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Gotta wonder if the sedentary lives that many of us have isn't going to lead to health problems. Throw in the long hours and there has to be a health downside.
And by the transitive property, subsidized processed food, including corn syrup, is making healtcare expensive.
My brother is a doctor. I work in a university hospital in medical informatics and I'm friends with literally dozens of doctors across a spectrum of specialties. Every single one of them will put obesity at the top of the "what's wrong with healthcare/the population/people" list.

Just stop being fat.

Have you seen the profiles of Congresspeople lately?
Successful "healthcare service providers", not obesity is what is making healthcare expensive. Ask a Porsche salesman who his clients are.

Obesity doesn't explain a $800 knee MRI or $4K ambulance ride. A californian hospital billed us at $3.7 per second for a broken wrist.

Your brother, not fat people, is making healthcare expensive. This is so freaking obvious I'm starting to veer into conspiracy theories territory failing to explain this craziness: they'll start suspecting "mongolians and puerto-ricans" as factors before they'll notice this enormous elephant in the room. Every US city has a neighborhood where "doctors live". It's sickening.

Also, ask your brother what he thinks. I have a few friends in healthcare and they're very open about it (it's hard to deny if you know their lifestyles)

Obesity (or, possibly better put, the behaviors that lead to obesity) is what makes (many) people sick.

Cost is explained by a great variety of factors, some of which you have identified, but many of which are much more subtle.

Doctors should cost a lot. They undergo almost a decade of (debt-incurring) training to provide extremely valuable services, often at absurd hours. You ever hear of being "on-call?" Anybody that works ER shifts doesn't have a job -- they have a life in medicine. So you're going to have to work hard to convince me doctors should be paid less. We're already facing a downturn in the number of people entering the medical career (to the extent that nurses are now being trained to handle more of the job -- good in some ways, but difficult in others).

Regarding other facets of healthcare costs, some kinds of medicine and equipment are just flat-out expensive. Figuring out what costs are largesse and what costs are justified is tough, and made somewhat more difficult by distortions to the market by insurance and medicare. I'm not saying insurance or medicare are not the best solution (I don't really know) but I do know it affects the market pricing mechanisms.

Cost-controlling is a huge topic in the healthcare industry right now. Nobody disagrees that the costs are too high, but some things are worth paying for more than others. I think there are other places to look before the docs.

That's because the supply of doctors is kept artificially low and the cost of training is not borne out by society. There are other countries in the world, you know. You can just look at what they do.
Your entire answer is basically what TV tells you to think of doctors after watching numerous sitcoms about them. Doctors exist in other countries, they manage to learn the same amount and some are apparently better than their US counterparts [1]

Moreover, I said "heathcare providers", not "doctors". Every piece of medical equipment, from an artificial joint to a scalpel, goes through a lengthy list of middlemen each making a healthy margin.

Walk into the oncology clinic (the same ones who accept donations from various "X to cure cancer!" events) and take a look at price of the hardwood they put in. That's your "cure cancer" money and it has nothing to do with "doctors should cost a lot".

Healthcare lobbyists is the problem, but I'm just pointing out the easiest signs everyone can see. It's not rocket science: if you think obesity is the problem, look at the cost of giving birth. If you think insurance companies are the problem, try to get an MRI independently. If you think cost of education is the problem, look at the degree a jet-owning medical equipment salesman holds.

[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Health_Organization_ranki...

I assumed you meant doctors because you singled out sicular's brother (a doctor) for making healthcare expensive. You also called the overall wealth of doctors (not equipment middlemen) sickening. To your overall point, I agreed that costs are a problem and that there are some parties that extract more than they contribute ("largesse"). My point is just that we need to be very precise in evaluating which costs can be cut.

Also, don't assume anything about my experience with healthcare-- because you're wrong. I'm not sure why you'd swing wild with that remark anyway.

This is the same as blaming obese people for the rising costs of healthcare. The reason why hospitals and doctors can charge what they do is because they are not directly dealing with the consumers of health care services, but with third parties (insurance companies &/or government agencies.)

