Well, $100 million of apprenticeship grants isn't gonna cut it. The money would be better spent in developing the needed infrastructure to adopt the system. Skip state wide systems and adopt a nation wide system.
As for the "cost factor" for the companies...even if still at apprenticeship level, the people are working, even if it's just minor tasks in the first few months, so give them a damn salary. Here in Germany the average is about 700$/month on average, with salary increasing by about 50$ each year. Plus a decent chance to get a full time job at the same company after your apprenticeship is done.
The firms won't need to establish programs. The states will have to establish schools for that, not the firms.
> Skeptical Americans worry that the European model requires tracking, and it’s true, German children choose at age 10 among an academic high school, a vocational track, or something in between. But it turns out there’s a lot of opportunity for trainees to switch tracks later on. They can go back to school to specialize further or earn a master craftsman’s certificate or train as a trainer in the company’s apprenticeship program—and many do. What education reformers call “lifelong learning” is still a distant dream for most Americans. In Germany, it’s a reality.
> Isn't one of the drawbacks to the German system that you're directed down one particular path very early in your education?
Yes, and it's one of the sillier parts of the German educational system. That said, recent school reforms have at least started to mitigate it a bit. The problem here is not some form of tracking as such – not everyone has the same talents – but that it happens so early (after fourth grade) and that the differences between school types are so huge.
That said, these days it's at least less of a permanent decision. For example, my niece initially finished school after 10th grade ("Mittlere Reife"), then did an apprenticeship, then went back to school, working on her abitur now and will likely go to college afterwards.
Depending on where you live, children may also be able to join one of the comprehensive schools and bypass the traditional system.
For example, my niece initially finished school after 10th grade ("Mittlere Reife"), then did an apprenticeship, then went back to school, working on her abitur now and will likely go to college afterwards.
Yeah, but only few have the discipline to go back to school after having earned "real money" already.
The international equivalent would be graduating, getting some work experience and then going back to grad school. I don't think many people manage to do that either. But in this case it's even more difficult because you have to go back to high school basically.
I've got several friends who spent a short time in industry before going back to get their Masters as full-time students. It doesn't seem that unusual to me. Mind you, these aren't people with mortgages or children.
Many of the 4.8 million unfilled jobs could be filled at a higher rate of pay. Some employers seem to think they get to set the pay and magically have qualified applicants show up.
Yes, and run around bitching when they can't buy a bmw for hyundai pricing. Paying more allows you to hire workers with the skills you need; who knew?
Steve Van Loan, president of Sullivan Palatek Inc. in Michigan City, said
job hopping is becoming more of a problem. “They get an offer for more money
across town, and they’re gone,” he said. Wages on average at his firm, which
makes compressors that power drills and other tools, are rising 4% to 5%
this year, compared with 2% to 3% in recent years, Mr. Van Loan said.
“Everybody got so skinny back in the days when we were laying off everybody,”
he said. “Now that the Midwest is getting some manufacturing back, it’s just
tough to find workers” with the needed skills. [1]
Or you could, gasp, train them! Though my personal guess is that a big chunk of the complaining is merely an attempt to dump training costs onto workers and local government in the form of 2-year technical colleges. Though that makes it much harder for employers to create workers with exactly the skills they need.
Both the White House and governors are trying to fight a so-called skills
gap among U.S. workers that many businesses blame for the slow labor-market
recovery. Although plenty of Americans are looking for work, employers often
lament a lack of qualified workers—particularly young people.
Germany, in contrast, has a long record of finding a stronger fit between
employees' skills and employers' demands. The success is reflected in a
youth unemployment below 8%, the lowest of any advanced country and about
half of the U.S. level. The apprenticeship system is credited as a leading
driver of what many European economists call the German labor-market
"miracle." [2]
> Wages on average at his firm, which makes compressors that power drills and other tools, are rising 4% to 5% this year, compared with 2% to 3% in recent years.
That doesn't seem out of line with inflation. If they didn't increase, that means they would be stagnant as the cost of living increased, which would be bad for the employees.
My employer is whining about a similar thing... They created a system where entry employees now need to wait 5-7 years to make more than about 60k in IT.
The good ones are doubling salaries, and the conclusion drawn is that millennials are not loyal!
Presumably the qualified applicants who would be tempted by higher pay already have jobs. If they leave one job for another, that doesn't actually reduce that 4.8 million number. It just moves the unfilled job from one company to another.
>This issue came up at nearly every stop on the tour, we Americans asking about what costs mean for ROI and the Germans telling us to look beyond ROI to the longer-term benefits, for the company and society. Ultimately, of course, they’re right. But it’s hard to imagine many American firms, generally focused on short-term financial gain, building the kind of in-house training centers we saw at every German plant.
And this is why it will never happen until there is a massive cultural shift. Americans and American firms have accepted and even embraced the tragedy of the commons in a wide variety of areas. Where most people realize a race to the bottom is something to be avoided, in America, it's something to be won.
The article contains an implicit contradiction, especially in its praise of apprenticeships. Apprenticeships are typically something a person engages in during their teens or 20s, and therefore, whatever is learned during that apprenticeship, the skills can potentially be out-of-date 20 years later. Therefore, apprenticeship can not explain the absence (in Germany) of a "skills mismatch", especially if one accepts the description given in the article:
"With new technology transforming work across a range of sectors, more and more businesses are struggling to find workers with the skills to man new machines and manage new processes."
How would apprenticeship explain why a 40 year old German machinist is more likely to be employed than a 40 year old American machinist?
There are many people, in the USA, who are in their 40s and 50s and who are unemployed. Apprenticeship, in its traditional form, would not help them.
There is another way to look at this, which is to say that the German economy is really weak, but the weakness of the economy was hidden by the introduction of the euro, and the irresponsible lending that German banks engaged in, which allowed an unsustainable debt-fueled bubble to appear in Southern Europe, which created a huge market for German capital goods, which gave Germany a big export surplus. Consider the summary that Paul Krugman gives of Wolfgang Münchau description of the situation:
Germany came out the big winner of the euro, therefore its export industry is strong, therefore industry can still engage in long-term investments in its workers, and the labor unions in Germany are very strong, so they can force corporations to spend on training programs. All of which helps. But the roots of German success, in 2014, originate with the great financial changes of the last 25 years, and that success makes German's training programs look great. But to suggest that Germany does a good job training its workers, and therefore the Germany economy is strong, is probably wrong on at least 2 counts:
I think you overestimate the rate at which skills become out-of-date. Industrial machines which are based on designs ten, twenty years ago are still in wide use.
I'm not sure about machinists, but my father is an 'old-school' drafting table/slide rule (both of which he has since relinquished) mechanical engineer, and he commands a premium due to his 'hands-on' nature with problems.
He can sketch a picture and create a tool from the sketch in essentially the same day, whereas his counterparts take just as long just to sketch the tool in a CAD program of some sort.
He has always had a problem with CAD design. He can navigate it, but he has difficulty with actual modeling. Luckily he is at such a rank in his profession to where he has an intern assigned to him to translate his graph paper sketches into document-able CAD files and do other computerized clerical work that he's not up on.
Sure there are some times when knowing how things were done decades ago is useful if you have to repair something, or do something unusual. But what drives machine tools today is throughput, throughput, throughput and the techniques used by today's CNC machining centers completely obsolete entire categories of tools from years past.
What is more likely is that a machinist who was experienced in operating manual machines, and who has modernized his training can command a premium because his skill gained in doing things the manual way give him a better ability to program a controller to do it more efficiently (CAM software is only so good).
Software too! I was shocked when I learned that a local glass manufacturing company used DOS operating system which was running some esoteric job estimation enterprisey software from the 90s. They had no intention of upgrading.
What you seem to be overlooking and really not realizing is that the difference between American and German society really couldn't be any more different among peer societies, which is what causes what you interpret as the "implicit contradiction". The two societies and economies are fundamentally different and almost incompatible. Think of it as if Germany is Exxon (ignoring any personal opinions about their business sector) and the USA is Facebook. Sure, Facebook is all hip and dynamic and energetic and "innovative", but it really is not long for this world because it's fundamentals are rather sloppy and fickle; whereas Exxon has stupendous institutional capacity and depth of fundamentals and resources that swallow any capacity facebook could ever even fathom to have or make.
On what are you basing your Facebook/Exxon analogy?
> Exxon has stupendous institutional capacity and depth of fundamentals and resources that swallow any capacity facebook could ever even fathom to have or make.
Exxon is a much bigger company than Facebook, but the U.S. is a much larger economy that "...swallow[s] any capacity [Germany] could even fathom to have or make". How does your analogy hold again?
Furthermore, many economists don't agree with your proposition that Germany has strong fundamentals. Just look at the Paul Krugman post at the top of the thread.
Edit: removed first sentence because it was too aggressive.
I agree there is a contradiction. In light of your comment, it seems Germany may have created an industrial training/apprenticeship bubble, feeding temporary artificial feedback for a long-term benefit for working population skillsets. But how can the US just transplant the skeleton of the training program, when they suffer negative feedback, with dropping enrollments in vocational programs? There is no apparent solution for the manufacturing decline, hence the grimacing suits at the end. The funding will never come, not from revenues.
The author acknowledges the dilemma that to maintain competitiveness, the US will have to do something substantive. To match the Germans in skill set infrastructure, the education system will have to reform to look more German, in a way. Exactly how seems unclear.
There is no contradiction. You're assuming the American model. German workers and their unions work hard to ensure that they're always updating their skills. I worked in Germany for 8 years and I'd estimate that at least 10% of a workers time over a year is spent on training updates and cross training. They're dead serious about keeping workers for life.
