> Are you not just noise competing with other noise, drowning out the valuable signals in your domain for your own personal gain You have an audience willing to give you the benefit of the doubt to learn something…
Author is primarily a sports blogger and political pundit. Esquire’s lead political blogger since 2011. Charles P Pierce https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Pierce
Since 1974, when science increasingly underwrote policy, it’s become entwined with politics through the EPA, climate change, treatment of gender and sexuality, public health, mandatory teaching of evolution, and…
IPOs are one-shot, sealed-bid auctions, and the winner’s curse applies. There are separate equilibria where the company maximizes its cash gains or its fully diluted market cap. It can pick which to target. “Leaving…
Many autistic children have extremely limited diets. For example, a geneticist friend of mine saw a case where an autistic child had been referred for genetic testing because of horrific, chronic, spontaneous wounds on…
In a study like this, there’s also a difference in motivation. An AI will mechanically “take the study seriously.” I’m not convinced the doctors will. But when making decisions about a real patient’s care, a doctor will…
They haven’t raised a cent. They’re asking for pledges, not actual cash contributions.
Not that this isn’t a scam, but they’re currently asking for pledges to contribute, not cash.
PCR (the chemical reaction) isn’t near optimal, but thermocyclers (the device) are hard to improve on. For PCR, one of the innovations I’m excited about is the development of PCR that preserves chemical properties of…
Let’s be real, it’s the men who run brothels. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/trump-canada-yukon-1.3235254
I just want to point out that there’s a huge difference between thoroughly investigating the family after abuse of this magnitude has been proven, and making parents legally culpable for any harm that comes to their…
What if the president of the nation happens to hold stock in these companies?
Good design allows systems to work without anyone knowing how the whole thing works. AI and humans are labor that can be put to work designing and vetting such systems. The problem with AI isn’t that it builds things we…
Academia is a huge place, and no, its basic function is absolutely not to suck up to power. Every academic I know sees their function as the opposite, even if few take advantage of the limited protections afforded by…
Only in a monopoly situation. If you have several companies with comparable models you can easily switch between, all desperate for revenue to recoup their massive capex. you’re fine.
Will the modal developer of 2030 be much like a dev today? Writing software was a craft. You learned to take a problem and turn it into precise, reliable rules in a special syntax. If AI takes off, we'll see a new field…
It’s less prestigious because it doesn’t judge papers on novelty, only on technical accuracy. For incremental research like this, it is an appropriate choice. The lower prestige has no bearing on the accuracy of their…
A point I think is crucial to mention is that “effect size” is just standardized mean difference. If a minority of patients benefit hugely and most get no benefit, then you get a modest effect size. This is probably why…
I will say that my LMHNP ordered a blood test for me during my ADHD evaluation. I live in the Pacific Northwest and had a serious vitamin D deficiency, apparently like everyone else who doesn’t supplement. also got me…
The point is that the overwhelming majority of the country isn’t facing down ICE brutality right now, not the way Minneapolis is. So yes, most are much less immediately and violently affected by Trump. Hence, calm. The…
Minneapolis has 0.1% of the total USA population. It is to the USA as Dresden, Lisbon, or Genoa is to the EU in terms of population. While ICE is mass deporting people nationwide, the murders of citizens and general…
In this era, it takes credibility to grab my attention before I even care about your promise of benefits. It’s not “make me care.” It’s “make me believe and care, every step of the way.”
I know for me, it’s having a chess app on my smartphone. I play blitz chess like some people vape.
That’s not the same issue, though. You’re claiming just plain overconfidence or that you find their arguments unconvincing. But the rhetorical trick we were discussing is oscillating between treating a claim as a joke…
In what rationalist writing? The LessWrong style is to be literal and unambiguous. They’re pretty explicit that this is a community value they’re striving for.
> Are you not just noise competing with other noise, drowning out the valuable signals in your domain for your own personal gain You have an audience willing to give you the benefit of the doubt to learn something…
Author is primarily a sports blogger and political pundit. Esquire’s lead political blogger since 2011. Charles P Pierce https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Charlie_Pierce
Since 1974, when science increasingly underwrote policy, it’s become entwined with politics through the EPA, climate change, treatment of gender and sexuality, public health, mandatory teaching of evolution, and…
IPOs are one-shot, sealed-bid auctions, and the winner’s curse applies. There are separate equilibria where the company maximizes its cash gains or its fully diluted market cap. It can pick which to target. “Leaving…
Many autistic children have extremely limited diets. For example, a geneticist friend of mine saw a case where an autistic child had been referred for genetic testing because of horrific, chronic, spontaneous wounds on…
In a study like this, there’s also a difference in motivation. An AI will mechanically “take the study seriously.” I’m not convinced the doctors will. But when making decisions about a real patient’s care, a doctor will…
They haven’t raised a cent. They’re asking for pledges, not actual cash contributions.
Not that this isn’t a scam, but they’re currently asking for pledges to contribute, not cash.
PCR (the chemical reaction) isn’t near optimal, but thermocyclers (the device) are hard to improve on. For PCR, one of the innovations I’m excited about is the development of PCR that preserves chemical properties of…
Let’s be real, it’s the men who run brothels. https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/trump-canada-yukon-1.3235254
I just want to point out that there’s a huge difference between thoroughly investigating the family after abuse of this magnitude has been proven, and making parents legally culpable for any harm that comes to their…
What if the president of the nation happens to hold stock in these companies?
Good design allows systems to work without anyone knowing how the whole thing works. AI and humans are labor that can be put to work designing and vetting such systems. The problem with AI isn’t that it builds things we…
Academia is a huge place, and no, its basic function is absolutely not to suck up to power. Every academic I know sees their function as the opposite, even if few take advantage of the limited protections afforded by…
Only in a monopoly situation. If you have several companies with comparable models you can easily switch between, all desperate for revenue to recoup their massive capex. you’re fine.
Will the modal developer of 2030 be much like a dev today? Writing software was a craft. You learned to take a problem and turn it into precise, reliable rules in a special syntax. If AI takes off, we'll see a new field…
It’s less prestigious because it doesn’t judge papers on novelty, only on technical accuracy. For incremental research like this, it is an appropriate choice. The lower prestige has no bearing on the accuracy of their…
A point I think is crucial to mention is that “effect size” is just standardized mean difference. If a minority of patients benefit hugely and most get no benefit, then you get a modest effect size. This is probably why…
I will say that my LMHNP ordered a blood test for me during my ADHD evaluation. I live in the Pacific Northwest and had a serious vitamin D deficiency, apparently like everyone else who doesn’t supplement. also got me…
The point is that the overwhelming majority of the country isn’t facing down ICE brutality right now, not the way Minneapolis is. So yes, most are much less immediately and violently affected by Trump. Hence, calm. The…
Minneapolis has 0.1% of the total USA population. It is to the USA as Dresden, Lisbon, or Genoa is to the EU in terms of population. While ICE is mass deporting people nationwide, the murders of citizens and general…
In this era, it takes credibility to grab my attention before I even care about your promise of benefits. It’s not “make me care.” It’s “make me believe and care, every step of the way.”
I know for me, it’s having a chess app on my smartphone. I play blitz chess like some people vape.
That’s not the same issue, though. You’re claiming just plain overconfidence or that you find their arguments unconvincing. But the rhetorical trick we were discussing is oscillating between treating a claim as a joke…
In what rationalist writing? The LessWrong style is to be literal and unambiguous. They’re pretty explicit that this is a community value they’re striving for.