Furthermore, health insurance is used as payment system as opposed to insurance. Adding layers of bureaucracy to a system serves to only inflate the cost of that system.

There is a confluence of factors involved in why the system is the way it is. It is not simply obese people or doctors who are at fault here.

The system is expensive for a lot of reasons, but placing the blame on doctors or obese people seems absurd to me.

It's extremely expensive to go through the medical education process in the united states (both in terms of time and money). Columbia medical school is over 70k/year and they offer no financial aid. For some specialties that's 4 years undergrad, 4 years med school, 4 years residency and 3 years fellowship with some extreme hours and lower pay before you actually begin work.

The higher incomes some specialties have are in response to the cost of education and the cost of time (basically your entire twenties). Without this only the obscenely wealthy would be able to even consider medical school since the up front cost would make it prohibitively expensive (it's already bad currently).

The American health care system is complex - as is the reason for its extreme listed prices (insurance companies don't actually pay what's billed). I don't think it's valuable to draw strong conclusions/blame based on a dramatic oversimplification of it.

$3.70 per second is 222 per hour. In a world where a freelance Javascript developer can bill 125 or more per hour, that doesn't seem too unreasonable for doctor plus nurse plus office overhead plus materials. In fact it seems cheap. My daughter just broke her wrist and I paid the bill. 3.70 per second is ballpark what I paid as well. I feel the pain, but yes it was worth it.

EDIT: oops, bad math. But 3.70 per minute is closer to the actual cost I paid. I can't say exactly because I didn't have a stopwatch going.

>$3.70 per second is 222 per hour.

$3.70 per minute is $222 per hour. $3.70 per second is $13320 per hour.

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I'll borrow from a separate reply. When you dedicate 14 years of your life and are hundreds of thousands in the hole when you're finally able to earn feel free to talk about how you get paid too much.

What I know is that when I'm sick and/or injured I want a well paid doctor who has spent 14 years in training taking care of me.

The reason your ambulance ride was 4k is because anybody who is even remotely able to pay subsidizes everyone who doesn't. Healthcare is systematically broken in this regard, here in the US because there is no universal coverage. Not because there are neighborhoods where doctors live.

Your gripe is with the ever increasing administrative burden on doctors and the burgeoning bureaucracy. Doctors and other healthcare professionals are worth every penny.

Actually, what's sickening is ingrates like you who begrudge experts their due.

> The reason your ambulance ride was 4k is because

Also, ambulances are expensive vehicles crammed full of expensive technology and two expensive well trained staff.

When you're lying on the asphalt in a pool of blood you don't want any old flatbed with a couple of burly blokes turning up. Sure, they can heave you onto the back of the van and get you to ER quickly, but will you still be alive when you get there?

(Having said that, $4k seems expensive. Average UK ambulance cost is a couple of hundred pounds)

Agreed the main issue is with the system being broken, but the professionals are a part and driving factor of that issue and also deserve at least some of the blame.

Many careers cost a great deal of time and money to get into (the cost of schooling is a huge issue, but a totally different discussion). Most of those careers make no where near the same sorts of salaries as MDs expect to make. The sciences in general have all of the same issues you mention. Doctors make obscene salaries in our current society (though not necessarily historically). It is disingenuous to say that doctors "deserve" these sorts of salaries. Doctors in other countries do not make the same sort of inflated salaries as US Docs. [0]

Again, while I agree that the system in general is broken, it is not sickening to point out that doctor's make obscene salaries.

[0] http://wallstreetpit.com/5769-the-medical-cartel-why-are-md-...

Nobody cares how hard doctors think they work.

Goods are priced based on their value to the consumer, not based on their cost to the manufacturer.

I don't know how health care is priced, but the idea I should internalize sympathy for the education burden on a doctor into the cost of my bill is asinine.