The German economy is strong compared to many other nations. Currently the German economy is the strongest in Europe.
The German economy was also for many decades before the Euro the strongest of Europe, that was one reason for the strong currency (German Marks).
The sayings of the "weakness" of the German economy was and is a political claim that was made to reduce the workers costs in Germany.
You must also distinguish between productivity (which always was high in Germany in the last decades) and attractiveness to the financial sector (stock etc.). And the second thing is, I guess, what Krugman/Muenchau really meant. And yes, Germany was not so attractive for some time, because growth and ROI where not so high as in the US for example.
But I think, that are two different things. One is about productivity and strength of industries and the other is about the capitalistic demand for more and more growth.
Germany has a strong export sector which is driving German employment but that doesn't result in strong fundamentals.
The United States is a net importer, if it quit trading with the world tomorrow American employment would go up. The opposite is true of Germany. Its domestic demand is nowhere near sufficient to absorb current production. Moreover, Germany's trade surplus is substantially the result of trade with Eurozone basket case countries whose trade imbalances are not sustainable.
You also conflate the strength of the Mark with the strength of the German economy. The Mark was a strong currency in the postwar era because the Bundesbank tended to pursue "strong Mark" policies, often to the detriment of the German economy. As recently as 1990 Germany was considered the "sick man of Europe".
Neither Germany nor the US is about to 'stop trading with the world'. The only way that's going to happen is with another world war, and as the past has taught us, it's hard to predict the socio-economic fallout of world wars.
Because of massive overconsumption, not a particular 'strong economy'. This is a country of consumers.
> if it quit trading with the world tomorrow American employment would go up.
Good luck trying that.
> Moreover, Germany's trade surplus is substantially the result of trade with Eurozone basket case countries whose trade imbalances are not sustainable.
Germany trades world wide. It has for example a trade SURPLUS with China. Because it is able to compete on the world-market.
> You also conflate the strength of the Mark with the strength of the German economy. The Mark was a strong currency in the postwar era because the Bundesbank tended to pursue "strong Mark" policies,
That Mark was strong, because Germany had the strongest economy in Europe and thus could run a strong currency policy.
> often to the detriment of the German economy. As recently as 1990 Germany was considered the "sick man of Europe".
'the sick man of Europe' was a propaganda term by the UK/US press to claim the superiority of their 'service economy'. Actually what happened between 1989 and 2000 was that Germany absorbed the reunification with a collapsed East Germany. Suddenly millions of people from a formerly 'socialist' country were joining West Germany. This was hugely expensive and the problems are still visible for another two decades.
>That Mark was strong, because Germany had the strongest economy in Europe and thus could run a strong currency policy.
That's the opposite of how things really work. If you run a strong currency in an export economy, you will get sick, because your trade partners will no longer be able to afford your exports.
> This statement contradicts the entire theory of supply and demand.
It doesn't. If it would, the theory would be wrong. Cars like the Mercedes S-Class are not sold based on price - it's a luxury good. Advanced machines for factories are not bought primarily on price - otherwise Germany would have lost these markets long to cheaper competition.
> if it quit trading with the world tomorrow American employment would go up.
You trade with the world because it makes stuff cheaper. Without trading you would produce that stuff less efficiently, so prices would go up relative to salaries, so people would need to reduce consumption, not only of the stuf that was imported, but of everything.
Whether the end result would be increase or decrease in employement isn't obvious, but I think decrease in employement is more probable.
> The United States is a net importer, if it quit trading with the world tomorrow American employment would go up.
The same way as the employment rate is probably higher in North Korea. On a more serious note, it has been proven for at least 150 years that Corn Laws and import restrictions do not work, in the best case scenario they are a huge inconvenience for the home consumers, in the worst case scenario they generate famines and national tragedies.
Certain countries often discuss "If we stopped trading with the rest of the world we would loose these benefits / win these benefits."
Most other countries think "We should cooperate with the rest of the world to help all our developement."
> apprenticeships are typically something a person engages in during their teens or 20s, and therefore, whatever is learned during that apprenticeship, the skills can potentially be out-of-date 20 years later.
This is strictly a cultural bias, in the same way in the US apprenticing at all is antagonized, and can easily change.
I know you mean that Germany has that cultural perception still but still has higher employment matching, I'm just saying it is not a technical problem that you can only apprentice in your early years.
Germans have trade unions all over the place and a commitment to lifelong employment. So they don't move the plant to South Carolina at 60% pay.
Germany has been an industrial powerhouse for a long time, and their focus on utterly owning niche markets has been a huge competitive force for many years. The euro helped, but the story doesn't stop there.
Not for nothing, but my old office overlooked the Port of Charleston in good ol' South Carolina. There were an awful lot of BMW X5s being shipped out of that port on a daily basis. To underscore that, my German professor, a former VP at several German multinationals would always trot out that one in five jobs in the state comes either directly or indirectly from German corporations running factories and operations out of the state. I'm sure it isn't out of the goodness of their Teutonic hearts.
Labor is a tiny part of modern car assembly. Robots and machines are used everywhere. Avoiding/reducing currency risk is a major motivator - you want production costs to be in same currency as sales.
My understanding is that the core of german industry is the mid-size manufacturers, not the multi-national megacorps. Fortune-50 type companies are in a class of their own.
I love South Carolina, but it seems like a particularly lousy place to be an industrial worker to me.
the point with apprenticeship is, it asures a high level of quality as not everyone can get in. It's a form of secondary eduation and the selection process by employers simply ensures a high level of reliability (i'm idealizing, here)
also, it's not uncommon for a 40 years old to take a new, shortened apprenticeship, before changing jobs. the effects you see reversed are in fact not hierarchical but in a feedback-loop, education is but a factor.
> How would apprenticeship explain why a 40 year old German machinist is more likely to be employed than a 40 year old American machinist?
The German 40-year old machinist also tends to have a right to continuous training, to be provided by the employer. Since the employer likely already spent quite some money on that employee, they’ll have a higher interest in securing this continuous training and make sure that their employee stays up to date.
Also it's extremely difficult to fire a German machinist; labour laws are employee-friendly in Germany and unions are strong. Many companies reduce working hours in difficult times rather than laying off workers.
Other countries without that mechanism suffered much more.
In Germany we basically loosened the rules for Kurzarbeit (not officially, I think, but the authorities were much more lenient than usual about the legal requirements), because it was a mechanism already in place.
That last part is important. A mechanism that only works okay, but is already implemented everywhere is much better than the perfect mechanism, specifically tailored to your needs, but impossible to roll out on short notice.
Yeah we have that too in Denmark where I am from. Not so sure it's what saved the Danish economy. I think it's more to do with a fairly flexible workforce and that all agreements about salaries happen between the employer and the employee unions.
> The article contains an implicit contradiction, especially in its praise of apprenticeships. Apprenticeships are typically something a person engages in during their teens or 20s, and therefore, whatever is learned during that apprenticeship, the skills can potentially be out-of-date 20 years later.
Sure, but apprenticeship means there's a culture of on-the-job learning and teaching, and strong trade unions lead to german workers being entitled to continuous learning and improvement.
"How would apprenticeship explain why a 40 year old German machinist is more likely to be employed than a 40 year old American machinist?"
Having apprenticeships means moving 'school' closer to the 40-year olds. Maybe that 40 year old is forced to stay up-to-date by his 20-year old apprentice?
And your Germany/Southern Europe argument made me think of the China/USA relation. How good that analogy is? I wouldn't dare take a guess at.
"Maybe that 40 year old is forced to stay up-to-date by his 20-year old apprentice?"
As part of a master/apprentice relationship the master is expected to teach the apprentice how to use the brand new machining center or at least how to use it to make money. A master who can't teach, or at least set an example, is going to have employment issues. Life on the floor was not really different than my experiences in IT... boss selects a new tool, you will use it in at most a couple days of fooling around, or find a new job, doesn't matter if its machining or IT. If you're the wisest employee, you can expect to get assigned to the new toy and to train the other employees informally if nothing more advanced.
There is/was a continuous and constant struggle between the school instructor component of an apprenticeship and the masters on the job. The instructors want cool sexy toys and resume stuffers like teaching cutting edge tools, but the masters on the job want the instructors to teach the basics. There is also a lot of general experience aka "we don't do centerless grinding machining here, so I hope your classroom instructor is covering at least the basics". And the masters continually complained about instructors who taught the kids the basics of g-code but not how to read a print, lots of "walk before you run" complaining.
At least this is how it was at a former employer for machinists, tool and die makers, millwrights, and industrial electricians. I have no first hand data about plumbers and carpenters.
Something that confuses youth culture on HN is it takes a kid 16 or so years of study to learn "2014 work". So they freak out that a 40 year old dude would have to stop working completely for 16 years to learn "2024 work". Reality of course is that things develop VERY slowly and most of the 16 years of school are focused on 2000-4000 years of human development. Actual development is so slow in most large industries like machining or IT coding, that its not hard at all to keep up other than anecdotes and complainers and people who've basically retired on the job.
>> Actual development is so slow in most large industries like machining or IT coding, that its not hard at all to keep up other than anecdotes and complainers and people who've basically retired on the job.
This is not a popular view, but I do agree. If one learns the basics, the javascript framework of the week becomes much less intimidating as an obstacle to professional success. There are rarely new things in software development, but the do come along (big data and machine learning).
> There is another way to look at this, which is to say that the German economy is really weak, but the weakness of the economy was hidden by the introduction of the euro,
In the meanwhile Germany added 20 million people from a collapsed country/economy...
> which created a huge market for German capital goods, which gave Germany a big export surplus.
