At this point if a Google PM handed me $100 and said "go figure out how to issue a prompt to Gemini 4 Argon" I'm only ~30% sure I could figure out how. The Gemini app in my phone only has 3.8 Pro as the latest model; it…
They might, but I am skeptical of this idea. The story of the past fifteen years in enterprises has been pretty clear: Move things to the cloud, we don't want to manage data centers. There are notable exceptions, but…
I don't think the models being a commodity matters much. Consider: Email providers are a commodity. Cloud linux server hosting is a commodity. Checking accounts are a commodity. There's a lot of great businesses,…
Well, you're insane for thinking that. Drunk driving is very unsafe, and population-level statistics don't lie. They're quite conclusive when it comes to grading the safety of drunk driving as being dangerous relative…
Only from a regulatory perspective. Anyone who drives a Tesla for long enough knows how to defeat the monitoring system, and doing so is extremely safe; significantly safer than a human driver. I would have no concerns…
If you still believe FSD doesn't work, you're operating on outdated intelligence. Frankly, like a boomer saying that email doesn't work.
Generally, very true in mental health, but moderately true for all areas of health: The idea “at least we have systems/doctors/drugs to help solve this if/when it becomes a problem” is a massive cognitohazard. You do…
Decision models have the potential to have an even larger impact on the Real World than LLMs have to this point (which is obviously quite large). But the model itself matters less than the product experiences you build…
Its simple. My company is very willing and able to pay ~$200/engineer/month for the best version of these tools. My company is even willing and able to pay as much as $500/engineer/month, but does not need to at this…
Reading comprehension check: I never said product managers would be the new engineers: I said that engineering is becoming product management.
The future of engineering is product management. I don't believe there is any world left for people whose primary responsibility is opening pull requests; and we're seeing the angst against this happen from both…
If you genuinely believe this analogy is remotely representative of reality, or that it in any way the pencil manufacturer should be perceived as well-reasoned, I don't know what to tell you except that your…
I don't feel that all fitness trackers are bad, though some use-cases for them are generally bad (such as sleep tracking). Watches are quite good for exercise tracking, and tracking exercise has legitimate and high…
There is not a single modern model where, when asked to "Turn the Add To Cart button Blue", would also turn the "Cancel" button next to that add to cart button blue. That's what this site is communicating, literally,…
The biggest reason should be that they're just bad. They gather sus data from their undersized sensors, then derive tons of sus insights to overwhelm you. None of it is accurate enough to base major life decisions on,…
I'm probably between $50-$200/day depending on the day; we also have effectively unlimited budget, though a lot of that is because Azure gives startups $150,000 in credits for 2 years, which we've wired up to a LiteLLM…
Passkeys are so, so, so bad. One of the worst things our industry invented. The sooner sites start leaving them on the wayside and just go back to TOTP, SMS, and Email codes/links, the better. These work. We solved…
The constitution does not really care about scale, though, and that’s my point. It’s a reason why the legislature should care about Flock, but not why the judicial should.
The argument I struggle to get around and would love to hear a counter-argument to: Let's say a local police department hired 175 police officers, each being told "Go stand on this particular intersection with a pad of…
Microcenter has them marked at $4500 right now (that's with the 4TB SSD) [1]. I suspect it comes down to what you're using it for; if you're looking for a general purpose computer that's also solid at AI, the AMD…
Framework, weirdly, overcharges considerably for their SSDs. You can currently get a Samsung 990 Pro 2TB on Amazon for $390; Framework charges $625 for the Sandisk 850x 2TB, which has similar performance (and is being…
Tbh we'll see what using it looks like, but the reasoning/cost charts do not look promising. It seems like the only useful reasoning level for Sonnet 5 is Low; medium might trade blows at price/performance with Opus,…
This seems really, really stupid. Similar to the weird Zig runtime signature thing from a few months ago ago, it was bound to be discovered, quickly, and all the resellers have to do is find a new domain name that…
Apple does not sell a 64GB variant of the M4 Mac Mini. IIRC they never have; its always capped out at 48GB. If you were planning on getting an M5 128GB; just get a DGX Spark (~$4500) or a 5090-equipped machine (~$4500)…
Company-wide their margins are trash (probably negative). They need as much inference margin as they can get to afford the massive training runs. It is likely that we'll see GPT-5.6 reduce API pricing to compete against…
At this point if a Google PM handed me $100 and said "go figure out how to issue a prompt to Gemini 4 Argon" I'm only ~30% sure I could figure out how. The Gemini app in my phone only has 3.8 Pro as the latest model; it…
They might, but I am skeptical of this idea. The story of the past fifteen years in enterprises has been pretty clear: Move things to the cloud, we don't want to manage data centers. There are notable exceptions, but…
I don't think the models being a commodity matters much. Consider: Email providers are a commodity. Cloud linux server hosting is a commodity. Checking accounts are a commodity. There's a lot of great businesses,…
Well, you're insane for thinking that. Drunk driving is very unsafe, and population-level statistics don't lie. They're quite conclusive when it comes to grading the safety of drunk driving as being dangerous relative…
Only from a regulatory perspective. Anyone who drives a Tesla for long enough knows how to defeat the monitoring system, and doing so is extremely safe; significantly safer than a human driver. I would have no concerns…
If you still believe FSD doesn't work, you're operating on outdated intelligence. Frankly, like a boomer saying that email doesn't work.