MRI radiographer here. Obese people take longer to scan, require bigger and stronger equipment and more (and better trained) staff. Fat saturated sequences - the workhorses of knee imaging but also a key part of all MRI work less well, require repeats etc. All this is long hand for saying, obesity makes things harder and take longer. Do we bill fat people more? No, we make all booking a bit longer, so that when we run late, we can catch up or even get ahead. The $ billed per hour falls - so presumably the charge per scan rises to cover this. I don't set the charges, I do make the invoice.
It's things like this that really make you think; I am no sort of medical professional, but you have to wonder how many hidden costs are due to obesity, and not just for procedures. Sure, losing weight won't cure someone's allergies or cancer, but I'd be curious to see the correlated incidence rates, and I know I stay healthier in "completely unrelated" ways when I weigh less and get regular exercise.
I don't know what the literature says, but someone who is very big gets a lower quality scan, which surely correlates with greater miss rates with imaging reports (slices have larger voxel due to thicker slices, larger slice gap, lower image matrix etc). We resort to more robust imaging types which tend to have problems of their own (lower resolution usually). Then further down the track, operations are more complex and recovery slower. It's all bad.
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Every single one of them will put obesity at the top of the "what's wrong with healthcare

(1) Have you actually asked them? (2) So you're saying that they'll blame someone else, rather than blame their own bureaucracy and inflated salaries.

1. Yes. Obesity as a problem comes up often when talking candidly with doctors.

2. I can agree with you on the bureaucracy thing but when you get sick you're gonna want the best doctors working on you. I don't begrudge doctors a single penny they honorably and legitimately earn. 14 years of school and hundreds of thousands in debt? Ya, you do that and get back to me.

I don't begrudge doctors a single penny they honorably and legitimately earn.

Your answer begs the question. Also, US doctors earn a higher multiple of the average salary than doctors in other Western countries do, while not providing measurably better patient outcomes.

Any of them work in ER? What about alcohol or mental health?

EDIT (after question was answered) I do agree that obesity is the leading problem with healthcare! I'm just curious about the problems of alcohol or MH in emergency care settings. They're significant in the UK.

ER, Neuro, OB, Radiology, Psych, GI, Cardio, Optho, Family, Peds, Nursing. I'm sure I'm skipping a few.

Honestly, obesity is a root cause for so many preventable illnesses. All it takes is moderate diet and exercise and you'll be set.

> Just stop being fat.

Unfortunately, as we learn more about obesity, it's becoming increasingly clear that once you are fat, it is very difficult to ever lose the weight and keep it off for a significant amount of time[1].

I don't know what the solution is, but being overweight, especially "on the way up" is something that should be taken much more seriously.

1. http://www.nytimes.com/2011/10/27/health/biological-changes-...

It may seem distasteful in some ways, but stomach-stapling is a fairly effective solution to consider for the morbidly obese. If you've not heard of this (a gastric bypass) I recommend googling. It's not the end solution, but boy does it work.
I know a few obese people and they require almost an ongoing medical attention. Starting from diabetes and on to various complications with deteriorating prospects. They can't participate in many activities feeling alienated or wear trendy clothes their like - which adds to emotional stress and psychological issues on top of it.

But really, it's quite easy to stay fit, if you want it. First thing you do is eat less (can't emphasize it enough). Second, eat home food and cut all the junk. And lastly, stay active: bike, swim, hike, whatever. No need for fancy diet programs.

Insurance companies make healthcare expensive.

Pass a law that requires all payers to pay the same rate for the same service, be it an insurance company or an individual paying out of pocket and the system would get fixed in short order.

I'm gonna go ahead and say it's not as simple as just "passing a law".
This. Middlemen always push the prices up and they exist to get a cut, nothing more.

In many cases, the insurance agent who sells the policy gets paid the roughly the same amount as a primary care physician for looking after a patient. Only one party here is actually doing needed work...

One scenario of how this plays out is that everyone winds up paying the maximum rate, not the minimum (best case, everyone winds up paying the average the old rates). Passing a law like this means the poorest insured will pay more, while the richest might pay less (or the same).
The higher paying people subsidize the lower paying.

If you did what you suggest then medicare would have to pay more (probably 50-100% more), which would necessarily increase taxes.

This is not necessarily a bad thing, just keep in mind all the unintended consequences.

A big step in the right direction, but, upstream of the insurance companies, the health care service and product providers have much greater supplier strength than in single-payer systems. There is still of lot of complexity inside that box but "Supplier strength in pricing" is much closer to the cost TL;DR than fat people.
What a horrible headline in the original article!