Germany had an huge export surplus before, during and after it.
> Germany came out the big winner of the euro, therefore its export industry is strong, therefore industry can still engage in long-term investments in its workers
Germany did that before the Euro and is still doing it.
> and the labor unions in Germany are very strong, so they can force corporations to spend on training programs.
The companies are more than willing to train their workers. No unions necessary.
> Germany does a good job training its workers, and therefore the Germany economy is strong, is probably wrong on at least 2 counts:
> 1.) it probably reverses cause and effect
There is no 'cause and effect'. It makes much more sense to model economy as a system with multiple feedback loops.
The education and training systems constantly creates new workers with relatively high skill sets. You can guess the effects from that and you can also easily guess why the companies are doing this.
> 2.) the German economy is not really strong
That would not make any sense to say. 80+ million people, fourth largest economy in the world.
It depends a bit on what you mean by strength. At the moment, Germany's economy is very dependant on the strong export performance of the economy. But exports don't just depend on the quality of the goods produced, they also depend on customers being able to pay for those goods. If the customers stop being able to pay - something which is outside of Germany's control, then Germany will find itself in real trouble. This is the sense in which it's economy is weak. It's kind of like judo - the economy is out of balance and vulnerable to shocks applied in the right place.
Germany has not had anything like this level of current account surplus before. It is entirely due to mistakes in macro economics (wrong parity within the Euro and a refusal to boost domestic demand).
Sadly Germans seem unable to understand that their surplus is not a sign of economic success, but the result of misguided policies that keep the rest of Europe in recession.
Sadly Germans seem unable to understand that their surplus is not a sign of economic success, but the result of misguided policies that keep the rest of Europe in recession.
...which in turn strengthens the German position, right? In turn giving them de facto economic success?
The surplus is used to accumulate claims on other countries (i.e. Germany is lending foreigners money). Unfortunately, Germany is not going to be repaid in full, so the policy is utterly stupid.
> Germany has not had anything like this level of current account surplus before
That has a simple reason: Germany is a larger country in a unified Europe now. After recovering from the effects of the reunification, you have now a stronger and larger economy with more and larger trading partners. For the larger export success are a few simple reasons responsible:
* the east european market directly next to Germany is now larger and easier to access. Poland.
* Germany is no 33% larger than before the reunification. Once the added economy started to recover from the effects of reunification and many investments in East Germany were done, the now larger economy, contcentrated back on the european and world market.
* globalization has nicely enhanced the reach of even small companies in rural Germany to trade with even remote locations
> It is entirely due to mistakes in macro economics
Lots of Germany's main trading partners (e.g. France) are Eurozone countries too. If this were not the case, the DEM would have appreciated against their currencies by now but instead there is effectively a currency peg supporting German exports.
The Euro is the currency of a wide range of fiscally independent countries which have had very different economic developments during the time since they adopted the Euro; its value is perhaps an adequate average of those countries, but nevertheless it is at the same time under-valued in Germany as it is over-valued in Spain.
>> There are many people, in the USA, who are in their 40s and 50s and who are unemployed.
In many cases, the job that a 40 or 50 year old machinist in the US had, is gone. The company is gone. The plant is abandoned or town down. The equipment was shipped off to China.
Thanks, that was a surprisingly good read. In a similar vein, there's also the `Duales Studium', which gives vocational experience and a bachelor's degree.
Having owned 1 BMW and 5 VWs my views are the exact opposite - the BMW was by far the most expensive (and fastest) car I have ever owned but although it was new it had a lot of mechanical problems and really wasn't that comfortable.
All of the VW group cars I have had have been great - haven't had a single problem with them.
Well, high quality craftsmanship and attention to detail can be present even on a product with critical defects.
How? To generalize/stereotype, the routine downfall of German industry has been over-engineering. In other words, it's an amazing product, but good lord it is so complicated, no-one could ever iron out all the bugs.
Because Germans have the idea of "Germans" and the politicians do at least to some degree try to improve the living standards for all?
The same thing in China. Whatever the government in China may be, they still try to rise the standard of living for all.
So it is no surprise that China considers to adopt the German apprentice system and both, China and Germany have very good public transport.
"America is a business" as Brad Pitt said in one movie. Both, heavy investment into public infrastructure and something like a subsidized apprenticeship would always be seen as "interfering with the free market" in the US. Hope it ends well.
Couldn't you argue that 100% of federal spending is aimed at improving people's living standards (military, police, firefighters, global economic trade relations, etc)?
I suspect that's the number with military backed out. But even that isn't the right thing to do because the military is essentially a big employment program.
You took the words right out of my mouth. Pretty much everything can be ultimately justified by a "it improves or preserves living-standards" if enough mental leaps are made.
Subsidies? Living standards through economic growth.
Military? Living standards better if not conquered. Improved if we conquer or control something good.
My Dictatorship? Only I can be trusted to give the people the living standards they need.
Another example would be health insurance. The US is approaching 20% of GDP and they are not getting anything for it (Germany 10%, UK 7.5%, numbers out of my head). Until Obamacare, only around 80% of the US population had coverage and they the US population had a lower life expectancy than the UK or Germany. China would never let run things so out of hand.
(After Germany and the US, I live now in China. This makes me reflect on a lot of things. Not all is good here but here are opportunities. I regret that I did not come earlier to China.)
Chinese and Germans in the United States also do very well in the economy. Maybe there's some third factor that we're missing.
These kind of articles make the implicit assumption that countries are the same except for being located in different locations, and that successful institutions from one can be transplanted to another. But each is an organic entity, with different histories and cultures
Not all expats are created equal. For example, Mexicans living in the US tend not to do so well in education or the economy, dragging a lot of US national statistics down. This is because a lot of Mexican-Americans come from lower class backgrounds and not Mexico's educated elites.
As another discussion pointed out on HN, Mexicans and poeple of lower class backgrounds will be referred to as "immigrants", while people from richer countries will be referred to as "expats".
I have started trying to swap the two around in my own language, to avoid stereotyping people based on class.
Like lkrubner already points out, the cause and effect is probably the opposite of what a lot of people think.
We may think apprenticeship means business is treating its worker well, "investing" in them. But what did the workers really get? Here's a graph: http://www.businessinsider.com/core-unit-labor-costs-in-germ... Seems being a German worker is not that great?
The labor costs were for a long time kept a bit low - together with the unions - to get rid of mass unemployment and the effects of the German reunification - 20 million people from a collapsed society added overnight.
You can see the result during the financial crisis: employment was going up, not down.
The workers and the unions actually got something back from the companies: job security in difficult times.
The problem is the German model may be impossible to emulate. There's only going to be one top-end manufacturer in a given sector. Other countries can do what Germany is doing, but they're only going to be successful if the can displace the Germans.
I watched this BBC special about a British couple experiencing the German life. It was eye opening.
First, German workers are forbidden to use social media or check their phones at work. So, instead of checking your text message or facebook, you interact with other workers.
Second, workers are given bonuses based on team output. No competition, rather team must work together to get better bonuses.
Third, German's don't ever drown themselves with a mortgage. They just rent for life, but I hear that housing condition is excellent in Germany.
Fourth, German mother's are incentivized to take care of their children. The heavy taxation discourages moms seeking jobs. This is important for child's development to have a mother around.
Fifth, German kindergarten is more like spending time in nature, getting dirty in the forest, climbing trees and such.
Sixth, students who aren't interested in studying can go to trade schools and take up apprenticeship like the article described.
For the above reasons, Germany seems to work less hours yet have greater output. They are super efficient and practical with their time. The government also places heavy emphasis in making sure the traditional familial obligations are maintained.
1) No. That's, as probably in the US, a case-by-case thing. None of my friends that have a degree work under such restrictions.
2) Again, case-by-case. Though I think it might be overall more common.
4) The government is working hard on making that untrue with better and better options for working parents. Plus it's not only mothers but fathers as well.
Don't believe everything you see on TV. I don't think any of those points are true.
Social media use is definitely not forbidden at work as a rule. Not sure if there are companies that forbid it, and if that would be legal. But it is certainly not the norm.
Don't know about the bonuses.
Mortgages: many Germany buy houses, but perhaps fewer than in the UK. Renting for life is certainly common.
Childcare: what does "heavy taxation" have to do with it? Taxes are the same for everyone. There is a huge push to get mothers to work earlier by providing more childcare and so on (personally I think it's a stupid idea, but it's the sentiment the common media outlets want us to have).
Kindergarden: nature kindergardens exist, but they are rare. Most kindergardens have their own playground.
Today probably most companies disallow any private web surfing.
Inofficially it is often tolerated if you don't overdo it.
> and if that would be legal.
It is.
> But it is certainly not the norm.
Believe me, it is.
The reason is simple: As soon as you're allowing private surfing you have to respect your employees' privacy. That means that you must not use software or equipment to track web use (apart from special agreements with the works council).
Same goes for private email. If you allow that, you cannot have your admins look into emails anymore. You cannot easily backup mails without telling your employees all the details. You cannot simply reject mails. And so on.
I think tracking employees is definitely illegal. I worked on a program for a larger company where employees could enter stuff into a system, and we had to take extra care to make tracking impossible or at least difficult (thinks like "how much does employee x work").
In most of Europe a lot of these things depend a lot on the company/sector you work in. It might be more true in what people call the old economy, but there you simply go for longer smoking pauses, etc.
How well you do after a trade school also depends a lot on the sector you are working it and even on companies. There are companies who love people with degrees from trade schools and others who don't like them.
