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that's awesome! I remember seeing this get started on HN a couple of years ago.

As an ex-resident of Japan I may sign up one of these days when I miss the candy :) although I must say I was more into the Japanese potato chips, all those seasonal editions! perhaps there's an idea for a sister-site!

Now that we've sometimes sent bigger packages, I managed to include some snacks in there too. One I really want to send is wasabi potato chips / wasabi bakaukes if I can find a conveniently sized bag that will fit our packaging.
Osembe Japan (with quality rice crackers) would be something I'm very likely to sign-up for!
I am a subscriber to Candy-Japan and recently Bemmu sent out a larger pack that included all these really delicious curry flavoured chips.

Maybe if you ask nicely Bemmu will start a Potata-Chip-Japan :D

The idea that sending out blank envelopes so that you can reach the threshold for discount is genius, never thought of that. Might have to look into it for my business.
Yeah it's a strange discount system as it is totally based on the raw count of items, disregarding what they cost to send. As I get closer to that 1000 limit I will definitely get more and more motivated to bridge that final gap by any means.

Now a shipment usually costs me around $3 to mail. At that 1000 threshold the discount will suddenly go from $0 to $300. Sending an empty envelope would cost about $1.

Are they the cheapest courier for you? Have you shopped around for other couriers?
Why wouldn't you use that opportunity to send coupons/promo materials since it's at basically no cost? Empty envelopes seem like a waste.
so basically when you hit 901 real shipments, it becomes profitable to send 1000 - (number of real shipments) empty envelopes, at a total savings of $3 * (number of real shipments - 900).

(For number of real shipments <= 1000)

It's even less than that. The equation that describes the decision to send envelopes is:

0.9(3n + 1000 - n) < 3n

Which is the same as n > 750.

Shit I just spent an hour researching this !

Something was fishy in your inequation here is my result :

3x > 3x+(1000-x-300)

So this means that at x > 700 it is profitable to send empty enveloppes.

I think your equation is modeling an exact savings of 300 for sending 1000 pieces of mail. The discount is 10% for sending 1000 pieces.

Mine is simply comparing the cost of sending n pieces of mail at $3 each to 90% of the sum of n pieces at $3 each and 1000-n at $1 each.

Yes I assumed a 300 flat rate from the previous comment, but you're right he mentions 10% in his post.
The growth data chart over the last 2.5 years is very interesting. Thanks for sharing that.
Would this work with ads? Organic, free traffic from HN and blogs is nice, but it seems more like a low probability gamble than something you could count on. Your growth is going to be random and you really can't do any projections.

The lifetime value of each subscriber is really high, so it seems to make sense that you could spend $XX in customer acquisition costs.

I've wanted to do something similar for a while, but this is really my only sticking point.

Organic traffic from blogs, HN and Google is really the only thing I've found that works. I have tried several paid advertising campaigns, but they usually end up costing nearly $100 per conversion. Maybe the ad copy / targeting could be optimized enough to get below LTV, but doing those tests would be very expensive.

I've sort of abandoned the idea that there would be some easy way to just get traffic coming in. It's more a fight for finding and retaining each subscriber. Also ads aren't completely on autopilot either, as channels change. When you buy some ad space, it might work OK at first but then work less well in the future as visitors to those sites have already seen your ad. So have to keep following if each purchase still makes sense.

$100 conversion cost isn't intractable.

Let's say you can optimize it down to $75 with better ad copy:

* Higher CTR -> lower spend

Then let's say you can optimize it down to $50 with better conversion funnel tracking

* You get their email and then send them a free eBook about Japanese candy or stationery, then you ask them if you have permission to keep contacting them. If yes, you keep providing value and eventually sell them on more Candy Japan packages.

* You include the video on your page

Then you instrument a referral incentive system

* You give someone double-candy if they refer a friend

Then you ask the people who aren't retaining why they aren't retaining. You bucket their complaints into categories and you provide solutions.

* "I only needed it for this one specific occasion" -> You sell them a gift subscription package instead, at a much lower price, so the recipient knows they are still thinking of them, with bigger upside kicking it at later months. i.e., month 1 = one piece of candy, month 2 = two additional pieces of candy, month 3 = 3 additional pieces of candy

Lifetime value could surpass conversion cost.

I'm finding that when I ask people "why are you cancelling?" I don't get any actionable suggestions, mostly just people running out of money or that they've already had enough candy.
> they've already had enough candy.

Did you ask them if they'd be interested in smaller packages?

Some ideas to test separately.

\) Can you try switching them to "Pen Japan" 1.1 months before the usual cancellation point? This could be done with an opt-in.

