Because the citizens have been indoctrinated to not believe in public works and public goods.
Hence everything has to be privatized, and if something gives little or no incentive for profit, it should not exist (like municipal fiber or proper universal health care).
With the big exception of the army and the police of course, where it's handy that the multitide of common citizens fund the resource-grabbing and property protection of the few.
Highways are shit? I'm from Europe, but have drove lots in the US, and the US interstate system is one of the best in the world. Definitely not "shit".
What do you compare it to? The Auto-bahn in Germany? That's like 1/100 the length.
Heck, even Route 66 is mighty fine compared to other places, and that's not even officially supported anymore, nor the main road.
All I know is that weeks after the 2011 earthquake/tsunami in Japan, a section of major highway that was destroyed was completely rebuilt and supporting full vehicular traffic. Meanwhile back in Connecticut, the construction on I-84 never, EVER seems to finish and there's always jams and slowdowns because of it.
"Because the citizens have been indoctrinated to not believe in public works and public goods."
Really? By whom? Where?
Trust in government hasn't collapsed due to a sudden lack of people advocating government solutions for everything in the past 50 years. In a nutshell, it's collapsed due to government not being able to deliver on a great deal of what it promises. It's simply irrational for the public to pretend that the government has some sort of spotless track record over the past 50 years.
Given how many of those failed promises have been infrastructure projects themselves, it would bode poorly for trying to fix this distrust with yet another one.
And remember, if you're inclined to start making excuses for why the public may not trust the government, you simply end up explaining why the public doesn't trust the government, it doesn't make the mistrust go away. Consider that a list of problems to be attacked before the government has the moral capital to spend again on such infrastructure projects. (One rather potent way of looking at the government's trust problems is its repeated willingness by government officials to spend that trust without putting a lot of effort into depositing into that account.)
By the prevalent public discourse ever since the 50's at least.
>* In a nutshell, it's collapsed due to government not being able to deliver on a great deal of what it promises.*
Seems to be able to deliver just fine in Germany or Denmark for example. It might no be infallible, but then is there any private entity that is?
>And remember, if you're inclined to start making excuses for why the public may not trust the government, you simply end up explaining why the public doesn't trust the government, it doesn't make the mistrust go away.
If you change "making excuses" to "finding the causes", then it's actually the very first step to "making the mistrust go away".
How can you believe in the public works if as a result you get a 6.5 billion bridge that has to be fixed less than a year after being built and is highly likely to fall apart after the next major earthquake? And what was the cost of that healthcare.gov website?
1. High speed rail is an order of magnitude more expensive than interstate highways. The cost effectiveness of the mass moving people via train vs. via highways (buses, carpool lanes included) is still an active debate.
2. The author cites that many folks use interstate highways daily. That may be true but that vast majority of those commutes are 50 miles or less. High speed rail only becomes cost and time effective over much longer distances. Which fraction of the population need to frequently travel to cities greater than 50 miles away? It's a small subset of the population (and skewed towards wealthier citizens). Roads are much more democratic -- they are available to anyone with a car.
3. While his argument about traffic is correct... where is most of the traffic on interstate highways? Answer: around major cities. The traffic is mostly local commuter traffic that high speed rail would not solve.
Planes are going to become very expensive in the next 30-40 years, unless we come up with a cheap alternative to the energy density of petroleum. One advantage of trains is that they don't have to carry their fuel.
I live in the middle of Nebraska. I don't need it either.
I live in the middle of Nevada. I don't need it either.
I live in the middle of North Dakota . I don't need it either.
I'm just messing with you. Do people ever stop and think before adding noise to the conversation? You seriously don't have a point.
As someone who has flown from northern california to southern california a number of times, it in no way takes 2.5+ hours, including all of the "airport & airplane BS".
Proposed HSR times from SF->LA are about 2.5 hours. If there is no security and you are comfortable arriving a few minutes before the train leaves, thats that. Realistically, I'd think you'd need to arrive 15 mins ahead of time or more.
Flights from SF->LA take about an hour. In my experience 30-40 minutes is plenty of time for "airport BS", but even if you give it an hour, you're at 2 hours, not over 2.5.
I am all for HSR, but saying that it is faster than air travel is a baseless argument.
That's all well and good, if you live in one airport and are traveling to another one. Realistically, it's going to take you another hour or two just getting from your point of departure to the first airport, and from the second to your actual destination.
Rail tends to have stations actually in the actual cities, which is an awful lot more convenient.
Yes and no. It is a very few more minutes for me to get from work to the airport than to the train station. It takes less time for me to drive from home to the airport than to drive to the train station.
If you live in the city or are going to the city, it's more convenient. If you live in the suburbs, or are visiting someone in the suburbs, maybe not so much.
>that vast majority of those commutes are 50 miles or less. High speed rail only becomes cost and time effective over much longer distances. Which fraction of the population need to frequently travel to cities greater than 50 miles away?
Maybe the distance of those commutes are related to the times it takes? Would the average commute grow in distance if the time decreased?
Can't find the references now, but yes it does - the tolerance of commute times is pretty static; in historical cases where you improve traffic infrastructure, then after a few years the result is not faster commutes but people living further away; presumably in better or more affordable housing than was previously within their acceptable-commuting-time range.
It has all sorts of implications for life/work, where it could open up options for smaller towns; however, the problem becomes one of efficiency for the rail, as it can't slow down at every small town with a minor population unless it really was a feeder to the big city. I think it just reinforces travel between hubs (metropolitan areas, which still might have last-mile problems that Google, Uber, Lyft, etc. focus on).
I think it also increases the viability of what a "local ecosystem" entails. Suddenly, a manufacturing town that's normally an airplane away is a couple hours, so it's easier to establish a relationship and coordinate between two currently disconnected sectors.
> High speed rail is an order of magnitude more expensive than interstate highways.
Only when being installed. When operating, the true cost per passenger mile is much lower than for interstate highways and cars. It's best to avoid misleading economic comparisons.
A bus is more expensive than a car, but the cost per passenger mile is much lower.
A commercial airliner is hugely more expensive than a car, but an airplane ride from A to B is cheaper than an equivalent car journey for most trips.
> The traffic is mostly local commuter traffic that high speed rail would not solve.
False choice. Cities have sophisticated, multi-level rail and surface mass transit systems for a reason -- they make economic sense.
> Roads are much more democratic -- they are available to anyone with a car.
I have to ask -- who are you working for? Your arguments are all paper-thin, easily torn to pieces. Roads and cars are democratic? More democratic than a seat in mass transit?
> Only when being installed. When operating, the true cost per passenger mile is much lower than for interstate highways and cars. It's best to avoid misleading economic comparisons.
Well, the interstate highways are already installed.
> Only when being installed. When operating, the true cost per passenger mile is much lower than for interstate highways and cars. It's best to avoid misleading economic comparisons.
Installation costs would be included in your cost per passenger per mile (though likely amortized over the usable lifetime or augmented with maintenance/upgrade costs). But overall I agree with you that perhaps the cost per passenger per mile works out favorably for high speed rail for trips of a certain length (I address that in a different point). I am just pointing out factors the author glossed over.
> False choice. Cities have sophisticated, multi-level rail and surface mass transit systems for a reason -- they make economic sense.
