Ask HN: FU Money: What is your number?

42 points by biznerd ↗ HN
I'm guessing HN is going to have a lower number than the general population because it's relatively easy to get a new tech job.

But anyways, what is your figure for FU money?

EDIT: I see people are putting down their early retirement number. For some people, "FU Money" is just a year.

75 comments

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$50M... that's 10M in spending cash, 40M in investments, and with a moderate rate of return I'm making $2.5-5M a year for the rest of my life...
I created the doron FU scale, which like the richter scale is not linear:

-2: you must file bankruptcy -1: you may be able to repay your debt 0: you're living paycheck to paycheck 1: you can live for a year without working 2: you can live for the rest of your life without working maintaining the same lifestyle you have now 3: your kids (if any) can live their whole life without having to work 4: you can afford any luxury such as jets and yachts 5: you are in the same league with Gates, Buffet, Ellison, etc.

A few notes: You can find where you are on the scale using a decimal fraction between the integers.

Just because level 3 says your kids can live without working does not mean you should strive to achieve that. It is simply a measure of wealth, not a desired outcome for obvious reasons.

Just because level 4 affords you jets does not mean everyone should aspire to buy a jet. Again it is mentioned as a reference of what you could attain at that level.

In America in my view, amassing $5 million gets you to level 2. The figure could be argued and it fully depends on your style and standard of living. So for you it might be significantly less or perhaps much more. This figure assumes a monthly spend of $20K and a paid off house (paid out of the $5m)

I'm with you up to the last sentence. Agreed that 5m including the house would be enough for level 2, but I don't think it'd reliably afford 20k/month, at least not if you're talking real dollars (which you'd have to to account for maintaining your lifestyle for the remainder of your life). If we assume a $500k house, 20k/month is 240k/year, which is over 5% of your remaining 4.5M. Even at standard retirement age the rule of thumb is a 4% real withdrawal rate, and many people think that's optimistic in this low interest rate environment. Assuming you're relatively young I wouldn't want to go more than 3% real withdrawal rate, ideally less.

Fortunately, my family's current lifestyle is nowhere near 20k/month! :) My level 2 number is 3M, not including the paid-off house (which unfortunately is rather more than 500k here...), which should afford 90k/year real (before taxes) at 3% withdrawal rate.

I'm not following. Tax free munis or corporate bonds throw off a 5-6% tax adjusted yield. You can always plow anything you don't spend back into fixed income to make up for inflation. So unless you are expecting massive inflation you'll be good.
Even a 5-6% tax-adjusted yield (which seems high, but I'm in Canada so I don't follow US rates too closely) is less than 5% after any inflation. Also corporate and municipal bonds are not without risk, although it's not large with proper diversification.

Parent implied the 20k/month was spending money. If you're reinvesting some of that money, then you're effectively reducing your withdrawal rate, in which case I agree. Also if you're willing to reduce your spending in the case of a downturn you could withstand a higher withdrawal rate. I'm just saying that a 5%+ real withdrawal rate is not sustainable indefinitely in a vacuum.

$2M. I could live off that for the rest of my life if I invested wisely and lived frugally, and I'm pretty good at both. I'd live on a sailboat and work on software that there's absolutely no money in, like DragonflyBSD, Wayland, Enlightenment, Haiku, etc. It would be relaxing and fulfilling to be an artist instead of a capitalist.
Yep. $2 million sounds right. I might consider semi-retirement on less, but it would depend on the details. $2 million should be enough that I don't need to worry too much about the details.
Why can't you do that with $1M?
The boat!
Depends on the boat! A friend of mine just bought a beautiful 38' sailboat to live aboard. It was less than $90k.
$5 million. I'm a simple man with simple pleasures. ;)
That's my number too, with a conservative rate of return you could make $200k a year on interest alone. Probably not enough money to live in crazy expensive areas or go jet-setting around the globe, but certainly enough to do whatever you want.
$500,000 for me. I'm a simple man with simple pleasures living in a simple country ;)
I don't need a lot of money to do as I please.
F U money in my mind means "could live comfortably and never have to worry about money again." Depending on age, I estimate $10m (I like to travel)
Traveling is cheaper than living in the US/Canada.
That depends rather a lot on what kind of traveling one wants to do. Posh hotels in major cities? Remote mountains in developing countries?
Depends how and how often you travel. If you're married, two kids, and want to be able to bounce around the world when you please, it's not inconceivable that airfare alone might cost as much as you'd spend on essentials staying put.
$1M. I could live off for the rest of my life with this number here in Mexico. Simpler life, side on projects, maybe doing open source, not worring too much about the money.
Where in Mexico are you?
Where in Mexico would you recommend? And is this for someone who speaks Spanish, or a true gringo?
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Being in Central America, yes some expenses are lower, but the additional security requirements seems like they could add up. I don't think it'd be out of the question to need $50K+ a year for a good multi-person 24/7 security detail.

