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I've thought about solar desalination a lot lately, pumps + glass + desert = water. Then you can sell the salt by product during the cold weather to the north east.
That's the sort of thing that sounds like you're closing the loop, but has some serious flaws the deeper you go. First off, where is that water coming from? You mention desert, so is it an incredibly saline salt lake or briny fossil aquifers? If you're pumping out mass quantities of fossil water, be prepared for an eventual end, and localized subsidence, depending on the depth/structure of the formation.

Then there's the salt. Salt's actually kind of on the downslope in terms of its use in de-icing. You're literally salting the earth around roadways. Places that see a lot of snow and have a lot of waterways (from personal experience, like Northern Wisconsin and the UP), actually use sand instead. You expect there to be snow on the roads for a number of months regardless, so you're just offering some traction. Certain places in the Northeast are the same as far as I'm aware. Here's a resource on road salt from New Hampshire[1]. Pickle brine[2] and beet juice[3] are also beginning to get some play. Not to say the rock salt market couldn't absorb some additional supply, but I don't know where the limit is if we're talking mass desalinization.

[1] http://des.nh.gov/organization/divisions/water/wmb/was/salt-...

[2] http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/02/140204-melt-...

[3] http://time.com/5761/salt-shortage-triggers-beet-juice-chees...

The Salton Sea is below ocean level. If you dug a canal out to Laguna Salada and into the Gulf of California, the ocean water would flow, by gravity, into the depression.

If nothing else, you could probably truck the salt to Coyote Dry Lake and just dump it on the existing salt flats there.

Reminds me of the Qattara Depression Project:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Qattara_Depression_Project

Build a canal/channel/etc to a below sea level place, harvest the hydro power, and get a nice new (saline) lake to boot.

Anyway, I don't think that the salt is totally worthless. Don't they have salt ponds in the bay around San Jose?

The energy input is the bigger problem; you can only get so much water from a glorified solar still.

The Salton Sea is 230 feet below sea-level. Locks would be necessary to negotiate the difference. Obtaining a "right-of-way" for the 68 miles from the Border would be lengthy & expensive. The salt, however, can be mined for Lithium! Visit the salton sea on facebook and see what a lot of us are doing. All the best, John Mackey
If someone were to buy out the residents of Mexicali, Imperial, Indio, Brawley, El Centro, Coachella, etc. the area could nearly fill to the ancient extent of Blake Sea/Lake Cahuilla, and a canal would need no locks. Aside from the buyout compensation, actual construction of a canal suitable for international shipping vessels would probably be only about $5 billion.

As most people every remotely familiar with politics might guess, the technical challenges are not even remotely the most difficult obstacles to be overcome for such a project.

If you situated it somewhere like the atacama desert, then you'd be right on the ocean, and that's where you could source the water from.

I'm from Canada & the reason they don't use salt in places like Edmonton & Winnipeg is that it just gets too cold and salt no longer works at that temperature. In Ontario where they get the lake effects they use salt everywhere.

> If you situated it somewhere like the atacama desert, then you'd be right on the ocean

Well, the Atacama is 8000ft above the ocean, so the energy required to pump the water up there would be significant.

In fact, about the same as the energy to desalinate it via reverse osmosis ...
8000 feet? I'm going to have to ask for a source on that one. For reference, Whistler & Blackcomb are both under 8000ft, and I sincerely doubt there'd be drop offs that size right into the ocean.
Googling for "atacama elevation" yields 7K-13K feet for me depending on the result.
To be more accurate, sodium chloride salt doesn't work. The freezing point depression effect depends on the total number of ions/molecules in solution. A dissolved mole of NaCl produces one mole of Na+ and one mole of Cl-. A mole of urea would be half as effective, while a mole of CaCl2 would be 50% more effective.

CaCl2 works down to about -32C (-25F).

But at some point, you just can't dissolve enough stuff into the water to stop it from freezing. Fortunately, that is also about the point where ice stops being quite so slippery when you drive or walk on it. So you just throw down white sand for better traction instead, put on the winter tires, and you're good until it melts in the spring.

