In the monty hall problem you aren't really changing your belief. You select a door believing that it holds the prize with probability 1/3, and then after the host reveals a door, you still think your door has…
I think I'm a 3/8-er. When SB is woken up, the probability it's monday is: P(Monday) = P(Monday|Heads)P(Heads) + P(Monday|Tails)P(Tails) = 1(.5) + .5(.5) = 3/4 So then: P(Heads) = P(Heads|Monday)P(Monday) +…
In the monty hall problem you aren't really changing your belief. You select a door believing that it holds the prize with probability 1/3, and then after the host reveals a door, you still think your door has…
I think I'm a 3/8-er. When SB is woken up, the probability it's monday is: P(Monday) = P(Monday|Heads)P(Heads) + P(Monday|Tails)P(Tails) = 1(.5) + .5(.5) = 3/4 So then: P(Heads) = P(Heads|Monday)P(Monday) +…