What false choice? I am pointing out that traffic around cities is NOT predominately inter-state traffic but local commuter traffic. I agree that city transit can be very cost effective and eliminate local road congestion. However this is all ancillary to the high speed rail argument. High Speed rail is not used for local commuter traffic which I am characterizing as 50 miles or less. High speed rail (and the national funding associated with it) will not solve local city congestion.
> I have to ask -- who are you working for? Your arguments are all paper-thin, easily torn to pieces. Roads and cars are democratic? More democratic than a seat in mass transit?
I work for a software company as a developer :) So clearly I am the authority on high speed rail. I disagree that my arguments are "paper-thin" and easily torn to pieces. As far as my democratic statement I will expound as it was used in a context that your quote eliminated. High Speed rail is useful for longer distance travel where speed (time) matters. The frequent (daily/weekly) users of this system are skewed towards the very wealthy who have commutes/business travel that travel distances where high speed rail is cost effective. Thus using federal subsidies (which are pooled for the entire population) to fund a service for a fraction of the population is a hard sell in a democratic government. Roads are an easier sell since most citizens own (or could own) a car and have travel needs that fall within the radius where car (or local mass transit) is cost effective.
You need to realize that, if high-speed rail and the other discussed modes of transport compared poorly to highway travel in economic terms, governments would stop supporting them. The opposite is true -- alternatives to highway travel in individual cars are becoming much more popular, except in the U.S., where car ownership isn't a choice, it's a religion.
You're right, government officials never support programs that are economically inefficient. Especially large, sexy programs that get tons of media coverage and often get a politician's name associated with them. Nope, those are the first to get the ax when it's determined that there are more economically efficient, less sexy alternatives.
> You need to realize that, if high-speed rail and the other discussed modes of transport compared poorly to highway travel in economic terms, governments would stop supporting them.
I am sorry but this argument is not gonna fly. Saying that governments are infallible and make perfect decisions or trend toward perfect decisions is simply not correct.
And assuming you mean democratic governments this makes even less sense.
> Saying that governments are infallible and make perfect decisions or trend toward perfect decisions is simply not correct.
In that case, I'm glad only you said it -- I never did. Government is the art of the possible, and politicians generally know how to avoid being thrown out of office. Avoiding decisions that have no public support, choosing only those that have some public support, that's something politicians are good at. It's the political version of crowdsourcing.
> And assuming you mean democratic governments this makes even less sense.
You serious? Finding out what the voters want is even more important in a democracy than it would be in a totalitarian state. Political opinion sampling is why France and Japan have high-speed rail, and it's why the U.S. doesn't.
I would disagree with your comments about finding options that have public support. Consider net neutrality. Who in the broad public outside those companies is in favor of the telecom companies extracting a toll from the content networks? Yet it remains a topic because politicians know they can get funding and connections from those companies if they can force through the legislation. Public support is not a core part of modern governance, partially because the public does not hold politicians on either side of the aisle accountable.
not to get into the nuances of how modern democracies work but thinking that politicians are constantly crowdsourcing the best ideas and using that information to guide them is an incredible naive view of how modern democracies (usually democratic republic with additional branches that contain a mixture of elected and appointed officials).
Politicians in a modern democracy do indeed need to stay elected but that is typically independent of what a true, unfettered democracy would produce. Some of this is by design -- a pure democracy would be largely unworkable. At best too fractured and at worst everyone would vote for more benefits and less (no) taxes at the expense of national debt for a future generation.
Mostly politicians vote for what keeps them in office. Which as we see in the US is typically special interest groups and powerful lobbists.
True crowdsourcing occurs in free market economies. We could go there :) The libertarian would say if high speed rail was so in demand and made such economic sense then why arent companies scrambling to take advantage of a market inefficiency to make gobs of money?
>but an airplane ride from A to B is cheaper than an equivalent car journey for most trips.
Anyone with a family knows this blatantly false. Family of four form SFO to SAN ~$700 - 1K on a plane. Gas at 30mpg is $132 round trip. Add in a $100 each way if you are renting a car for one day, one direction, and you are barely at half the cost of the cheapest flight.
For an individual it's much closer to true. The larger the group the larger the savings from amortizing the costs of the vehicular trip across the group.
So it's not so much blatantly false as dependent on the size of the group traveling. Not to mention to really compare apples and oranges you would have to compare the airlines costs to transport an average airplane load vs the equivalent number of people traveling by road.
I have no idea what that comparison works out to but it would not surprise me if the plane wins there.
>False choice. Cities have sophisticated, multi-level rail and surface mass transit systems for a reason -- they make economic sense.
The constant financial troubles of all of the rail systems in the Bay Area seem to tell a different story. It's almost as if everything is not as black and white as you believe...
> I have to ask -- who are you working for? Your arguments are all paper-thin, easily torn to pieces. Roads and cars are democratic? More democratic than a seat in mass transit?
This is not at all constructive. And I believe the author probably meant "individualistic" rather than "democratic."
There are no sound reasons for investing in passenger rail in the US now. The current system is already meeting demand, and on a national level all lines except the North East Corridor requires heavy subsidy.
If there were a pent up demand for it, it would have happened. We could artificially create demand by jacking up the price of petrol, but then we are taking choice away from the consumer.
Building better, faster trains is hardly a guarantee that they will be used. My experience (which I admit is purely subjective) is that people who want nicer trains already use them. I live in a major transit corridor to NYC, and the folks who already ride the train would love it to be faster and nicer, but would they pay the higher prices? Why are they all taking slow NJ Transit instead of high speed Amtrak?
> We could artificially create demand by jacking up the price of petrol, but then we are taking choice away from the consumer.
Jacking up the price of petrol doesn't take away choice. It may be internalizing the massive externalities associated with the use of petroleum based fuels and making the choice better reflect net utilities (including disutilities experienced by people outside of individual purchase decisions as a result of those decisions), or it may be artificially creating a new externality so that the decisions less-accurately reflect real net utilities, but in either case its not removing choice.
> There are no sound reasons for investing in passenger rail in the US now.
There are no viable political reasons to invest in high-speed rail. Americans love their cars, the interstate highway system is in place, that's a lot of inertia to overcome with economic arguments.
In Europe and Japan, on the other hand, high-speed rail is booming. One of the reasons is that the prior infrastructure was substantially destroyed in WWII, allowing more options than we Americans have. Also, it's possible that Europeans aren't quite as crazy about cars as we are.
> Building better, faster trains is hardly a guarantee that they will be used.
That's certainly true, and it's probably a big argument against high-speed rail, especially when you read the recent history of Amtrak, which has always struggled to find riders. On the other hand, Amtrak has always been a "Me too" mode of transport, a niche, a novelty for the curious.
If we were deciding this without an interstate highway system and a huge, well-established car culture, I think it would be a different debate.
Which fraction of the population need to frequently travel to cities greater than 50 miles away?
How many people needed cellphones in the 1950s?
You can't measure how many people travel to cities greater than 50 miles away today and extrapolate that to a future with high-speed rail, because it may be that the reason they don't do it is: they don't have an affordable way to do it.
this is a point I can agree with/ponder especially as a techie
the problem is hard though...you could pay for long bureaucratic studies on whether this would pan out or not
or you just do it
problem is that building the cell phone was several orders of magnitude cheaper than plopping down $100B for high speed rail infrastructure. Definitely not the business model of "launch fast and iterate". Which is probably why its hard for this forum to debate it.
Speaking of the northeast corridor specifically, there is a crap ton of bureaucracy inhibiting the construction of a high speed line.
