And you need a rich person to do the exploiting. The power differential is a key ingredient.
Capital markets are excited by AI. By tying his rockets to AI with his vision of “orbital data centers”, Elon turned an $8 per share IPO (according to financial times and morgan stanley) into a $135 (1.8T) IPO.
Fair enough. I too use LLM coding tools all day everyday. If we’re specifically talking about the arguments in this thread, I have experienced both sides of the argument. Some use cases are more in-distribution than…
Somewhere, someone may be painting an equally reductive picture of you and your position. You two are obviously smart people, but have you considered that maybe you are unconsciously being backed into a position that is…
> foreign labs Apparently not just foreign labs. It looks like xAI distilled Anthropic models to train grok. https://opentools.ai/news/xai-trained-coding-models-claude-o...
There are many possible futures, but the one that will come to pass is the one we collectively allow to happen. To a degree, of course. A future that I like to imagine is one where LLM scaling laws hit a plateau.…
I had a similar experience at a bank some time ago. To sign up, you had to sign a digital pad without seeing what you were signing first. You could get a copy mailed to you later. At that future time, I was told, you…
A bullied kid finds refuge in sci-fi and fantasy books. This kid builds a mental fantasy world where they get revenge on their tormentors. In this mental fantasy world, every self-serving thing they do is “righteous”,…
Tesla has a problem. Its sky-high valuation is based on the potential upside from “visionary” sci-fi future programs. However, the narratives are losing credibility. Once upon a time, Robotaxi and Optimus sounded like…
If you apply Occam’s razor, this explanation stands out.
An easy way out might be to just ask the candidate how they got from one step to another. That way you can differentiate between “toxic, so smart i can’t communicate” and “non-toxic, so smart that i honestly thought the…
Sure, indiscriminate tokenmaxxing is a gamble that can pay off sometimes. However, I think that the decision to take any gamble should be made by someone who will bear responsibility for the downside as well as the…
That reads a bit like: an equal role in external politics, but not in internal church politics. It’s hard to have a role in politics if you don’t have a voice.
>>I have found that, for many of the statements about what AI should do, I would actally be happier if the letters "AI" were replaced with "companies" Perhaps, but at the moment AI is at the forefront of the…
To me, the problem is when IP laws are stretched and abused by big corporations (like, say Disney) or by patent trolls. If IP laws could work in a way that gave limited and reasonable protections to actual creators and…
But this new tool is not a blacksmith’s tool in the traditional sense. It’s more like an automated blacksmith that works fast, for cheap, does mediocre work, but has this mediocre skill level in an exceptional broad…
Yes, and potentially extracts the wealth at the cost of the new grad’s job prospects. Can you imagine a few decades earlier some former corporate executive giving a commencement speech at a US college extolling the…
> I seriously doubt it. Scaling is already strained (don't buy into the "exponential" hype). And, in any case, the competition will be against the frontier models that will exist in two years. But even if scaling…
Railroad looks huge on the GDP (estimate) chart because the US transcontinental railroad was built in the mid 1800’s when the US economy was relatively tiny.
Yeah, EVs are completely mundane now. Not sexy enough of a story to justify the high PE ratios anymore. I think this is the reason for the weird pivot to humanoid robots and for taking SpaceX public even though he…
Fair enough, I see that online all the time. Here’s my take. Raising your hand alone is a common gesture that pretty much everyone has done. Saying “my heart goes out to you” gives plausible deniability. But making the…
I wonder if going public will mean that SpaceX engineers are no longer going to be able to concentrate on rockets, but instead need to work on a variety of distractions meant to excite investors like dancing robots.
Yes, but this is for national (midterm election) security, so we need gas prices down before November.
Can you imagine the targeted ads we’ll have when they do deep psychological fingerprinting off of chats from AI therapists, AI girlfriends/boyfriends, etc?!