\) Incrementally iterating on Mithaldu's idea, can you try giving them a price break (and announcing it with an email!) 1.1 months before the usual cancellation point?

\) Can you add a "But wait! If you stay around, you can get a 10% discount on your subscription cost" last-minute notice to your cancellation page, that is only presented if the user has been around for (the mean cancellation time - 1.1months)?

Or to keep a handle on shipping costs, monthly, quarterly or even yearly packages?

One thing I actually appreciate about some of the random time-insensitive purchases I've made from HK/China on Ebay is that I tend to forget I've made my purchase by the time it arrives. It's like an unexpected Christmas.

This. I wanted so badly to sign up, my girlfriend and I go to Chinese grocery stores and stock up on junk food a few times a year. Getting top ups and bring exposed to Japanese products would be awesome, but $25 a month is pretty dear for a monthly product. At $10/month for less frequent candy it would be a nobrainer for me.
It is semi-monthly. Though I think monthly would be sufficient. It might be something to poll the customer base about (Moar candy or moar frequency?)

Hopefully with volume, better manufacturer/distributor relationships, maybe lower-cost fulfillment offshore and changing of shipping method/frequency, they can lower the price or increase the quantities.

One positive for this entrepreneur is that people already associate "Japan" with "expensive", so the sticker shock isn't really unexpected.

I am a client of Bemmu's and I can tell you the two weeks don't come fast enough.

In our country, they will send you a notice in the post when a package has arrived. And then you have to go queue at the post office to receive it. However, every week I now find myself queueing at the post office just to see if any candy packages might have arrived.

I think the twice a month deliveries are great as they are still pretty far apart that you aren't sick of them yet. Lately the packages have increased in size and its a good size to make it enjoyable but not put you off sweets for a while.

Bemmu - You mentioned that a lot of people have un-subscribed, is this after you have changed from using an envelope size package to the new larger box?

We had that in Finland too, I don't think anyone likes queuing. When I send slimmer packages do you then receive them directly?

In any service a certain amount of people will unsubscribe each month, but so far more people are joining and overall the service is growing.

I didn't think of the box versus letter issue as well. Fetching parcels from my local post office is a 20 minute walk, it can be annoying after a long day of work.

That said, based on the testimony I've seen here I might try a few months and see...

Have enough candy seems quite actionable. Why not offer a less frequent plan to these folks, say twice a quarter instead of twice a month, and you could pick a festival or holiday for people to celebrate with candy. "Here's your Sapporo Snow Festival candy pack! Look for Cherry Blossom celebration in 2 months".
Where have you been advertising? Places with NSFW content tend to have much lower ad prices because most advertisers won't touch them, but many of them (4chan and Danbooru come to mind) are probably pretty good for the audience you're looking for.
I agree! Twitch.TV might also have channels that you could send some candy to, and see if they would advertise Candy Japan to their viewers. While it's a bit different from the usual content, G2A (sells games) got a huge boost (the site even died a few times because of the traffic) from Lirik's referral link.
Zarel as in the guy who makes the pokemon online battle simulator? I love your project!
It may work with ads in Candy Crush :D
Love the idea to branch out into stationary. Now you've got the option to grow up and out. There's probably loads of other suitable Japanese niches too.

Have you done any AB testing with the personalised message on the home page ("Free shipping even to {user's country}")? I'd be interested to know how that affected conversion.

Although I did run a few tests, I don't think I ever tested that one. I initially added it as it was quite easy to do in app engine and then kept it as many people kept telling me how clever it is that it was customized. One spinoff would be to make that as a copy & paste javascript widget that others could also use on their pages.

A/B tests did show that having some video on the page was beneficial, so I should probably put one back in. The only thing is that the video I had before described an item I sent in 2011, so it is getting a bit dated to use anymore.

You already have the country change, but why not the currency?
I have the payments set up to be in USD, so I wouldn't be able to quote precise prices if I did the conversion. I guess I could say something like "it costs $25 (about 14.69 GBP)" based on the country, but the final charge might be slightly different after the actual conversion.
Stationery from Japan is very close to my heart so I'm even more excited about the Pen Japan than Candy Japan.

Just this spring I got a Hobonichi planner sent from Japan to EU. It's not sold in Europe and in addition to great format it has unbelievable paper (Tomoe River) that is extremely thin yet opaque and works great with fountain pen.

Also Pilot (incl Namiki fp range) has always surprised me with the design, workability and ergonomics that has been put into each and every little writing instrument Pilot has manufactured, including even the very cheap low end.