Think of all of the state/municipal level governments and unions that have to be satisfied before any deal is struck. This would essentially mix NYC, Jersey, Philly, Baltimore, and D.C. politics into one huge pile of WTF.
We couldn't even get a riverfront project going in Philadelphia because not enough (of the powers that be) palms were greased.
Only way this could be possible is if some benevolent Palpatine-esqe dictator comes along and makes shit happen.
Eh, I think the biggest problem is just right-of-way issues. It's easiest to build high-speed rail if you are starting from scratch, instead of trying to work around an active commuter rail line and an existing Amtrak service. But obtaining the necessary right-of-way to do a new build in the Northeast would be extremely expensive.
The problem European countries have with the high-speed trains is that they are not as cheap as normal (slow) trains, and by introducing the high-speed ones they retired many cheap ones - that were slower but still got you there. This reduced the number of travelers, forcing even higher prices to cover the expenses - so they are now not very far from plane tickets.
This is somewhat true in the US as well even for not-so-high-speed trains. Acela is priced to compete with air. It's about 2x the price of the Northeast Regional Amtrak trains even though it only shaves maybe 25%-35% (1-1.5 hours for Boston to NY) off the time .
And, actually, for longer routes (e.g. Boston to Chicago), even regular trains are only competitive with planes at best--and if you want a sleeper car for a 20 hour trip you can be looking at $1,000 one way.
Cross-border yes. The European railway network isn't very integrated yet (though the EU has some initiatives underway), so cross-border ticketing is generally bad: inconvenient and expensive. Only Deutsche Bahn's bahn.de even has a semblance of an international online ticketing system, and it's far from complete. International tickets also have a habit of ending up charging you full fare, which (like with full-fare plane tickets) is way too high.
Within individual countries is where rail has the most market-share in Europe, and advance-ticket purchases are priced like planes, with steep discounts from full-fare prices, varying with demand. People take high-speed trains on routes like Barcelona–Madrid and Lyon-Paris, and without the German ICE network. And many people do prefer the train on those routes: the Barcelona–Madrid air shuttle lost half of its passengers after the AVE line to Barcelona opened.
I just checked, you can get a ticket from FRA to AMS and back for about 108 EUR (~ 150 USD) if you buy them a few days early and choose a favorable time-slot (full price, second class). I even did that trip some time in the last three years and the price is about right.
Train rides in western Europe are not that expensive and certainly not worth the hassle with airplanes over such short distances. Also, you can buy 25% and 50% discount cards for all tickets for a year for only a few EUR's. (25% for a year = 62 EUR, 50% for 515 EUR for inland travel in Germany).
The US got into air transportation with much more enthusiasm than Europe and this combined with our love affair with the automobile pretty much negated a need or desire for trains. For the longest time traveling between countries in Europe could be met with restriction or such, the distances most traveled were not that great. In the US, it wasn't uncommon to travel hundreds if not a thousand miles on the big family vacation and you had three ways to get there.
High Speed rail might have some applications in some congested corridors, most likely only in the North East, but for the rest - air travel isn't that expensive.
I would argue that air travel has become very expensive. I hardly can get a ticket, even for hour-long flights, for less than $400.
Most Americans cannot afford that (take your two kids, and its $1600). Combine it with the increased price of gas, and many Americans cannot afford to travel outside their hometowns. We need better public transit.
There's always Greyhound. I honestly don't mean that facetiously. If air is too expensive and driving is too expensive, there are always buses-- though I doubt they'd be cheaper for a a family of 4 than driving,
The USA does not need a high-speed rail system. The interstate system and airport network is sufficient. Between high trafficked short-distance corridors? Fine.
What the USA needs is modern commuter rail supported by a network of private short-trip mini-buses. This would have the most significant impact for lowest cost.
And rail can be maglev, monorail, hyperloop - whatever is the most economical. As long as terminals are supported by frequent ground transit to fill the gap.
Commuter rail is also a much smaller, cheaper target to reach for. And it would have a much greater impact on the quality of life in urban and suburban areas.
However, the barriers to commuter rail in much of the country are stupid and entrenched. In Raliegh, NC, the main barrier to commuter rail is a county commissioner who believes in some absurd conspiracy theories [1].
So look at Japan. Japan is 152,000 ish square miles.
The United States is 3,717,000 sq miles that are already crisscrossed with Interstates, plus a great deal of air travel infrastructure, plus low-speed rail.
It may not be obvious, but rail crashed in the U.S. More
than once. There were worthless railroad stock certificates in many attics. These now have actual numismatic value. Then it crashed again after Eisenhower built the Interstate.
China is 3,704,000 sq. miles but doesn't have Interstates to the same extent that the U.S. does.
The U.S. does pretty well with low speed rail for freight and to a lesser extent, passenger service. But the infrastructure in the U.S. is based on 50 year old technology. China should be able to do much better and by doing so, the U.S. should develop a twinge of envy and possibly emulate them, if it makes sense.
The U.S. should ( IMO ) do a lot more "moon shot" things but it didn't work out. I watched this in real time after the moon landing. The shuttle was cool and all, but it was nothing compared to what could have been. We said "BTDT" and went to the disco.
When it comes down to it, the U.S. is a lot about granite countertops and not much else. I will not say why I think that is.
But the geometry of the way the U.S. is laid out means that you can spend a great deal on air transport before you get to break even with high-speed rail.
I completely agree with you but also feel like the big problem is people tend to state it as a case of "why the country, as a whole, needs high speed rail" and as you point out the vast majority of country really doesn't. Or at least doesn't think they do. We'd benefit greatly if we instead looked at it as a case of "why [state/city] should have high speed rail".
High speed rail from NYC to LA, while it may be cool and might be a nice big engineering challenge, really just doesn't appeal to most people. But if I, in central NJ, could take a train into Manhattan in under 2 hours, that would actually be incredibly useful and I'd love to be able to. Right now the time and cost of me taking a train from here to DC is prohibitively high compared to driving or taking a flight. These regional cases are where high speed (or at least higher speed) rail would really shine in my opinion.
The problem is that it makes sense in the densest areas of the country, but because it's so dense it then ends up being the most expensive areas of the country to implement.
Agreed, and combined with NIMBY it'll be damn near impossible to build in densely populated areas. NJ Transit has been dealing with this for decades as people keep claiming they want more rail lines but don't want them in their own towns, they want them in the next town over so they don't have to hear the train. There's no reason to believe that trying to build a high speed line wouldn't face the exact same complaints.
And the reason why the rail cost from central Jersey to DC is so high, is that NY to Washington is the only route where Amtrak (with existing technology) is a serious competitor to air travel.
While the time in the air between NY and DC is 35 minutes, the hassle of arriving at the airport early for check-in, actually getting to LGA, JFK or Newark and getting from Dulles, BWI or National to your location, make traveling by rail (Acela 2 hours 45 minutes) a real competitor.
The argument, I suppose, is that high speed rail could increase this competitiveness to other cities outside the northeast corridor.
> California's high-speed rail progress—its proposed San Francisco-to-Los Angeles line remains the only truly fast train project in the country—is the exception that proves the rule; that state's size makes it no example for the rest of the nation.
California's rail plan is a lie and a joke. It won't end up being "high speed" rail. It's a waste of taxpayer money. It's another way for politicians to line the pockets of their contributors.
The electric, self-driving cars we will certainly have in less time than this rail system could be built will be using existing infrastructure - the highway system - to transport us, congestion-free and at higher speeds, to absolutely any city on the map - whether they have a train station or not.
