Odd, I don't live in Northern California but I was just wondering last week why these companies (sad the public sector doesn't handle it) don't use ferries instead of buses. Ferries are effectively used in other large cities, NYC, Sydney, Seattle, to name a few.
We have ferries, but the problem is that they tend to go to places that are already serviced by BART, which is much more convenient (if less enjoyable), or dock from places that arent near BART (Alameda).
As I understand it, the Ferry from Sausalito to SF is regularly used, because BART doesn't visit the north. Why there is no South Bay to East or SF I'm not sure, maybe because up until recently there wasn't enough interregional traffic where BART/Caltrain was not already there.
There are actually lots of ferries in SFBA, just not on silly routes like SF to RWC. They're funded using the justification of "water emergency transportation" (i.e. post earthquake or something else which takes out a bridge), but basically are just to keep wealthy and prominent voters in a few places happy. Essentially they're heavily subsidized (true operating costs are around $50-150/ride; price is about $8; ridership levels are very low on many routes).
In Seattle it makes sense because it's between islands, some of which have no bridge access. In the Bay Area, there are bridges directly on many routes, and aside from a couple of tourist places, everywhere the ferries run is at worst two bridges or two segments of ground travel away. (In Seattle, the transit authority is actually fairly competent too, by comparison)
Actually the biggest commuter ferry routes in the Seattle area can be drove round. Ie Kingston and Bremerton are on a Peninsula and Bainbridge Island is connected via the (short) agate pass bridge.
The idea of more bridges has been brought up but met with strong "not in my backyard" resistance. A short bridge from Bremerton to Bainbridge would make a lot of sense (and allow two ferry routes to be combined) but the wealthy Bainbridge Islanders are against being connected to the less well off Bremerton.
Your numbers struck me as surprisingly high. It seems hard to believe that running a ferry across the bay with 100 passengers can cost $10,000. But there are definitely articles backing you up:
While basically matching your numbers for the new routes, the article also mentions that the effective subsidy for the older routes is about $15 per ride. I guess part of the question is how to distinguish "start up costs" from "operating costs".
> Your numbers struck me as surprisingly high. It seems hard to believe that running a ferry across the bay with 100 passengers can cost $10,000.
I still found it hard to believe. So I took sfgate's numbers, and did the math.
100,000 riders a year? That's only ~270 riders per day. For an assumption of 8AM to 10PM, it isn't a hundred passengers going across the bay in per hour – it's a grand total of 19.
They only commute to and from work, with a total of 280 seats (two 140 seat ferries), figure two trips south, and two trips north, so 4 trips a day, a carrying capacity of 560 commuters, getting 279 would be a utilization of about 50% (that seems a bit optimistic)
I looked at this a lot because my GF works in Brisbane, CA and we live in Oakland. It takes 1.5h to commute by land public transit (and is crowded); going via ferry takes a similar amount of time (but, no flexibility on time), but SSF to anywhere is hard. There's a shuttle for Genentech at the ferry, but going the 2 miles from the ferry to Brisbane is kind of a pain still. The easiest thing is actually still to drive through SF traffic across the bridge in the morning, even as a non-HOV, which is a pretty clear failure of transit (most of the fault is Brisbane, which is just a horrible place in general).
BART and then Uber from 16th st or something seems like the only semi-viable non-self-drive option. Pretty expensive, though.
Nice article, it says basically that a 140 seat Ferry is $8M. The compares to about $300K for 60 seat bus, or at most $900K for equivalent seats. I could not track down a solid dataset for operating cost per mile for a large vessel. I know that in general it is quite high because it takes much more energy to push through the water than it does to roll on freeways (and even less to roll on rails). Further there are weather systems that would keep a boat at the dock but a bus or train could drive through. Of all the transportation modes trains are the most economical to operate on a marginal cost basis but have the high startup and operating costs from the essentially dedicated infratstructure.
It would be interesting to see if they could build a floating train somehow (trust me, this is the kind of project that gets you promoted at Google :-) basically float a monorail track between up and down the bay such that you got the energy/operating costs benefits of rail setup without the huge land/tax/easement costs of a land locked rail line.