Stationary geeks and students might find Pen Japan very attractive. There's unbelievable amount of people still into reviewing paper and fountain pens at The Fountain Pen Network forums. Pen Japan would definitely benefit from people having the real recurring need for new paper/notebooks etc.

Pro Tip: Get a cheap Lamy Safari fountain pen + notebooks with decent paper (Clairefontaine/Rhodia is great; Moleskine not that good) -- writing feels natural again even after all the digital pads and keyboards available.

There do seem to be many "non-cute" but just cool / useful stationeries I could send, such as this eraser which is just a bunch of corners instead of being a cube so that you'll always have that best corner part of erasers to use: http://www.amazon.co.jp/%E3%82%B3%E3%82%AF%E3%83%A8-%E6%B6%8...
Maybe you could have two plans: a "cute" and a "serious" one?
That's the plan, but I want to have some more subscribers in the cute plan to feel validated to do this pen japan thing at all. Each plan adds 1-2 days of work to my months.
I don't know where you live, but there is a pretty nice brick & mortar chain in several US cities that sells a good assortment of Japanese writing implements and paper products.

http://www.mymaido.com/content/4-about-mymaido

They also sell online (convenient for things like pen refills).

Fascinating post, and so glad that things are going well.

Very tempted by Pen Japan, although trying to sign up by Paypal looks like it's going to subscribe you to Candy Japan instead.

Will give it another try later on. Congratulations again!

Thanks, that link was going to the wrong place. Fixed.
Hi, how come the mailing address for Pen Japan is in Finland? Is it for tax reasons? and how do you actually get the mail? Thanks and good luck with the new venture!
Actually I am a sole proprietorship registered in Finland, even though I'm living in Japan now.
Why Finland? Are you originally from there, or is there some tax/legal/shipping advantage?
Originally from there. Just momentum, didn't need to figure out how to do my books again.
I love this idea and subscribed after only a minimal amount of waffling, so thanks for doing it. :)

I would like to ask however if there was any specific reason for posting this directly after a batch of packages just went out. Looking at it naively it would seem that it means anyone who learns about your project this way has the maximum wait time ahead of them, on the other hand it's possible that this allows you to include the maximum amount of new customers in the next shipment. Or was it just coincidence? :)

Just coincidence. I was already writing this post since a few days ago and just found some people to read it through and give feedback and completed writing it just now
Is this your full time job now?
Yes, this is the main thing right now.
A thousands separator on the title would be nice. For a moment there, I thought you were making $100k per month.
Great article Bemmu.

I love the professional product photos and the clear "what last month's box" contained photo on your home page. Some of our merchants @ Cratejoy have been experimenting with including a "last month's" box section/photo and have been getting very favorable results.

I'm curious, what is your monthly retention?

Have you done experiments with box contains and how it impacts retention?

We're starting to run optimization experiments where we take the product inventory and try to optimally allocate it amongst all subscribers to maximize retention. So like month 1 subscribers get the exact optimal set of products to make sure they stay subscribed until month 2, etc.

It's awesome that you are doing product surveys. I hope you do them every month. Have you ever considered sharing the results of your product surveys with your suppliers? Frequently that will be a great relationship building thing, maybe even get you better pricing or free product.

Sending the optimal things to people might be good, but it reduces the community aspect of everyone getting the same thing. It's probably a win to send different things, but at this stage I think I want to keep it simple for a while longer.
It also means you can't print up nice inserts listing what is in the box, or have a page on the site listing what is in each month.
Great stuff ... congratulations .... now send me Dars :)
Maybe in the winter months, right now the chocolate would melt while waiting delivery.
There must be better shipping options available in someway. There are vendors on Ebay in China/HK/Singapore that can ship US$1 items, including batteries, their Ebay and Paypal commissions and free shipping[1]. I have no idea how they do it, but they do.

You could probably shave off some shipping costs by putting all of your packages into one crate from Japan to one of these locales and tranship from there.

[1] one example: http://www.ebay.ca/itm/1x-White-1LED-Kong-Frog-Strobe-Rear-F...

Edit: Part of the allure is receiving the candy direct from JP, but you could pull an Apple and print: "Packaged in _____ Japan".

I had the same thought. It seems like it would be cheaper to send everything over in one crate and then send it out via local post once it's in country. I wonder if that would simplify customs or make it more difficult.
If you have the volume to a particular country.

The odd thing is that international shipping rates are often lower than domestic shipping rates and don't vary much by destination country, so this can be a losing strategy.

International rates are regulated by the Universal Postal Union. Well, the rates that the postal provider pays is regulated, they can charge you as they please. I suspect the rates for the postal providers are just per ton or container, regardless of the number of packages, and in HK/China, they pass on the savings to the sender.