Why waste money on a rail system when the whole country is going to look like the car scenes in Minority Report in a couple decades?
I don't really think that's the future. The most comfortable commute I ever had was the Metro North into Manhattan from Westchester. Can't beat having a bathroom on your commute. Can't beat the physics of rail having lower friction than car tires (especially at higher speeds). In a place like Manhattan, I see self driving cars as a replacement for taxis, not trains. Outside of Manhattan, well who cares about those places?
It's hard to say given that 1.) We're talking decades from now and 2.) We would have to make a lot of assumptions about things like how widespread self-driving car availability would affect congestion.
What I can say is that driving from my house in Massachusetts to Manhattan today is both cheaper and faster than taking the Acela by the time you count getting to the train station and getting to my hotel on the other end. I still usually take the train as it's more pleasant--at least if it's just me. If I had a driver (AI or otherwise), probably not.
Neither of these has any chance of being true. Highways near any sort of metropolitan area, or near a spur leading to a metropolitan area, or even often near a connector leading to another major highway, are already massively congested. Autonomous automobiles making even more people want to use them will only make it that much worse.
And even safe, self-driving cars operating outside of traffic can only travel at a fraction the speed of rail.
Not a fan of the essay style where you dismiss a bunch of possible reasons with single sentences, then spend paragraphs talking about the one part you want to talk about. It overly simplifies issues.
Well, the business model is hard to get right. It's faster than plane and car on medium distances, but capital costs are enormous compared to either. As far as I know HSR can only be directly profitable with insane population density (Japan). I believe it can be a net economic win for society in general, but a certain kind of government and populace is required to consider that kind of argument.
> Well, the business model is hard to get right. It's faster than plane and car on medium distances, but capital costs are enormous compared to either.
Consider the climate impact costs. Part of the problem is that airlines and car owners externalize a significant cost, making those modes of transportation seem relatively less expensive. In reality, everyone else covers those costs.
Off topic but the graph of trust in the government in Washington descending from 73% to 19% is striking. Now there's a system that looks like it could do with disrupting or fixing or something like that.
I think the problem is not national will, but cost. In my experience (in Korea, and Europe) is that high speed rail is heavily subsidized, but still not competitive with air travel.
> we have a political system in which the federal government, having devolved virtually all decision-making power to states
That's definitely not true. Just look at the ACA.
> California's high-speed rail progress—its proposed San Francisco-to-Los Angeles line remains the only truly fast train project in the country—is the exception that proves the rule; that state's size makes it no example for the rest of the nation.
Yeah let's just pretend that California's train to nowhere is an example other states should emulate.
We can't build high speed trains because: (1) the government is corrupt, incompetent and beholden to interest groups and (2) the public doesn't really want them.
The best example of public transportation the US has is probably NYC and it really isn't all that great. It's dirty, slow, unreliable, crowded and surprisingly expensive. (at 100$/mo owning a car in almost any other city in the US is cheaper)
NYC system is not slow, nor unreliable. Yes, dirty-ish but I'd trade some hygiene for reliability, 24/7 access and speed. It's also not expensive especially if you work in the city and get a pre-tax unlimited card. It also costs way more than $100/month to own a card in NYC.
Not to mention the cost of the car! A really rough estimate of what I spent on my car in the 9 years that I owned one in California:
$11k: insurance ($1200/yr, a bargain for a 20-something male)
$8k: depreciation (bought at $18k, sold at $10k)
$4k: gas (~50k miles @ 35 mpg, ~$3/gal)
$3k: maintenance (very good luck on this one)
$2k: tolls, parking, etc. (infrequent for me)
Works out to about $260/mo. Not terrible, but a noticeable part of my budget. And I managed to go 9 years without a single accident, major maintenance issue, or run-in with traffic cops, any of which could easily have caused things to add up to a considerably higher number.
>> we have a political system in which the federal government, having devolved virtually all decision-making power to states
> That's definitely not true. Just look at the ACA.
Well, if the author studied history he would have known that our political system is that where states came together and decided to devote some decision-making power to the federal government. As time passed this federal government usurped as much power as it could but apparently for some people it's still not enough.
"The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people."
In a democracy, the people get to decide how much power the federal government will have. You might feel it's too much, others might disagree. It's settled by majority vote.
> Not if you read the Constitution. This question is not up for a simple majority vote.
The Constitution creates a framework; almost all political decisions are majority votes (as interpreted through our political institutions). I don't agree that the federal government has usurped too much power in general (though there are specific cases); which one of us is right is decided by majority vote.
So you think that if people decide to take any power away from the Federal government it will be possible to accomplish it by a vote that will be conducted by that same government? Highly unlikely that it will ever happen and that it why there are strict limitations on the power of Federal government in the Constitution. Unfortunately upholding the Constitution does not seem to be a popular trend in today's politics.
Where can you own, and presumably drive, a car for less than $100/mo?
Even if you assume parking is free on both ends of your journey and that the car was given to you for free, there is no way you are spending less than $100 a month. Gas alone probably gets you close to $100. Then you add on registration and insurance and ongoing maintenance costs. I want to live in this fantasy world where cars are "cheaper"
> The best example of public transportation the US has is probably NYC and it really isn't all that great. It's dirty, slow, unreliable, crowded and surprisingly expensive. (at 100$/mo owning a car in almost any other city in the US is cheaper)
I'll disagree here.
If you live in Manhattan, public transit is fast and efficient. As for "dirty", well it wasn't white glove immaculate, but it isn't covered in filth or human waste.
As for $ of owning a car, I drive very little (my commute to work is a paltry 4 miles!), but just going around on weekends to meet with friends costs me an easy $40/week, making gas alone more than $100/month.
> Yeah let's just pretend that California's train to nowhere is an example other states should emulate.
Hyperloop makes more sense. Personally I'd love to see Hyperloop running down the entire west coast.
>The best example of public transportation the US has is probably NYC and it really isn't all that great. It's dirty, slow, unreliable, crowded and surprisingly expensive. (at 100$/mo owning a car in almost any other city in the US is cheaper)
You obviously don't live in NYC for saying such things.
I love the subway and love the fact that I don't have to take a car to work. It's green (runs off of electricity). I don't have to worry about oil changes, tires, gas, insurance, the initial outlay of a lot of cash for a car... etc. Did I mention its faster than a cab?
I'll give you that it's dirty and crowded (depending on the time). But nothing else.
There are many ways to give '3rd parties' a chance. A simpler one is, let folks vote for ALL acceptable candidates, not just choose one. E.g. vote for your party AND for the compromise candidate. This could drive candidates toward the middle.
No, "vote for all acceptable candidates" is approval voting, a method that uses binary markings (like vote-for-one FPTP voting), but allows multiple marked candidates on each ballot, with (like FPTP) the candidate getting the highest number of marks elected.
Its very different from IRV, which is a forced-ranking method which elects the candidate with the majority of first place rankings if one exists, and if not throws out all votes for the candidate with the lowest number of first place rankings (leaving the next-ranked candidate first on those ballots) and then tries again, repeating until some candidate has a majority of first place rankings.