When you want to look at working hours in comparison to economical output there once has been a study posted here on HN showing that the richer countries (at least in Europe) tend to be those with fewer working hours and in general there seems to be a strong north-south difference, with Italy, Greece, Austria (which is the exception), etc. having many work hours and Scandinavian having fewer.
As for the whole topic: I really don't think that all of this really tells you too much about what a good system for economical output is. A lot of this tells you more about the society in a country and probably its history. Of course it all affects economy, but copying Germany won't magically make you rich, same is true for US, UK, China, ...
Laws and rules in general, as well as the educational systems must fit with other things like society, natural resources, population size and structure, etc.
That's also why you can't just say that a libertarian (economically, not social) society will always have a wealthier society than another. There are many additional factors. China has the benefit of a large population, the US has the benefit of a great size, over many climatic zones and the UK has at the right time set a focus on institutions that act in the financial market. However also those things have to come with a society that is willing to make use of this.
If you think about South America. They still struggle mostly with the problem that they in history ended up on the losing side. If that other side happened to win (could have happened, were they luckier and took different decisions at times of war) then things might have looked different, or not.
I don't want to say these things depend largely on luck, but since there are multiple complex systems interacting with each other saying X is the reason for this and that everyone could have seen this coming seems like the wrong and a strongly irrational approach to me.
There were lots of really tiny events throughout history that strongly affected history and thereby societies, economy, politics, etc. and thereby how well economical models end up working for certain countries.
The unemployment in Germany is 6% that is true. But one of every five works is a minijob, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marginal_employment. With a minijob you get about 400 net/month. A minijob does not include social security which is mandatory in Germany. Take 160 euros.
"Germany strong economy" is an illusion. They are putting money in Spain, Portugal and Greece, because otherwise the euro and Germany will be totally f* up
Social security has nothing to do with minijobs, its mandatory and it does not depend on your job if minijob or not. Germany has by far the strongest economy in Europe and most other European countries would have problems without Germany. Germany does not depend on the Euro, it would be even stronger without it. So please get yourself informed before telling us your wisdom.
Right, minijobs has nothing to do with social security, but, since you need to pay for it, if you earn 400 - 160 ,you have 240. I'm informed. Are you?
Germany needs to keep southern European countries in the euro. That is the only reason for injecting money on such corrupted governments. Don't be rude man, it is not necessary
But in Germany is mandatory to pay the social security, so yes, your employer will not pay your social security for you. Instead of that, you should pay it from your pocket.
No. Your employer pays a fixed amount for social security while you don't pay anything.
In case you understand German: "Bei einer geringfügigen Beschäftigung trägt der Arbeitgeber Lohnsteuer, Solidaritätszuschlag und Kirchensteuer sowie Sozialversicherungsbeiträge."
Of course that works both ways, keeping a job for a long time in the US is a guarantee of no advancement unless you're a very good politics player, most skilled US workers get hosed if they stay in the same company for a long time.
Here's what I find, as someone who's straddled both Anglo-Saxon and Germanic systems.
- In the UK, a lot of people have degrees, but it doesn't seem to matter what the degree is in. You have English and History grads trading bonds. You used to be able to get an options trading job straight out of school (some of my old bosses joined at 16, and are now the movers and shakers in certain option markets) but not anymore.
- In Switzerland (which I think is somewhat similar to Germany) not that many people have degrees, but everyone appears to be trained for their industry from a young age. My private banker is around my age, but started as a banking apprentice at age 16. He's a major asset for his international bank, and seems to know everything that folks in London know.
What are the pros and cons? I suppose if you do a degree in the UK, you can find a job in many different industries. But you'll probably have a steeper learning curve, since you won't be learning about bonds until you land at the desk. In the Germanic world, you'll somewhat hit the ground running. But you might find it hard to change industries, which is a problem at the moment for finance folks (major job cuts at the two Swiss investment banks).
I second this comment about training for a particular role. A friend/colleague of mine (not a very Germanic combination) works in planning and controlling. The title of his masters thesis includes 'planning and controlling.' It is quite inflexible.
The UK degree system is far more about assigning people to "middle class" (with degree) or "working class" (without). When people were entering careers at 16 they were being pre-sorted at age 11 into the two types of secondary school.
Switzerland is unique in the sense that they never bought into the idea that knowledge worker meant non-technical. When the rest of Europe spent most of their time getting people with university degrees in various humanistic and social sciences, communication etc, Switzerland kept educating technical knowledgable but still of equal length.
The result of that is the Switzerland has managed to get most of the high quality production that requires special knowledge and the rest of Europe is fighting for the scrapes.
That wasn't my experience of working in a large insurer in Switzerland (admittedly just one company but I spoke to people who worked in other ones). I found the Swiss staff I dealt with didn't have the mental flexibility to deal with the sometimes chaotic world of managing a large IT system.
They could cope if it was something they understood but if it was a completely new problem they were generally at a loss. They tried to replace the contractors from my company three or four times and always ended up asking for them back after a month or two.
Obviously this is a generalisation based on working in one place but as I found Switzerland very rule based I wondered if that extended to their problem solving.
In the UK at least, the institution matters a great deal. If you have a degree from Oxford/Cambridge then you probably have your ticket punched no matter what degree you studied. If you studied at an ex polytechnic then you better have studied something useful.
It's easy to exaggerate the importance of institution. If you have a humanities degree from a top British university but little to no work experience and average academic results, you aren't going to walk into competitive jobs.
Competition for Oxbridge graduates is very fierce to the point where a graduate can be expecting to have multiple offers to consider from employers willing to wine and dine them before they have graduated.
There are well funded recruiting events at all good universities. That doesn't mean it is easy for the average non technical graduate to get a "top" job.
The amount that most firms , especially large consulting firms etc are willing to invest in securing a fresh Cambridge grad is on a different scale to what they will do to hire someone from a middling institution.
It's much easier for them to be hired into the sort of positions that will catapult their career to the top in the least amount of time.
As someone living in switzerland and having done my apprenticeship here in computer science I don't think it's that hard to switch.
Of course I speak of mostly personal experiences, but when you're in school you usually have two forms of classes still, general education, like math, language and so on. And then you have your field related stuff. Of course if you're learing IT you'll have more math than a cook apprentice, but still.
After you have completed one apprenticeship (mine took 4 years), you can learn other jobs if you want at a very reduced time, 1 to 2 years usually.
If you're fresh out of university you'll have a ramp up time too as you said. At my previous company we much preferred people doing an apprenticeship for 2 years than having someone with a bachelor. Because they were significatly cheaper during those two years, while usually require only slightly more training.
We were never able to take someone straight from university and put them on a project.
> But you might find it hard to change industries, which is a problem at the moment for finance folks (major job cuts at the two Swiss investment banks).
Do you have any source for that? Genuinely curious, because I haven't heard about that beeing an issue.
>Do you have any source for that? Genuinely curious, because I haven't heard about that beeing an issue.
No, that's speculation. It's well known the big banks have been reducing head count, and I suppose that most people in such a system will at least start by trying to find a seat in the same industry. At least one guy I know has been looking for work for ages.
The problem is age, mostly, isn't it though? With age you neither want to leave the place you grew accustomed with, nor would it be easier than finding a job in your profession, as some complain even here with respect to IT.
Anyway, I find it a terribly boring and ignorant idea, to work in one profession all life, without much change of pace. or chances to gain valuable knowledge from dfferent fields. Although, it sounds comfortable enough to understand why so many would not want to change a running system. As the saying goes, let the cobbler stay with his lasts (!g what's a last anyway?)
edit: originally the saying ment to stay within ones competence.
Early "tracking", putting children in a performance-related track, is a big problem in Germany. It seriously hinders the educational success of those put in lower tracks.
However, these tracks are only superficially about academic success. The reality is that it's more about ethnicity and parent's background. Turkish children are seen by many Germans as genetically less intelligent than their "pure" German peers. You won't hear that sentiment very often, and I find this attitude absolutely horrifying, but this has been shown by social studies and opinion polls. The result is that children from a foreign or poor background have far less chances to get into the academic track, and a lot of people think that's purely because of different abilities.
The result is a system that struggles with social mobility, compared to other European countries. And some part of it actually has to do with early vocational training, because choosing an apprenticeship when being capable of a well-paying university degree does hold back social mobility.
I know a fair few teachers in Germany who work in a 'Gymnasium', which is essentially the top tier secondary school. An equivalent to an old UK grammar school concept.
This is going to sound pretty harsh, but while it is hard to generalize, there is a strong tendency for children who come from Turkish backgrounds (especially boys) to be disruptive influences in class. This starts at an early age, and thus tracking tends to dump these children in Realschule and Hauptschule.
This disruption in class is especially the case with female teachers, for whom the boys hold little respect for. Their culture appears to hold little respect for women in the workplace. The father's hold similar disrespecting views at parent evenings as well. The effect is reversed with male teachers.
This is cultural problem on both sides and as a result the children lose out. Children that could have been successful academically are penalized both by the system's inherent failure to integrate migrants and as a direct result of their family's misogyny.
Germany likes to think that it is "Multikulti" [1], but my experiences so far seem to show a multi-culturalism that is a "pretty sheen" over the top of suspicion and disrespect. London has a far greater multi-culturalism than I have seen here in Germany.
If the cause of the problem is the negative attitude towards women on Turkish side, how is the problem on both sides? Or sexism is something acceptable?
Somehow the purported negative attitudes of Turks against women is considered more significant than the negative attitudes of the majority Germans against the minority Turks.
Teachers have observer bias and negative expectations of Turkish boys. Turkish boys don't like women telling them what to do. Both need to alter their attitudes.