Plus as the upper class stays that way, it seems living in good spots starts costing as much as US cities. Even going to the movies, just my wife and I, can easily hit $100.

$10k+ MRR (actually monthly recurring take home) with little to no work on my part (ie: 4hrs/wk ish)

It's much more likely than me magically getting $5mm+, so I'm going to go with that.

Ya, that would work. I'd just worry whatever gravy train generated that would fail after 3-5 years.
Exactly. You have to figure out how long that gravy train needs to last in order to reach financial independence.
About $500k-600k would mean I would not need to work for pay for the rest of my life. Doing whatever I please doesn't cost much money.

If I'm only taking one year off, I'd want $20-50k so I could travel, but ~$12k would be more than sufficient for me to drop a job without worry.

3 million.

The safe withdrawal rate is between 2-3%, tbh. You've got to eat inflation, down turns, etc.

I could live off of 60-90k/year [depending on the market], and not worry too much.

However, if you throw in a wife [that brings you to 6 million] and the expectation of kids...its probably like 7-8 million.

I'm thinking something similar, but remember also that on top of the 60-90k/year, you will also have an extra income from you (and your spouse) doing "whatever you want" which may only add a few tens of thousands, but it'd make a difference. You're not going to sit around on your sofa playing video games for 365 days a year, are you?
As a Catholic, I'd figure you'd have more respect for volunteer work and such?

Last time I checked, that didn't pay.

Is that what you're going to do 365 days a year? I think the typical definition of "FU money" is, enough money so that you never have to do anything you don't want to do. Not so you simply never have to do anything, at all, ever...
Yes, actually. I have a cousin who runs a charity that could use someone to do their IT work for free.
$8M. This is based on personal experience - that's the number where it started to feel different.
Every morning in the shower I think about dropping everything after 70 million and living great forever.
$300k. This would be the perfect amount for me to stop working for someone else, take good care of my family, and have a very large runway to try out some audacious ideas. Then after a few years if I wasn't liking the direction it was taking, I would be in no hard spot and would have done some incredible things, both professionally and with the fam. (To clarify, $300k is the "quit today" amount.)

I also think that with that amount of capital it would be more plausible to create a business that would then generate the much higher numbers others are suggesting here.

Last time I checked, $4M would be enough.
I've always thought somewhere around $4M would be enough, but I'd feel more comfortable with about $10M to allow for contingencies.
Have had this tested recently. I was at a startup that got acquired early by a company I didn't love. Salary, equity vesting + retention package package came to about a little less than $1M/year for 4 years. Took one year and decided it was enough to say "fuck you." So did most of the rest of the team. (Not sure exactly what their #s were.)

It was interesting -- if you'd asked me a couple years ago how I would've acted in that situation, I think I'd've told you that for that kind of money I'd be stupid not to stick out four years. But when it actually happened I barely even considered it.

About 10m. Invest that into 'safe' assets that only produce 3% a year, but do so with low risk and low overheard.

300k a year is about the right number to do everything you want to do if you are a family. Buy whatever cars you want (within reason) - travel when you want, eat what you want, live where you want. Thats the definition of FU money.

You can do it for less, but its not FU money if you have to worry about possibly losing your fortune.

Kids/family increases the number obviously, if they go to private school/college- Add 50k/yr per kid to that figure above.

That's about how I would define FU money, but with taxes and a margin of safety I'd put the actual number at 20M.
I can see that. I've been hoping more for the FU money that would bring jump #1 (which is more how I defined it in my other comment), since jump #1/FU money #1 would be the only reasonable way for me to get to jump #2/FU money #2 with the cars, travel, and no work.
Except you will eat up all your principal in about 30 years. You're going to need yo earn more than 3% or spend less than 300k yr.
Its fairly easy to live on $<300k anywhere in the world.
10 million dollars after taxes so I'm guessing the actual amount is higher, possibly around 15 million dollars. on top of that 300k a year will be subjected to taxation, you will end up with 188k a year, not quite the 300k. you would need around 450k a year and after taxes, you will end up with 300k. to be able to produce that much you'd need about 15 million dollars after taxes. so in reality you'd need about 20 million dollars.