Neither is, IMO, a particularly good single winner election for candidates for political office (though there are some other uses of voting for which I think Approval is a good method -- for instance, in social situations where opting out of an activity is permissible and an approval vote has a crystalized meaning of "I opt out unless one of the alternatives I've marked is selected, and I commit not to opt out if one of those alternatives is selected"), but they are the most commonly recommended alternatives to the US's more common methods of plurality and majority-runoff vote-for-one elections, probably because they are the alternative mechanisms that are structurally most similar (AV can be viewed as a generalization of plurality -- he who gets the most # of votes wins -- without a vote-for-one restriction, and IRV is simply using a ranked ballot to allow a simple generalization of majority-runoff to be done off a single balloting.)
Another reason for corruption is pay-to-play. A full war chest doesn't guarantee winning the elections, but not having one guarantees that you won't get into parliament. And if you do get in your donors expect some kind of return. Campaign finance return is sorely needed, at the moment the system is plainly corrupt, and that doesn't help the legitimacy of whatever government is in power at the moment.
>> the government is corrupt, incompetent and beholden to interest groups
> Which in turn is because of the 2-party oligopoly.
We were able to accomplish a lot in the 20th century with that 2-party oligopoly. I don't support it, but it's no excuse for our inability to get things done.
>> we have a political system in which the federal government, having devolved virtually all decision-making power to states
> That's definitely not true. Just look at the ACA.
The ACA devolves most power to the states, who run their own exchanges, including the ability to not participate at all. Compare that to other countries (which have much less expensive and more effective health care systems).
> We can't build high speed trains because: (1) the government is corrupt, incompetent and beholden to interest groups and (2) the public doesn't really want them.
I disagree on #1, at least in a relative sense. The US government is relatively clean compared to most, including others that build and manage train systems such as Russia and India.
The problem, IMHO, is the demonization of government by a small group. Due to our political structure that small minority can block government from acting, bringing such gridlock that it can't even raise revenues or pay bills reliably. That reduces the general public's confidence in government's capacity to solve problems, not because something is generally wrong with government but because of the gridlock. Until we solve that problem, nothing else will happen.
There are really only 3 or 4 viable high speed rail corridors in the US:
Northeast Corridor (Boston - Washington DC)
LA - SF
Chicago - NYC
and possibly Seattle - Portland
Beyond that, the traffic densities present are not enough to justify high speed rail - not to mention, even nonstop at 200 mph from LA/SF/Seattle to Chicago (or any eastern point) is a minimum of 10 hours in transit, versus 3ish to fly.
> Beyond that, the traffic densities present are not enough to justify high speed rail
Remember that building transit infrastructure will also create new traffic!
As an example, park and rides an hour out from Seattle are packed full of cars every day. Busses are then packed full of people every day heading into the city from as much as 40 miles out.
IMHO what would be more interesting would be Vancouver BC --> Bellingham --> Midway to Seattle --> Seattle --> Tacoma --> Portland
Of course going across the boarder makes this impractical. :(
What would be interesting to me would be a Seattle<->Spokane HS line. Maybe it could run along the Empire Builder route? The cities are separated by around 280 miles using I-90 and flights take around an hour tarmac-to-tarmac. If you flew tomorrow the flight would cost around $200 RT. But you have to fly via Seatac which isn't exactly convenient if you're going to the city. The Amtrak station is right downtown in both cities. Such a connection could bring some much-needed economic development to Spokane, and might even turn it into a bedroom community of Seattle for some people - the economics might work out considering that a $1M house in Seattle might run you $200K here.
I think Chicago-NYC is doable because of the traffic densities present. - There are some other worthwhile routes too - Check out the ridership table here: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Amtrak_routes
It could be that the US's high-risk/high-reward/failure-positive ethic means that elastic transportation routings are more economically valuable than fixed-segment trains.
A train is 10% better than a jet from SF to LA. A train is much worse than a jet for SF to NY. All other pairings -- or so one might argue -- are so much lesser in density that the elasticity of roads is vastly preferable.
> A train is 10% better than a jet from SF to LA. A train is much worse than a jet for SF to NY. All other pairings -- or so one might argue -- are so much lesser in density that the elasticity of roads is vastly preferable.
I think there are many other possibilities, and also many people live in cities of hundreds of thousands, all over America, and they'd like to travel too.
* The NE corridor, from DC to Boston, of course. Maybe south to NC
* Chicago - Indianapolis - Cincinnati - Columbus - Pittsburgh - Cleveland - Detroit (- Toronto) (That would include a spur or two, of course.) And what about people in Green Bay and Grand Rapids?
* The Florida cities, maybe up to Atlanta or West to New Orleans
Article seems kind of ludicrous. It weirdly blames Federalism, ignores the airlines, the auto industry and the rail freight business, all which would stand to lose if public transportation dollars and regulation moved to significant passenger rail investment.
tl;dr: Basically, it's because the population density is too low.
High speed rail is great for population centers that are 300 miles apart, but not so great for ones that are 1500 miles apart. The competition there is primarily the airplane, and the time difference grows with distance. So does the cost difference. (You only need an airport in each city, no matter how far apart they are, but you need a mile of railroad for each mile of distance.)
The problem, then, is that the US doesn't have enough population centers that are big enough and close enough to each other. The northeast corridor (from Boston to Washington DC) is really the only one that fits.
The US has been bought and manipulated by the automobile and oil industries. From early on when GM and others bought the street car networks and shut them down, to lobbying the Eisenhower interstate network in place, this country has been and continues to be built around the idea that everyone should be required to use a car to participate in all aspects of their lives.
In order for an intercity rail network to work, it needs to link dense urban cores that also have useful transit systems. A train between Omaha and Kansas City does no good if you get off the train then face a 14 mile journey through the suburbs to your destination.
2 things need to happen before a rail network makes sense:
1. Urban infill. I know Denver has a policy for this in place, I'm sure others do too. But sooo many city cores have huge tracts of land that are derelict, or unused. New development should be incentivized to make use of this land.
2. Growth boundary regulation. Portland is the best example of this. With out this you get the exurbs and sprawl (sorry to point out Kansas City again, but it is one of the worst offenders here) which demand a car to traverse.
Per an engineer in the train industry [1], an essential requirement is effective mass transit in the cities where the high-speed rail stops. Without that, passengers can't reach the inter-city trains easily enough.
[1] The kind of engineer who designs trains (and related systems), not the kind who drives them.
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[ 2.8 ms ] story [ 192 ms ] threadHence everything has to be privatized, and if something gives little or no incentive for profit, it should not exist (like municipal fiber or proper universal health care).
With the big exception of the army and the police of course, where it's handy that the multitide of common citizens fund the resource-grabbing and property protection of the few.
What do you compare it to? The Auto-bahn in Germany? That's like 1/100 the length.
Heck, even Route 66 is mighty fine compared to other places, and that's not even officially supported anymore, nor the main road.
Really? By whom? Where?
Trust in government hasn't collapsed due to a sudden lack of people advocating government solutions for everything in the past 50 years. In a nutshell, it's collapsed due to government not being able to deliver on a great deal of what it promises. It's simply irrational for the public to pretend that the government has some sort of spotless track record over the past 50 years.
Given how many of those failed promises have been infrastructure projects themselves, it would bode poorly for trying to fix this distrust with yet another one.
And remember, if you're inclined to start making excuses for why the public may not trust the government, you simply end up explaining why the public doesn't trust the government, it doesn't make the mistrust go away. Consider that a list of problems to be attacked before the government has the moral capital to spend again on such infrastructure projects. (One rather potent way of looking at the government's trust problems is its repeated willingness by government officials to spend that trust without putting a lot of effort into depositing into that account.)