Generally, very true in mental health, but moderately true for all areas of health: The idea “at least we have systems/doctors/drugs to help solve this if/when it becomes a problem” is a massive cognitohazard. You do…
Decision models have the potential to have an even larger impact on the Real World than LLMs have to this point (which is obviously quite large). But the model itself matters less than the product experiences you build…
Its simple. My company is very willing and able to pay ~$200/engineer/month for the best version of these tools. My company is even willing and able to pay as much as $500/engineer/month, but does not need to at this…
Reading comprehension check: I never said product managers would be the new engineers: I said that engineering is becoming product management.
The future of engineering is product management. I don't believe there is any world left for people whose primary responsibility is opening pull requests; and we're seeing the angst against this happen from both…
If you genuinely believe this analogy is remotely representative of reality, or that it in any way the pencil manufacturer should be perceived as well-reasoned, I don't know what to tell you except that your…
I don't feel that all fitness trackers are bad, though some use-cases for them are generally bad (such as sleep tracking). Watches are quite good for exercise tracking, and tracking exercise has legitimate and high…
There is not a single modern model where, when asked to "Turn the Add To Cart button Blue", would also turn the "Cancel" button next to that add to cart button blue. That's what this site is communicating, literally,…
The biggest reason should be that they're just bad. They gather sus data from their undersized sensors, then derive tons of sus insights to overwhelm you. None of it is accurate enough to base major life decisions on,…
I'm probably between $50-$200/day depending on the day; we also have effectively unlimited budget, though a lot of that is because Azure gives startups $150,000 in credits for 2 years, which we've wired up to a LiteLLM…
Passkeys are so, so, so bad. One of the worst things our industry invented. The sooner sites start leaving them on the wayside and just go back to TOTP, SMS, and Email codes/links, the better. These work. We solved…
The constitution does not really care about scale, though, and that’s my point. It’s a reason why the legislature should care about Flock, but not why the judicial should.
The argument I struggle to get around and would love to hear a counter-argument to: Let's say a local police department hired 175 police officers, each being told "Go stand on this particular intersection with a pad of…
Microcenter has them marked at $4500 right now (that's with the 4TB SSD) [1]. I suspect it comes down to what you're using it for; if you're looking for a general purpose computer that's also solid at AI, the AMD…
Framework, weirdly, overcharges considerably for their SSDs. You can currently get a Samsung 990 Pro 2TB on Amazon for $390; Framework charges $625 for the Sandisk 850x 2TB, which has similar performance (and is being…
Tbh we'll see what using it looks like, but the reasoning/cost charts do not look promising. It seems like the only useful reasoning level for Sonnet 5 is Low; medium might trade blows at price/performance with Opus,…
This seems really, really stupid. Similar to the weird Zig runtime signature thing from a few months ago ago, it was bound to be discovered, quickly, and all the resellers have to do is find a new domain name that…
Apple does not sell a 64GB variant of the M4 Mac Mini. IIRC they never have; its always capped out at 48GB. If you were planning on getting an M5 128GB; just get a DGX Spark (~$4500) or a 5090-equipped machine (~$4500)…
Company-wide their margins are trash (probably negative). They need as much inference margin as they can get to afford the massive training runs. It is likely that we'll see GPT-5.6 reduce API pricing to compete against…