My Square reader came to Canada from somewhere in Europe (I think).

I'll also add that many of my HK/China packages come "Registered". It must be really cheap or free. This can be annoying, and I wonder if it's even optional, or standard.

I suspect there are fulfillment companies that you could inventory with who would have the required volumes per country.....if you weren't doing custom orders (every package is the same each month, or only a few variations) this could work very well. I'd say the revenues are enough that you could even hire a locally based person to do some part time quality control.
Or possibly the Japanese manufacturers/distributors could send the whole batch to some low(er)-cost locale for P&P. It's hard to say whether they'd be more or less amenable to exporting their wares.
If you ship an entire crate over, you'll most certainly trigger any import duties there are.
I was referring to sending a crate to HK, and then having everything trans-shipped from there because shipping from HK appears to be far cheaper than Japan (which I believe has the highest postage rates in the world). There should be no duties as they're goods-in-transit.
Congrats. With regards to the customer support thing: this is something that you can very cleanly outsource to an assistant. Write up your current procedures in a Google doc and share it with a VA. Your options include somebody overseas from you (BCC's is done from the Philippines through a company called Pepper - happy with them) or, due to the unique contours of the employment market for rural Japanese women, you may even find someone in Japan with exceptional English but very poor options careerwise.

My wife's friends who do 内職 (work-at-home jobs compatible with e.g. raising kids) work a lot harder than your CS person needs to for less than $400 a month. If you go down that path, they could also do introductory phone calls to candy manufacturers on your behalf.

Thanks, currently writing that google doc.

Combining customer support with a buyer role in the same person is interesting, hadn't considered that before.

As someone bootstrapping from Seoul, I think there's something to patio11's idea. A related untapped market for recruiting is: Japanese women who came to the US to be with their partners studying/working in the States. The Korean equivalent is something I want to tap into in the future.

Bemmu, thanks for the post. Can I ask which support ticket solution you're using now, and how you like it?

This is an interesting point, in regards to hiring someone from (rural) Japan to take care of customer service. I suspect a difficulty you would face is finding someone who speaks English well enough to serve your English speaking clientele.

Along this vein, I'm in Taiwan this summer, and it's striking how cheap labor is. An English speaking, sometimes even US educated, assistant costs $600 per month. That's very low, and competitive with higher end VA rates.

But you would have trouble finding labor of that quality on eLance/oDesk/etc. You can get a $400-600 per month VA, but English quality will be relatively low.

I wonder if there is an untapped labor market of quality English speakers in "2nd world" countries who would gladly work from home for $600 per month, but have not been exposed to the opportunities online. How do you tap into that workforce? How do you expose them to a labor sink that is a clearly a net positive value prop? And how do you filter the workers/employers such that both are happy with the arrangement?

You don't even necessarily have to have them be abroad relative to the US -- I just suggested Japan because the business and its suppliers happen to be based here. Bingo Card Creator made, hmm, $1X0,000 off of ~2.5 years of a New Mexico schoolteacher's very, very part-time labor in creating bingo cards. I'd have to look at the books from like 2008 through 2011 but I recall it totally on the order of $3,000 or so -- $100 a month with $100 extra at Christmas.

There exist many people in the United States who have talents which a) have no commercial viability at present but b) would be commercially viable if supported by the appropriate software. Many of them are in situations where ~$X00 a month pings their "Very worth my time to talk about this" radar.

I remember seeing your original post on this. Still somewhat iffy on it but I subscribed. Thinking I'll dump my graze subscription soon.
Awesome! You're obviously not struggling, but before long it might be worth reworking the site's aesthetic and branding? I honestly don't know at all how much it matters, but I'm gonna throw out some unsolicited design critique in case it's helpful.

- Tragically, King did sink their teeth into the word "candy", so using it in a candy-color outlined gradient logotype strongly evokes mobile games. May not matter, but it sends a mixed message.

- Only use the good photography. If you're shooting in a studio now, you can cycle out all the iPhone shots, which are contributing to a kind of "man-of-the-people candy blog" vibe, versus a "place that will send me awesome candy" vibe.

Images like this: http://www.japanstyle.info/wordpress/wp-content/images//2011... make me curious and hungry, images like this: http://www.candyjapan.com/static/japanese-candy.jpg remind me of being told to check Halloween candy for razors.

- Lead with the photography. Right now, if I don't already have an idea of what "japanese candy" is, I'm not excited. It's cliche, but even just changing the title text to lightly shadowed white and sticking full-width high quality candy photos behind it in a carousel would be way more engaging.