Not the first time Trump has wagged the dog. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wag_the_dog
And you need a rich person to do the exploiting. The power differential is a key ingredient.
Capital markets are excited by AI. By tying his rockets to AI with his vision of “orbital data centers”, Elon turned an $8 per share IPO (according to financial times and morgan stanley) into a $135 (1.8T) IPO.
Fair enough. I too use LLM coding tools all day everyday. If we’re specifically talking about the arguments in this thread, I have experienced both sides of the argument. Some use cases are more in-distribution than…
Somewhere, someone may be painting an equally reductive picture of you and your position. You two are obviously smart people, but have you considered that maybe you are unconsciously being backed into a position that is…
> foreign labs Apparently not just foreign labs. It looks like xAI distilled Anthropic models to train grok. https://opentools.ai/news/xai-trained-coding-models-claude-o...
There are many possible futures, but the one that will come to pass is the one we collectively allow to happen. To a degree, of course. A future that I like to imagine is one where LLM scaling laws hit a plateau.…
I had a similar experience at a bank some time ago. To sign up, you had to sign a digital pad without seeing what you were signing first. You could get a copy mailed to you later. At that future time, I was told, you…
A bullied kid finds refuge in sci-fi and fantasy books. This kid builds a mental fantasy world where they get revenge on their tormentors. In this mental fantasy world, every self-serving thing they do is “righteous”,…
Tesla has a problem. Its sky-high valuation is based on the potential upside from “visionary” sci-fi future programs. However, the narratives are losing credibility. Once upon a time, Robotaxi and Optimus sounded like…
If you apply Occam’s razor, this explanation stands out.
An easy way out might be to just ask the candidate how they got from one step to another. That way you can differentiate between “toxic, so smart i can’t communicate” and “non-toxic, so smart that i honestly thought the…
Sure, indiscriminate tokenmaxxing is a gamble that can pay off sometimes. However, I think that the decision to take any gamble should be made by someone who will bear responsibility for the downside as well as the…
That reads a bit like: an equal role in external politics, but not in internal church politics. It’s hard to have a role in politics if you don’t have a voice.
>>I have found that, for many of the statements about what AI should do, I would actally be happier if the letters "AI" were replaced with "companies" Perhaps, but at the moment AI is at the forefront of the…
To me, the problem is when IP laws are stretched and abused by big corporations (like, say Disney) or by patent trolls. If IP laws could work in a way that gave limited and reasonable protections to actual creators and…
But this new tool is not a blacksmith’s tool in the traditional sense. It’s more like an automated blacksmith that works fast, for cheap, does mediocre work, but has this mediocre skill level in an exceptional broad…
Yes, and potentially extracts the wealth at the cost of the new grad’s job prospects. Can you imagine a few decades earlier some former corporate executive giving a commencement speech at a US college extolling the…
> I seriously doubt it. Scaling is already strained (don't buy into the "exponential" hype). And, in any case, the competition will be against the frontier models that will exist in two years. But even if scaling…
Railroad looks huge on the GDP (estimate) chart because the US transcontinental railroad was built in the mid 1800’s when the US economy was relatively tiny.
Yeah, EVs are completely mundane now. Not sexy enough of a story to justify the high PE ratios anymore. I think this is the reason for the weird pivot to humanoid robots and for taking SpaceX public even though he…
Fair enough, I see that online all the time. Here’s my take. Raising your hand alone is a common gesture that pretty much everyone has done. Saying “my heart goes out to you” gives plausible deniability. But making the…
I wonder if going public will mean that SpaceX engineers are no longer going to be able to concentrate on rockets, but instead need to work on a variety of distractions meant to excite investors like dancing robots.
Yes, but this is for national (midterm election) security, so we need gas prices down before November.
Can you imagine the targeted ads we’ll have when they do deep psychological fingerprinting off of chats from AI therapists, AI girlfriends/boyfriends, etc?!
Not the first time Trump has wagged the dog. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wag_the_dog