If you're willing to shut the train down during 100 year storms, I wonder if you could just build a regular monorail along the bayfront. It's not very deep; there's a bunch of marsh/slough crap on the coast. Other than a few areas, the bay view is pretty ugly already. An electric elevated monorail should have minimal environmental impact (just pylons; not sure how much during construction).
If you've ever hiked up the trails at Lands End in SF and looked out at the Pacific towards Marin, you'll see an excellent example of what about this area makes even the most apathetic person a conservationist.
I commute from the Jersey shore to NYC daily by ferry, and while it is often the most relaxing part of my day (stormy days being the exception) and more convenient than the alternatives available to me, I don't believe rapid transit by water is inexpensive or environmentally friendly.
That really depends on the route and traffic. So long as your endpoints are close to terminals, they can be faster (and much more reliable) than ground transport. There's very, very, very rarely a major traffic tie-up on the water.
The worst case might be an accident at one of the terminals or a specific boat being disabled.
I did see a proposal for a hovercraft that was pretty effective, it got around the "how do I get on it" issue by having it come inland a bit in the south bay. But you are essentially correct that from a time of commute standpoint ferries almost always lose if any other powered transportation is available.
Unless your endpoints are directly at quayside, a ferry boat service is going to involve at least one, and quite possibly two transfer points at either terminal.
Commuter buses, by contrast, are particularly efficient as they allow passengers to be collected close to their homes, often within feet, or at most a few blocks (in a dense urban setting, as is the case with the San Francisco executive shuttles). Where there's a reasonably direct land route between locations (note that this isn't the case for, say, a Bainbridge Island - Seattle commute, buses are often faster than ferries.
Fuel cost is another factor -- on a per-passenger basis, boats use a considerable amount of fuel, I believe bus service is generally more efficient (low vehicle:passenger weight ratio).
On the positive side: boats generally don't suffer from congestion issues (though weather and fog may slow them down), and often afford more space per passenger with a greater ability to work en route, as well as the option to get out in the fresh air (though a brisk 20-50 kt breeze is rather more bracing than you might be prepared for -- the after-decks are generally quite pleasant though).
As for public-sector ferry services, there are numerous ferry services on the San Francisco Bay, many resurrected following the 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake which took out a major bridge crossing (the San Francisco - Oakland Bay Bridge), including service between San Francisco and Sausalito, Tiburon, Larkspur, Vallejo, Berkeley, Oakland, Alameda. I've heard rumors of a public Redwood City service but don't believe it's been restarted. Oddly, there seems to be no good one-stop shopping site for information on ferry transit, including http://511.org which is otherwise a transit / traffic information hub. Wikipedia seems to have one of the better compendia, though I'm not sure it's complete: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferries_of_San_Francisco_Bay#F...
Geography. The north bay has a long history of ferries. This is because there is lots of development close to the water. The north bay is also an outlet for the Sacramento River so the water is deep and some of the surrounding land quite picturesque. The south bay is a huge network of sloughs that have been turned in to major industrial salt production historically, though this is waning. Beyond salt, there has been very little water side development up in till recently. Most of the places you would want to go in the south bay are at least a mile from the water. A ferry to Facebook actually works as they took over the old Sun campus which is one of the rare tech centers that jut out in to the bay. There are a few, but nothing compared to inland...
How about opening an office in San Francisco instead? I know Google already has one but probably other companies from peninsula/south bay need to start expanding their presence in SF as well.
I don't understand, wouldn't this be a good investment opportunity with San Francisco growing? Facebook could build its own tower and lease out space for condos, apartments, offices, ground floor commercial, etc.
I'm really kinda bummed they're building a huge sprawling building. I think Amazon is being the best citizen in this regard.
Been here lately? There are over five million square feet of commercial space actively underconstruction, 20000 housing units actively under construction, and 50000 housing units permitted and in some stage of development planning.
There's still the problem that most of the construction within SF is in areas where "people don't want to live", at least not "trendy" startup people. Generally 20something tech people want to live in the Mission and work in SOMA. Transit within SF is kind of defective, even for that pattern.
HP/Bayview would be the natural place to fix, and the third street rail/mission bay/etc. was supposed to open that up, but Bayview still appears to be the ghetto. Fixing Bayview will bring even more cries of racism/gentrification/etc. than other parts of the city, due to demographics; plus much of the available space in HP is either nuclear waste dump or dirty industrial, so it's expensive to remediate.