In Minnesota, Wisconsin, Ontario, Michigan, and New York, the temperatures are such that snow and ice could go through multiple freeze-thaw cycles. If they just left it, snow would melt and re-freeze into smooth, slippery ice. Ice would melt and seep into the roads, then refreeze and pop out big chunks of pavement each time. That's why they salt and plow. It's too cold for it to safely drain away, and too warm to just leave it alone.

If there were a substance that allowed snow and ice to stay frozen at higher pressures or higher temperatures, that might be useful there, too.

I really meant pull it from the ocean then to a desert where land is cheap and sun is plentiful.
We'll take your salt in the midwest, too.
There is actually a pretty interesting experiment going on in the Salton Sea area called the Vertical Tube Evaporation project. It uses geothermal rather than solar power, but given the region, if they were to scale up solar or wind would certainly be on the table. The Salton Sea is already basically a giant brine sink. I believe one of the plans calls for a pipeline from the Gulf of California.

http://www.usbr.gov/tsc/water/research/VTE.html http://www.sephtonwatertech.com/projects.html

There's a solar (thermal) desalination operation in Firebaugh, CA. Drop by to see how it works, and talk to the owner about why the economics don't work.
Someone did the math on a previous thread, you would quickly find that all the trucks in the state would not be enough to carry away the salt you would produce with even a modest desalination yield. And there would not be a market for that much salt.
Drought caused by global warming countered by using desalinated water which is produced using energy from fossil fuels which contributes to more global warming.

Although in CA looks like the majority of their electricity comes from natural gas and renewable resources[1] which is a start, I suppose.

[1]http://energyalmanac.ca.gov/electricity/total_system_power.h...

I have wondered for a long time whether pairing a desalinator with a generation III+ or later fission reactor could be made more efficient than having both built separately and linked via transmission lines. It seems like there ought to be some opportunity for synergy there, but there are now so many reactor designs that include light water that I have no idea how that might work for any of them.
And potentially the same plumbing for incoming water could be used to cool the reactor. In fact now that I think about it, all of the waste heat of the reactor could go toward evaporating the water.
Waste heat? Evaporating the water? Nuclear power plants are steam engines. All their heat goes to evaporating water.

Come to think of it, I wonder if you could harvest the steam from a nuclear plant, run it through a condenser or distiller, and in that way produce electricity and purify water at the same time.

Harvesting the steam is a clever idea, but I don't know if the average consumer is ready for what would be spun as "radioactive Franken-water".
Not all fission reactors use the same cycles to turn heat from the nuclear reaction into usable power.

Most existing reactors in the US use the reactor core as the heat source, a convection cooling tower as the heat sink, and water/steam as the working fluid.

Using salt water as the working fluid in a BWR or SCWR would probably be dangerous, as it circulates around the reactor core. In a PWR, the working fluid and the fluid circulating past the reactor core are separated via heat exchangers in the steam generator, so that's probably the only widely used reactor type that could do distillation-based desalination without heavy modification.

But probably the most useful way to go about doing it is to keep the rest of the reactor as it is, and just attach the reverse osmosis desalinator pumps to the same driveshaft as the electricity generator. Even though boiling and condensing water is an integral part of steam engine operation, it really works best when that water has been completely demineralized already. Otherwise, your boiler fills with salt sludge, and your condenser gets clogged with mineral scale.

You're saving efficiency by taking out the two conversions between electrical and mechanical work and the transmission loss between generator and pump motor. The purified water and waste brine could also carry heat away from the steam engine's heat sink if it can go out hotter than the ocean water that comes in. I'm thinking that you'd heat the waste brine as hot as possible before dumping it in a solar evaporation pond. The infrastructure required to pump pre-heated water to the nearest community along with cold is probably not going to pay off unless you're supplying high-rises or a university campus.

It is a difficult task. SA needs plenty of water for the nearest decades. What are the options to get it? How much will it cost? Many difficult questions to answer. Many approaches to choose. If the ideal is to built a great dam, then everything else burden the environment more. Creating of the desalvation factory take a lot of earth resources as well as the energy which also comes mostly out of non-renewable sources. If you produce electric energy you have a great impact on the environment too.
How exactly does one draw the connection between the drought and global warming? Both are warm?
There's no actual evidence the drought has anything to do with global warming.
The conclusion of the debate here is boring: yes, but only by extreme effort, i.e. redirection of 1-10% of economic and energy resources towards water acquisition. We're not all gonna die, but that's as comforting as it gets. Desalination is great for supplying coastal cities, bonkers everywhere else.

