i would say no, i would call it, "potential recurring income". with only 90 days of data you don't really know how long each customer will stay, without more data you really don't know how many of those will stick around for another month. then again i dont count my eggs before they hatch.
I thought no-one would bother filling out contact details / CC number without getting to a desktop first. After looking at your data and then checking my own analytics, I'm wrong.
Even for Candy Japan, I see 13% of conversions from mobile, 12% from tablet. And this despite the site not being designed for mobile at all. Sounds like fixing my mobile side might actually be a great opportunity for getting some more conversions.
Plus there should be some SEO benefits too. So it should work two fold.
I've seen a site of mine move from mid-30% mobile traffic this time last year, now up to over 50%. I was surprised with the amount and the change over the last 12 months.
We knew it would be a big channel but it was only when writing that post that it was driven home to me. 42%. And we still have so much to improve and speed up etc. The notion that people only sign up on desktops and get the credit card out there is dead now. People trust mobile for all sorts bow like you say
I think their is a group of people like my parents. They never really used computers and don't "get" them. Now that they have smartphones they are all over the web. My dad refuses to touch a computer but shops on his phone or ipad all the time.
It's quite possible this changed with iOS7 with the introduction of iCloud Keychain, which enabled storage of credit card information. I've found myself buying a lot more stuff on the mobile web since then, things that previously I only would have bought on a desktop.
A company I do work for has been doing a million+ or more in monthly credit card sales from iOS and android devices since '08. The iCloud Keychain didnt really increase numbers measurably at all.
When I started work for them I didn't believe so many people were willing to buy via mobile devices. Luckily, so was the competition, whom were not on their game and didnt want to accept such truths... so we ate their lunch. ;)
im specifically talking about the mobile web. this also happened to be adult related material... so maybe there was more incentive to get the card out?
I like the acquisition success story, people bash on Facebook ads but they're probably the best online channel when you have a very specific audience you want to target with high reach (dog owners, UK&I)
Just doesn't work as well for retail products / subscriptions when your audience is not necessarily ready to buy, and you just end up with worthless likes and no conversions.
For instance, FB targeting women 25-35 for online clothes shopping probably results in lower conversion rates than Google, even though the audience demographics could be the same, because search translates to buying intent.
We wouldn't have had the growth we have had without Facebook. Its the most targeted and cost effective ad platform the world has ever seen. Not suited to every business of course but I do think a lot of people underestimate just how effective it can be.
I suspect the number, and the very presence, of likes on your company's page is inconsequential. What matters is the percent of conversions (that is, purchases) for ad impressions. FB can target ads very narrowly.
I've ran campaigns that targeted likes and I feel like many of them are phony but I've also ran target campaigns to lead pages as an affiliate and had success in the past.
I don't think its fair to say FB ads dont work as well when your audience is not ready to buy. If you try to run an Adwords style campaign on FB, then you are right, that isn't very likely to work but that isnt because of FB.
The problem is the ads don't match where the prospects are in the buying cycle. Where FB excels is driving leads into a nurturing campaign that gets them ready for the sale down the line. These campaigns work wonderfully across a wide variety of industries.
If you want to get a better view of this and have Google Analytics conversion tracking setup, you can look at the Attribution reports and Path reports to understand where/how FB and social in general contributes to your conversions.
Google has a decent overview of the high-level topic [1] with a tool to see the change across various verticals/categories, but you can actually calculate a similar chart for your own business quite easily by doing the math on assisted conversions/last click conversions. The higher the number, the more that channel plays a role towards the beginning of the "intent funnel" (defined as awareness >> consideration >> purchase).
Obviously that doesn't mean that channel ALWAYS plays that role (as can be seen in the path reports in GA) but generally speaking, it is not uncommon for display and social to be very high on the assist side of things, and channels like direct, email, paid search, etc. to be stronger on the last touch side. If you discount the value of an early touch channel, you might find that the demand it generates drops off resulting in a loss of volume and/or efficiency for later touch channels.
There are some scenarios where FB and social can drive strong last click performance, but more often it is an assist channel. Being able to measure and manage it as such can easily mean the difference between perceptions of "yes this was a smart investment" vs. "what a waste of cash, FB sucks."
Niall the CEO of company here. We are pretty close to 50 depending on where they ship to, what package people go on etc. It starts to get way more interesting with volume though at 5000+ boxes providing we get that far!
This looks like such a good place to work. I love dogs and all doggie related things make me happy. No wonder you guys aren't having trouble getting customers.
Its the one thing I didn't write about is that we all bring our dogs to work and are trying to build a world class culture as much as anything. When you do what you love its just doesn't even feel remotely like work!