Headline: Obesity, not old people, is making healthcare expensive

Article: contains no occurrences of the word obesity

I've long thought that the most effective action the government could take to fix health care (and a variety of other problems) would be to eliminate corn subsidies.

That one government action has ripple effects throughout the economy and almost all of them are negative. It concentrates economic power in big agribusiness instead of farmers, because it means that chemical/bioengineering companies like Monsanto can wield huge economies of scale across the one crop that is most economically viable in the U.S. (because it's subsidized by the government). It drives local farmers out of business because they can't compete with the giant agribusinesses. It makes the U.S. agricultural system less resilient to drought and blight, and more dependent upon petrochemical fertilizers.

And then it also makes it far more economical to make food products with high fructose corn syrup, corn-fed chicken & beef, cornmeal, and corn starch, all of which are phenomenally unhealthy for you. This is why poor people eat at McDonalds; because of the subsidies, corn-fed beef & chicken and soda made from high-fructose corn syrup are much cheaper than healthier alternatives, and so that is all poor people can afford. Then they get fat, and the rest of society bears the burden for their medical and lost productivity costs.

Soda made from regular sugar is going to be as cheap as soda made from HFCS. Obese people will still be able to drink 64 ounce "cups" of sugar water.

Fat people do not need HFCS to become fat. They need calories. Some people suggest that HFCS may make those calories less satiating than calories from fat, but they don't mention other types of sugar. Any sugar when eaten in excess is harmful. Sugar from honey or sugar beets or sugar cane is going to cause harm if you're drinking six litres of soda a day.

The Economist puts a UK Big Mac as cheaper than a US Big mac. What are our subsidies that make the burgers so cheap, if we don't have cheap HFCS?

http://www.economist.com/content/big-mac-index

How would you respond to http://www.nytimes.com/2011/09/25/opinion/sunday/is-junk-foo... - it seems to me that poor people don't eat fast food because it is cheaper, it is because it is easier, tastes better, and makes them feel good if only temporarily. This would still be true if they had to do without corn subsidies - they'd just sub in sugar and perhaps make the burgers smaller or something.
There are more farms now than there were 30 years ago. Check out 826 here:

http://www.census.gov/compendia/statab/cats/agriculture/farm...

829 is also illuminating. Of 96,074 corporate farms, 85,837 are owned by families (several thousand of those family owned corporations having more than 10 shareholders). Of the corporate farms that are not family held, 9,330 have less than 10 shareholders.

Acreage is also revealing (828), family farms have ~ 5 times as much land as corporate farms. It's also sort of easy to make the case that less than 5% of the corporate acreage is likely to be the pernicious sort of farm you are talking about.

It makes for a nice narrative, but it isn't all that true.

As others have pointed out, there are many factors that contribute to high cost healthcare. And while I think that BMI is almost completely worthless, and I've never been really fat, I can say that exercise and losing weight are some of the best things (and best feeling things) I've ever done.

Sure, fix the costs (especially with IT/technology in general, as those on this board can probably have the biggest effect on that), fix the insurance industry, and let's have a serious look at the food industry while were at it - but on an individual level, giving exercise a try will probably reduce our health costs in the long run and make us feel better in the short run.

> Actually, chronic diseases, such as heart disease and diabetes, among people younger than 65 drives two-thirds of medical spending. About 85 percent of medical costs are spent on people younger than 65, though people do spend more on healthcare as they age.

I thought this might be because the US system has much more support for people over the age of 65, and thus pushes prices down, but later on in the article they say

> Though it often may feel like out-of-pocket expenses are growing disproportionately to the cost of healthcare, Medicare, Medicaid, and federal employee plans have actually picked up an increasingly larger share of the tab.

The article makes some assumptions.

> The patient wants to see the best doctors and get the best treatments available,

Not necessarily. Many patients don't want the best, they just want protection from the worst and they want "good" or "excellent", but they'll include other things. "How convenient is the hospital for people to visit or for me to get after care?" is one example.

