You can now start to add automations on top of typical dev flows. There are a ton of use cases that open up with cheaper models. E.g. extensive security scanning on every PR, quality scans etc
Surprised by these takes. Are people not getting that this (Jev) can do classification, programmatic branching, real time decision making (e.g. applicable to robotics) an order of magnitude faster and cheaper?
If the output is commoditized, how much can you afford to pay for the input?
Nominal wage doesn't really matter, just real wages+purchasing power. Goods and services prices will fall far more than wages for most people. Why? Because there will be far more efficiency and competition than pre-AI.…
It seems obvious that labor displacement due to AI will create labor surpluses in existing fields. Which will feel quite bad for many of us in the present, but net-net be good for society in the long run. Wages will go…
If an operation can run with fewer nurses, that creates a larger excess labor supply of nurses relative to current need (the ones laid off), thus lowering wages, thus increasing demand for nurses. e.g. you will take…
I've long speculated this when I see these types of comments, because it's actually really difficult to hit usage caps with an efficient dev flow, even when running multiple threads for hours every day. I think some…
Codex (5.6 Sol) is extremely to the point and direct in its responses. Often I'll tell it to summarize what it said only because it's providing too much detail, not that it's using esoteric language or weird claudisms.…
I see the complete opposite becoming the case. In a world where code can be generated rapidly, it's super critical that you have a core few set of people who really understand the macro design of the codebase and can…
30y is keyed to inflation expectations. If fed hiked to 5% tomorrow, 30y would invert and yield would go down. It's not as simple as hikes lead to higher 30y yields.
Additionally recent studies have shown high duration/volumes of cardio increases plaque buildup in the arteries. "Indeed, many studies have shown a relationship between endurance sports and higher volumes of coronary…
Yes, if you set reasoning to none you can force the granularity of the thinking. It will actually adhere to your request for e.g. 3 sentences max. Thinking mode will override any instructions in the prompt (at least for…
Fat is inherently unhealthy for you beyond some low baseline level. Additional muscle is positive for health, but only up to some reasonable threshold. There is no health benefit to having very high levels of muscle,…
It tends to happen when: 1) You must have a crowded optical disc as a precursor (low cup to disc ratio). Genetic and can be tested 2) You have stiff veins/arteries due to poor metabolic/cardio health 3) when blood…
It's also true that having a crowded optical disc is pretty much a required precursor condition to suffering NAION. Which you can get checked for via a $50 optical scan. No crowded disc, very little risk. (Cup to Disc…
You can already do this with smaller LLMs, like 10B range. The computer vision/image interpretation has been sufficient at this magnitude for a few months now. Can run on most decently powered consumer devices. Latency…
The first chart in the blog post shows a similar $/performance curve to GPT 5.6. Where 5.6 has optionality to run much cheaper along the same performance curve at lower thinking levels. There's a later chart that shows…
The hole can be filled overnight by just raising the retirement age. And if you normalize for longer lifespans, it's perfectly reasonable.
Then it's hard to switch? It's irrelevant the reason why, the margin any business can take will be constrained by the cost to switch to a cheaper, good enough, competitor. You are saying it's difficult to switch due to…
Completely different levels of stickiness. The OS runs everything; the LLM can be swapped in a second. (But yes, you will have to tweak prompts+tuning anytime you change models)
Information density of the interpretability of the intent from the perspective of a human (or human-like). If the intent is not easy to understand, it's information sparse. Because it takes a lot of CPU (or brainpower)…
You seem to be missing that if prices are lower, demand is lower. Price is a function of demand. If rents go from 10000/month at 100% occupancy to 5000/month at 100% occupancy, demand has been materially reduced. That…
Not much moat, incremental improvements, cherry picking models to compare. To be fair, seems more correct to compare against similar strength models if your main edge is pricing.
The level of "slop" produced by AI is a direct function of skill of the developer and broadness of the prompts. Broad prompts by unskilled users results in a complete mess. Targeted prompts by a skilled person reviewing…
Testosterone is directly causally inverse to bodyfat in men (once above some very low baseline) Fat directly converts testosterone to Estrogen via a process called aromatization. Personally my Testosterone close to…
You can now start to add automations on top of typical dev flows. There are a ton of use cases that open up with cheaper models. E.g. extensive security scanning on every PR, quality scans etc
Surprised by these takes. Are people not getting that this (Jev) can do classification, programmatic branching, real time decision making (e.g. applicable to robotics) an order of magnitude faster and cheaper?