Teaching is a popular career path for many women in Germany. It offers many benefits (especially as a civil servant). That isn't going to change (and nor should it). So if Turkish boys do have a problem with that, then they need to get over it.
If this is the case, Turkish boys changing their attitudes should automatically lead to teachers changing theirs. If the teachers changed their attitudes, you wouldn't expect Turkish boys to change theirs.
Did you mean that the Germans could/ought to smack the disrespectful Turkish kids around and that that would make things improve? Otherwise I can't make sense of the idea that there is blame on both sides.
'There is a well documented effect in that the teacher's
expectations are reflected both in subjective grades and
objective performance.'
Nobody needs to be "smacked". Teachers have observer bias and negative expectations. Turkish boys don't like women telling them what to do. Both need to alter their attitudes.
Turkish boys have a greater tendency to misbehave than German boys (and Danish boys, Swedish boys, etc).
We seem to agree that those Turkish boys (and their parents) ought to change their attitudes. And everybody else around them also needs them to change their attitudes. So who is the other party who needs to change?
Edit: inserted the word 'also' + emphasized to word 'needs' for clarity.
Much of these difference can be explained by socioeconomic status. Germans from equally poor backgrounds don't behave any better. They may not speak heavy dialect when they disrespect a female teacher, but otherwise it's much the same.
And when you are from a muslim background and you want to disrespect your teacher, you'll choose other words and justifications than a German would. I'd caution against overinterpreting juvenile power plays in terms of religious biases though.
I was thinking the same. We don have a lot of racism where I come from, despite having a fairly large Indian population. We do have a lot of problems with people at the lower end of the socioeconomic scale.
You may want to think of your opinion to be an objective truth, but it isn't. Your explanation that muslim children don't respect female teachers is complete bs, in my opinion. The truth is that most muslim women in Germany, especially the Turkish ones, don't even wear a headscarf.
In Germany, I almost never hear "Multikulti" except from extreme right-wing people, and those who share racist opinions, but don't consider themselves Racist. (It's "The Truth", how can it be racism?)
There is a well documented effect in that the teacher's expectations are reflected both in subjective grades and objective performance.
Another confusing factor is that most Turkish "immigrant" children are anything but immigrants. Their parents or grandparents immigrated to Germany decades ago and helped build the country. But they were low-skilled laborers. And their children suffer from the same adverse selection problem as German "underclass" children do.
It's just so much easier to pin this complex problem on a mysterious genetic factor that makes Turks dumber.
Woah there. You've extrapolated a number of things that I never stated. Let's revisit this:
'but while it is hard to generalize, there is a strong
tendency'
I went out of my way not to generalize. I stated a tendency. There is no hard and fast rule here.
'The truth is that most muslim women in Germany,
especially the Turkish ones, don't even wear a
headscarf.'
I did not mention headscarves. Not once. I stated 'misogyny'. The two are not the same.
'I almost never hear "Multikulti" except from extreme
right-wing people, and those who share racist opinions,
but don't consider themselves Racist.'
"Multikulti" was a concept was popularized by the liberal Alliance 90/Green Party. Merkel, of the right leaning CDU stated multi-cuturalism has "utterly failed" back in 2010 [1]. This is a partisan concept. I therefore struggle to see how you can associate the attempt by the German people to have a multi-cultural society as racist. I don't understand how you make that connection?
'There is a well documented effect in that the teacher's
expectations are reflected both in subjective grades and
objective performance.'
That I agree with.
'Another confusing factor is that most Turkish
"immigrant" children are anything but immigrants. Their
parents or grandparents immigrated to Germany decades ago
and helped build the country.'
Agreed, these children come from a migration background. I should have made that clearer. My observation was that specifically the boys have a problem with women teachers telling them what to do. This includes female teachers that come from a "Migrationshintergrund". Women having a position of authority over these boys is a problem for them.
'pin this complex problem on a mysterious genetic factor
that makes Turks dumber'
This one baffles me. I stated that these boys have a discipline problem. I also stated that these children are not achieving their potential because of the misogyny, not because they are dumb.
Bottom line is that a misogynistic cultural attitude is prevalent in Turkish society. That misogyny concerns the role of women in the work place. It especially causes problems in schools where women teachers hold positions of authority over young men who do not like, and are not used to, that scenario. As a result come discipline problems that (as you so eloquently put it) 'the teacher's expectations are reflected both in subjective grades and objective performance' results.
It is a vicious cycle. Hence, I went out of my way to state that both sides are to blame. You appear to have overlooked that fact.
Well, the green party isn't using the word "Multikulti" a lot these days. I do hear it a lot when people want to justify racist beliefs, though. And a lot.
The pure fact that there are multiple cultures in Germany is very evident. And it's not just immigrants. Point is: You can't get rid of people that don't suit your cultural preferences. You can't force assimilation. Instead, this constant "assimilation debate" is more a means to scare off foreigners.
You didn't say anything about genetics, but others do. Especially the "Sarrazin school" of racism. Strongly associating faults and delinquency to cultural backgrounds or religion isn't that much better, though.
Most (purportedly) muslim students don't exhibit mysogyny against female teachers. It is simply wrong to ascribe most or all of these problems to misogyny, even if this explanation is so simple and logical.
It also doesn't point to a solution for these problems.
It is relevant in that the headscarf is a symbolic issue in immigration debates in Germany. The biggest ethnic minority in Germany are the descendents of turkish migratory workers.
It's a symbol of conservative muslim faith (in the eyes of Germans) and subjugation of women in general. Most muslim organizations and German politicians with a turkish background actually appeal to fellow muslims not to wear headscarves.
My point was that there is no widespread refusal of integration, and that misogyny in muslim Germans is usually exaggerated. I didn't want to explain that too thoroughly because the post would have been even longer.
This actually sounds like a great way to help integrate folks into the German culture. As more and more disruptive children are relegated, and more parents ask, "Why?" receiving the answer, "You don't respect women," perhaps behaviors will slowly change.
Is that irony? I hope so, but I can't tell. Slapping people around is usually not the way to change their attitudes...
Currently there is a perverse segregation going on. German parents (and any immigrants who know what's going on) send their children to schools who have a low rate of immigrant students. And with good justification. But this also means that the best teachers and other resources go to these schools, while creating schools with lots of problems, worse equipment, worse teachers and a thorough helping of students whose parents don't object to low quality.
It doesn't work like that. "Systematic academic discrimination" and "unequal abilities" are undistinguishable, so you can't really prove or disprove either.
There were instances where children from Roma families were put into special education without any examination.
It's impossible to determine genetic differences in intelligence between different ethnicities. Twin studies don't work for that. One study which compared children of German women and black US soldiers did not find a difference between those children and German children raised under similar circumstances.
What we do know is that differences in ethnicities don't tend to hold up against other explanatory factors.
We also know about the effect of subjective bias on student-teacher relationships, and a strong tendency of believing other ethnicities to be less intelligent.
codingbinary: your account has been hellbanned for several years and most people never see your comments; looking through your comment history I can't see why.
I don't think this is entirely true, the UK has plenty of manufacturing. It's just "lean" or capital-intensive. Tends to be small runs of high-value products rather than mass manufacturing.
What has mostly gone is the "factory floor", large businesses with lots of workers to engage in labour disputes with. You can do car manufacturing in the UK so long as senior management culture isn't British or it's a tiny luxury car company. But British Leyland are as dead as old Detroit.
The UK manufactures a lot of stuff - manufacturing output in the UK doubled from 1958 and 2007 - it's just that we don't have many people employed in manufacturing anymore:
In practice though, aprentices are often seen as cheap labour and are not at all trained well, if the madter to the aprentice lacks time or is a drunkard or what have you.
Especially in the simpler of proffesions, I fail to grasp the difference to the british system. Surely you need and will receive training of some form as well if you start a job. Do the school hours make the difference here? I am not convinved, given a butcher with already 10 years of school experience will be taught and tested for cheap stuff like percentage calculation. OTH you can become sysadmin apprentice and won't need a uni-degree, which is nice i suppose, as you get certified to know the essentials.
I habe never heared anything good about the "Berufsschule" so I decided to get a degree and work parttime as dev to get good theoretical and practical education here in germany.
It isn't just apprentices, they have two different types of colleges. One is primarily about job training, the other is what we have in the US. Yes, there are a few minor technical schools in the US, but it is nothing like Germany.
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[ 3.7 ms ] story [ 134 ms ] threadAs for the "cost factor" for the companies...even if still at apprenticeship level, the people are working, even if it's just minor tasks in the first few months, so give them a damn salary. Here in Germany the average is about 700$/month on average, with salary increasing by about 50$ each year. Plus a decent chance to get a full time job at the same company after your apprenticeship is done.
The firms won't need to establish programs. The states will have to establish schools for that, not the firms.
In other words, by the time you're in high school, you're either in the "university path" or the "trade path"?
I honestly don't know but it would be interesting to hear thoughts. Does it make it harder to switch careers later in life?
> Skeptical Americans worry that the European model requires tracking, and it’s true, German children choose at age 10 among an academic high school, a vocational track, or something in between. But it turns out there’s a lot of opportunity for trainees to switch tracks later on. They can go back to school to specialize further or earn a master craftsman’s certificate or train as a trainer in the company’s apprenticeship program—and many do. What education reformers call “lifelong learning” is still a distant dream for most Americans. In Germany, it’s a reality.
Yes, and it's one of the sillier parts of the German educational system. That said, recent school reforms have at least started to mitigate it a bit. The problem here is not some form of tracking as such – not everyone has the same talents – but that it happens so early (after fourth grade) and that the differences between school types are so huge.