I don't know what the relative numbers are by neighborhood, but I've lived here for a decade and there does seem to be a gigantic surge of construction over the last few years in "places people want to live (and work)". Not much in the mission, but all up and down market near duboce triangle, folsom, harrison... these are great locations, and I'm super excited to see the change.
There's a house in the bayview for sale for 1.4 million dollars right now, so I think the cat may already be out of the bag with respect to that neighborhood. The "cheap" neighborhoods remaining are the ones that are impossible to get to, have 24x7x365 shitty weather, and no amenities. I'm thinking of places like Sunnyside (ha!) and Crocker Amazon.
Oceanfront property in and immediately around San Francisco is not the expensive property: it's far away from downtown and way too foggy! Also, as long as we're talking ferries, you don't send your ferry all the way around the peninsula, through the Golden Gate, and out the other side to a non-existent dock to pick people up from some of the lower population-density / lowest computer-programmer density zones of San Francisco. If anything, you send the people a bus that point, and even with traffic it's a better plan.
Now. Bayfront property, on the other hand, is different.
This won't be a popular thing to say, but both Facebook and Google (and many others) are now at the scale where they can really effectively impact policy. They already do this at the national level (Eg immigration/SOPA) - and focusing on changing housing policy at the local level (to encourage more density & units) would go a long way to alleviate these issues.
This isn't for charity - the housing shortage isn't particularly pleasant for their employees either, as it makes everything scarcer/more expensive (parking, grocery, other cost of living).
There have recently been rumblings that Google and FB are 'bad' because they hire people who move to SF. These employees increase demand for housing in SF, which tends to price out people who have been living there longer. Some people feel this is undesirable, and have made their feelings known by, e.g., protesting Google buses. Increasing the supply of housing (by changing zoning rules) would tend to reduce the market rate for housing in SF.
> Increasing the supply of housing (by changing zoning rules) would tend to reduce the market rate for housing in SF.
This is not necessarily true. Housing prices don't fall uniformly in an area as more units become available, so existing residents may still be displaced. Also, more people may move from elsewhere to fill the vacancies provided by new units, driving higher prices for new units and making an area unaffordable for existing residents.
> Housing prices don't fall uniformly in an area as more units become available, so existing residents may still be displaced.
This is true, but you need to consider the supply and demand for housing in aggregate. You also need to consider how one type of housing can substitute for another. Building luxury condos (for example) doesn't immediately help middle and lower-middle class renters. However, the condo could appeal to highly-paid software engineers who would have otherwise rented an expensive but basic. That reduces demand for basic apartments, which puts downward pressure on prices for those units. It's not the same effect as just building a bunch of basic apartments, but it still helps more than doing nothing.
> Also, more people may move from elsewhere to fill the vacancies provided by new units, driving higher prices for new units and making an area unaffordable for existing residents.
This doesn't really make any sense at all. You're saying that rising rents encourage people to move to move to SF. If anything, rising rents will tend to discourage people from moving to SF for a tech job. Sure, the salary is high, but why bother if you're going have less left over after paying rent?
Look, it's not valid to say that people are perfectly rational, uniform, black spheres. People make irrational decisions all the time. But nobody says to him/herself, "I'd like to move to New York next year because the cost of living is so high." Building more housing units will result in more people living in SF, but it will also reduce the cost of living in SF compared to--and this part is important--what it would have otherwise been.
They can certainly try to impact policy, but are they able to? Immigration reform is stymied, net neutrality is lost. In California, major issues include Prop 13 limiting property tax increases, resistance to development in SF, and arguably rent control in SF. See no evidence that FB or Goog would be able to make any difference to these - big blocks of voters like things how they are.
Tech companies do have power on the Peninsula itself. The best thing they could do is try to fix the building height restrictions along the Caltrain corridor, and licensing rules for food/bar/entertainment, to make the Peninsula a more attractive place for 30something (if not 20something) employees.
Mountain View and Cupertino, at least, seem to behave relatively sanely. Santa Clara almost goes too far as an industry town.
I'm not sure anything could piss off SF tech company protesters more than Facebook/Google attempting to fix building height restrictions.
