atleastoptimal

AI models are rapidly getting better. The general public still hasn't seen the capabilities of Anthropic's Mythos model, which is already 4 months old at this point. I've seen many arguments about why certain jobs will…

I feel like it's pointless to worry about the future if the future is highly speculative, but it seems more and more certain that AI will eclipse humans in every domain outright soonish (1-3 years). As a consequence, it…

A lot of people seem to take it as a given that the AI bubble will "pop", leading to a mass devaluation of AI companies from their current peaks. What I'm confused about though is what makes current AI evaluations a…

This is an interactive version of the mass-vs-radius chart from Lineweaver & Patel's "All Objects and Some Questions" (2023). It plots the scale of everything in the observable universe on a single log-log chart This…

I know that vibe-coding has an obvious appeal to non-technical people and those who don't have a lot of experience, but I was wondering if those who have extensive technical experience get use out of AI coding tools. If…

As in, were you originally optimistic about AI, but are now pessimistic, or were once pessimistic but are now optimistic? Did you originally see it as a huge boon to your work, but now find it a hinderance, or were you…

Recently OpenAI announced an AI model/system they had recently developed won a gold medal at the IMO. The IMO is a very difficult exam, and only the best high schoolers in the world even qualify, let alone win gold.…

There is a lot of debate whether AI will surpass humans in all economically viable skills (AGI, by one definition). Regardless of whether this will happen, or when, many people already have lost their jobs in part due…

It seems that there is a general bearishness with respect to AI progress on this site. I feel that skepticism is warranted, but it seems that every few months a new AI development completely undoes many assumptions…

It seems that since the announcement of OpenAI's o3, the general consensus among many tech-adjacent people is that AI will soon eclipse humans in most economically productive cognitive tasks. What we've seen over the…

Something I learned over time is to judge people by the results they bring, not my personal feelings and whether I like them. As a consequence I've had to concede the fact that Elon Musk possesses a "key" to managing…

The heads of the major AI labs (Dario Amodei, Sam Altman) including multiple now Nobel laureates (Demis Hassabis, Geoffrey Hinton), and many others have all echoed a similar sentiment over the past year in their public…

Esp for a non-technical founder. You are signing up for 80 hour work-weeks to help bring to fruition the dream of someone else who will reap far more of the benefits. "Able to wear many hats", "High agency", "Ability to…

I know Lion's mane apparently helps memory, along with other mushrooms and herbs. Is there some website with every single science-backed herb, food, supplement or chemical that has strictly positive benefits? Esp if…

Amazon Web Services CEO Matt Garman claims that in 2 years coding by humans won't really be a thing, and it will all be done by networks of AI's who are far smarter, cheaper, and more reliable than human coders. I know…

I am very paranoid about this stuff but everywhere I read says it's ubiquitous in the environment and there's nothing I can do. Are there actionable steps to realistically reduce my inhalation/consumption of these…

AI is obviously going to be a major disruptor/force for change over the next five years. The idea of ASI/AGI leading to the complete extinction of humanity isn't entirely crazy, but feels a bit less realistic to think…

I think it's clear what easy things not to do to avoid being a 0.5x engineer, but in the tech world there's this hallowed reverence with regard to to these people. Is it aptitude, speed, organization, communication…

Depression, unemployment, lack of confidence, fear. I'm certain there are many on here who had high potential and feel they've squandered it. For those who have been there and managed to get out and are now living a…

With AGI (Artificial general intelligence) being a computer system generally as smart and capable as a median human at all tasks, and can be trivially scaled learn to do any task at least as well as a human can. Most…

https://time.com/6898967/ai-extinction-national-security-risks-report/ According to this government-commissioned report, AI at its current SOTA frontier represents an unprecedented existential risk to humanity. The best…