I suspect that a great many of the people who say AGI is just around the corner and are giving <2030 timelines are saying that because they want it to be around the corner.
Yes. Thank you. This is one of the things that really worries me about aligning AI. If you're even worrying about how to align human level intelligence, you don't have the capacity to ALIGN THE HUMANS towards the goal…
THANK YOU. You've stated the difference perfectly. Humans have a concept of truth or grounding, LLMs do not.
Yes, but there's a critical difference. When humans hallucinate, it's normally because they misremember something: did you know, for instance, that our brains have to piece every memory together from scratch every time…
If we solved the problem of unlimited greed, we wouldn't need unlimited power in the first place.
Here's my theory: if you look at surveys, it does say a 10% chance or so of an extremely bad outcome. BUT it says a ~20% chance of an extremely good outcome, and an 80% chance of at least a neutral one. Simple cost…
To properly explain this would take longer than the length of the comment limit (is there a length limit? I don't know, but even if there isn't I don't feel like explaining this for the 70th time), but here's why:…
Depends on the researchers. Mathematicians might mind, but I am going to guess (assuming there was a plan in place to make sure they didn't wind up on the street) climate researchers wouldn't mind being made obsolete…
Actually ... that's a reasonable goalpost, in my opinion. Yes, humans make careless mistakes. However, humans mostly make careless mistakes because A) their brains have to reconstruct information every time they use it,…
Thank you for this. This is one of the things that bugs me about the AGI debate when people argue over when/if computers will match human intelligence. Just one small problem: we don't have a working definition of human…
"OpenAI" does not believe that it will be AGI. There is an interview farther down in the thread in which Altman states that A) GPT-5 will not be AGI and B) the GPT paradigm likely has some fundamental problems which…
Yeah, I think he's just making this up and this is his opinion. Later down he says "someone who didn't; (source, I made it up reaction image)". And I'm thinking: if you have to pointedly say that it's not made up, it's…
Because they are being deployed wrong. We should be lining up our transition to post-work so we can spend as much time on art and science as we damn well please, and wholly ignore commercialized drudgery. Instead we are…
I suspect that a great many of the people who say AGI is just around the corner and are giving <2030 timelines are saying that because they want it to be around the corner.
Yes. Thank you. This is one of the things that really worries me about aligning AI. If you're even worrying about how to align human level intelligence, you don't have the capacity to ALIGN THE HUMANS towards the goal…
THANK YOU. You've stated the difference perfectly. Humans have a concept of truth or grounding, LLMs do not.
Yes, but there's a critical difference. When humans hallucinate, it's normally because they misremember something: did you know, for instance, that our brains have to piece every memory together from scratch every time…
If we solved the problem of unlimited greed, we wouldn't need unlimited power in the first place.
Here's my theory: if you look at surveys, it does say a 10% chance or so of an extremely bad outcome. BUT it says a ~20% chance of an extremely good outcome, and an 80% chance of at least a neutral one. Simple cost…
To properly explain this would take longer than the length of the comment limit (is there a length limit? I don't know, but even if there isn't I don't feel like explaining this for the 70th time), but here's why:…
Depends on the researchers. Mathematicians might mind, but I am going to guess (assuming there was a plan in place to make sure they didn't wind up on the street) climate researchers wouldn't mind being made obsolete…
Actually ... that's a reasonable goalpost, in my opinion. Yes, humans make careless mistakes. However, humans mostly make careless mistakes because A) their brains have to reconstruct information every time they use it,…
Thank you for this. This is one of the things that bugs me about the AGI debate when people argue over when/if computers will match human intelligence. Just one small problem: we don't have a working definition of human…
"OpenAI" does not believe that it will be AGI. There is an interview farther down in the thread in which Altman states that A) GPT-5 will not be AGI and B) the GPT paradigm likely has some fundamental problems which…
Yeah, I think he's just making this up and this is his opinion. Later down he says "someone who didn't; (source, I made it up reaction image)". And I'm thinking: if you have to pointedly say that it's not made up, it's…
Because they are being deployed wrong. We should be lining up our transition to post-work so we can spend as much time on art and science as we damn well please, and wholly ignore commercialized drudgery. Instead we are…