By the prevalent public discourse ever since the 50's at least.
>* In a nutshell, it's collapsed due to government not being able to deliver on a great deal of what it promises.*
Seems to be able to deliver just fine in Germany or Denmark for example. It might no be infallible, but then is there any private entity that is?
>And remember, if you're inclined to start making excuses for why the public may not trust the government, you simply end up explaining why the public doesn't trust the government, it doesn't make the mistrust go away.
If you change "making excuses" to "finding the causes", then it's actually the very first step to "making the mistrust go away".
1. High speed rail is an order of magnitude more expensive than interstate highways. The cost effectiveness of the mass moving people via train vs. via highways (buses, carpool lanes included) is still an active debate.
2. The author cites that many folks use interstate highways daily. That may be true but that vast majority of those commutes are 50 miles or less. High speed rail only becomes cost and time effective over much longer distances. Which fraction of the population need to frequently travel to cities greater than 50 miles away? It's a small subset of the population (and skewed towards wealthier citizens). Roads are much more democratic -- they are available to anyone with a car.
3. While his argument about traffic is correct... where is most of the traffic on interstate highways? Answer: around major cities. The traffic is mostly local commuter traffic that high speed rail would not solve.
I'm just messing with you. Do people ever stop and think before adding noise to the conversation? You seriously don't have a point.
Proposed HSR times from SF->LA are about 2.5 hours. If there is no security and you are comfortable arriving a few minutes before the train leaves, thats that. Realistically, I'd think you'd need to arrive 15 mins ahead of time or more.
Flights from SF->LA take about an hour. In my experience 30-40 minutes is plenty of time for "airport BS", but even if you give it an hour, you're at 2 hours, not over 2.5.
I am all for HSR, but saying that it is faster than air travel is a baseless argument.
Rail tends to have stations actually in the actual cities, which is an awful lot more convenient.
Maybe the distance of those commutes are related to the times it takes? Would the average commute grow in distance if the time decreased?
It has all sorts of implications for life/work, where it could open up options for smaller towns; however, the problem becomes one of efficiency for the rail, as it can't slow down at every small town with a minor population unless it really was a feeder to the big city. I think it just reinforces travel between hubs (metropolitan areas, which still might have last-mile problems that Google, Uber, Lyft, etc. focus on).
I think it also increases the viability of what a "local ecosystem" entails. Suddenly, a manufacturing town that's normally an airplane away is a couple hours, so it's easier to establish a relationship and coordinate between two currently disconnected sectors.
Only when being installed. When operating, the true cost per passenger mile is much lower than for interstate highways and cars. It's best to avoid misleading economic comparisons.
A bus is more expensive than a car, but the cost per passenger mile is much lower.
A commercial airliner is hugely more expensive than a car, but an airplane ride from A to B is cheaper than an equivalent car journey for most trips.
> The traffic is mostly local commuter traffic that high speed rail would not solve.
False choice. Cities have sophisticated, multi-level rail and surface mass transit systems for a reason -- they make economic sense.
> Roads are much more democratic -- they are available to anyone with a car.
I have to ask -- who are you working for? Your arguments are all paper-thin, easily torn to pieces. Roads and cars are democratic? More democratic than a seat in mass transit?
Well, the interstate highways are already installed.
Than single-passenger automobile (the point above): Only if the bus is empty.
http://www.cato.org/sites/cato.org/files/pubs/pdf/bp107.pdf
Installation costs would be included in your cost per passenger per mile (though likely amortized over the usable lifetime or augmented with maintenance/upgrade costs). But overall I agree with you that perhaps the cost per passenger per mile works out favorably for high speed rail for trips of a certain length (I address that in a different point). I am just pointing out factors the author glossed over.
> False choice. Cities have sophisticated, multi-level rail and surface mass transit systems for a reason -- they make economic sense.
What false choice? I am pointing out that traffic around cities is NOT predominately inter-state traffic but local commuter traffic. I agree that city transit can be very cost effective and eliminate local road congestion. However this is all ancillary to the high speed rail argument. High Speed rail is not used for local commuter traffic which I am characterizing as 50 miles or less. High speed rail (and the national funding associated with it) will not solve local city congestion.
> I have to ask -- who are you working for? Your arguments are all paper-thin, easily torn to pieces. Roads and cars are democratic? More democratic than a seat in mass transit?
I work for a software company as a developer :) So clearly I am the authority on high speed rail. I disagree that my arguments are "paper-thin" and easily torn to pieces. As far as my democratic statement I will expound as it was used in a context that your quote eliminated. High Speed rail is useful for longer distance travel where speed (time) matters. The frequent (daily/weekly) users of this system are skewed towards the very wealthy who have commutes/business travel that travel distances where high speed rail is cost effective. Thus using federal subsidies (which are pooled for the entire population) to fund a service for a fraction of the population is a hard sell in a democratic government. Roads are an easier sell since most citizens own (or could own) a car and have travel needs that fall within the radius where car (or local mass transit) is cost effective.
I am sorry but this argument is not gonna fly. Saying that governments are infallible and make perfect decisions or trend toward perfect decisions is simply not correct.
And assuming you mean democratic governments this makes even less sense.
In that case, I'm glad only you said it -- I never did. Government is the art of the possible, and politicians generally know how to avoid being thrown out of office. Avoiding decisions that have no public support, choosing only those that have some public support, that's something politicians are good at. It's the political version of crowdsourcing.
> And assuming you mean democratic governments this makes even less sense.
You serious? Finding out what the voters want is even more important in a democracy than it would be in a totalitarian state. Political opinion sampling is why France and Japan have high-speed rail, and it's why the U.S. doesn't.
Politicians in a modern democracy do indeed need to stay elected but that is typically independent of what a true, unfettered democracy would produce. Some of this is by design -- a pure democracy would be largely unworkable. At best too fractured and at worst everyone would vote for more benefits and less (no) taxes at the expense of national debt for a future generation.
Mostly politicians vote for what keeps them in office. Which as we see in the US is typically special interest groups and powerful lobbists.
True crowdsourcing occurs in free market economies. We could go there :) The libertarian would say if high speed rail was so in demand and made such economic sense then why arent companies scrambling to take advantage of a market inefficiency to make gobs of money?
Anyone with a family knows this blatantly false. Family of four form SFO to SAN ~$700 - 1K on a plane. Gas at 30mpg is $132 round trip. Add in a $100 each way if you are renting a car for one day, one direction, and you are barely at half the cost of the cheapest flight.
So it's not so much blatantly false as dependent on the size of the group traveling. Not to mention to really compare apples and oranges you would have to compare the airlines costs to transport an average airplane load vs the equivalent number of people traveling by road.
I have no idea what that comparison works out to but it would not surprise me if the plane wins there.
This is about high speed rail.
The constant financial troubles of all of the rail systems in the Bay Area seem to tell a different story. It's almost as if everything is not as black and white as you believe...
This is not at all constructive. And I believe the author probably meant "individualistic" rather than "democratic."
There are no sound reasons for investing in passenger rail in the US now. The current system is already meeting demand, and on a national level all lines except the North East Corridor requires heavy subsidy.
If there were a pent up demand for it, it would have happened. We could artificially create demand by jacking up the price of petrol, but then we are taking choice away from the consumer.
