Trying to turn it around by once again claiming that ai is an existential threat and will take everyone’s job right before brutally murdering every human. These companies don’t appear to give a single fuck about public…
> I've found I can produce 10x more code than I could otherwise, of lower quality than I would otherwise, but the speedup is worth it. The speedup of slop production being “worth it” is what we, as a society, are having…
There is, however, a question of scale.
And yet those companies aren't collapsing because it became easier to rewrite their software, but because llms themselves have replaced a core part of their business (such as translation or simple art). Seems like so…
It’s not just math. Anecdotally, LLMs struggle the same way with software engineering where the code they write is correct (compiles and passes tests), but reasoning is wrong often enough to eliminate most trust in…
They score 99% but then can’t explain _why_ their solution works with any accuracy. Not as useful for learning as one might think.
It was this way well before vibe coding. Over a decade of zero interest rates combined with talent wars and other anticompetitive behaviors by large tech companies did the industry in.
> Now back to AI for software creation. "Review is the bottleneck because EVERYTHING must be judged by a human." No. It doesn't. We just need to build AI review systems, that will do reviews better than (or at least as…
The challenge with comparing these things to humans, is that humans learn. A newbie might not respect your organization’s set of policies on day one, but what about 3 months in? Or 3 years? Meanwhile there’s still no…
I think the issue is that obtaining empirical proof of AI or manual coding being more efficient is very difficult, since true costs and outcomes aren’t known for months and often years. AI _is_ faster at producing short…
Hopefully everyone? Else your job could have been outsourced or replaced by a junior with access to Google and StackOverflow way before LLMs (it just wasn’t due to zero interest rates and proliferation of bullshit jobs…
> Significantly increased my productivity as a software engineer. You’re going to have to define productivity as it applies to software engineering. With LLMs we’ve primarily seen the number of PRs over time being…
Yes that’s the right source. There would be no recovery in SWE market after the higher interest rates killed it if LLMs had any major impact on SWE employability.
> The real risk isn't that some 19 year-old vibe coder is going to replace you, it's that there's simply less need for more experienced engineers. The market is shrinking. That last sentence is verifiably false if you…
Always has been tbh
Back in the day, you couldn’t ask stack overflow about your specific business or project. You were forced to build at least some level of understanding of what you were doing on the job or risk your lack of knowledge…
> We can debate as to how successful we’ve been toward the two goals above, but I think it’s misguided to say that the majority of people think LLMs should produce lower quality code. Guessing you’re not at FAANG or…
Can someone explain these complaints about boilerplate to me? What are y’all doing where boilerplate is the majority of your code? Am I the only one mostly writing concise business logic where most lines are important…
If only it was that simple. The reason these inefficient companies continue to exist is due to regulatory capture and monopolistic behavior. Competing with them doesn't just require better efficiency.
The problem is that organizations are inefficient in such a way that extra output from white collar workers doesn't translate to improved org-wide performance in a positively correlated, linear fashion. When the org is…
Now they're looking at your token consumption, which is even more gameable (and stupid).
Oh no, we should create a fear mongering blog post and delay the latest IDE version until we have better security in place!
10x the amount of code or features =/= 10x the speed of software development.
1. It's unclear why creating more code faster is a good thing. Software engineering wisdom for decades has been that code is a cost, not a product. There are great reasons for that, which haven't changed with the…
If you read these further, researchers believe this effect does exist, but only insofar as priming the model for the answer it was likely to give anyway and only when queries are in-distribution. If there was actual…
Trying to turn it around by once again claiming that ai is an existential threat and will take everyone’s job right before brutally murdering every human. These companies don’t appear to give a single fuck about public…
> I've found I can produce 10x more code than I could otherwise, of lower quality than I would otherwise, but the speedup is worth it. The speedup of slop production being “worth it” is what we, as a society, are having…
There is, however, a question of scale.
And yet those companies aren't collapsing because it became easier to rewrite their software, but because llms themselves have replaced a core part of their business (such as translation or simple art). Seems like so…
It’s not just math. Anecdotally, LLMs struggle the same way with software engineering where the code they write is correct (compiles and passes tests), but reasoning is wrong often enough to eliminate most trust in…
They score 99% but then can’t explain _why_ their solution works with any accuracy. Not as useful for learning as one might think.
It was this way well before vibe coding. Over a decade of zero interest rates combined with talent wars and other anticompetitive behaviors by large tech companies did the industry in.
> Now back to AI for software creation. "Review is the bottleneck because EVERYTHING must be judged by a human." No. It doesn't. We just need to build AI review systems, that will do reviews better than (or at least as…
The challenge with comparing these things to humans, is that humans learn. A newbie might not respect your organization’s set of policies on day one, but what about 3 months in? Or 3 years? Meanwhile there’s still no…
I think the issue is that obtaining empirical proof of AI or manual coding being more efficient is very difficult, since true costs and outcomes aren’t known for months and often years. AI _is_ faster at producing short…
Hopefully everyone? Else your job could have been outsourced or replaced by a junior with access to Google and StackOverflow way before LLMs (it just wasn’t due to zero interest rates and proliferation of bullshit jobs…
> Significantly increased my productivity as a software engineer. You’re going to have to define productivity as it applies to software engineering. With LLMs we’ve primarily seen the number of PRs over time being…
Yes that’s the right source. There would be no recovery in SWE market after the higher interest rates killed it if LLMs had any major impact on SWE employability.
> The real risk isn't that some 19 year-old vibe coder is going to replace you, it's that there's simply less need for more experienced engineers. The market is shrinking. That last sentence is verifiably false if you…
Always has been tbh
Back in the day, you couldn’t ask stack overflow about your specific business or project. You were forced to build at least some level of understanding of what you were doing on the job or risk your lack of knowledge…
> We can debate as to how successful we’ve been toward the two goals above, but I think it’s misguided to say that the majority of people think LLMs should produce lower quality code. Guessing you’re not at FAANG or…
Can someone explain these complaints about boilerplate to me? What are y’all doing where boilerplate is the majority of your code? Am I the only one mostly writing concise business logic where most lines are important…
If only it was that simple. The reason these inefficient companies continue to exist is due to regulatory capture and monopolistic behavior. Competing with them doesn't just require better efficiency.
The problem is that organizations are inefficient in such a way that extra output from white collar workers doesn't translate to improved org-wide performance in a positively correlated, linear fashion. When the org is…
Now they're looking at your token consumption, which is even more gameable (and stupid).
Oh no, we should create a fear mongering blog post and delay the latest IDE version until we have better security in place!
10x the amount of code or features =/= 10x the speed of software development.
1. It's unclear why creating more code faster is a good thing. Software engineering wisdom for decades has been that code is a cost, not a product. There are great reasons for that, which haven't changed with the…
If you read these further, researchers believe this effect does exist, but only insofar as priming the model for the answer it was likely to give anyway and only when queries are in-distribution. If there was actual…