mining is just obscuring the theft enough to allow it to continue. Perhaps there's some copper wiring or tubing on premises you could also take and resell while they're not looking?
Students Remote access the desktops so they have to be always on, and they pop in and out at all hours of the day and night we did the math heating the room with PC's was cheaper than keeping the boiler on for the entire building.
Believe it or not there are people in this world who aren't thieves.
Did you do any research on increased wear of the hardware under load? That could be an additional cost that would start showing up only after a period of time.
If any hardware is going to see increased failure, I'm guessing it's the hard drives.
Isn't this the exact same thought pattern we find in bank owners people protest against all around the world?
But let's not exaggerate - after all, it's just you and a handful devices. What difference would that make, right?
Who did SETI benefit? The Aliens?
Bit Coin which I don't really put much stock in, but thought it was fun to play with is in my mind a bad investment long term. I cash out the coins pretty regularly. But I like the idea of a unified currency. I don't like the idea of a currency you can make more of. In my perfect world there is a single currency backed by Gold that the entire world uses and you can trade your 1oz mark for 1oz of gold when ever you want.
BitCoin is closer to that than most anything else. So I like to support BitCoin for the benefit of humanity. Not because I believe it is the solution, but because I think those who think it is the solution will talk about it enough to convince those who can build the solution to do so.
So this lab-mining is seasonal, or someplace (one of the poles?) where the building would be uncomfortably-cold year-round without the mining? Is it hooked up to the buildings' thermostats?
Using computing waste heat for practical purposes is a good idea. Running CPUs as heating elements, I'd need more info about their efficiency for that purpose, especially if the system isn't in a control-loop with a thermostat (and ideally peak-vs-off-peak electricity pricing). My hunch is they might be cost-competitive with electric space heaters but way more costly than any non-electric boiler heating system.
Maybe the bill-payer's value for (heating + novelty + cut-rate tech support) is greater than (marginal-electric-bill). But even if that were true a while ago, the difficulty escalation makes that far less likely now, especially for CPU mining, or a process that's not ambient-temperature-influenced.
Electric space heaters aren't particularly safe in a High School. Kids stick stuff in them they catch fire.
And this year hasn't really started yet so it is quite possible there won't be any money in it, and we'll find some new use for the CPU. Computing Prime numbers for the NSA perhaps.
The considerable risks and costs of getting into modern ASIC mining make it pretty unattractive at the moment. Until that changes, I'd advise anyone with a profit motive against investing a lot in BTC mining.
If you're confident that Bitcoin will go much higher, and are willing to wait a long while for it to happen, maybe it still could be worth considering. If you just like the idea of Bitcoin, getting a little ASIC miner for fun is entirely respectable. On the grand scale of things, bitcoin is still just a curiousity, and it doesn't hurt to dabble.
Financing will be your problem. Anyone else can buy that hardware and your profit (if any) is baked into the cake when you set the cost of renting that money and/or however you want to account for opportunity costs.
Or another way to put it is it's highly unlikely your financing cost (cost of the money traded to get the miners) is precisely zero, and when you factor it in, things get sketchier.
You could see much better financial gains buying coins and hoping for the best or investing is something else.
Assuming you're buying and powering them yourself, you're paying around $1000 and $200 bucks in electricity. It's a fairly risky investment that will likely net you at most $300 on a $1200 outlay.
To summarize your purchase: 132 MH/s/watt for ~$1000
If you want to make a better risky investment, you might look into pre-ordering into one of the newer process ASICs, like Butterfly Labs' Monarch:
http://www.butterflylabs.com/monarch/
This purchase: 1.71GH/s/watt for $4680
The problem is you're pretty late in the game, so it's really hard to predict what the difficulty rate will look like in even a few months.
It's possible that your USB miners will be worthless in a few months due to the mass in flux of newer ASICs. It's also possible that so many people will be purchasing newer ASIC miners that ALL mining will become entirely unprofitable.
And all of this assumes the relative stability of the BTC/USD exchange rate. :)
http://mining.thegenesisblock.com/
The 330MH/s miners were profitable if you bought them a few months ago but with the rising difficulty of the network, they don't seem likely to break even.
A more likely profitable venture would be to use the same money and buy into bitcoins. Secure your wallet and sit on it in hopes the price rises.