Building better, faster trains is hardly a guarantee that they will be used. My experience (which I admit is purely subjective) is that people who want nicer trains already use them. I live in a major transit corridor to NYC, and the folks who already ride the train would love it to be faster and nicer, but would they pay the higher prices? Why are they all taking slow NJ Transit instead of high speed Amtrak?
Jacking up the price of petrol doesn't take away choice. It may be internalizing the massive externalities associated with the use of petroleum based fuels and making the choice better reflect net utilities (including disutilities experienced by people outside of individual purchase decisions as a result of those decisions), or it may be artificially creating a new externality so that the decisions less-accurately reflect real net utilities, but in either case its not removing choice.
There are no viable political reasons to invest in high-speed rail. Americans love their cars, the interstate highway system is in place, that's a lot of inertia to overcome with economic arguments.
In Europe and Japan, on the other hand, high-speed rail is booming. One of the reasons is that the prior infrastructure was substantially destroyed in WWII, allowing more options than we Americans have. Also, it's possible that Europeans aren't quite as crazy about cars as we are.
> Building better, faster trains is hardly a guarantee that they will be used.
That's certainly true, and it's probably a big argument against high-speed rail, especially when you read the recent history of Amtrak, which has always struggled to find riders. On the other hand, Amtrak has always been a "Me too" mode of transport, a niche, a novelty for the curious.
If we were deciding this without an interstate highway system and a huge, well-established car culture, I think it would be a different debate.
"Why are they all taking slow NJ Transit instead of high speed Amtrak?"
1. There are few stops in NJ. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Category:Amtrak_stations_in_New...
2. It doesn't go much faster than the regular train.
How many people needed cellphones in the 1950s?
You can't measure how many people travel to cities greater than 50 miles away today and extrapolate that to a future with high-speed rail, because it may be that the reason they don't do it is: they don't have an affordable way to do it.
the problem is hard though...you could pay for long bureaucratic studies on whether this would pan out or not
or you just do it
problem is that building the cell phone was several orders of magnitude cheaper than plopping down $100B for high speed rail infrastructure. Definitely not the business model of "launch fast and iterate". Which is probably why its hard for this forum to debate it.
Think of all of the state/municipal level governments and unions that have to be satisfied before any deal is struck. This would essentially mix NYC, Jersey, Philly, Baltimore, and D.C. politics into one huge pile of WTF.
We couldn't even get a riverfront project going in Philadelphia because not enough (of the powers that be) palms were greased.
Only way this could be possible is if some benevolent Palpatine-esqe dictator comes along and makes shit happen.
And, actually, for longer routes (e.g. Boston to Chicago), even regular trains are only competitive with planes at best--and if you want a sleeper car for a 20 hour trip you can be looking at $1,000 one way.
I did a quick search and it looks like FRA to AMS return is about $400 by train, $164 by plane.
Within individual countries is where rail has the most market-share in Europe, and advance-ticket purchases are priced like planes, with steep discounts from full-fare prices, varying with demand. People take high-speed trains on routes like Barcelona–Madrid and Lyon-Paris, and without the German ICE network. And many people do prefer the train on those routes: the Barcelona–Madrid air shuttle lost half of its passengers after the AVE line to Barcelona opened.
Train rides in western Europe are not that expensive and certainly not worth the hassle with airplanes over such short distances. Also, you can buy 25% and 50% discount cards for all tickets for a year for only a few EUR's. (25% for a year = 62 EUR, 50% for 515 EUR for inland travel in Germany).
High Speed rail might have some applications in some congested corridors, most likely only in the North East, but for the rest - air travel isn't that expensive.
I would argue that air travel has become very expensive. I hardly can get a ticket, even for hour-long flights, for less than $400.
Most Americans cannot afford that (take your two kids, and its $1600). Combine it with the increased price of gas, and many Americans cannot afford to travel outside their hometowns. We need better public transit.
The USA does not need a high-speed rail system. The interstate system and airport network is sufficient. Between high trafficked short-distance corridors? Fine.
What the USA needs is modern commuter rail supported by a network of private short-trip mini-buses. This would have the most significant impact for lowest cost.
However, the barriers to commuter rail in much of the country are stupid and entrenched. In Raliegh, NC, the main barrier to commuter rail is a county commissioner who believes in some absurd conspiracy theories [1].
[1] http://www.carolinajournal.com/exclusives/display_exclusive....
So look at Japan. Japan is 152,000 ish square miles.
The United States is 3,717,000 sq miles that are already crisscrossed with Interstates, plus a great deal of air travel infrastructure, plus low-speed rail.
It may not be obvious, but rail crashed in the U.S. More than once. There were worthless railroad stock certificates in many attics. These now have actual numismatic value. Then it crashed again after Eisenhower built the Interstate.
China is 3,704,000 sq. miles but doesn't have Interstates to the same extent that the U.S. does.
The U.S. does pretty well with low speed rail for freight and to a lesser extent, passenger service. But the infrastructure in the U.S. is based on 50 year old technology. China should be able to do much better and by doing so, the U.S. should develop a twinge of envy and possibly emulate them, if it makes sense.
The U.S. should ( IMO ) do a lot more "moon shot" things but it didn't work out. I watched this in real time after the moon landing. The shuttle was cool and all, but it was nothing compared to what could have been. We said "BTDT" and went to the disco.
When it comes down to it, the U.S. is a lot about granite countertops and not much else. I will not say why I think that is.
But the geometry of the way the U.S. is laid out means that you can spend a great deal on air transport before you get to break even with high-speed rail.
High speed rail from NYC to LA, while it may be cool and might be a nice big engineering challenge, really just doesn't appeal to most people. But if I, in central NJ, could take a train into Manhattan in under 2 hours, that would actually be incredibly useful and I'd love to be able to. Right now the time and cost of me taking a train from here to DC is prohibitively high compared to driving or taking a flight. These regional cases are where high speed (or at least higher speed) rail would really shine in my opinion.
While the time in the air between NY and DC is 35 minutes, the hassle of arriving at the airport early for check-in, actually getting to LGA, JFK or Newark and getting from Dulles, BWI or National to your location, make traveling by rail (Acela 2 hours 45 minutes) a real competitor.
The argument, I suppose, is that high speed rail could increase this competitiveness to other cities outside the northeast corridor.
California's rail plan is a lie and a joke. It won't end up being "high speed" rail. It's a waste of taxpayer money. It's another way for politicians to line the pockets of their contributors.
Rail line won't meet target travel time.
http://articles.latimes.com/2014/mar/27/local/la-me-bullet-t...
It will cost more than proposed to the voters.
http://californiawatch.org/dailyreport/cost-high-speed-rail-...
http://www.mercurynews.com/ci_22929875/california-high-speed...
Why waste money on a rail system when the whole country is going to look like the car scenes in Minority Report in a couple decades?
Trains don't have a monopoly on this.
What I can say is that driving from my house in Massachusetts to Manhattan today is both cheaper and faster than taking the Acela by the time you count getting to the train station and getting to my hotel on the other end. I still usually take the train as it's more pleasant--at least if it's just me. If I had a driver (AI or otherwise), probably not.
Neither of these has any chance of being true. Highways near any sort of metropolitan area, or near a spur leading to a metropolitan area, or even often near a connector leading to another major highway, are already massively congested. Autonomous automobiles making even more people want to use them will only make it that much worse.
And even safe, self-driving cars operating outside of traffic can only travel at a fraction the speed of rail.
