My guess is if they haven't cured cancer, achieved world peace, colonized Mars, you'll still have a job.
"it's not just about saving costs – it's about saving the planet." Jevon's paradox probably will mean that lower costs will lead to more use.
"Productivity gains are real when you understand that augmentation is better than replacing humans..." Isn't this where the job losses happen? For example, previously you needed 5 tech writers but now you only need 4 to…
"You're absolutely right!" Thanks for pointing it out. I was expecting that kind of perspective when the author brought up horses, but found the conclusion to be odd. Turns out it was just my reading of it.
"In 1920, there were 25 million horses in the United States, 25 million horses totally ambivalent to two hundred years of progress in mechanical engines. And not very long after, 93 per cent of those horses had…
In short, the others have a huge margin if you ignore training costs. See https://martinalderson.com/posts/are-openai-and-anthropic-re... for details.
Why have spot H100 prices been going down then? It was roughly $3/hr a year ago and now it is closer to $2.2/hr.
I'll admit I immediately thought of https://www.decisionproblem.com/paperclips/ after seeing this blog post.
That is my interpretation. Regardless of whether you think imposing a $100k fee on H1Bs is a good idea or not, there is no way that a 2 day deadline makes sense from an implementation perspective. On a weekend too. This…
AI only got big, especially for coding, because they were able to train on a massive corpus of open source code. I don't think it is a coincidence.
This is a common myth. This might explain why Harvard or MIT tuition is high but not the average college. Tuition mostly reflects staff costs and those have been going up due to Baumol's cost disease. Dentists, along…
Does it help to submit duplicative arguments? I see some pretty strong arguments in the comments already. I wish there was a way to just upvote an existing comment.
While debatably unprofessional to blame your vendor, I found this read to be fascinating. I'm sure there are blog posts that detail how data centers work and fail but it's rare to get that cross over from a software…
What incentive would there be to take the risk of being the first in the market? One idea I've been mulling is a progressive corporate tax. It would encourage companies to split up if there aren't massive synergies to…
This is a great introduction to how valuation of public stocks works. In short, market capitalization is positively correlated with gross margin rates and negatively correlated with earnings volatility and the discount…
It doesn't lead to a more secure network because the costs to attack the network are the same. Attackers will have access to the same technology and have similar costs. Right, I'm not saying there will be a new ASIC;…
I don't think they do if you're just referring to how difficult it is to pull off a 51% attack. Assume the status quo is that it costs X to secure 51% of the hash power. If there is a new ASIC that can hash twice as…
If a car can be more efficiently produced, the energy spent producing cars will go up because either more cars will be produced or more features will be added to the car. This is a win for the car consumer. This is very…
I would certainly take a look. It would be amusing if you released it using the interface itself.
How does the author know it isn't the driver that will get the short end of the stick here? To put it differently, what would happen if the restaurant mistakenly charged the driver who is picking up the food more than…
If supply drops far below demand, prices rise and producers come back into the market. The process will not be smooth and the feedback mechanism is lagged but hyperinflation should not happen unless some severe…
With 3) society is basically admitting that it is built on top of "slave labor". If no one wants to do the "dirty jobs" because they have UBI, then wages for those jobs will rise. Prices will indeed rise but is that…
There are a number of tasks like rebuilding infrastructure that most people agree is necessary. There is some set P of people that would be willing to do this in exchange for a $24k salary. There is also a subset S of…
Inflation in the US is lowering because of reduced demand: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL
I think if there was proper planning in place, you could have money sent out to people in a day, especially the demographic that would most likely be investing the extra cash. People already electronically pay their tax…
My guess is if they haven't cured cancer, achieved world peace, colonized Mars, you'll still have a job.
"it's not just about saving costs – it's about saving the planet." Jevon's paradox probably will mean that lower costs will lead to more use.
"Productivity gains are real when you understand that augmentation is better than replacing humans..." Isn't this where the job losses happen? For example, previously you needed 5 tech writers but now you only need 4 to…
"You're absolutely right!" Thanks for pointing it out. I was expecting that kind of perspective when the author brought up horses, but found the conclusion to be odd. Turns out it was just my reading of it.
"In 1920, there were 25 million horses in the United States, 25 million horses totally ambivalent to two hundred years of progress in mechanical engines. And not very long after, 93 per cent of those horses had…
In short, the others have a huge margin if you ignore training costs. See https://martinalderson.com/posts/are-openai-and-anthropic-re... for details.
Why have spot H100 prices been going down then? It was roughly $3/hr a year ago and now it is closer to $2.2/hr.
I'll admit I immediately thought of https://www.decisionproblem.com/paperclips/ after seeing this blog post.
That is my interpretation. Regardless of whether you think imposing a $100k fee on H1Bs is a good idea or not, there is no way that a 2 day deadline makes sense from an implementation perspective. On a weekend too. This…
AI only got big, especially for coding, because they were able to train on a massive corpus of open source code. I don't think it is a coincidence.
This is a common myth. This might explain why Harvard or MIT tuition is high but not the average college. Tuition mostly reflects staff costs and those have been going up due to Baumol's cost disease. Dentists, along…
Does it help to submit duplicative arguments? I see some pretty strong arguments in the comments already. I wish there was a way to just upvote an existing comment.
While debatably unprofessional to blame your vendor, I found this read to be fascinating. I'm sure there are blog posts that detail how data centers work and fail but it's rare to get that cross over from a software…
What incentive would there be to take the risk of being the first in the market? One idea I've been mulling is a progressive corporate tax. It would encourage companies to split up if there aren't massive synergies to…
This is a great introduction to how valuation of public stocks works. In short, market capitalization is positively correlated with gross margin rates and negatively correlated with earnings volatility and the discount…
It doesn't lead to a more secure network because the costs to attack the network are the same. Attackers will have access to the same technology and have similar costs. Right, I'm not saying there will be a new ASIC;…
I don't think they do if you're just referring to how difficult it is to pull off a 51% attack. Assume the status quo is that it costs X to secure 51% of the hash power. If there is a new ASIC that can hash twice as…
If a car can be more efficiently produced, the energy spent producing cars will go up because either more cars will be produced or more features will be added to the car. This is a win for the car consumer. This is very…
I would certainly take a look. It would be amusing if you released it using the interface itself.
How does the author know it isn't the driver that will get the short end of the stick here? To put it differently, what would happen if the restaurant mistakenly charged the driver who is picking up the food more than…
If supply drops far below demand, prices rise and producers come back into the market. The process will not be smooth and the feedback mechanism is lagged but hyperinflation should not happen unless some severe…
With 3) society is basically admitting that it is built on top of "slave labor". If no one wants to do the "dirty jobs" because they have UBI, then wages for those jobs will rise. Prices will indeed rise but is that…
There are a number of tasks like rebuilding infrastructure that most people agree is necessary. There is some set P of people that would be willing to do this in exchange for a $24k salary. There is also a subset S of…
Inflation in the US is lowering because of reduced demand: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CPIAUCSL
I think if there was proper planning in place, you could have money sent out to people in a day, especially the demographic that would most likely be investing the extra cash. People already electronically pay their tax…