At the core of it, these people have a xenophobic fear of change. They might be making noise about rent prices now, but if these companies tried to address this concern, the concerns would shift.
I think one of their explicit goals is "techies get out" -- if everyone moved to San Mateo and Santa Clara counties, and SF tax base dropped, it'd be self-correcting.
The problem is the Peninsula actually is boring, at least for single people who don't drive. I'd rather see SFBA tech contribute $10-20b on making the Peninsula an awesome place to live, rather than trying to fix SF's infrastructure and politics. Plus, there's money to be made doing it.
A lot of this stuff takes longer than you'd liked and is more difficult/intractable (but that's politics). The bigger question is - without knowing what they could/can't achieve going in, can they afford NOT to try to make changes?
Imagine what the SF housing/policy landscape would look like if these companies double headcount over the next 5 years. What's happening with the buses will pale in comparison (and the worst part is the buses aren't even the issue, they're just visible).
I wonder how many of the employees themselves are not eligible to vote (H1B/etc.). A lot of the political power of a big employer comes from two things:
1) Large voting bloc of employees
2) BATNA to getting their way: credible threat to move. Google can't credibly threaten to move out of SFBA, sadly, and Twitter couldn't credibly threaten to move to Brisbane (because, Brisbane is crap). If Twitter hadn't had crazy political connections, mid-market wouldn't have happened.
You don't get large amounts of power just by paying a lot of taxes or employing a lot of people; if there are big voting groups who dislike you, you're still screwed.
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[ 2.4 ms ] story [ 126 ms ] threadAs I understand it, the Ferry from Sausalito to SF is regularly used, because BART doesn't visit the north. Why there is no South Bay to East or SF I'm not sure, maybe because up until recently there wasn't enough interregional traffic where BART/Caltrain was not already there.
http://sanfranciscobayferry.com/
In Seattle it makes sense because it's between islands, some of which have no bridge access. In the Bay Area, there are bridges directly on many routes, and aside from a couple of tourist places, everywhere the ferries run is at worst two bridges or two segments of ground travel away. (In Seattle, the transit authority is actually fairly competent too, by comparison)
The idea of more bridges has been brought up but met with strong "not in my backyard" resistance. A short bridge from Bremerton to Bainbridge would make a lot of sense (and allow two ferry routes to be combined) but the wealthy Bainbridge Islanders are against being connected to the less well off Bremerton.
I looked at Whidbey Island before (and visited; it's nice!), but didn't realize you could actually drive there (even if it's super out of the way).
http://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/matier-ross/article/South-San-...
While basically matching your numbers for the new routes, the article also mentions that the effective subsidy for the older routes is about $15 per ride. I guess part of the question is how to distinguish "start up costs" from "operating costs".
I still found it hard to believe. So I took sfgate's numbers, and did the math.
100,000 riders a year? That's only ~270 riders per day. For an assumption of 8AM to 10PM, it isn't a hundred passengers going across the bay in per hour – it's a grand total of 19.
And for that, they built a $26M ferry terminal?
No wonder it costs so much.
BART and then Uber from 16th st or something seems like the only semi-viable non-self-drive option. Pretty expensive, though.
It would be interesting to see if they could build a floating train somehow (trust me, this is the kind of project that gets you promoted at Google :-) basically float a monorail track between up and down the bay such that you got the energy/operating costs benefits of rail setup without the huge land/tax/easement costs of a land locked rail line.
See Bay Keepers: http://baykeeper.org/blog/take-action-help-stop-unwise-devel...
The worst case might be an accident at one of the terminals or a specific boat being disabled.
Unless your endpoints are directly at quayside, a ferry boat service is going to involve at least one, and quite possibly two transfer points at either terminal.
Commuter buses, by contrast, are particularly efficient as they allow passengers to be collected close to their homes, often within feet, or at most a few blocks (in a dense urban setting, as is the case with the San Francisco executive shuttles). Where there's a reasonably direct land route between locations (note that this isn't the case for, say, a Bainbridge Island - Seattle commute, buses are often faster than ferries.
Fuel cost is another factor -- on a per-passenger basis, boats use a considerable amount of fuel, I believe bus service is generally more efficient (low vehicle:passenger weight ratio).