The economic consequence is a drastic rise in the price of conventional agricultural products (especially land meats) and a corresponding relative fall in the price of unconventional products (nuts, seeds, beans, aquaculture) which drives investment in the latter to hopefully yield a less water-hungry agricultural system... but a very different palate. The general outcome of capitalist systems are heterodox (one of capitalism's advantages); we expect to see some compensation from desalination, tertiary sewage treatment, and more water-efficient farming practices. It would be less painful if we didn't fight reality with agricultural subsidies and water grants.

> All told, it takes about 3460 kilowatts per acre-foot to pump water from Northern California to San Diego; Carlsbad will use about thirty per cent more energy, five thousand kilowatts per acre-foot, to desalinate ocean water and deliver it to households, according to Poseidon’s report to the Department of Water Resources

These units are abominations. Couldn't just say 2.8 Watts per liter vs 4.0 Watts per liter? Or even 10.6 and 15.3 Watts per gallon? I'm not a metric purist, but the only advantage to using imperial units is that they are more familiar to the average American, but when does the average person deal with acre-feet?

It doesn't even make sense! The units don't match up. Kilowatts are a measure of power, energy over time, and an acre-foot is a measure of volume, not flow (volume over time).

It's like saying how many horsepower it takes to drive from SF to LA. Makes no sense.

Yes, they must have meant kilowatt hours. Was there no editor?
Scientific mistakes in a paper like the new yorker is like poor grammar in a startup CEO's writing.

It just happens.

Huh. So they are really talking about a pressure.

1 kWh/(acre ft) = 2919 Pa

It makes a great deal of intuitive sense that the quantity that describes how hard it is to move water over a path is a pressure.

It's sad that they mistook kilowatts for kilowatt-hours, but I think acre-foot is a good unit for measuring volumes of water. It helps communicate the scale of water use.
Depends, though I suspect you're right.

But expressing energy requirements as power per unit can be quite useful. As in, kW per person or square meter. Though in that case you'd be expressing water delivery as a rate: acrefoot/day, say.

Acre feet is how water is sold and talked about in agriculture.
They're especially useful in agriculture because rainfall, and crop water consumption, are typically measured in inches of water. (Which is really a kind of "cubic inches (of water) per square inch (of land)", but the units cancel out.) So if you know the net water requirements of some crop given the climate, and you know how many acres of land you intend to grow it on, acre-feet are a natural, easy-to-calculate unit to measure the water supply needed.
You also need to know that 1 foot (30.48 cm) is 12 inces (2.54 cm).
Which everyone reading the New Yorker surely does.
Which everyone in the US knows. Even very uneducated people.
I am from Europe, educated (PhD, if it matters), and I had to look it up. That's why I left the comment, to help others.
No offense, but it's an article in the New Yorker about an issue in California. Your comment makes about as much sense as if you had said "yeah but you need to know that California is a state in the US". Europeans might not know it, but the target audience of the article certainly does. It's not exactly an extra bit of knowledge you need to learn, it's something you already know.
Which is fine, but presumably the majority of the New Yorker's audience is not in agriculture.
Nor am I, but I know about acre feet from the thousands of articles that have been written about various droughts and agriculture water usage. It's also pretty easy to deduce on your own.
> but when does the average person deal with acre-feet

When villifying almond farms for their water usage

I'm probably just ignorant, but I don't know too much about power (Is my light bulb usually around 80 W-h? 200W? 100kWh? I have no idea.) I think you're right, but I do also think the main point was the relative expenditure, a 30% increase.
Incandescent bulbs are usually 60W but can be 40W for a reading lamp or 100W to light up a whole room. Those haven't been sold in most countries for a while now due to their extreme inefficiency, but other bulb types are often compared to a similar incandescent bulb. For example a 14W fluorescent bulb might say "60W equivalent".

Watt-hours really are as simple as they sound. A 14W bulb that's on for an hour used 14 Watt-hours.

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>when does the average person deal with acre-feet?