The article title is annoying. The article doesn't explain why obesity is driving up costs, and doesn't do a good job of showing that obesity is driving up costs. The abstract doesn't mention obesity, but says:

> Three factors have produced the most change: (1) consolidation, with fewer general hospitals and more single-specialty hospitals and physician groups, producing financial concentration in health systems, insurers, pharmacies, and benefit managers; (2) information technology, in which investment has occurred but value is elusive; and (3) the patient as consumer, whereby influence is sought outside traditional channels, using social media, informal networks, new public sources of information, and self-management software.

Just stop being fat. Control what you eat.
This says otherwise http://www.plosmedicine.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal...

Who do I believe, a blogger from The Atlantic who seems to be misinterpreting the data he cites, or a peer-reviewed scientific publication?

Well, what that report says is that fat people cost more per year then non-fat, but since they die quicker, they don't cost as much over their lifetime. It would be interesting to see what discount rate would equalize the costs.
My personal bizarre pet idea for bringing down healthcare costs: mandatory minimum copays.

The problem, by one analysis, is that patients have no incentive to weigh costs against benefits. That's a tough task in any case, and pushing it off to the insurers makes it harder, as the insurer has less information than either the patient or their doctor about their individual case. The result is that neither patients nor (often) doctors know what the services cost.

In fact price information has been so effectively removed from the system that in some cases nobody knows what the service really costs. tptacek posted a great example: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=4465845

The purpose of the mandatory minimum copay is to force price information back into the system. When patients have to pay some part of the price of every service, they will therefore have to know what those prices are.

All that said, there are obviously some questions and problems to be dealt with. For starters, what's the formula for how much people have to pay? On the large end, I would suggest something like (price in dollars) ^ 0.7. This means for a $10k service, the copay would be about $600; for a $100k service, about $3000; and for a $1M service, around $16k. Those numbers feel reasonable to me: big enough to make most people think twice about choosing a six-figure intervention, but not an absolute barrier if there's a good medical reason.

On the small end, though, that formula produces numbers that are arguably too large. A $200 service (if there is such a thing? maybe in lower-income rural areas) would have a $40 copay by that formula. This risks discouraging people from getting preventative and urgent care that they need. To correct for this we could simply subtract some fixed number from the result of the above formula. I'm not sure what the right number is, but somewhere in the $40 - $80 range, I would guess. (This provision could also be subject to means testing.)

Probably when I say "mandatory" what I really mean is "the government provides incentives to make plans with this property significantly cheaper than those without". I don't care that rich people will circumvent the rule if they want; I just care that most people are on plans with this property, so that, as I say, price information is forced to flow again.

Patients are the wrong people to drive costs down.

"Why are you re-canularising me? Why am I being charged for this extra un-needed canula procedure? Just leave the old one in" etc. Doctors can assess the research, and can decide whether the risk of infection from old canulas balances the risks of new canulas, and whether the cost is worth it or not.

Here's a radio programme (no longer available from the BBC website, but may be somewhere else on the Internet?) about an Indian hospital that does a lot of work to drive down costs. http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/b039yz53

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-10837726

> "We believe that the only way is to build large hospitals - 100 or 200 beds are not going to be the solution for the current world health problem. We need to build large hospitals where hundreds of operations are carried out every day."

> And here in Bangalore, the theory appears to work. Despite the huge volume of operations, mortality rates are comparable with or better than those in Britain and the US, and costs are much lower.

I'd be very worried about a system like this in that it discourages preventative medicine, which is much more cost-effective on the long run.

If people have a minimum copay, they're far more likely to hold off until treatment is urgent—and, thus, much more expensive.

Read Maclolm Gladwell's piece, "The Moral Hazard Myth"

http://www.newyorker.com/archive/2005/08/29/050829fa_fact?cu...

"For that matter, when you have to pay for your own health care, does your consumption really become more efficient? In the late nineteen-seventies, the rand Corporation did an extensive study on the question, randomly assigning families to health plans with co-payment levels at zero per cent, twenty-five per cent, fifty per cent, or ninety-five per cent, up to six thousand dollars. As you might expect, the more that people were asked to chip in for their health care the less care they used. The problem was that they cut back equally on both frivolous care and useful care. Poor people in the high-deductible group with hypertension, for instance, didn’t do nearly as good a job of controlling their blood pressure as those in other groups, resulting in a ten-per-cent increase in the likelihood of death."

