They aren't guessing heads or tails, they give odds for each event. It's more like eyeballing a thousand coins to guess how fair they are, and then flipping each one just once. Some are weighted to be 99% heads, others…
It is precisely in unregulated markets I would want to use a ride shape app else they'd try to scam you on the price. Multiple times I've had drivers attempt to triple the agreed to price, or I'd have to haggle them…
FYI in Chinese he/she/it all use the same pronoun "ta" when spoken.
The point of the article is that people are historically bad at predicting when exponential curves plateau, even if they're correct that there will be a plateau. This does *not* imply the inevitability of AGI. It does…
1. It's not inevitable. 2. Those that see AI as an existential risk don't generally think it's a guarantee, but if it's say a 5% chance then that's worth addressing/mitigating. 3. That's not what this article was even…
Completely false. It's the first time a US company has been designated a supply chain risk. Now the likes of Boeing can't use them. Health companies with Medicare/Tricare contracts don't know and will hold off until…
It has been solved. Get rid of all the windmills. Easy.
The majority of spend is in the last few years of life. A man dying of a stroke during the night at age 50 is much cheaper to the system than the same man living to 90 having fought cancer for 10 years. I'm not…
RINO republicans don't look like rhinoceros. That the word makes no sense by itself means that you'd have to ask what they meant by it. If the acronym were "DUMB" or "CLOWN" or whatever then I don't think it'd stand out…
You can argue the gesture was unintentional, but to say it "look nothing like the salutes in documentaries, TV shows, and movies" is just a lie. Nothing like it? What would he had to have to have done differently for…
> What? Which ones? Undermined how? There's a long list of conspiracy theories about the vaccines. There are chips in there to track people, they're actually sterilizing people for population control, it's the mark of…
It's a closed position. You have time to reroute the knight and it's one of the few clear plans besides doubling the rooks on the only half open file. The knight on that outpost was a monster and it ended up winning the…
Are you saying this is due to not having an interest in the people posting on Mastodon or due to a difficulty in using Mastodon itself?
I'm not sure if you're supposed to have an emotional reaction. The delayed reviews combined with the head of business operations leaving, the rumors of missed revenue targets and lower ad quality speaks to financial…
Ground News uses bias ratings from Ad Fontes Media, All Sides, and Media Bias/Fact Check; they rate NPR as Center, Lean Left, and Lean Left respectively. If you consider NPR to be far-far left then what is Jezebel, The…
HBO to Max might be second for me. I associated premium and original content with the name HBO (Game of Thrones for example). I get they're trying to convey that it's not just prestige dramas, but in a world where…
Some environmental advocates' rhetoric focused on the lower probability but much higher damage outcomes, e.g. Gore's Inconvenient Truth. Language like "up to 20 feet" etc to focus on the higher range. A doctor could say…
Financial engineer, software engineer, social engineering... etc are counter examples to requiring physical materials with properties. Even from an etymology standpoint engineer comes from the Latin ingenium meaning…
I think the EA community is very open about the uncertainties around the risks of AGI and the difficulty in addressing them. The point is that if there is even a 0.01% chance that AGI could threaten the existence of…
Per SEC filings Uber has close to 4 million drivers worldwide. Even if you divide by 4 to account for part time drivers, you'd need 10k dispatchers. If their engineers make 5x as much as the dispatchers than you could…
They aren't guessing heads or tails, they give odds for each event. It's more like eyeballing a thousand coins to guess how fair they are, and then flipping each one just once. Some are weighted to be 99% heads, others…
It is precisely in unregulated markets I would want to use a ride shape app else they'd try to scam you on the price. Multiple times I've had drivers attempt to triple the agreed to price, or I'd have to haggle them…
FYI in Chinese he/she/it all use the same pronoun "ta" when spoken.
The point of the article is that people are historically bad at predicting when exponential curves plateau, even if they're correct that there will be a plateau. This does *not* imply the inevitability of AGI. It does…
1. It's not inevitable. 2. Those that see AI as an existential risk don't generally think it's a guarantee, but if it's say a 5% chance then that's worth addressing/mitigating. 3. That's not what this article was even…
Completely false. It's the first time a US company has been designated a supply chain risk. Now the likes of Boeing can't use them. Health companies with Medicare/Tricare contracts don't know and will hold off until…
It has been solved. Get rid of all the windmills. Easy.
The majority of spend is in the last few years of life. A man dying of a stroke during the night at age 50 is much cheaper to the system than the same man living to 90 having fought cancer for 10 years. I'm not…
RINO republicans don't look like rhinoceros. That the word makes no sense by itself means that you'd have to ask what they meant by it. If the acronym were "DUMB" or "CLOWN" or whatever then I don't think it'd stand out…
You can argue the gesture was unintentional, but to say it "look nothing like the salutes in documentaries, TV shows, and movies" is just a lie. Nothing like it? What would he had to have to have done differently for…
> What? Which ones? Undermined how? There's a long list of conspiracy theories about the vaccines. There are chips in there to track people, they're actually sterilizing people for population control, it's the mark of…
It's a closed position. You have time to reroute the knight and it's one of the few clear plans besides doubling the rooks on the only half open file. The knight on that outpost was a monster and it ended up winning the…
Are you saying this is due to not having an interest in the people posting on Mastodon or due to a difficulty in using Mastodon itself?
I'm not sure if you're supposed to have an emotional reaction. The delayed reviews combined with the head of business operations leaving, the rumors of missed revenue targets and lower ad quality speaks to financial…
Ground News uses bias ratings from Ad Fontes Media, All Sides, and Media Bias/Fact Check; they rate NPR as Center, Lean Left, and Lean Left respectively. If you consider NPR to be far-far left then what is Jezebel, The…
HBO to Max might be second for me. I associated premium and original content with the name HBO (Game of Thrones for example). I get they're trying to convey that it's not just prestige dramas, but in a world where…
Some environmental advocates' rhetoric focused on the lower probability but much higher damage outcomes, e.g. Gore's Inconvenient Truth. Language like "up to 20 feet" etc to focus on the higher range. A doctor could say…
Financial engineer, software engineer, social engineering... etc are counter examples to requiring physical materials with properties. Even from an etymology standpoint engineer comes from the Latin ingenium meaning…
I think the EA community is very open about the uncertainties around the risks of AGI and the difficulty in addressing them. The point is that if there is even a 0.01% chance that AGI could threaten the existence of…
Per SEC filings Uber has close to 4 million drivers worldwide. Even if you divide by 4 to account for part time drivers, you'd need 10k dispatchers. If their engineers make 5x as much as the dispatchers than you could…