An acre-foot of water is approximately the amount of water that a suburban household uses in one year, which is why that unit is used when talking about non-agricultural water usage.

Its also silly, since it takes zero kilowatts to pump water from San Diego to San Diego and if you're desalinating you have to realize that California is all coast line on the left hand side.
> All told, it takes about 3460 kilowatts per acre-foot to pump water from Northern California to San Diego;

Does the author mean 3,460 kilowatt-hours?

> Lambert showed me a series of pumps at the Carlsbad plant that collectively exert seven thousand horsepower of energy (eleven hundred pounds per square inch of pressure)

Holy hell, how am I supposed to reason about any of these numbers? The mix of units and ignorance of power/energy differences makes the numbers completely useless to the reader. Near the beginning of the article, the daily volumes are discussed in terms of millions of gallons, but later on, acre-feet is used.

Sorry if this comment is too ranty...

Not nearly ranty enough, IMO. Units are not that hard, and anyone who wants to write about this stuff for public consumption must put in the effort to get them right.
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> Add to that the fact that almost all of the freshwater consumed by the twenty-two million people of Southern California is imported, much of it pumped long distances, over mountains, from Northern California

The author's conclusion may very well be correct for all I know, but I think it is somewhat misleading to say that the water is "pumped long distances." There are points where it is pumped, but one of the things that makes the system so fascinating from an engineering standpoint is how much of it relies on gravity, including massive siphons that literally pull the water over mountain ranges.

> massive siphons that literally pull the water over mountain ranges

Where's the best place to start reading more about this?

I don't know if I could tell you the best place, but this seems like a good start:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_State_Water_Project

I became interested while living in LA twenty or so years ago. The whole system represents a monumental engineering achievement, whatever its political, ecological, social, etc., implications.

Edit: that page doesn't discuss siphons much, as they are part of the aqueduct components of the system, but reading through it my twenty year-old impressions seem off. Siphons do play a big role in getting water over some heights, but there is a lot of pumping too. On the other hand they generate power from the flow at several places, so who knows how it all balances out?

It balances out poorly, and that's the author's point. Quite a bit of energy is wasted in water free-flowing downhill (in the sense that it can not be recovered).
> including massive siphons that literally pull the water over mountain ranges.

I don't think that is physically possible. Water won't siphon more than 33ish vertical feet. It will just draw a vacuum in the pipe.

EDIT: Found a good link. The word "siphon" is quoted on every use in this link, suggesting that they're not actual gravity-powered siphons. See #10. http://www.kcet.org/news/redefine/revisit/commentary/concret...

EDIT2: Ok, they are gravity-powered, but not by the "pulling" action of the water on the downslope side of the siphon, as much as by the pushing action of the previous downward slope feeding into the siphon. Technically, it's still a siphon i guess, just operating at higher than atmospheric pressure.

Siphons that are an inverted U have this limit. However, siphons that are a U shape have been in use in aqueducts since Roman times. (There is even an old Scientific American article specifically about them.) Of course, these aren't relevant for getting over mountains, though they are very relevant in mountain ranges for crossing gorges and steep valleys.
Yeah, I just went on an edit frenzy after you replied. Thanks.
You are correct that it's only being pumped in places, but that doesn't really change the fact how much energy we are using to move water.

A fifth of energy usage in California is water related, and a fifth of that is for pumping, over 10TWh anually.

Yes, I think the author was correct and I was wrong. However as I mentioned in another reply I don't know what the net is on the power usage.
No. its not the answer.

The answer is keeping that water where it is for longer. this means that it'll evaporate where it lays. Which means more rain.

It also mean that the water table is higher for plants and animals.

a brilliant example are johads: http://www.ecotippingpoints.org/our-stories/indepth/india-ra...

cheap, easy, quick and simple.

> this means that it'll evaporate where it lays. Which means more rain.

I'm no meteorologist or anything, so I honestly don't have any idea about this, but I can't help but wonder if that matters? I mean, if there's "more rain" overall, but it all happens somewhere else, that doesn't necessarily help California. Is there any connection between where water evaporates and where it ultimately falls as rain? That is, is it actually possible to cause more rain in a certain spot, but doing what you're talking about?