Very interesting column! Thanks! I will think about it.
Scott, you seem to have a surprisingly good handle on a fundamental problem with our healthcare system. Let's catch up offline :-).

- Your old co-worker

I like it! You know what else might help? Legalize price competition between hospitals.

Right now if you think your local gas station or restaurant is way too expensive or slow or otherwise incompetent and you'd like to build one right next door that will charge less, steal most of the business and possibly drive the older one out of business, you can just DO that. But not with hospitals. In most states you aren't legally ALLOWED to build a new hospital or expand an old one unless the area where you're building it is deemed "underserved".

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Certificate_of_need

True! Many people nowadays are suffering obesity and sometimes are unaware that their health are at risk.
Hmmm...I guess all those other academic papers showing that the greatest percentage of healthcare dollars go to end of life care defined as final 2 years but especially final 6 months. I am also pleased to see this analysis was in part conducted by, "we'll tell you what you want to hear as long as you pay us" BCG. Or as I know them BSG. Healthcare costs are skyrocketing because people are making a lot of money. Look back to '76 or so when the people who pushed for changes to the laws allowing for the creation of HMOs and promised enormous savings. That didn't happen. Any time you have a major consulting company telling you how to reduce healthcare costs the sound your actually hearing is money dropping in their pockets. It would be fun to skewer the article point by point but not worth the time.
PS Ask my friend in Canada who is waiting 16 months for a hip replacement how happy he is.
This very issue is known in Britain as the "little old lady problem". Resources are limited, and society needs to decide who gets care first. There are many life-threatening conditions, but arthritis in the hips and knees isn't one of them.

Consequently, if you can pay, you get to the front of the line, and if you can't you'll get one eventually, but you won't die.

They always roll out the little old ladies in wheelchairs when it comes to healthcare reform.

"Consequently, if you can pay, you get to the front of the line, and if you can't you'll get one eventually, but you won't die."

That's such a great comfort when you are in excruciating pain and can't walk. I think that should be the motto of the NHS "at least you won't die". Aim high.

Actually it's not the little old lady problem. I did a documentary on healthcare in the UK. One of the patients suffered from severe rheumatoid arthritis, a serious autoimmune disorder, she was told it would take 6 months to see a rheumatologist. She had the means to pay for private care and saw the same doctor within a week. You see arthritis which you probably don't have and obviously don't understand comes in many for from the less complex osteoarthritis to forms that have many nasty sequelae such as lupus or psoriatic arthritis.

I have worked in healthcare for 20 years and my wife about the same but she has worked more internationally. In countries with state run healthcare many times newer treatments such as cancer drugs are not available.

Flawed though it may be I will stick with US medicine.

One of the patients suffered from severe rheumatoid arthritis, a serious autoimmune disorder, she was told it would take 6 months to see a rheumatologist

Again: rheumatoid arthritis does not kill you.

many times newer treatments such as cancer drugs are not available

Good that you say that. In many countries to gain approval the manufacturer needs to show a benefit over what is already on the market. Whatever was there was new, but it didn't prolong survival or improve quality of life. Why should the public pay for something very expensive (because it's still under patent) when something equally good is available for much less as a generic?

the societal move to destigmatize obesity is the culprit. It's now okay to be big and beautiful.
I think you may have cause and effect backward here.

Suppose a bunch of people get fat. What are the chances that they, after the fact, convince themselves that fat is okay?

Not to mention that stigmatizing obesity is not going to solve the problem. What is this, grade school? "haha, fatty-fatty-fatty!" Maybe some empathy and support would go much further in helping the obese to conquer their problems.
I'm not even sure the headline actually represents the original article faithfully (http://jama.jamanetwork.com/article.aspx?articleID=1769890)

One thing to note is that there are many organisations who represent the elderly and they have political power - certainly in the UK, older people vote so you see laws that benefit them sometimes to the detriment on the young.