ddp26
- Karma
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- Porting the Moebius 0.2B image model to run in Claude Code on web (simonwillison.net)
- The Wealth of the Richest People in AI (futuresearch.ai)
- World-Modeling the US vs. Anthropic on Claude Fable (lesswrong.com)
- Conscripting engineers to make training data won't push AI (futuresearch.ai)
- How the US vs. Anthropic Standoff on Claude Fable Will End (futuresearch.ai)
- Claude can miss the motives of politicians (futuresearch.ai)
- Measuring one way AIs lack self-awareness (futuresearch.ai)
- Some rare examples of AIs being underconfident (futuresearch.ai)
- History doesn't repeat itself as often as LLMs think (futuresearch.ai)
- Agents Sometimes Catastrophize (futuresearch.ai)
- Run Agents Twice (futuresearch.ai)
- I think Anthropic is worth $100B more than last week (futuresearch.ai)
- A forecast of the fair market value of SpaceX's businesses (futuresearch.ai)
- Ask LLM Agents to Classify Problems Before Starting (futuresearch.ai)
- I ran 10,000 web research agents (everyrow.io)
- How LLM agents solve the table merging problem (futuresearch.ai)
- Forecasting the 2026 AI Winner (futuresearch.ai)
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Hey HN, I’m Dan. I’ve been working on forecasting for the last six years at Google, then Metaculus, and now at FutureSearch. For a long time, I thought prediction markets, “superforecasting”, and AI forecasting…
- The Karpathy Interview, 6 Months After AI 2027 (futuresearch.ai)
- Apple's plan to power Siri with ChatGPT was a predictable failure (futuresearch.ai)
- OpenAI Deep Research – Six Strange Failures (futuresearch.ai)
- Biden signs TikTok ban – what will happen next? (github.com)
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Now that the TikTok ban is on its way to Biden’s desk, you may ask: “Will ByteDance get this overturned in court?” “How much is TikTok US worth?” “Will Oracle and Walmart bid again?” Google, ChatGPT, Perplexity, etc.…
- The future of AI according to thousands of forecasters (metaculus.com)
- Visualizing AI Discourse on Twitter (talktothe.city)