There are these things called winds generated by pressure systems that tend to move evaporated water around, so yes, you are right.
The southwest US is naturally semi-desert, water has to be brought in or people couldn't live and grow crops here.
I've often felt a twinge of guilt that I don't spend my time working on something with a more direct path to making people's lives better... by doing something like creating freshwater, for example. I sometimes wish I'd chosen to major in materials science (or whatever) and was working on, say, creating a newer better desalination technology or something.

Oh well, too late to go back now, but at least it warms the heart a bit to see this happening. I've always thought desalination was an amazingly powerful technology, and I'm glad to see it getting some use on a large scale.

Of course, that's not to ignore the side effects, like what to do with the leftover salt, but almost everything has some side effect.

If you want to make a difference one option is to consume less meat and dairy (or none).

Interesting statistics on CA's water use: https://www.thedodo.com/drought-1085519358.html

Basically personal use accounts for 4% of the total. Meat and dairy production takes 47% of California's water.

"Oh well, too late to go back now"

I understand the regret, but it's only too late when you're dead. If you want to do it you can find a way.

Strictly speaking, yes. On a more practical level, not really. As old as I am, if I started over now trying to learn a new field like that, I'd probably be ready to retire before I learned enough to be useful.

Anyway, it's not that I dislike the path I'm on, it's just the occasional twinge of that feeling that I wish the stuff I was doing had a more direct impact on the world. OTOH, given the path I'm on, I still hope to help make the world a better place, and if we'e successful I think we'll have a chance at doing that, albeit in a different way.

I understand, but what if what you were interested in learning was something you wanted to pursue even after your formal retirement? Wouldn't it make sense to switch earlier rather than later?
The only time these designs seem to work is when there's never any water (islands) or they have a complex cogeneration strategy.

For instance, ship the brine to someone who needs chill water, and then ship the warm brine off for salt extraction (apparently it's hard to profit off of sea salt if you can't get free BTU's from somebody, like a neighbor or the sun)

I've often wondered why solar power are not used with the desalination plants? Perhaps that would help bring the power usage down to the same level as pumping the water in from the north of the state.
Solar power isn't free. you've got the costs of plant capital and maintenance. That said, desalination is the type of readily added or shed load which can tolerate surplus / deficit variable energy supply.
Considering the environmental impact of desalination and the power requirements, it doesn't seem like a proper way to end the drought. The answer is always going to be adequate planning and conservation, as well as improved infrastructure with higher-level planning. And legislators need to consider the true cost and benefit of catering to either the interests of farms and corporations or the people.

Living by the great lakes, I'm sure the people of California would lay a pipe across 1700 miles of the country if they could, but irresponsible usage of water is always going to drain whatever freshwater source is available. I do hope projects like these can help in some small way, though.

This also isn't the first time there has been a drought in any part of this country, obviously, and looking at weather in Texas recently, for example, you can see how quickly rain will come and go. There are large numbers of people in California. I'm sure that some of them must be smart enough to figure this out. Otherwise, we're looking at the beginning of another dustbowl.

The future of climate change is only going to make these problems more severe, and this obviously isn't a conservative solution going forward.

It's also interesting that the Santa Barbara desalination plant is mentioned. I lived in Santa Barabara recently (12 months ago) and I was unaware that there was a desalination plant there at the time during the drought. Recently I had heard that it was going to start up again, after never having ran more than 1 month in its lifespan. I would be surprised that that project is still behind its timeline, but then again, I wouldn't really be surprised.

(Edit: After 1 year, the city council voted to restart the plant last Tuesday.)

Considering the environmental impact of diverting whole watersheds to Southern California and the the power requirements of pumping it over mountain ranges, this seems like a great way to end the drought. The only reason it hasn't been done before is that SoCal has successfully externalized the cost of water. So, yes, it costs more to the residents of San Diego, but it's not a bad option when you consider all the people and wildlife that could be using the Colorado river.

And by the way, the "irresponsible usage of water" by the people of California is largely growing food for the rest of the continent. You may live near the great lakes, but you undoubtedly consume water from California. It's just packaged inside fruit and vegetables.

The network effects of the whole water system of California are definitely something I hadn't taken into account, and I think local water storage / production is the way to go.

