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Just knowing someone's name, address, and ID number isn't enough to like, open a bank account in their name or such. You'd need a proper ID card or passport for that. Similar thing with most businesses if you try to pay…
> Why is mechanized thinking going to do that? When mechanized labor didn't? You're right. There is technically a category of work that relies on neither our ability to do physical labor nor excessive thinking. It just…
The revenue numbers are public for the major AI companies. That's probably the best estimate for "inference for the whole market" we have, since most of that inference is billed in either API usage or subscriptions, and…
What choice do they really have though? More and more consumers completely forgo owning a regular computer and only use a phone or a tablet now a days. And among the ones who do own a computer there's still a strong…
True! (value - cost) would be better. I was more so limiting myself to the simpler heuristic where people only pay roughly what they personally think something is worth, and not significantly more/less regardless of the…
If we assume people are somewhat rational (big ask I know), and the Efficient-market hypothesis, then we can estimate the value created by AI to be roughly equal to the revenue of these AI companies. That is: A…
> Putting that kind of filter in the way of speech seems ripe for abuse. On one hand I agree with you. Any automatic filter implemented can later be expanded to cover more and more things, such as messages from…
> Sidenote: I wonder what's going to happen when the crazy money runs out and Anthropic, OpenAI & co have to start charging for more than it costs them to run the models. Hopefully by then the open source models will…
> I've been surprised how difficult it is for LLMs to simply answer "I don't know." It's very difficult to train for that. Of course you can include a Question+Answer pair in your training data for which the answer is…
I think one of the things that short form videos do really well is that they punish creators who pad their videos with unnecessary filler content. On TikTok for example (Not necessarily a fan of the app but it's a good…
> Most of these seem concretely doable, and maybe effective. But the core of the addictiveness comes from the "recommender system", and what are they supposed to do there? Start recommending worse content? How much…
TikTok has a lot of issues, such as privacy, dubious content, 'brainrot', etc. I don't want to seem like I'm necessarily defending TikTok specifically here. But this really just stinks of Regulatory Capture to me. Their…
I doubt it. More plausibly: You registered the domain. You created the webpage. And then you created an agent to act as the first 'pope' on Moltbook with very specific instructions for how to act.
I agree. It's very missleading. Here's what the authors actually say: > AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for novice workers. Yet how this assistance affects…
I didn't catch it immediately, but after you pointed it out I totally agree. That comment is for sure LLM written. If that involved a human in the loop or was fully automated I cannot say. We currently live in the very…
Isn't most research and scientific data is already shared openly (in publications usually)?
Food is anabolic. It's significantly easier to build muscle if you're willing to also put on fat.
In what way does them having a subjective local moral standard for themselves imply that there exists some sort of objective universal moral standard for everyone?
>If I knew someone wanted me dead, of course I would want a prediction market on it [...] Someone fill me in on what I'm missing here? The assassin might place the bet at roughly the same time as they place the bullet…
A risky bet can give back much more than 3x the money. Take this absurd one for example, it seems like it's offering up to 9x on a yes bet right now: https://polymarket.com/event/us-civil-war-before-2027 (I don't know…
> A lot of complaints and concerns about LLMs today echo remarks about Wikipedia back then. I have also noticed this. How LLMs can never be trusted because they are stochastic sounds very similar to how Wikipedia can…
> Can it run Doom? Yes, there are even videos showing it on youtube.
> Ultimately I think over the next two years or so, Anthropic and OpenAI will evolve their product from "coding assistant" to "engineering team replacement" The way I see it, there will always be a layer in the…
Thanks for the post. I found it very interesting and I agree with most of what you said. Things are changing, regardless of our feelings on the matter. While I agree that there is something tragic about watching what we…
[dead]
Just knowing someone's name, address, and ID number isn't enough to like, open a bank account in their name or such. You'd need a proper ID card or passport for that. Similar thing with most businesses if you try to pay…
> Why is mechanized thinking going to do that? When mechanized labor didn't? You're right. There is technically a category of work that relies on neither our ability to do physical labor nor excessive thinking. It just…
The revenue numbers are public for the major AI companies. That's probably the best estimate for "inference for the whole market" we have, since most of that inference is billed in either API usage or subscriptions, and…
What choice do they really have though? More and more consumers completely forgo owning a regular computer and only use a phone or a tablet now a days. And among the ones who do own a computer there's still a strong…
True! (value - cost) would be better. I was more so limiting myself to the simpler heuristic where people only pay roughly what they personally think something is worth, and not significantly more/less regardless of the…
If we assume people are somewhat rational (big ask I know), and the Efficient-market hypothesis, then we can estimate the value created by AI to be roughly equal to the revenue of these AI companies. That is: A…
> Putting that kind of filter in the way of speech seems ripe for abuse. On one hand I agree with you. Any automatic filter implemented can later be expanded to cover more and more things, such as messages from…
> Sidenote: I wonder what's going to happen when the crazy money runs out and Anthropic, OpenAI & co have to start charging for more than it costs them to run the models. Hopefully by then the open source models will…
> I've been surprised how difficult it is for LLMs to simply answer "I don't know." It's very difficult to train for that. Of course you can include a Question+Answer pair in your training data for which the answer is…
I think one of the things that short form videos do really well is that they punish creators who pad their videos with unnecessary filler content. On TikTok for example (Not necessarily a fan of the app but it's a good…
> Most of these seem concretely doable, and maybe effective. But the core of the addictiveness comes from the "recommender system", and what are they supposed to do there? Start recommending worse content? How much…
TikTok has a lot of issues, such as privacy, dubious content, 'brainrot', etc. I don't want to seem like I'm necessarily defending TikTok specifically here. But this really just stinks of Regulatory Capture to me. Their…
I doubt it. More plausibly: You registered the domain. You created the webpage. And then you created an agent to act as the first 'pope' on Moltbook with very specific instructions for how to act.
I agree. It's very missleading. Here's what the authors actually say: > AI assistance produces significant productivity gains across professional domains, particularly for novice workers. Yet how this assistance affects…
I didn't catch it immediately, but after you pointed it out I totally agree. That comment is for sure LLM written. If that involved a human in the loop or was fully automated I cannot say. We currently live in the very…
Isn't most research and scientific data is already shared openly (in publications usually)?
Food is anabolic. It's significantly easier to build muscle if you're willing to also put on fat.
In what way does them having a subjective local moral standard for themselves imply that there exists some sort of objective universal moral standard for everyone?
>If I knew someone wanted me dead, of course I would want a prediction market on it [...] Someone fill me in on what I'm missing here? The assassin might place the bet at roughly the same time as they place the bullet…
A risky bet can give back much more than 3x the money. Take this absurd one for example, it seems like it's offering up to 9x on a yes bet right now: https://polymarket.com/event/us-civil-war-before-2027 (I don't know…
> A lot of complaints and concerns about LLMs today echo remarks about Wikipedia back then. I have also noticed this. How LLMs can never be trusted because they are stochastic sounds very similar to how Wikipedia can…
> Can it run Doom? Yes, there are even videos showing it on youtube.
> Ultimately I think over the next two years or so, Anthropic and OpenAI will evolve their product from "coding assistant" to "engineering team replacement" The way I see it, there will always be a layer in the…
Thanks for the post. I found it very interesting and I agree with most of what you said. Things are changing, regardless of our feelings on the matter. While I agree that there is something tragic about watching what we…