The fact that these boxes keep turning into successful small businesses is amazing to me. Especially when this box already has a competitor that I thought of as soon as I figured out what it is.
The article wasn't as insightful as I hoped. Though I'm pretty impressed by that growth in 3 months. You often see things like SaaS growing much slower. I see people talk about taking years to scale to 20k in monthly recurring revenue and they did it in 3 months. I appreciate that they shared their story but it seems like mostly they built a following by sharing dog pictures on social media. Maybe that's the lesson?
They did drop some info about AdWords not working which sounds like the targeting might have been weak or just not good for their target audience. The 100 conversions from a 10,000 person email list is very low for email. Most lists outperform any other media in conversion rates from my experience but those lists are filtered before people even join. It sounds like they have a bunch of people that simply like dogs and decided to join the mailing list. I could see why the conversion could be so low in that case. I still think focusing on a better mailing sequence is an easily hanging fruit to attack but it looks like social is working for you. It would be interesting to see churn numbers in a few months.
> I appreciate that they shared their story but it seems like mostly they built a following by sharing dog pictures on social media. Maybe that's the lesson?
I think the lesson is figure out your marketing channel before you build.
Great post Niall. Just wondering what groundwork you had laid down before the 90 days. Also, staggering numbers on the Bow Wow Times site. Do you think it's mainly down to the fact that people just love dogs (and articles about dogs) or is there anything you guys did that would be replicable for other B2C markets?
37 comments
[ 3.3 ms ] story [ 88.4 ms ] threadEven for Candy Japan, I see 13% of conversions from mobile, 12% from tablet. And this despite the site not being designed for mobile at all. Sounds like fixing my mobile side might actually be a great opportunity for getting some more conversions.
We have a long-ish sign up form for Car Quids yet half of our completions are done on mobile too.
it's a certain demographic that would buy a monthly box for their dog and i'd expect them to be mostly iPhone users
When I started work for them I didn't believe so many people were willing to buy via mobile devices. Luckily, so was the competition, whom were not on their game and didnt want to accept such truths... so we ate their lunch. ;)
If you're talking about the mobile web though, fair enough - I find that surprising. It has certainly altered my habits.
Just doesn't work as well for retail products / subscriptions when your audience is not necessarily ready to buy, and you just end up with worthless likes and no conversions.
For instance, FB targeting women 25-35 for online clothes shopping probably results in lower conversion rates than Google, even though the audience demographics could be the same, because search translates to buying intent.
The problem is the ads don't match where the prospects are in the buying cycle. Where FB excels is driving leads into a nurturing campaign that gets them ready for the sale down the line. These campaigns work wonderfully across a wide variety of industries.
If you want to get a better view of this and have Google Analytics conversion tracking setup, you can look at the Attribution reports and Path reports to understand where/how FB and social in general contributes to your conversions.
Google has a decent overview of the high-level topic [1] with a tool to see the change across various verticals/categories, but you can actually calculate a similar chart for your own business quite easily by doing the math on assisted conversions/last click conversions. The higher the number, the more that channel plays a role towards the beginning of the "intent funnel" (defined as awareness >> consideration >> purchase).
Obviously that doesn't mean that channel ALWAYS plays that role (as can be seen in the path reports in GA) but generally speaking, it is not uncommon for display and social to be very high on the assist side of things, and channels like direct, email, paid search, etc. to be stronger on the last touch side. If you discount the value of an early touch channel, you might find that the demand it generates drops off resulting in a loss of volume and/or efficiency for later touch channels.
There are some scenarios where FB and social can drive strong last click performance, but more often it is an assist channel. Being able to measure and manage it as such can easily mean the difference between perceptions of "yes this was a smart investment" vs. "what a waste of cash, FB sucks."
[1] https://www.thinkwithgoogle.com/tools/customer-journey-to-on...
Please be sure to post to the HN who's hiring when you're looking!
The article wasn't as insightful as I hoped. Though I'm pretty impressed by that growth in 3 months. You often see things like SaaS growing much slower. I see people talk about taking years to scale to 20k in monthly recurring revenue and they did it in 3 months. I appreciate that they shared their story but it seems like mostly they built a following by sharing dog pictures on social media. Maybe that's the lesson?
They did drop some info about AdWords not working which sounds like the targeting might have been weak or just not good for their target audience. The 100 conversions from a 10,000 person email list is very low for email. Most lists outperform any other media in conversion rates from my experience but those lists are filtered before people even join. It sounds like they have a bunch of people that simply like dogs and decided to join the mailing list. I could see why the conversion could be so low in that case. I still think focusing on a better mailing sequence is an easily hanging fruit to attack but it looks like social is working for you. It would be interesting to see churn numbers in a few months.
I think the lesson is figure out your marketing channel before you build.