So what's the business strategy here? Google is the only USA based frontier lab releasing open models. I know they aren't doing it out of the goodness of their hearts.
Is it though? Do we still have the expectation that LLMs will eventually be able to solve problems they haven't seen before? Or do we just want the most accurate auto complete at the cheapest price at this point?
And now there are 1% of the number of farmers that there used to be
Exactly. It's a lot easier to prompt an LLM when you spent a year understanding the problem.
I appreciate the response but I'm not sure I can agree with 'nothing will happen...' When I have 275lbs on my back I'm very anxious that any lapse in focus could cause major injury to my knees, back, etc.
They're increasing reps and therefore total load. That's still a form of progression ('pushing yourself'). This style will slightly favor hypertrophy gains over strength gains. At 40 I recently made this switch in style…
Extensive tailwind training data in the models. Sure there's something more efficient but it's just safer to let the model leverage what it was trained on.
Professional legal services seem to be picking up steam. Which sort of makes sense as a natural follow on to programming, given that 'the law' is basically codified natural language.
It is unclear. Everyday I seem to read contradictory headlines about whether or not inference is profitable. If inference has significant profitability and you're the only game in town, you could do really well. But…
We currently have human-in-the-loop AGI. While it doesn't seem we can agree on a meaning for AGI, I think a lot of people think of it as an intelligent entity that has 100% agency. Currently we need to direct LLM's from…
They know that LLMs as a product are racing towards commoditization. Bye bye profit margins. The only way to win is regulation allowing a few approved providers.
That would be true in a monopolistic market. But these frontier models are all competing against each other. The incentive to 'just work and get shit done fast' is there as they each try to gain market share.
Not required of course. This move to finally move some of his cash horde into equities could be a result of the US governments recent announcement that they're ending their quantitative tightening policy. This likely…
You don't even know what a write-off is do you?
I'd call text the most versatile interface, but not sold on it being the ultimate. As the old saying goes 'a picture is worth a thousand words' and well crafted guis can allow a user to grok the functionality of an app…
Happened with the electrical grid too. I think you make a very interesting observation about these bubbles potentially being an inherent part of new technology expansion. It makes sense too from a human behavior…
Good point. But can the models even behave that way? They depend on probability. If they put a greater weight on novel/unexpected outputs don't they just become undependable hallucination machines? Despite what some…
I believe I addressed that in my third paragraph? It does suck that there are only a few companies with enough resources to offer these models. But it's hard to escape the power laws. I'm hoping that costs come down to…
I guess I'll take the other side of what most are arguing in this thread. Isn't it a great thing for to us to collectively allow LLM's to train on past conversations? LLM's probably won't get significantly better…
If your work was truly novel, wouldn't the odds of it showing up in later models be extremely low given that these are probabilistic? In a sense these machines are outputting the aggregate of the collective thoughts of…
This looks coveted af
If google had to face the reality that distilling their search engine into multiple case-specific engines would have resulted in vastly superior search results, they surely would done (or considered) it. Fortunately for…
I've also noticed that with cGPT. That said I often run into a sort of opposite issue with Claude. It's very good at making me feel like a genius. Sometimes I'll suggest trying a specific strategy or trying to define a…
Bubble's don't always imply fraudulent underlying tech. The dot com bubble was a real thing, and yet the internet has gone on to be one of humanities most valuable innovations.
Usually, the words 'astroturfing' and 'propaganda' aren't reserved for describing the marketing strategies of valuable products/ideologies. Maybe reconsider your terminology.
So what's the business strategy here? Google is the only USA based frontier lab releasing open models. I know they aren't doing it out of the goodness of their hearts.
Is it though? Do we still have the expectation that LLMs will eventually be able to solve problems they haven't seen before? Or do we just want the most accurate auto complete at the cheapest price at this point?
And now there are 1% of the number of farmers that there used to be
Exactly. It's a lot easier to prompt an LLM when you spent a year understanding the problem.
I appreciate the response but I'm not sure I can agree with 'nothing will happen...' When I have 275lbs on my back I'm very anxious that any lapse in focus could cause major injury to my knees, back, etc.
They're increasing reps and therefore total load. That's still a form of progression ('pushing yourself'). This style will slightly favor hypertrophy gains over strength gains. At 40 I recently made this switch in style…
Extensive tailwind training data in the models. Sure there's something more efficient but it's just safer to let the model leverage what it was trained on.
Professional legal services seem to be picking up steam. Which sort of makes sense as a natural follow on to programming, given that 'the law' is basically codified natural language.
It is unclear. Everyday I seem to read contradictory headlines about whether or not inference is profitable. If inference has significant profitability and you're the only game in town, you could do really well. But…
We currently have human-in-the-loop AGI. While it doesn't seem we can agree on a meaning for AGI, I think a lot of people think of it as an intelligent entity that has 100% agency. Currently we need to direct LLM's from…
They know that LLMs as a product are racing towards commoditization. Bye bye profit margins. The only way to win is regulation allowing a few approved providers.
That would be true in a monopolistic market. But these frontier models are all competing against each other. The incentive to 'just work and get shit done fast' is there as they each try to gain market share.
Not required of course. This move to finally move some of his cash horde into equities could be a result of the US governments recent announcement that they're ending their quantitative tightening policy. This likely…
You don't even know what a write-off is do you?
I'd call text the most versatile interface, but not sold on it being the ultimate. As the old saying goes 'a picture is worth a thousand words' and well crafted guis can allow a user to grok the functionality of an app…
Happened with the electrical grid too. I think you make a very interesting observation about these bubbles potentially being an inherent part of new technology expansion. It makes sense too from a human behavior…
Good point. But can the models even behave that way? They depend on probability. If they put a greater weight on novel/unexpected outputs don't they just become undependable hallucination machines? Despite what some…
I believe I addressed that in my third paragraph? It does suck that there are only a few companies with enough resources to offer these models. But it's hard to escape the power laws. I'm hoping that costs come down to…
I guess I'll take the other side of what most are arguing in this thread. Isn't it a great thing for to us to collectively allow LLM's to train on past conversations? LLM's probably won't get significantly better…
If your work was truly novel, wouldn't the odds of it showing up in later models be extremely low given that these are probabilistic? In a sense these machines are outputting the aggregate of the collective thoughts of…
This looks coveted af
If google had to face the reality that distilling their search engine into multiple case-specific engines would have resulted in vastly superior search results, they surely would done (or considered) it. Fortunately for…
I've also noticed that with cGPT. That said I often run into a sort of opposite issue with Claude. It's very good at making me feel like a genius. Sometimes I'll suggest trying a specific strategy or trying to define a…
Bubble's don't always imply fraudulent underlying tech. The dot com bubble was a real thing, and yet the internet has gone on to be one of humanities most valuable innovations.
Usually, the words 'astroturfing' and 'propaganda' aren't reserved for describing the marketing strategies of valuable products/ideologies. Maybe reconsider your terminology.