20 million dollars, would generate 300k after taxes if invested in bonds. from the 20 million, you'd end up with 15 or 14 million dollars after paying taxes.

so 20 million dollars is what one would need to target for.

however, note that you'd need to live in a large mansion that's already paid for and maintenance and expenses, property taxations being paid, I'd put away 30~50k for upkeep. You will probably have two kids on average so it will be another 100,000 to support them.

21 million, seems to be the true 'FU' money. After that leave off 400,000 after tax a year in money.

21 million is a staggering figure for someone starting out. I don't even know if I will get to one million.

It's also pretty outrageous. A person can live very comfortably on say 50k a year in many areas of the country (without kids).
Living in some area you have to live due to financial constraints and not exploring the world at your own schedule is the opposite of definition of FU money.
At that level the recommended allocation would bias towards munis and dividend stocks, so taxation burden will be lighter.
Today. If you're planning long-term, it's reasonable to assume a non-zero chance of dividends being taxed more inline with normal income.
EMH says this will get priced in, and companies who pay dividends will just switch to stock buybacks or other more efficient methods of capital distribution.
Your 3%/yr is assuming you only invest in the safest of assets, like government bonds. You can get that up to 5-6% tax adjusted yield by having a bond portfolio (corporates, munis, junk, etc.) without much increase in default risk due to diversification. This would essentially cut your FU money in half, and going from 10M to 5M is a pretty huge jump.

If you have no plans of ever liquidating, you can use leverage (and increase your exposure to interest rates, which is irrelevant if you will not liquidate) but get up to a 8-9% tax adjusted yield right now, so then your FU money drops to about 2.5-3M.

You can't increase your safe withdrawal rate by using leverage. Even if you don't ever plan to liquidate completely, a sufficient reduction in assets combined with your regular cost of living withdrawals could bring you to a point where the withdrawals are no longer sustainable.

Look at it this way: even if you could borrow money at the risk-free rate (which you can't), anything you're earning on those leveraged funds is a risk premium (which by definition can't be diversified away). So you would certainly increase your odds of making more money, but you also increase the odds of a larger downturn, which again, could reach unsustainable levels.

I don't believe there exists a workaround to achieve a long-term (ie near indefinite) safe withdrawal rate of more than 3% or so in real dollars.

I think it depends on what you deem "safe." UST's are considered "risk free" but we all know that's not true, there is some risk involved. So if you consider the liklihood of an inverted yield curve to be low in your lifetime (or at least, only for a short period) then buying a leveraged bond fund that leverages via the spread does increase your 'safe' withdrawl rate, afaict.

Bottom line is once you buy those bond funds you should only be spending your coupons/distributions. There's a chance your distributions might decrease if for example the yield curve flattens or interest rates decline and the fund has to roll over into lower yielding paper, but for the purposes of discussing FU money you should probably be buffered to withstand a moderate decrease in monthly interest payments anyway. Ie, in practice you're not going to spend your entire monthly distribution, so any cash leftover can be rolled back into your investments and likely moderate any of the risk incurred by not going with a full 'risk-free' portfolio.

Fair enough. If we're talking about discretionary luxury spending, then you can take on a bit more risk to get to your desired income with a lower FU number, as long as you're willing to curtail spending if things go bad.

That said, it's a lot easier to increase spending than to decrease it, so I'd want that risk to be small, or to have a desirable fallback for added income.

Have you heard of inflation?
However much Dan Bilzerian has.
At 22 years old it's probably around $800k with no wife or kids. According to an annuity calculator I found online, that's about $1100 a month for the next 60 years adjusted for inflation. More than enough to retire outside Europe/NA.
I guess it depends on what FU means. If it means just retiring, then there's plenty of ways. If it means being able to move or fix many circumstances to your liking, then I think $1100 a month may be too little.
I've always ballparked that if things fell into place with a project and I walked away with 10M or more I'd be out of the game.

However the reality is that people who are ok with cashing out and walking away from the table seem to seldom be the ones getting the payoff.

EDIT: I don't think a lot of you all know what FU money is. Its enough that you can say "FU" to anyone on the planet and not have any worries about doing so as you no longer need anything from anyone.

$75,070 + however much taxes needed to purchase a Tesla Model S.

I literally would not need anything else. I could go wherever I wanted whenever I wanted. I wouldn't have to pay for gas. I'd use Uber to drive people around with zero expenses. I'd sleep in the spacious back seat.

$20M at least. To me, the definition of FU money is having enough money to turn down an opportunity to make $1M simply because you wouldn't enjoy the work. Even at $5-$10M, you're still considering those kinds of offers.

People are saying much lower amounts in these comments, but one or two million doesn't go nearly as far as people think. When I think about the people I've known that are truly free and are easily able to afford enviable lifestyles, $20M seems to be starting point.

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