If the output is commoditized, how much can you afford to pay for the input?
Nominal wage doesn't really matter, just real wages+purchasing power. Goods and services prices will fall far more than wages for most people. Why? Because there will be far more efficiency and competition than pre-AI.…
It seems obvious that labor displacement due to AI will create labor surpluses in existing fields. Which will feel quite bad for many of us in the present, but net-net be good for society in the long run. Wages will go…
If an operation can run with fewer nurses, that creates a larger excess labor supply of nurses relative to current need (the ones laid off), thus lowering wages, thus increasing demand for nurses. e.g. you will take…
I've long speculated this when I see these types of comments, because it's actually really difficult to hit usage caps with an efficient dev flow, even when running multiple threads for hours every day. I think some…
Codex (5.6 Sol) is extremely to the point and direct in its responses. Often I'll tell it to summarize what it said only because it's providing too much detail, not that it's using esoteric language or weird claudisms.…
I see the complete opposite becoming the case. In a world where code can be generated rapidly, it's super critical that you have a core few set of people who really understand the macro design of the codebase and can…
30y is keyed to inflation expectations. If fed hiked to 5% tomorrow, 30y would invert and yield would go down. It's not as simple as hikes lead to higher 30y yields.
Additionally recent studies have shown high duration/volumes of cardio increases plaque buildup in the arteries. "Indeed, many studies have shown a relationship between endurance sports and higher volumes of coronary…
Yes, if you set reasoning to none you can force the granularity of the thinking. It will actually adhere to your request for e.g. 3 sentences max. Thinking mode will override any instructions in the prompt (at least for…
Fat is inherently unhealthy for you beyond some low baseline level. Additional muscle is positive for health, but only up to some reasonable threshold. There is no health benefit to having very high levels of muscle,…
It tends to happen when: 1) You must have a crowded optical disc as a precursor (low cup to disc ratio). Genetic and can be tested 2) You have stiff veins/arteries due to poor metabolic/cardio health 3) when blood…
It's also true that having a crowded optical disc is pretty much a required precursor condition to suffering NAION. Which you can get checked for via a $50 optical scan. No crowded disc, very little risk. (Cup to Disc…
You can already do this with smaller LLMs, like 10B range. The computer vision/image interpretation has been sufficient at this magnitude for a few months now. Can run on most decently powered consumer devices. Latency…
The first chart in the blog post shows a similar $/performance curve to GPT 5.6. Where 5.6 has optionality to run much cheaper along the same performance curve at lower thinking levels. There's a later chart that shows…
The hole can be filled overnight by just raising the retirement age. And if you normalize for longer lifespans, it's perfectly reasonable.
Then it's hard to switch? It's irrelevant the reason why, the margin any business can take will be constrained by the cost to switch to a cheaper, good enough, competitor. You are saying it's difficult to switch due to…
Completely different levels of stickiness. The OS runs everything; the LLM can be swapped in a second. (But yes, you will have to tweak prompts+tuning anytime you change models)
Information density of the interpretability of the intent from the perspective of a human (or human-like). If the intent is not easy to understand, it's information sparse. Because it takes a lot of CPU (or brainpower)…
You seem to be missing that if prices are lower, demand is lower. Price is a function of demand. If rents go from 10000/month at 100% occupancy to 5000/month at 100% occupancy, demand has been materially reduced. That…
Not much moat, incremental improvements, cherry picking models to compare. To be fair, seems more correct to compare against similar strength models if your main edge is pricing.
The level of "slop" produced by AI is a direct function of skill of the developer and broadness of the prompts. Broad prompts by unskilled users results in a complete mess. Targeted prompts by a skilled person reviewing…
Testosterone is directly causally inverse to bodyfat in men (once above some very low baseline) Fat directly converts testosterone to Estrogen via a process called aromatization. Personally my Testosterone close to…