David Sacks is one of the most predictable VCs in Silicon Valley. He could have written "I still have the same thoughts; here's a link to my first and only opinion" and the post would have communicated the same amount…
I understand that AI is not just cut and paste, but some documents will have more influence than others w/ power law scaling. I would be very surprised if this distribution were not extremely steep for arcane math
Well the argument is that B is no longer sustainable because of the scenario you describe in A. If you do a bunch of work on Navier Stokes but then OpenAI gets all the press, then what was the point?
I know this happens, but my impression during my phd was that many labs use popular methods to test popular questions, leading to a lot of simultaneous work. You see this in history as well.
https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao/117237320796901560 Terrence Tao recently published an interesting take that zooms out from the details of the Navier Stokes drama. Its an interesting observation he makes, because it is not…
Why is a "normie" better off if he hyperventilates like this? In that scenario, they would be screwed AND anxious. If it really is as transformational as you say, then no amount of preparation or awareness matters. You…
Why is it unlikely?
yes, they just need to accumulate wealth until they're 47, just like previous generations. no need to rethink land use or property tax
Old people seem to be surviving just fine in areas where property tax is based on current market value? It sucks to move, but luckily they have an extremely valuable property to sell
I think it’s fair to say that Wallace is postmodern but less self-satisfied and complacent about it. The elements of irony and cynicism are still there, but insufficient. So he synthesizes a “what next?”, which is…
yes, the fundamental BS assumption of algorithmic social media is that human desire and curiosity is legible, and can be calculated in a straightforward way.
A lot of postmodern maximalist books like IJ try to reckon w/ these problems. Its easy to reflexively hate the meaningless, ironic, media-fried worlds they build, but they are mirrors, not instruction manuals.
I genuinely think Reddit is basically cable news for millenials.
Yes, they can’t magically resolve ambiguities in the prompt. Hence it is better to make something clear at the outset
I like the Claude constitution overall - I hope it becomes something representatives vote on and amend, to avoid the centralized corporate censorship you describe. In the meantime, I am fine with it abstaining from…
Yes? The difference is often 10X or 100X with very little time lost. I’m learning how to give it enough info pretty quickly. Edit: I also have to read the methods anyway for scientific accountability/integrity anyways,…
I have recently come to the conclusion that thinking for 2 seconds and using a cheap model with a slightly more detailed prompt works just as well as zero-shotting an idea with a fancy model. I work in science, and…
Well, because I expect this to last for two years. Nobody likes it except for birthday boy and his sycophants. All of the signs around Lake Ontario still say the name; same goes for the people that live by it. Google…
I mean ... currently I would? The environment will be different soon
It makes perfect sense that govs control names within their jurisdiction - I am eyerolling at both the name change and the reaction. I am curious though - is it convention to leave the data as is, or is it illegal to…
You might know this already, but you can query pandas/polars/arrow tables directly w/ duckdb and use whatever stats packages you feel like.
> Lineage A was first found in a Wuhan neighborhood right next to the wet market (closer to the wet market than 97% of Wuhan’s population). Again, it would be a bizarre coincidence if a lab leak pandemic was first…
There's still value in communicating with cranks. You just have to take a different tack. Just say they're a crank. Then they hyperventilate about irrelevant details (like California) and other readers of the thread see…
There are two kinds of vaccine skeptics: a much larger group of people who will in fact have conversations about costs and benefits, and a small group of cranks like yourself that should be treated like the drooling…
Is it? There are a lot of edgy contrarians that are very overconfident - doesnt seem like a global consensus to me
David Sacks is one of the most predictable VCs in Silicon Valley. He could have written "I still have the same thoughts; here's a link to my first and only opinion" and the post would have communicated the same amount…
I understand that AI is not just cut and paste, but some documents will have more influence than others w/ power law scaling. I would be very surprised if this distribution were not extremely steep for arcane math
Well the argument is that B is no longer sustainable because of the scenario you describe in A. If you do a bunch of work on Navier Stokes but then OpenAI gets all the press, then what was the point?
I know this happens, but my impression during my phd was that many labs use popular methods to test popular questions, leading to a lot of simultaneous work. You see this in history as well.
https://mathstodon.xyz/@tao/117237320796901560 Terrence Tao recently published an interesting take that zooms out from the details of the Navier Stokes drama. Its an interesting observation he makes, because it is not…
Why is a "normie" better off if he hyperventilates like this? In that scenario, they would be screwed AND anxious. If it really is as transformational as you say, then no amount of preparation or awareness matters. You…
Why is it unlikely?
yes, they just need to accumulate wealth until they're 47, just like previous generations. no need to rethink land use or property tax
Old people seem to be surviving just fine in areas where property tax is based on current market value? It sucks to move, but luckily they have an extremely valuable property to sell
I think it’s fair to say that Wallace is postmodern but less self-satisfied and complacent about it. The elements of irony and cynicism are still there, but insufficient. So he synthesizes a “what next?”, which is…
yes, the fundamental BS assumption of algorithmic social media is that human desire and curiosity is legible, and can be calculated in a straightforward way.
A lot of postmodern maximalist books like IJ try to reckon w/ these problems. Its easy to reflexively hate the meaningless, ironic, media-fried worlds they build, but they are mirrors, not instruction manuals.
I genuinely think Reddit is basically cable news for millenials.
Yes, they can’t magically resolve ambiguities in the prompt. Hence it is better to make something clear at the outset
I like the Claude constitution overall - I hope it becomes something representatives vote on and amend, to avoid the centralized corporate censorship you describe. In the meantime, I am fine with it abstaining from…
Yes? The difference is often 10X or 100X with very little time lost. I’m learning how to give it enough info pretty quickly. Edit: I also have to read the methods anyway for scientific accountability/integrity anyways,…
I have recently come to the conclusion that thinking for 2 seconds and using a cheap model with a slightly more detailed prompt works just as well as zero-shotting an idea with a fancy model. I work in science, and…
Well, because I expect this to last for two years. Nobody likes it except for birthday boy and his sycophants. All of the signs around Lake Ontario still say the name; same goes for the people that live by it. Google…
I mean ... currently I would? The environment will be different soon
It makes perfect sense that govs control names within their jurisdiction - I am eyerolling at both the name change and the reaction. I am curious though - is it convention to leave the data as is, or is it illegal to…
You might know this already, but you can query pandas/polars/arrow tables directly w/ duckdb and use whatever stats packages you feel like.
> Lineage A was first found in a Wuhan neighborhood right next to the wet market (closer to the wet market than 97% of Wuhan’s population). Again, it would be a bizarre coincidence if a lab leak pandemic was first…
There's still value in communicating with cranks. You just have to take a different tack. Just say they're a crank. Then they hyperventilate about irrelevant details (like California) and other readers of the thread see…
There are two kinds of vaccine skeptics: a much larger group of people who will in fact have conversations about costs and benefits, and a small group of cranks like yourself that should be treated like the drooling…
Is it? There are a lot of edgy contrarians that are very overconfident - doesnt seem like a global consensus to me