On the positive side: boats generally don't suffer from congestion issues (though weather and fog may slow them down), and often afford more space per passenger with a greater ability to work en route, as well as the option to get out in the fresh air (though a brisk 20-50 kt breeze is rather more bracing than you might be prepared for -- the after-decks are generally quite pleasant though).
As for public-sector ferry services, there are numerous ferry services on the San Francisco Bay, many resurrected following the 1989 Loma Prieta Earthquake which took out a major bridge crossing (the San Francisco - Oakland Bay Bridge), including service between San Francisco and Sausalito, Tiburon, Larkspur, Vallejo, Berkeley, Oakland, Alameda. I've heard rumors of a public Redwood City service but don't believe it's been restarted. Oddly, there seems to be no good one-stop shopping site for information on ferry transit, including http://511.org which is otherwise a transit / traffic information hub. Wikipedia seems to have one of the better compendia, though I'm not sure it's complete: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ferries_of_San_Francisco_Bay#F...
I'm really kinda bummed they're building a huge sprawling building. I think Amazon is being the best citizen in this regard.
HP/Bayview would be the natural place to fix, and the third street rail/mission bay/etc. was supposed to open that up, but Bayview still appears to be the ghetto. Fixing Bayview will bring even more cries of racism/gentrification/etc. than other parts of the city, due to demographics; plus much of the available space in HP is either nuclear waste dump or dirty industrial, so it's expensive to remediate.
Now. Bayfront property, on the other hand, is different.
This isn't for charity - the housing shortage isn't particularly pleasant for their employees either, as it makes everything scarcer/more expensive (parking, grocery, other cost of living).
Edit: A couple of references on housing: http://www.sfgate.com/opinion/openforum/article/How-San-Fran...
This is not necessarily true. Housing prices don't fall uniformly in an area as more units become available, so existing residents may still be displaced. Also, more people may move from elsewhere to fill the vacancies provided by new units, driving higher prices for new units and making an area unaffordable for existing residents.
This is true, but you need to consider the supply and demand for housing in aggregate. You also need to consider how one type of housing can substitute for another. Building luxury condos (for example) doesn't immediately help middle and lower-middle class renters. However, the condo could appeal to highly-paid software engineers who would have otherwise rented an expensive but basic. That reduces demand for basic apartments, which puts downward pressure on prices for those units. It's not the same effect as just building a bunch of basic apartments, but it still helps more than doing nothing.
> Also, more people may move from elsewhere to fill the vacancies provided by new units, driving higher prices for new units and making an area unaffordable for existing residents.
This doesn't really make any sense at all. You're saying that rising rents encourage people to move to move to SF. If anything, rising rents will tend to discourage people from moving to SF for a tech job. Sure, the salary is high, but why bother if you're going have less left over after paying rent?
Look, it's not valid to say that people are perfectly rational, uniform, black spheres. People make irrational decisions all the time. But nobody says to him/herself, "I'd like to move to New York next year because the cost of living is so high." Building more housing units will result in more people living in SF, but it will also reduce the cost of living in SF compared to--and this part is important--what it would have otherwise been.
Mountain View and Cupertino, at least, seem to behave relatively sanely. Santa Clara almost goes too far as an industry town.
At the core of it, these people have a xenophobic fear of change. They might be making noise about rent prices now, but if these companies tried to address this concern, the concerns would shift.
The problem is the Peninsula actually is boring, at least for single people who don't drive. I'd rather see SFBA tech contribute $10-20b on making the Peninsula an awesome place to live, rather than trying to fix SF's infrastructure and politics. Plus, there's money to be made doing it.
Imagine what the SF housing/policy landscape would look like if these companies double headcount over the next 5 years. What's happening with the buses will pale in comparison (and the worst part is the buses aren't even the issue, they're just visible).
1) Large voting bloc of employees
2) BATNA to getting their way: credible threat to move. Google can't credibly threaten to move out of SFBA, sadly, and Twitter couldn't credibly threaten to move to Brisbane (because, Brisbane is crap). If Twitter hadn't had crazy political connections, mid-market wouldn't have happened.
You don't get large amounts of power just by paying a lot of taxes or employing a lot of people; if there are big voting groups who dislike you, you're still screwed.