Consider the climate impact costs. Part of the problem is that airlines and car owners externalize a significant cost, making those modes of transportation seem relatively less expensive. In reality, everyone else covers those costs.
That's definitely not true. Just look at the ACA.
> California's high-speed rail progress—its proposed San Francisco-to-Los Angeles line remains the only truly fast train project in the country—is the exception that proves the rule; that state's size makes it no example for the rest of the nation.
Yeah let's just pretend that California's train to nowhere is an example other states should emulate.
We can't build high speed trains because: (1) the government is corrupt, incompetent and beholden to interest groups and (2) the public doesn't really want them.
The best example of public transportation the US has is probably NYC and it really isn't all that great. It's dirty, slow, unreliable, crowded and surprisingly expensive. (at 100$/mo owning a car in almost any other city in the US is cheaper)
Are other cities public transportation better? I haven't found any that are close to as convenient as NYC.
Go visit Tokyo if you really want to see what you're missing out on. US public transport is a sad joke.
Where do you live where gas is free and so is maintenance and car insurance and parking?
> That's definitely not true. Just look at the ACA.
Well, if the author studied history he would have known that our political system is that where states came together and decided to devote some decision-making power to the federal government. As time passed this federal government usurped as much power as it could but apparently for some people it's still not enough.
"The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people."
The Constitution creates a framework; almost all political decisions are majority votes (as interpreted through our political institutions). I don't agree that the federal government has usurped too much power in general (though there are specific cases); which one of us is right is decided by majority vote.
Even if you assume parking is free on both ends of your journey and that the car was given to you for free, there is no way you are spending less than $100 a month. Gas alone probably gets you close to $100. Then you add on registration and insurance and ongoing maintenance costs. I want to live in this fantasy world where cars are "cheaper"
I'll disagree here.
If you live in Manhattan, public transit is fast and efficient. As for "dirty", well it wasn't white glove immaculate, but it isn't covered in filth or human waste.
As for $ of owning a car, I drive very little (my commute to work is a paltry 4 miles!), but just going around on weekends to meet with friends costs me an easy $40/week, making gas alone more than $100/month.
> Yeah let's just pretend that California's train to nowhere is an example other states should emulate.
Hyperloop makes more sense. Personally I'd love to see Hyperloop running down the entire west coast.
You obviously don't live in NYC for saying such things.
I love the subway and love the fact that I don't have to take a car to work. It's green (runs off of electricity). I don't have to worry about oil changes, tires, gas, insurance, the initial outlay of a lot of cash for a car... etc. Did I mention its faster than a cab?
I'll give you that it's dirty and crowded (depending on the time). But nothing else.
Which in turn is because of the 2-party oligopoly. Instant run-off voting, to give 3rd parties a viable chance of winning, is part of the solution.
Its very different from IRV, which is a forced-ranking method which elects the candidate with the majority of first place rankings if one exists, and if not throws out all votes for the candidate with the lowest number of first place rankings (leaving the next-ranked candidate first on those ballots) and then tries again, repeating until some candidate has a majority of first place rankings.
Neither is, IMO, a particularly good single winner election for candidates for political office (though there are some other uses of voting for which I think Approval is a good method -- for instance, in social situations where opting out of an activity is permissible and an approval vote has a crystalized meaning of "I opt out unless one of the alternatives I've marked is selected, and I commit not to opt out if one of those alternatives is selected"), but they are the most commonly recommended alternatives to the US's more common methods of plurality and majority-runoff vote-for-one elections, probably because they are the alternative mechanisms that are structurally most similar (AV can be viewed as a generalization of plurality -- he who gets the most # of votes wins -- without a vote-for-one restriction, and IRV is simply using a ranked ballot to allow a simple generalization of majority-runoff to be done off a single balloting.)
http://ScoreVoting.net/BayRegsFig.html http://ScoreVoting.net/AppCW.html
> Which in turn is because of the 2-party oligopoly.
We were able to accomplish a lot in the 20th century with that 2-party oligopoly. I don't support it, but it's no excuse for our inability to get things done.
> That's definitely not true. Just look at the ACA.
The ACA devolves most power to the states, who run their own exchanges, including the ability to not participate at all. Compare that to other countries (which have much less expensive and more effective health care systems).
> We can't build high speed trains because: (1) the government is corrupt, incompetent and beholden to interest groups and (2) the public doesn't really want them.
I disagree on #1, at least in a relative sense. The US government is relatively clean compared to most, including others that build and manage train systems such as Russia and India.
The problem, IMHO, is the demonization of government by a small group. Due to our political structure that small minority can block government from acting, bringing such gridlock that it can't even raise revenues or pay bills reliably. That reduces the general public's confidence in government's capacity to solve problems, not because something is generally wrong with government but because of the gridlock. Until we solve that problem, nothing else will happen.
Northeast Corridor (Boston - Washington DC)
LA - SF
Chicago - NYC
and possibly Seattle - Portland
Beyond that, the traffic densities present are not enough to justify high speed rail - not to mention, even nonstop at 200 mph from LA/SF/Seattle to Chicago (or any eastern point) is a minimum of 10 hours in transit, versus 3ish to fly.
Remember that building transit infrastructure will also create new traffic!
As an example, park and rides an hour out from Seattle are packed full of cars every day. Busses are then packed full of people every day heading into the city from as much as 40 miles out.
IMHO what would be more interesting would be Vancouver BC --> Bellingham --> Midway to Seattle --> Seattle --> Tacoma --> Portland
Of course going across the boarder makes this impractical. :(
http://www.amtrak.com/cascades-train
80MPH doesn't save that much time!
I dont think you can add enough traffic by going cross country, not to Chicago to tie to the eastern network.
A train is 10% better than a jet from SF to LA. A train is much worse than a jet for SF to NY. All other pairings -- or so one might argue -- are so much lesser in density that the elasticity of roads is vastly preferable.
I think there are many other possibilities, and also many people live in cities of hundreds of thousands, all over America, and they'd like to travel too.
* The NE corridor, from DC to Boston, of course. Maybe south to NC
* Chicago - Indianapolis - Cincinnati - Columbus - Pittsburgh - Cleveland - Detroit (- Toronto) (That would include a spur or two, of course.) And what about people in Green Bay and Grand Rapids?
* The Florida cities, maybe up to Atlanta or West to New Orleans
* Texas cities
High speed rail is great for population centers that are 300 miles apart, but not so great for ones that are 1500 miles apart. The competition there is primarily the airplane, and the time difference grows with distance. So does the cost difference. (You only need an airport in each city, no matter how far apart they are, but you need a mile of railroad for each mile of distance.)
The problem, then, is that the US doesn't have enough population centers that are big enough and close enough to each other. The northeast corridor (from Boston to Washington DC) is really the only one that fits.
In order for an intercity rail network to work, it needs to link dense urban cores that also have useful transit systems. A train between Omaha and Kansas City does no good if you get off the train then face a 14 mile journey through the suburbs to your destination.
2 things need to happen before a rail network makes sense:
1. Urban infill. I know Denver has a policy for this in place, I'm sure others do too. But sooo many city cores have huge tracts of land that are derelict, or unused. New development should be incentivized to make use of this land.
2. Growth boundary regulation. Portland is the best example of this. With out this you get the exurbs and sprawl (sorry to point out Kansas City again, but it is one of the worst offenders here) which demand a car to traverse.
[1] The kind of engineer who designs trains (and related systems), not the kind who drives them.