That said, these days it's at least less of a permanent decision. For example, my niece initially finished school after 10th grade ("Mittlere Reife"), then did an apprenticeship, then went back to school, working on her abitur now and will likely go to college afterwards.
Depending on where you live, children may also be able to join one of the comprehensive schools and bypass the traditional system.
Yeah, but only few have the discipline to go back to school after having earned "real money" already.
The international equivalent would be graduating, getting some work experience and then going back to grad school. I don't think many people manage to do that either. But in this case it's even more difficult because you have to go back to high school basically.
[2] http://online.wsj.com/articles/skills-gap-bumps-up-against-v...
ps -- sorry for the wsj links, google the stuff after the final slash and you can bypass the paywall
That doesn't seem out of line with inflation. If they didn't increase, that means they would be stagnant as the cost of living increased, which would be bad for the employees.
The good ones are doubling salaries, and the conclusion drawn is that millennials are not loyal!
And this is why it will never happen until there is a massive cultural shift. Americans and American firms have accepted and even embraced the tragedy of the commons in a wide variety of areas. Where most people realize a race to the bottom is something to be avoided, in America, it's something to be won.
"With new technology transforming work across a range of sectors, more and more businesses are struggling to find workers with the skills to man new machines and manage new processes."
How would apprenticeship explain why a 40 year old German machinist is more likely to be employed than a 40 year old American machinist?
There are many people, in the USA, who are in their 40s and 50s and who are unemployed. Apprenticeship, in its traditional form, would not help them.
There is another way to look at this, which is to say that the German economy is really weak, but the weakness of the economy was hidden by the introduction of the euro, and the irresponsible lending that German banks engaged in, which allowed an unsustainable debt-fueled bubble to appear in Southern Europe, which created a huge market for German capital goods, which gave Germany a big export surplus. Consider the summary that Paul Krugman gives of Wolfgang Münchau description of the situation:
http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/10/12/german-weakness/
Germany came out the big winner of the euro, therefore its export industry is strong, therefore industry can still engage in long-term investments in its workers, and the labor unions in Germany are very strong, so they can force corporations to spend on training programs. All of which helps. But the roots of German success, in 2014, originate with the great financial changes of the last 25 years, and that success makes German's training programs look great. But to suggest that Germany does a good job training its workers, and therefore the Germany economy is strong, is probably wrong on at least 2 counts:
1.) it probably reverses cause and effect
2.) the German economy is not really strong
He can sketch a picture and create a tool from the sketch in essentially the same day, whereas his counterparts take just as long just to sketch the tool in a CAD program of some sort.
He has always had a problem with CAD design. He can navigate it, but he has difficulty with actual modeling. Luckily he is at such a rank in his profession to where he has an intern assigned to him to translate his graph paper sketches into document-able CAD files and do other computerized clerical work that he's not up on.
Sure there are some times when knowing how things were done decades ago is useful if you have to repair something, or do something unusual. But what drives machine tools today is throughput, throughput, throughput and the techniques used by today's CNC machining centers completely obsolete entire categories of tools from years past.
What is more likely is that a machinist who was experienced in operating manual machines, and who has modernized his training can command a premium because his skill gained in doing things the manual way give him a better ability to program a controller to do it more efficiently (CAM software is only so good).
> Exxon has stupendous institutional capacity and depth of fundamentals and resources that swallow any capacity facebook could ever even fathom to have or make.
Exxon is a much bigger company than Facebook, but the U.S. is a much larger economy that "...swallow[s] any capacity [Germany] could even fathom to have or make". How does your analogy hold again?
Furthermore, many economists don't agree with your proposition that Germany has strong fundamentals. Just look at the Paul Krugman post at the top of the thread.
Edit: removed first sentence because it was too aggressive.
The author acknowledges the dilemma that to maintain competitiveness, the US will have to do something substantive. To match the Germans in skill set infrastructure, the education system will have to reform to look more German, in a way. Exactly how seems unclear.
The German economy is strong compared to many other nations. Currently the German economy is the strongest in Europe.
The German economy was also for many decades before the Euro the strongest of Europe, that was one reason for the strong currency (German Marks).
The sayings of the "weakness" of the German economy was and is a political claim that was made to reduce the workers costs in Germany.
You must also distinguish between productivity (which always was high in Germany in the last decades) and attractiveness to the financial sector (stock etc.). And the second thing is, I guess, what Krugman/Muenchau really meant. And yes, Germany was not so attractive for some time, because growth and ROI where not so high as in the US for example.
But I think, that are two different things. One is about productivity and strength of industries and the other is about the capitalistic demand for more and more growth.
The United States is a net importer, if it quit trading with the world tomorrow American employment would go up. The opposite is true of Germany. Its domestic demand is nowhere near sufficient to absorb current production. Moreover, Germany's trade surplus is substantially the result of trade with Eurozone basket case countries whose trade imbalances are not sustainable.
You also conflate the strength of the Mark with the strength of the German economy. The Mark was a strong currency in the postwar era because the Bundesbank tended to pursue "strong Mark" policies, often to the detriment of the German economy. As recently as 1990 Germany was considered the "sick man of Europe".
> The United States is a net importer,
Because of massive overconsumption, not a particular 'strong economy'. This is a country of consumers.
> if it quit trading with the world tomorrow American employment would go up.
Good luck trying that.
> Moreover, Germany's trade surplus is substantially the result of trade with Eurozone basket case countries whose trade imbalances are not sustainable.
Germany trades world wide. It has for example a trade SURPLUS with China. Because it is able to compete on the world-market.
> You also conflate the strength of the Mark with the strength of the German economy. The Mark was a strong currency in the postwar era because the Bundesbank tended to pursue "strong Mark" policies,
That Mark was strong, because Germany had the strongest economy in Europe and thus could run a strong currency policy.
> often to the detriment of the German economy. As recently as 1990 Germany was considered the "sick man of Europe".
'the sick man of Europe' was a propaganda term by the UK/US press to claim the superiority of their 'service economy'. Actually what happened between 1989 and 2000 was that Germany absorbed the reunification with a collapsed East Germany. Suddenly millions of people from a formerly 'socialist' country were joining West Germany. This was hugely expensive and the problems are still visible for another two decades.
Yeah, a bit of history gives the context.
That's the opposite of how things really work. If you run a strong currency in an export economy, you will get sick, because your trade partners will no longer be able to afford your exports.
That's how it works for Germany for decades.
No one outside Germany cares what a Mercedes S-Class costs. They are buying them independent of the price.
> because your trade partners will no longer be able to afford your exports.
Tell that the Chinese...
This statement contradicts the entire theory of supply and demand. Also, my family owned a Mercedes once, and those things break down too damn often.
>Tell that the Chinese...
The Chinese are running a weak-currency policy.
It doesn't. If it would, the theory would be wrong. Cars like the Mercedes S-Class are not sold based on price - it's a luxury good. Advanced machines for factories are not bought primarily on price - otherwise Germany would have lost these markets long to cheaper competition.
You trade with the world because it makes stuff cheaper. Without trading you would produce that stuff less efficiently, so prices would go up relative to salaries, so people would need to reduce consumption, not only of the stuf that was imported, but of everything.
Whether the end result would be increase or decrease in employement isn't obvious, but I think decrease in employement is more probable.
The same way as the employment rate is probably higher in North Korea. On a more serious note, it has been proven for at least 150 years that Corn Laws and import restrictions do not work, in the best case scenario they are a huge inconvenience for the home consumers, in the worst case scenario they generate famines and national tragedies.
- Product designed and developed in Cupertino, CA
- Product build in China
- Product build on machines from Germany
- Product imported into the US
- Product sold to consumers
----
- Machine designed and developed in Germany
- Machine build in Germany
- Machine imported into China
- Machine sold to Flexconn & Co.
Now think, where productivity takes place.
/me ducks in cover :-)
This is strictly a cultural bias, in the same way in the US apprenticing at all is antagonized, and can easily change.
I know you mean that Germany has that cultural perception still but still has higher employment matching, I'm just saying it is not a technical problem that you can only apprentice in your early years.
Germany has been an industrial powerhouse for a long time, and their focus on utterly owning niche markets has been a huge competitive force for many years. The euro helped, but the story doesn't stop there.
I love South Carolina, but it seems like a particularly lousy place to be an industrial worker to me.
The German 40-year old machinist also tends to have a right to continuous training, to be provided by the employer. Since the employer likely already spent quite some money on that employee, they’ll have a higher interest in securing this continuous training and make sure that their employee stays up to date.
Other countries without that mechanism suffered much more.
In Germany we basically loosened the rules for Kurzarbeit (not officially, I think, but the authorities were much more lenient than usual about the legal requirements), because it was a mechanism already in place.
That last part is important. A mechanism that only works okay, but is already implemented everywhere is much better than the perfect mechanism, specifically tailored to your needs, but impossible to roll out on short notice.
Sure, but apprenticeship means there's a culture of on-the-job learning and teaching, and strong trade unions lead to german workers being entitled to continuous learning and improvement.
Having apprenticeships means moving 'school' closer to the 40-year olds. Maybe that 40 year old is forced to stay up-to-date by his 20-year old apprentice?
And your Germany/Southern Europe argument made me think of the China/USA relation. How good that analogy is? I wouldn't dare take a guess at.
As part of a master/apprentice relationship the master is expected to teach the apprentice how to use the brand new machining center or at least how to use it to make money. A master who can't teach, or at least set an example, is going to have employment issues. Life on the floor was not really different than my experiences in IT... boss selects a new tool, you will use it in at most a couple days of fooling around, or find a new job, doesn't matter if its machining or IT. If you're the wisest employee, you can expect to get assigned to the new toy and to train the other employees informally if nothing more advanced.