- Consider folding the "Are you still active?" section into the title pitch. If this is a concern people have, you don't want them to have to scroll through the rest of the page to resolve it. Could be worth testing something like "Order now to be included in the July 15th shipment!".

- A more broad observation: The service (including the totally adorable "how it works" comic strip) seems to be pitched heavily towards something like American Otaku culture. In my experience, though, classmates would define social groups around being into manga, or wanting to learn Japanese-- but when a classmate would come back from Japan with some never-before-seen candy, everyone was excited.

That's just my take, anyway. Good luck!

I am going to throw some unsolicited critique as well, to both your critique and the site.

Bemmu,

I do agree that the aesthetic of the site did not totally give me a lot of confidence. It does look a little amateurish. Seeing the pictures of the past shipments helped up the confidence and the YouTube videos did that as well. While I only watched one video, I think you could include more branding. Throw a 3 or 4 second blurb in the beginning with just your web address and tagline, and maybe a 15 or 30 second message at the end. These videos with show up for people who do Google searches Japanese candy. That's your target market. Also include a little about the service in the video description. I think you are missing an opportunity to be able to add unobtrusive advertising.

I'd slightly disagree with icushman's take on the logo, the photography and who the service is broadcast to. I think King's "claim" on the candy logo is fleeting and probably doesn't have must effect on a customer. The "man-of-the-people candy blog" guy is exactly the sort of person I would order something like this from. I have more confidence thinking this is legit if it is a candy aficionado behind it than someone who is in it for the business aspect. Also, I think that the anime/manga vibe of the cartoon is fine. I'd think that anyone who was turned off by that wouldn't have been interested in ordering Japanese candy to begin with.

Getting back to the web site, I'd say try to highlight the testimonials from other websites more. On first pass, I missed those at the top. Highlight them more, maybe run them across the page as is the trend these days. You also ask people to subscribe before they have seen anything of what the service is.

The "Are you still active?" section implies to me there was a problem. It makes it seem as if customers are asking you questions like, "Hey, it's been a while, am I going to get a box or what" or "You had an interruption in service, did you get back up and running again?"

Finally, maybe have a section for testimonials. Maybe even have your customers send a picture of themselves enjoying the box, preferably outside in a way which shows the different parts of the world you send to. It would speak a lot to legitimacy and even community.

Either way, congrats on passing the $10K MRR threshold, you are obviously doing a lot of things right. Cheers and best of luck!

I put that "are you still active" there, because sometimes when I visit older websites I wonder if they are still in operation. I guess I could show that more indirectly by just showing recent content.
You could also get around it by having some kind of constantly updated status, like "XXXXX Packages shipped in June 2014!"
XXXX packages shipped as of June 2014. Larger number :)
Hey, randomly clicking around your Pen Japan site, and got the form to request review stuff. Looks like you copy/pasted from Candy Japan, as it refers to Candy Japan instead of Pen Japan.

Cool ideas!

Congrats Bemmu! I love reading these status updates by people such as yourself and patio11. The other added benefit is that both of you live in Japan, where I hope to one day live, and both of you are running your own companies from there. Also I am loving the Candy you have been sending lately, so keep up the good work!
It's very tempting, but I am a bit of a paranoid about the Fukishima disaster still not fixed and the possible food contamination.
Thank you for sharing your story. Congrats on your success. These monthly subscription packages seem to be very in right now.
Why are you using Recurly instead of Paypal? Isn't that much more expensive? It says $100 for 25 users...plus royalty.
I'm using both, since not everyone loves PayPal. Also I was very curious about how to accept "direct" credit card payments, so wanted to set it up for that reason alone.

Recurly isn't super cheap, but it's a very slick interface for browsing payments and looking at stats. With PayPal I feel strong hesitation to go to their site as they are always very slow.

Recurly also helps collect payments even when credit cards expire by sending reminder emails to customers with a customer-facing interface where they can change their details. I think recently they are even doing some magic to automatically update expired cards: "For Mastercard® and Visa® credit cards, we’ll automatically apply the latest account credit card information when there’s an updated credit card number or expiration date." https://blog.recurly.com/2014/05/new-feature-automatically-u...

I only had one pair of friends who I thought would subscribe. I would be more likely to subscribe to a "random cool stuff from Japan box" if it were around the same cost.
Hi Bemmu, congratulations.

Do you have any costumers in Brazil? What are the delivery times? Do they report anything relating to this, and import duties? I'm almost subscribing.

Yes, there are several Brazilian subscribers. Delivery is about 3 weeks after each shipment (which go out on 14th and 28th of each month).