It's certainly theoretically possible to make a bit of extra money, but I think it's probably much too late in the game to make a serious go of Bitcoin mining for the acquisition of wealth unless you somehow have a free source of electricity and/or hardware.
I think the guys who are really going to make some money off of Bitcoin mining going forward are the people who sell the specialized mining rigs.
Rewind to just over a year ago and I place a (pre)order for 5 ASIC miners (from Butterfly labs) for a total of $3250. When the things arrived, a year later, I was lucky that they were still profitable at the time (mid August) as the price of BTC had risen but decided to sell them on eBay for ~$3000 each because not only were they ridiculously loud and I had no where to put them but the difficulty was ~60 million and increasing (and it's now 148).
I was lucky enough to pay off my credit card and still have some left over with the money I made from selling the miners. Although I made a decent profit, I would have made a lot more if I'd of just bought the coins for the same value (as they've increased ten fold in the same period).
Now I've invested around half of my profits back into buying coins and so have finally taken the original advice onboard. This and the current market conditions make even the best mining options from Cointerra seem like a risky investment at this stage.
>and am concerned about rising network difficulty potentially preventing my recoup...
Yup. You are wise to be concerned. If you want a nice boring low-risk investment, umm some ICA mutual fund maybe? But that's no fun.
Speculating, I'm a little bit ahead, and I have a lot more fun doing that.
I now have about 330 grand in BTC. After paying off the original investment (and then some) by selling off 1/3 my holdings when it was $230. I also paid off the upgrade to 3 ASIC mining rigs (4.5TH) which should ship... Imminently actually.
I also have a 6 figure developer job but Bitcoin has made me far more money so far (on paper) this past year.
I'm still bullish on it. Welcome to Internet Gold 2.0.
Buying ascis is very much a gamble at this point imo.
I made around 110 BTC mining primecoin, about 60 BTC of that is profit. I got in early and went hard. I consider the fact I did that well to be little more than luck.
It took MANY emails with Sonny and Josh over there, back and forth, before I felt comfortable forking over that amount of cash. (They ended up giving me a discount, too.) The tone of the emails and the seriousness and some voice calls helped reassure me a lot that they were serious. I don't think that aspect of it can be discounted.
I live in an area with free power in Tokyo and let the machine run for ~2 years. During some of this time Bitcoin was hovering around $2.00. I was mining as a hobby since it cost no money and I believed in Bitcoin's potential.
In the second half of 2012 the price started jumping and I netted a very very nice return. I would not mine now as any real investment. I would like to believe Bitcoin's adoption will increase and the price will continue rising, but short term I think it's still quite the gamble.
You will lose money. Don't do it. You will be better off just buying coins.
It's a gamble, and it's a gamble Bitcoin is designed to prevent being too profitable. To be frank, I wouldn't suggest it.
To answer the title, I made about a quarter of a coin back when GPU miners were relatively new, on Slush's pool. And about 0.1 coin with my CPU prior to that. Otherwise nope :)
[1]: assuming the relatively-stable constant increase in bitcoin price keeps going, you'll very likely make way more just by buying the bitcoins then. that growth has survived every boom and bust thus far, completely unscathed, so it seems pretty likely to continue.
I bought in to the BFL pre-order during the first few days of the announcement. It took me 12 months to receive the hardware. During that time, Avalon beat BFL to market and destroyed my expected difficulty. Fortunately, the $1800 I spend on the hardware has paid me back over 10x in dollar amount. It will take me about another 6-9 months to break even on the bitcoins I spend due to the massive rise in value since I made the pre-order. Fortunately, I bought a good number of bitcoins at the same time so I've made out on both investments.
I have purchase a BFL Monarch during the first few days of the announcement, but I do not expect to make the money back in any reasonable amount of time due to the flood of new ASICs and coming changes in difficulty. Fortunately, I do not have power costs.
How do you get your power?
"Fortunately, the $1800 I spend on the hardware has paid me back over 10x in dollar amount. It will take me about another 6-9 months to break even on the bitcoins I spend due to the massive rise in value since I made the pre-order."
The daily mine total has decreased about 10fold, each making about 0.25BTC per day with the latest diff increase.
The cost per day in electricity is $1.50-2 so with current exchange rates and diff increases they should be 'profitable' until Feb-Mar next year (not even a full year).