There is/was a continuous and constant struggle between the school instructor component of an apprenticeship and the masters on the job. The instructors want cool sexy toys and resume stuffers like teaching cutting edge tools, but the masters on the job want the instructors to teach the basics. There is also a lot of general experience aka "we don't do centerless grinding machining here, so I hope your classroom instructor is covering at least the basics". And the masters continually complained about instructors who taught the kids the basics of g-code but not how to read a print, lots of "walk before you run" complaining.
At least this is how it was at a former employer for machinists, tool and die makers, millwrights, and industrial electricians. I have no first hand data about plumbers and carpenters.
Something that confuses youth culture on HN is it takes a kid 16 or so years of study to learn "2014 work". So they freak out that a 40 year old dude would have to stop working completely for 16 years to learn "2024 work". Reality of course is that things develop VERY slowly and most of the 16 years of school are focused on 2000-4000 years of human development. Actual development is so slow in most large industries like machining or IT coding, that its not hard at all to keep up other than anecdotes and complainers and people who've basically retired on the job.
This is not a popular view, but I do agree. If one learns the basics, the javascript framework of the week becomes much less intimidating as an obstacle to professional success. There are rarely new things in software development, but the do come along (big data and machine learning).
In the meanwhile Germany added 20 million people from a collapsed country/economy...
> which created a huge market for German capital goods, which gave Germany a big export surplus.
Germany had an huge export surplus before, during and after it.
> Germany came out the big winner of the euro, therefore its export industry is strong, therefore industry can still engage in long-term investments in its workers
Germany did that before the Euro and is still doing it.
> and the labor unions in Germany are very strong, so they can force corporations to spend on training programs.
The companies are more than willing to train their workers. No unions necessary.
> Germany does a good job training its workers, and therefore the Germany economy is strong, is probably wrong on at least 2 counts: > 1.) it probably reverses cause and effect
There is no 'cause and effect'. It makes much more sense to model economy as a system with multiple feedback loops.
The education and training systems constantly creates new workers with relatively high skill sets. You can guess the effects from that and you can also easily guess why the companies are doing this.
> 2.) the German economy is not really strong
That would not make any sense to say. 80+ million people, fourth largest economy in the world.
Not 'at the moment' - Germany has been a strong exporter for almost five decades now...
> then Germany will find itself in real trouble.
Since Germany runs this model since a long time, it has a lot of experience dealing with its effects.
Germany has not had anything like this level of current account surplus before. It is entirely due to mistakes in macro economics (wrong parity within the Euro and a refusal to boost domestic demand).
Sadly Germans seem unable to understand that their surplus is not a sign of economic success, but the result of misguided policies that keep the rest of Europe in recession.
...which in turn strengthens the German position, right? In turn giving them de facto economic success?
That has a simple reason: Germany is a larger country in a unified Europe now. After recovering from the effects of the reunification, you have now a stronger and larger economy with more and larger trading partners. For the larger export success are a few simple reasons responsible:
* the east european market directly next to Germany is now larger and easier to access. Poland.
* Germany is no 33% larger than before the reunification. Once the added economy started to recover from the effects of reunification and many investments in East Germany were done, the now larger economy, contcentrated back on the european and world market.
* globalization has nicely enhanced the reach of even small companies in rural Germany to trade with even remote locations
> It is entirely due to mistakes in macro economics
That's entirely wrong.
http://www.tradingeconomics.com/charts/germany-current-accou...
The current surplus is not a feature of German productivity but the result of having an undervalued Euro and depressed domestic demand.
> The current surplus is not a feature of German productivity but the result of having an undervalued Euro and depressed domestic demand.
The Euro is not really undervalued. The current surplus is a feature of Germany's long term export oriented industry.
How can the Euro be 'under-valued' in Germany?
In many cases, the job that a 40 or 50 year old machinist in the US had, is gone. The company is gone. The plant is abandoned or town down. The equipment was shipped off to China.
All of the VW group cars I have had have been great - haven't had a single problem with them.
How? To generalize/stereotype, the routine downfall of German industry has been over-engineering. In other words, it's an amazing product, but good lord it is so complicated, no-one could ever iron out all the bugs.
Because Germans have the idea of "Germans" and the politicians do at least to some degree try to improve the living standards for all?
The same thing in China. Whatever the government in China may be, they still try to rise the standard of living for all.
So it is no surprise that China considers to adopt the German apprentice system and both, China and Germany have very good public transport.
"America is a business" as Brad Pitt said in one movie. Both, heavy investment into public infrastructure and something like a subsidized apprenticeship would always be seen as "interfering with the free market" in the US. Hope it ends well.
What specifically do you mean by the 60%?
Subsidies? Living standards through economic growth.
Military? Living standards better if not conquered. Improved if we conquer or control something good.
My Dictatorship? Only I can be trusted to give the people the living standards they need.
The problem with saying all of the budget improves people's living standards is that it gets you nowhere. I just drew the line at direct payments.
Another example would be health insurance. The US is approaching 20% of GDP and they are not getting anything for it (Germany 10%, UK 7.5%, numbers out of my head). Until Obamacare, only around 80% of the US population had coverage and they the US population had a lower life expectancy than the UK or Germany. China would never let run things so out of hand.
(After Germany and the US, I live now in China. This makes me reflect on a lot of things. Not all is good here but here are opportunities. I regret that I did not come earlier to China.)
These kind of articles make the implicit assumption that countries are the same except for being located in different locations, and that successful institutions from one can be transplanted to another. But each is an organic entity, with different histories and cultures
I have started trying to swap the two around in my own language, to avoid stereotyping people based on class.
I'll let Michael Pettis explain it: http://www.foreignpolicy.com/articles/2013/05/07/no_the_span...
You can see the result during the financial crisis: employment was going up, not down.
The workers and the unions actually got something back from the companies: job security in difficult times.
What do you mean by sector? Germany and Japan (and the US) get along just fine as top-end manufacturers.
First, German workers are forbidden to use social media or check their phones at work. So, instead of checking your text message or facebook, you interact with other workers.
Second, workers are given bonuses based on team output. No competition, rather team must work together to get better bonuses.
Third, German's don't ever drown themselves with a mortgage. They just rent for life, but I hear that housing condition is excellent in Germany.
Fourth, German mother's are incentivized to take care of their children. The heavy taxation discourages moms seeking jobs. This is important for child's development to have a mother around.
Fifth, German kindergarten is more like spending time in nature, getting dirty in the forest, climbing trees and such.
Sixth, students who aren't interested in studying can go to trade schools and take up apprenticeship like the article described.
For the above reasons, Germany seems to work less hours yet have greater output. They are super efficient and practical with their time. The government also places heavy emphasis in making sure the traditional familial obligations are maintained.
What an awesome country.
1) No. That's, as probably in the US, a case-by-case thing. None of my friends that have a degree work under such restrictions.
2) Again, case-by-case. Though I think it might be overall more common.
4) The government is working hard on making that untrue with better and better options for working parents. Plus it's not only mothers but fathers as well.
Social media use is definitely not forbidden at work as a rule. Not sure if there are companies that forbid it, and if that would be legal. But it is certainly not the norm.
Don't know about the bonuses.
Mortgages: many Germany buy houses, but perhaps fewer than in the UK. Renting for life is certainly common.
Childcare: what does "heavy taxation" have to do with it? Taxes are the same for everyone. There is a huge push to get mothers to work earlier by providing more childcare and so on (personally I think it's a stupid idea, but it's the sentiment the common media outlets want us to have).
Kindergarden: nature kindergardens exist, but they are rare. Most kindergardens have their own playground.
Today probably most companies disallow any private web surfing.
Inofficially it is often tolerated if you don't overdo it.
> and if that would be legal.
It is.
> But it is certainly not the norm.
Believe me, it is.
The reason is simple: As soon as you're allowing private surfing you have to respect your employees' privacy. That means that you must not use software or equipment to track web use (apart from special agreements with the works council).
Same goes for private email. If you allow that, you cannot have your admins look into emails anymore. You cannot easily backup mails without telling your employees all the details. You cannot simply reject mails. And so on.
It's a huge hassle.
How well you do after a trade school also depends a lot on the sector you are working it and even on companies. There are companies who love people with degrees from trade schools and others who don't like them.
When you want to look at working hours in comparison to economical output there once has been a study posted here on HN showing that the richer countries (at least in Europe) tend to be those with fewer working hours and in general there seems to be a strong north-south difference, with Italy, Greece, Austria (which is the exception), etc. having many work hours and Scandinavian having fewer.
As for the whole topic: I really don't think that all of this really tells you too much about what a good system for economical output is. A lot of this tells you more about the society in a country and probably its history. Of course it all affects economy, but copying Germany won't magically make you rich, same is true for US, UK, China, ...
Laws and rules in general, as well as the educational systems must fit with other things like society, natural resources, population size and structure, etc.
That's also why you can't just say that a libertarian (economically, not social) society will always have a wealthier society than another. There are many additional factors. China has the benefit of a large population, the US has the benefit of a great size, over many climatic zones and the UK has at the right time set a focus on institutions that act in the financial market. However also those things have to come with a society that is willing to make use of this.
If you think about South America. They still struggle mostly with the problem that they in history ended up on the losing side. If that other side happened to win (could have happened, were they luckier and took different decisions at times of war) then things might have looked different, or not.
I don't want to say these things depend largely on luck, but since there are multiple complex systems interacting with each other saying X is the reason for this and that everyone could have seen this coming seems like the wrong and a strongly irrational approach to me.