And certainly a number of foods could be produced elsewhere in the country or imported. If I ate a lot of almonds I might feel indebted but really I eat a whole lot more of foods that aren't plums, grapes, lettuce, artichokes, etc.

Talking about the agriculture aspect always takes me by surprise because the state represents a large percentage of the country's population but a smaller percent of its land area. Given that most areas of the country could be used for producing something, its not as if all food production could be removed from the state.

And I also think about Japan, because, even though it has a smaller land area, the climate allows the country to produce enormous amounts in agriculture, mainly rice, but other products, too. So obviously it depends on the land. It's also something where, the farmland in Japan is beautiful, while the farms on the West Coast don't really seem to be (subjective).

It's also really amazing to see this article slip off the frontpage, and I noticed this with attitudes while I was in the state, but it just seems like people don't care. So maybe it has something to do with people's attitudes, too. Dealing with big issues takes a bigger attention span.

California is the 3rd largest state by area, not sure how that's "small".
It represents 12% of the population but only 4% of the land, not all of which is arable or habitable.
I think that grandparent meant that CA represents a "smaller" fraction of the area of the US (~4.3%) than it does of the population (~12.1%).
> This also isn't the first time there has been a drought in any part of this country, obviously, and looking at weather in Texas recently, for example, you can see how rain will come and go. There are large numbers of people in California. I'm sure that some of them must be smart enough to figure this out. Otherwise, we're looking at the beginning of another dustbowl.

A twenty year drought is at the less severe end of what's possible.

California has had several 30 year droughts. It had one drought that lasted at least 180 years, and another drought that lasted over 220 years.

The water management situation in California is very complex. It really bugs me that desal is the most popular drum to beat, along with "California is a desert" and "California is irresponsible".

California's per capita water usage is roughly in the neighborhood of other western states (http://www.brookings.edu/blogs/planetpolicy/posts/2014/10/di..., scroll down), and although there's certainly room for improvement, it's really not bad considering the massive amount of agriculture in California.

Not mentioned in the article -- unless I missed it -- is that the Carlsbad plant is being built at a cost of around $950 million, and I wouldn't be surprised if it crossed the magic $1 billion line by the time it was operational. That's a huge amount of money for just one plant; it could take around 50 plants of that size to completely offset the effects of an extended drought, and there would still be significant costs in then moving all of that water into the central valley areas where it's needed for agriculture.

Everything that I've read recently is suggesting that what we're experiencing now is likely to be the new normal for California. This is because the Sierra snowpack has become nearly nonexistent in recent years, and it previously accounted for around 30 percent of California's total water storage, and it provided that water year-round. That's a 30 percent haircut right off the top.

Even when we get wet seasons, it's not expected that they will be cold wet seasons, which means we'll see less snow in the mountains. And, since most of the rain that falls west of Sacramento gets funneled directly to the Bay, wet seasons won't even be helpful in the long term.

So what's happening is California is experiencing some of the effects of climate change. (I know HN at large doesn't believe AGW is real, but that's not really what this comment is about.) That means there's going to have to be a lot of adaptation, and not just in one area.

California's environmentalists -- and I usually count myself among them -- are going to have to get used to the idea of more dams and more reservoirs. California needs to make up for that missing 30% somehow. It also needs to start adopting water conservation the way that energy conservation has been seeing adoption; we should be seeing affordable greywater systems that move water from your bathroom sink into your toilet tank, for example, and residential water storage systems for landscape use should become more common.

We're going to have to figure out how to handle the agricultural industry. They're adapting too. They should get more help and encouragement, with access to more resources for water conservation. California is one of the most technologically advanced states in the US; it should be possible to dedicate some of that technological expertise to new forms of irrigation.

Storm runoff has to be handled better. It should be captured and treated and stored, diverted into marshes and other wetland areas.

Of all of these various things that need to be done, desalination is one of the most expensive per-gallon solutions.

All good points. This is definitely an issue that I think deserves as much discussion as it can get. Talking about the economics of what might be required, I'm sure that many people would like to help to work on solutions.
Can you post some citations for your "new normal" assertion?
It's a fair question, but no, I haven't started a bookmark tag for those. I keep bookmark tags for all the other things that I read that I expect someone will want citations for during some internet debate, but I haven't started one for this particular subject yet, since it's relatively new.

