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The trouble with warrant canaries is that you have no way of knowing if someone forgot to update it or if it's intentional; in some cases, it's even more suspicious for it to be updated once attention has been drawn to it.

The fail cases are indistinguishable from the successes in some circumstances.

Yeah, I know... I wonder if there's an improvement on the canary system somehow. You can't tell if it's just a page left by the wayside or an important clue...