There were lots of really tiny events throughout history that strongly affected history and thereby societies, economy, politics, etc. and thereby how well economical models end up working for certain countries.
"Germany strong economy" is an illusion. They are putting money in Spain, Portugal and Greece, because otherwise the euro and Germany will be totally f* up
In case you understand German: "Bei einer geringfügigen Beschäftigung trägt der Arbeitgeber Lohnsteuer, Solidaritätszuschlag und Kirchensteuer sowie Sozialversicherungsbeiträge."
(see here:https://de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geringf%C3%BCgige_Besch%C3%A4f...)
In a 450 Euro job, you get 450 Euro.
Apprenticeships only pay off for the company if they can expect the apprentices stay with them for a few years after the education is done.
And in Germany there's a big cultural bias for keeping jobs long years. My impression is that that's not the case in the USA.
- In the UK, a lot of people have degrees, but it doesn't seem to matter what the degree is in. You have English and History grads trading bonds. You used to be able to get an options trading job straight out of school (some of my old bosses joined at 16, and are now the movers and shakers in certain option markets) but not anymore.
- In Switzerland (which I think is somewhat similar to Germany) not that many people have degrees, but everyone appears to be trained for their industry from a young age. My private banker is around my age, but started as a banking apprentice at age 16. He's a major asset for his international bank, and seems to know everything that folks in London know.
What are the pros and cons? I suppose if you do a degree in the UK, you can find a job in many different industries. But you'll probably have a steeper learning curve, since you won't be learning about bonds until you land at the desk. In the Germanic world, you'll somewhat hit the ground running. But you might find it hard to change industries, which is a problem at the moment for finance folks (major job cuts at the two Swiss investment banks).
The result of that is the Switzerland has managed to get most of the high quality production that requires special knowledge and the rest of Europe is fighting for the scrapes.
They could cope if it was something they understood but if it was a completely new problem they were generally at a loss. They tried to replace the contractors from my company three or four times and always ended up asking for them back after a month or two.
Obviously this is a generalisation based on working in one place but as I found Switzerland very rule based I wondered if that extended to their problem solving.
It's much easier for them to be hired into the sort of positions that will catapult their career to the top in the least amount of time.
If you're fresh out of university you'll have a ramp up time too as you said. At my previous company we much preferred people doing an apprenticeship for 2 years than having someone with a bachelor. Because they were significatly cheaper during those two years, while usually require only slightly more training.
We were never able to take someone straight from university and put them on a project.
> But you might find it hard to change industries, which is a problem at the moment for finance folks (major job cuts at the two Swiss investment banks).
Do you have any source for that? Genuinely curious, because I haven't heard about that beeing an issue.
No, that's speculation. It's well known the big banks have been reducing head count, and I suppose that most people in such a system will at least start by trying to find a seat in the same industry. At least one guy I know has been looking for work for ages.
Anyway, I find it a terribly boring and ignorant idea, to work in one profession all life, without much change of pace. or chances to gain valuable knowledge from dfferent fields. Although, it sounds comfortable enough to understand why so many would not want to change a running system. As the saying goes, let the cobbler stay with his lasts (!g what's a last anyway?) edit: originally the saying ment to stay within ones competence.
However, these tracks are only superficially about academic success. The reality is that it's more about ethnicity and parent's background. Turkish children are seen by many Germans as genetically less intelligent than their "pure" German peers. You won't hear that sentiment very often, and I find this attitude absolutely horrifying, but this has been shown by social studies and opinion polls. The result is that children from a foreign or poor background have far less chances to get into the academic track, and a lot of people think that's purely because of different abilities.
The result is a system that struggles with social mobility, compared to other European countries. And some part of it actually has to do with early vocational training, because choosing an apprenticeship when being capable of a well-paying university degree does hold back social mobility.
This is going to sound pretty harsh, but while it is hard to generalize, there is a strong tendency for children who come from Turkish backgrounds (especially boys) to be disruptive influences in class. This starts at an early age, and thus tracking tends to dump these children in Realschule and Hauptschule.
This disruption in class is especially the case with female teachers, for whom the boys hold little respect for. Their culture appears to hold little respect for women in the workplace. The father's hold similar disrespecting views at parent evenings as well. The effect is reversed with male teachers.
This is cultural problem on both sides and as a result the children lose out. Children that could have been successful academically are penalized both by the system's inherent failure to integrate migrants and as a direct result of their family's misogyny.
Germany likes to think that it is "Multikulti" [1], but my experiences so far seem to show a multi-culturalism that is a "pretty sheen" over the top of suspicion and disrespect. London has a far greater multi-culturalism than I have seen here in Germany.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multikulti
Teaching is a popular career path for many women in Germany. It offers many benefits (especially as a civil servant). That isn't going to change (and nor should it). So if Turkish boys do have a problem with that, then they need to get over it.
If this is the case, Turkish boys changing their attitudes should automatically lead to teachers changing theirs. If the teachers changed their attitudes, you wouldn't expect Turkish boys to change theirs.
Why both? And why just a cultural problem?
Did you mean that the Germans could/ought to smack the disrespectful Turkish kids around and that that would make things improve? Otherwise I can't make sense of the idea that there is blame on both sides.
Turkish boys have a greater tendency to misbehave than German boys (and Danish boys, Swedish boys, etc).
We seem to agree that those Turkish boys (and their parents) ought to change their attitudes. And everybody else around them also needs them to change their attitudes. So who is the other party who needs to change?
Edit: inserted the word 'also' + emphasized to word 'needs' for clarity.
And when you are from a muslim background and you want to disrespect your teacher, you'll choose other words and justifications than a German would. I'd caution against overinterpreting juvenile power plays in terms of religious biases though.
In Germany, I almost never hear "Multikulti" except from extreme right-wing people, and those who share racist opinions, but don't consider themselves Racist. (It's "The Truth", how can it be racism?)
There is a well documented effect in that the teacher's expectations are reflected both in subjective grades and objective performance.
Another confusing factor is that most Turkish "immigrant" children are anything but immigrants. Their parents or grandparents immigrated to Germany decades ago and helped build the country. But they were low-skilled laborers. And their children suffer from the same adverse selection problem as German "underclass" children do.
It's just so much easier to pin this complex problem on a mysterious genetic factor that makes Turks dumber.
Bottom line is that a misogynistic cultural attitude is prevalent in Turkish society. That misogyny concerns the role of women in the work place. It especially causes problems in schools where women teachers hold positions of authority over young men who do not like, and are not used to, that scenario. As a result come discipline problems that (as you so eloquently put it) 'the teacher's expectations are reflected both in subjective grades and objective performance' results.
It is a vicious cycle. Hence, I went out of my way to state that both sides are to blame. You appear to have overlooked that fact.
[1] http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-11559451
The pure fact that there are multiple cultures in Germany is very evident. And it's not just immigrants. Point is: You can't get rid of people that don't suit your cultural preferences. You can't force assimilation. Instead, this constant "assimilation debate" is more a means to scare off foreigners.
You didn't say anything about genetics, but others do. Especially the "Sarrazin school" of racism. Strongly associating faults and delinquency to cultural backgrounds or religion isn't that much better, though.
Most (purportedly) muslim students don't exhibit mysogyny against female teachers. It is simply wrong to ascribe most or all of these problems to misogyny, even if this explanation is so simple and logical.
It also doesn't point to a solution for these problems.
How is that relevant to your argument?
It's a symbol of conservative muslim faith (in the eyes of Germans) and subjugation of women in general. Most muslim organizations and German politicians with a turkish background actually appeal to fellow muslims not to wear headscarves.
My point was that there is no widespread refusal of integration, and that misogyny in muslim Germans is usually exaggerated. I didn't want to explain that too thoroughly because the post would have been even longer.
I wonder what other ways would work better?
Currently there is a perverse segregation going on. German parents (and any immigrants who know what's going on) send their children to schools who have a low rate of immigrant students. And with good justification. But this also means that the best teachers and other resources go to these schools, while creating schools with lots of problems, worse equipment, worse teachers and a thorough helping of students whose parents don't object to low quality.
There were instances where children from Roma families were put into special education without any examination.
It's impossible to determine genetic differences in intelligence between different ethnicities. Twin studies don't work for that. One study which compared children of German women and black US soldiers did not find a difference between those children and German children raised under similar circumstances.
What we do know is that differences in ethnicities don't tend to hold up against other explanatory factors.
We also know about the effect of subjective bias on student-teacher relationships, and a strong tendency of believing other ethnicities to be less intelligent.
UK and France thought industry as dead decades ago and lost their know-how by moving plants overseas.
Meanwhile Germany has kept his knowledge in-house and trains the best technician, ingenieur especially in machinenbau (mechanical engineering).
A decade ago at the KIT, machinenbau graduate were most sought-after by companies than computer scientist.
(btw I'm french)
What has mostly gone is the "factory floor", large businesses with lots of workers to engage in labour disputes with. You can do car manufacturing in the UK so long as senior management culture isn't British or it's a tiny luxury car company. But British Leyland are as dead as old Detroit.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manufacturing_in_the_United_Kin...
Especially in the simpler of proffesions, I fail to grasp the difference to the british system. Surely you need and will receive training of some form as well if you start a job. Do the school hours make the difference here? I am not convinved, given a butcher with already 10 years of school experience will be taught and tested for cheap stuff like percentage calculation. OTH you can become sysadmin apprentice and won't need a uni-degree, which is nice i suppose, as you get certified to know the essentials.
I habe never heared anything good about the "Berufsschule" so I decided to get a degree and work parttime as dev to get good theoretical and practical education here in germany.