I have however gone back through a lot of my reading history and dug out quite a bit of other links and supporting data. Interestingly, that specific phrase, "new normal", came up quite a bit, which is probably why I used it without thinking about it.

Finding supporting articles wasn't super difficult, but synthesizing them into something coherent will take way more effort than I'm willing to put into a 10-hour-old HN thread which probably nobody will ever read.

So I'll synthesize it and post it to my personal site in due time, and then post that to HN (where I expect it won't get any traction at all, but at least I'll have something to point to the next time someone wants citations).

Having studied some meteorology in college I haven't heard a coherent example of what changes people believe have happened to the weather patterns or why. If you want to reply here, I'll check back from time to time.
> Having studied some meteorology in college

Ah, in that case, here's my understanding, in brief. There are several components:

1. California has had multi-hundred-year drought cycles in the past, according to tree ring data, and the last several hundred years have been unusually wet by comparison. It's possible that we're re-entering a long period of overall drought. (e.g. http://www.nytimes.com/2015/04/14/science/californias-histor...)

2. The current drought has been exacerbated primarily by a pattern of high and low pressure systems over the arctic, the polar vortex system. The newer "curvy" shape of the polar vortex is leading to systems which are keeping cold fronts from descending into the west coast.

3. The current working theory is that the shape of the polar vortex is influenced mostly by the temperature of the arctic, so it's not likely to return to what we thought of as normal until the arctic starts to cool down again, which might not be happening anytime soon. (e.g. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polar_vortex#Climate_change -- sorry for Wikipedia link.)

4. There has been a gradual decrease in snowfall over the Rockies and, I think, the Cascades region. (e.g. https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/drought/201502, http://usatoday30.usatoday.com/weather/news/2011-06-10-clima...) A lab in Berkeley is responsible for measuring snow pack in the Sierra, and they have some data going back to the late 19th century. Unfortunately, all I can find are graphs of their data, not their actual data, so I have to contact them and see if they're willing to share that so I can see how the average is changing. My hunch -- although it's only a hunch at this point -- is that I'll find a slight overall decline in average snowfall, same as there is in the Rockies and Cascades. Seeing if this data is available is part of what's holding up a more comprehensive reply.

I have links to articles for most (all?) of this, but ... it's a little bit discombobulated still. I think it really needs to be presented more coherently to look very convincing. Part of the reason that I'm reluctant to start sharing links right away is that some of the sources I have at the moment are crappy little blogs -- thank you very much Google -- and I have to take the graphs they've ripped off and try to locate the primary sources they ripped them off from and then read them and make sure the context is correct and all that.

I'm not a meteorologist or climate scientist, it's likely there are areas that I'm oversimplifying or misunderstanding. But, I am an avid reader, and I haven't come across much material that's painting an optimistic view of California's climate in the near future.

The answer is always going to be adequate planning and conservation, as well as improved infrastructure with higher-level planning

Sort of—the real answer is to let markets set prices: http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2015/03/the... . People, including farmers, are quite good at figuring out how much of a given good or service they really need if the good or service is priced appropriately.

I've posted about this before, but the UAE has an interesting solution to water and electricity generation.

One of the by products of oil production is natural gas that accumulates as pockets in the wells. Compared to crude oil this is a lot harder to store and transport, so in most cases is just burned off (if you ever fly over The Gulf at night, you can see the flames from the wells doing this).

This by product is what is used to generate water and electricity. Sea water is heated with the natural gas, and turned into steam which runs turbines to generate electricity. The steam is then cooled, which provides desalinated water. The water is stored in tanks for a few days where limestone rocks are added (from other parts of the country) to provide minerals, then fed into the public water system.

The newest "M" plant produces 2,000 MW of electricity and 140 million gallons of water a day, with an overall efficiency of 85%. It cost around $3 billion to build.

http://www.power-technology.com/projects/jebel-ali-m-station...

How much natural gas does this cost?
Presumably very little since the natural gas is a by-product of oil drilling.
I was asking how much natural gas, not how much money. And I'm assuming it's not very little since the energy required to desalinate is the #1 cost.