I suppose this might seem obvious if you have not talked to many mothers.
Because it shows up in the baby's meconium... That doesn't even get into the second order effects such as mothers then having trouble lactating/nursing. And beyond that, we should probably question why, statistically,…
I loved all of Seveneves, and hate Three Body Problem. The biggest difference in theme being, optimism that humanity can overcome any obstacle and flourish. If you want more in that vein, see: Aurora - Kim Stanley…
We're moderately frugal (eat organic food, paid activities for the kids, live in CA), and our kids are on track to cost us each about 80k before university. That's less than a year salary for most HN readers. Our…
I'm mostly imagining a dysgenic future similar to Idiocracy; but really, it's more of an emotional appeal than an actual argument.
I have many smart, empathetic friends in tech who are not having kids. Meanwhile my redneck neighbor has 5. It seems to me that all of the conscientious people who look out for the greater good and environment, are…
1. The people that don't want kids, cannot accurately model what it is like having kids. Your brain and hormonal output changes after a birth. 2. Children aren't that expensive unless the parents are playing status…
I appreciate their sacrifice, though I'm afraid that in most cases it is dysgenic. It's going to be intense for our descendents in a couple generations when the gene pool is only left with high fecundity actors. The…
The author also has a long running web fiction about AI taking over the world. It is hilarious and provides a deep insight into modern religious cults.
Better to make mistakes of ambition than of sloth.
Computer vision for satellite imagery. LLMs might be good for harassing oil companies.
That seems to be the trend. It makes sense, people who choose a laziness born of pessimism are probably not virile enough to raise children. Surprised to see this kind of thinking here though; if you are an engineer who…
Yes. If you care about the surrounding people's health.
Physics and statistical arguments about the medical harms of pollution. But if that is too much to dig into, consider the incentives in play, and who has more to gain from spreading disinformation.
"People talk about innovation a whole lot, but what they are usually looking for is cheap wins and novelty." This rings true from being at a Fortune 100 going through "digital transformation". So much jabber about…
I've never seen or heard of a technical manager with an MBA... I've seen plenty of technical people, with an aptitude for it, move into management and pick up the ropes, so I'm skeptical that an MBA provides anything…
Sure, they just spent $150k, and they want to get a ROI for themselves and their friends from the program.
"Management consultants are no longer relevant". But seriously, I encountered MCs at an old-school Fortune-100 recently, and they seemed painfully incompetent at anything software and machine learning related. I had…
This is a theme in Taleb's work. He would say that only suckers choose the MBA in this hypothetical, since the MBA (and their network) is optimizing for projecting an image of competence, whereas the non-MBA actually…
What "real problems" are these? Speaking from the side of software Product Management it is far, far harder to make a pitch deck into a solution. Orders of magnitude more brainpower, effort, discipline. Easiest thing to…
Don't dump it back then. Should be easy to regulate, each liter of water produced should have a certain number of grams of salt to account for. Personally I would like to see that salt turned into structures:…
In the Bay Area the train and bus system is a crammed, stressful experience where you have to worry about being robbed, harassed, or being annoyed by loud music, homeless _smells_, or inebriated people trying to smoke…
"[...] Need somewhere around 50 acres' worth of trees, planted in tropical areas, to absorb the typical emissions produced by an average American in her lifetime. Multiply that by the population of the U.S. and you get…
I believe you have it right. Odds that all changes are improvements in 10 changes is: (.95)^10 Odds that at least one change is not improvement is: 1-(.95)^10 = 0.40 One could probably make an argument that not all…
Is this a joke? Check any ranking system of "top cs/business" schools and you will see that they are all extremely close with any small change to the weight of the features resulting in different orderings. The only way…
I suppose this might seem obvious if you have not talked to many mothers.
Because it shows up in the baby's meconium... That doesn't even get into the second order effects such as mothers then having trouble lactating/nursing. And beyond that, we should probably question why, statistically,…
I loved all of Seveneves, and hate Three Body Problem. The biggest difference in theme being, optimism that humanity can overcome any obstacle and flourish. If you want more in that vein, see: Aurora - Kim Stanley…
We're moderately frugal (eat organic food, paid activities for the kids, live in CA), and our kids are on track to cost us each about 80k before university. That's less than a year salary for most HN readers. Our…
I'm mostly imagining a dysgenic future similar to Idiocracy; but really, it's more of an emotional appeal than an actual argument.
I have many smart, empathetic friends in tech who are not having kids. Meanwhile my redneck neighbor has 5. It seems to me that all of the conscientious people who look out for the greater good and environment, are…
1. The people that don't want kids, cannot accurately model what it is like having kids. Your brain and hormonal output changes after a birth. 2. Children aren't that expensive unless the parents are playing status…
I appreciate their sacrifice, though I'm afraid that in most cases it is dysgenic. It's going to be intense for our descendents in a couple generations when the gene pool is only left with high fecundity actors. The…
The author also has a long running web fiction about AI taking over the world. It is hilarious and provides a deep insight into modern religious cults.
Better to make mistakes of ambition than of sloth.
Computer vision for satellite imagery. LLMs might be good for harassing oil companies.
That seems to be the trend. It makes sense, people who choose a laziness born of pessimism are probably not virile enough to raise children. Surprised to see this kind of thinking here though; if you are an engineer who…
Yes. If you care about the surrounding people's health.
Physics and statistical arguments about the medical harms of pollution. But if that is too much to dig into, consider the incentives in play, and who has more to gain from spreading disinformation.
"People talk about innovation a whole lot, but what they are usually looking for is cheap wins and novelty." This rings true from being at a Fortune 100 going through "digital transformation". So much jabber about…
I've never seen or heard of a technical manager with an MBA... I've seen plenty of technical people, with an aptitude for it, move into management and pick up the ropes, so I'm skeptical that an MBA provides anything…
Sure, they just spent $150k, and they want to get a ROI for themselves and their friends from the program.
"Management consultants are no longer relevant". But seriously, I encountered MCs at an old-school Fortune-100 recently, and they seemed painfully incompetent at anything software and machine learning related. I had…
This is a theme in Taleb's work. He would say that only suckers choose the MBA in this hypothetical, since the MBA (and their network) is optimizing for projecting an image of competence, whereas the non-MBA actually…
What "real problems" are these? Speaking from the side of software Product Management it is far, far harder to make a pitch deck into a solution. Orders of magnitude more brainpower, effort, discipline. Easiest thing to…
Don't dump it back then. Should be easy to regulate, each liter of water produced should have a certain number of grams of salt to account for. Personally I would like to see that salt turned into structures:…
In the Bay Area the train and bus system is a crammed, stressful experience where you have to worry about being robbed, harassed, or being annoyed by loud music, homeless _smells_, or inebriated people trying to smoke…
"[...] Need somewhere around 50 acres' worth of trees, planted in tropical areas, to absorb the typical emissions produced by an average American in her lifetime. Multiply that by the population of the U.S. and you get…
I believe you have it right. Odds that all changes are improvements in 10 changes is: (.95)^10 Odds that at least one change is not improvement is: 1-(.95)^10 = 0.40 One could probably make an argument that not all…
Is this a joke? Check any ranking system of "top cs/business" schools and you will see that they are all extremely close with any small change to the weight of the features resulting in different orderings. The only way…